Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

Among Registered Voters 
  • Tommy Thompson 35% [34%]
  • Eric Hovde 21% [14%] 
  • Mark Neumann 11% [15%]
  • Jeff Fitzgerald 7% [10%]
  • Undecided/Don't know 25% [26%]
Among Likely Voters
  • Tommy Thompson 35% [34%]
  • Eric Hovde 23% [14%] 
  • Mark Neumann 10% [16%]
  • Jeff Fitzgerald 6% [10%]
  • Undecided/Don't know 25% [25%]
GENERAL ELECTION
Among Registered Voters
  • Tommy Thompson (R) 46% [49%] (48%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 39% [39%] (42%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 41% [43%] (44%)
  • Mark Neumann (R) 39% [41%] (40%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 41% [44%] (45%)
  • Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 37% [36%] (37%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 42% [44%]
  • Eric Hovde (R) 36% [33%]
Among Likely Voters
  • Tommy Thompson (R) 45% [49%]
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 41% [41%]
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 43% [44%]
  • Mark Neumann (R) 40% [44%]
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 43% [45%]
  • Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 37% [39%]
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% [45%]
  • Eric Hovde (R) 38% [36%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tommy Thompson 44% [48%] (44%) / 36% [36%] (34%) {+8%}
  • Eric Hovde 19% [14%] / 12% [13%] {+7%}
  • Mark Neumann 21% [24%] (22%) / 23% [24%] (22%) {-2%}
  • Jeff Fitzgerald 15% [17%] (17%) / 18% [22%] (23%) {-3%
  • Tammy Baldwin 26% [27%] (21%) / 31% [30%] (27%) {-5%}
Survey of 1,000 registered voters, including subsamples of 810 likely general election voters, and 432 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted July 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 3.5 percentage points among likely general election voters; +/- 4.8 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters Party ID: 33% [30%] (34%) Democrat; 29% [27%] (26%) Republican; 36% [39%] (35%) Independent.  Political views: 35% [34%] (38%) Moderate; 32% [31%] (30%) Conservative; 15% [16%] (14%) Liberal; 8% [10%] (8%) Very conservative; 5% [6%] (4%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses.

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