Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 8th Congressional District Special Election Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 8th Congressional District Special Election Poll

• Ron Barber (D) 53%
• Jesse Kelly (R) 41%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 4%
• Undecided 3%

Among Democrats

• Ron Barber (D) 90%
• Jesse Kelly (R) 8%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 1%
• Undecided 1%

Among Republicans

• Jesse Kelly (R) 82%
• Ron Barber (D) 11%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 3%
• Undecided 4%

Among Independents

• Ron Barber (D) 51%
• Jesse Kelly (R) 34%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 10%
• Undecided 5%

Among Men

• Ron Barber (D) 48%
• Jesse Kelly (R) 46%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 4%
• Undecided 3%

Among Women

• Ron Barber (D) 58%
• Jesse Kelly (R) 36%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 4%
• Undecided 3%

Have you already cast your ballot, or do you plan to vote on Election Day?

• Already cast your ballot 57%
• Plan to vote on Election Day 43%

Already Voted

• Ron Barber (D) 58%
• Jesse Kelly (R) 37%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 4%
• Undecided 1%

Plan to Vote on Election Day

• Ron Barber (D) 46%
• Jesse Kelly (R) 45%
• Charlie Manolakis (G) 3%
• Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Gabrielle Giffords 67% / 24% {+43%}
• Ron Barber 54% / 38% {+16%}
• Jesse Kelly 37% / 59% {-22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 50%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Republicans are doing?

• Approve 25%
• Disapprove 66%

Do you have more faith in Barack Obama or Congressional Republicans to lead the country in the right direction?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Congressional Republicans 43%

Generally speaking, would you rather that Democrats or Republicans had control of the US House?

• Democrats 48%
• Republicans 44%

Survey of 1,058 likely voters was conducted June 9-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 42% Democrat; 36% Republican; 22% Independent/Other. Ideology: 29% Moderate; 21% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 11% Very liberal.