Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 47% {46%} [46%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {43%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (45%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% {43%} [42%] (43%)
  • Barack Obama 40% {36%} [41%] (45%)   
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 32% {31%} [29%] (30%) / 36% {38%} [34%] (37%) {-4%}
  • Barack Obama 36% {45%} [42%] (41%) / 48% {45%} [45%] (41%) {-12%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 32% {29%} [22%] / 31% {45%} [35%] {+1%}
  • Barack Obama 28% {37%} [36%] / 52% {48%} [46%] {-24%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling health care?
  • Barack Obama 43%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a betterjob handling illegal immigration?
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 38%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage?
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 37%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling the federal budget deficit?
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 36%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling the economy and unemployment?
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Barack Obama 41%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling taxes?
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 42%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling terrorism and national security?
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do more to help middle class Americans?
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
How much do you think Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • A lot 38%
  • Some 25%
  • Not much 18%
  • Not at all 18%
How much do you think Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • A lot 25%
  • Some 30%
  • Not much 20%
  • Not at all 21%
Do you think Barack Obama shares the values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't he?
  • Does 57%
  • Does not 38%
Do you think Mitt Romney shares the values most Americans try to live by, or doesn't he?
  • Does 58%
  • Does not 34%
Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 45%
  • What people want to hear 51%
Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • What he believes 37%
  • What people want to hear 56%
If Barack Obama were re-elected, do you think his policies would improve your own financial situation, make it worse, or would his policies not have any effect on your own financial situation?
  • Improve it 26%
  • Make it worse 39%
  • Not have any effect 50%
If Mitt Romney were elected, do you think his policies would improve your own financial situation, make it worse, or would his policies not have any effect on your own financial situation?
  • Improve it 32%
  • Make it worse 25%
  • Not have any effect 34%
Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies: 1. They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR 2. They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR 3. They are not improving the economy and probably never will.
  • Improving economy 17%
  • Not improved but will in time 34%
  • Not improving and never will 45%
Does Mitt Romney's experience as head of the private equity firm, Bain Capital, make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it affect how you will vote one way or another?
  • More likely 14%
  • Less likely 23%
  • No effect 60%
Does Mitt Romney's personal wealth make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it affect how you will vote one way or another?
  • More likely 5%
  • Less likely 20%
  • No effect 73%
If elected, how closely do you think Mitt Romney would follow the economic policies of George W. Bush?
  • Very closely 19%
  • Somewhat closely 46%
  • Not too closely 18%
  • Not at all closely 7%
Do you think Barack Obama has or has not delivered the change he promised during his 2008 presidential campaign? (If Yes) Has that change mostly been good for the country, or mostly been bad for the country?
  • Has delivered change, good 28%
  • Has delivered change, bad 7%
  • Has not delivered change 58%
Does Barack Obama’s approach to stimulate job growth make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or doesn't it affect how you will vote one way or another?
  • More likely 29%
  • Less likely 26%
  • No effect 43%
In general, do you think the policies of the Obama Administration favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or do they treat all groups equally?
  • Favor the rich 21%
  • Favor the middle class 22%
  • Favor the poor 24%
  • Treat all equally 25%
If Mitt Romney is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups equally?
  • Favor the rich 53%
  • Favor the middle class 11%
  • Favor the poor 2%
  • Treat all equally 30%
Survey of 942 registered voters was conducted July 11-16, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 32.7% {36%} [34%] Democrat; 26.5% {30%} [26%] Republican; 40.8% {34%} [40%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

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