Saturday, July 14, 2012

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% [46%] {48%} (46%) [46%] {46%} (46%) [51%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% [44%] {44%} (44%) [41%] {42%} (45%) [38%] (46%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48% [44%] {55%} (44%) [35%] {39%} (45%) [37%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 44% [43%] {39%} (40%) [41%] {43%(42%) [47%] (39%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 53% [58%] {56%} (51%) [51%] {60%} (54%) [57%] (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% [36%] {37%} (37%) [30%] {26%} (35%) [30%] (38%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% [47%] {51%} (51%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [41%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 40% [44%] {42%} (36%) [37%] {40%} (50%) [47%] (44%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% [48%] {54%} (54%) [55%] {52%} (42%) [54%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% [42%] {37%} (39%) [36%] {40%} (45%) [36%] (44%)
Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 46% [45%] / 42% [45%] {+4%}
  • Barack Obama 49% [50%] / 46% [46%] {+3%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 47% [48%] {43%} (39%) [44%] {45%} (44%) [48%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 47% [47%] {50%} (52%) [46%] {47%} (49%) [43%] (50%)
Which statement comes closer to your view:
  • Congress should extend the tax cuts only for the middle class, but not for the top 2%, that is, households earning $250,000 or more: 43%
  • Congress should extend the tax cuts for everyone, including the top 2%, that is, households earning $250,000 or more: 52%
Survey of 849 registered voters was conducted July 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [33%] Democrat; 29% [31%] Republican; 34% [35%] Independent.  Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 33% Moderate; 22% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted September 13-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 15-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 2-8, 2010 are in parentheses. 

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