Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 49% {47%} (47%) [49%] {50%} (49%) [47%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {48%} [49%] {49%} [47%]
  • Mitt Romney 43% {44%} (43%) [43%] {44%} (43%) [45%] {43%} (44%) [45%] {41%} [43%] {40%} [40%]
(Among Obama Voters) Would you definitely vote for Barack Obama, probably vote for Barack Obama but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for Obama?
  • Definitely vote for Obama 78% {78%} (73%) [74%]
  • Probably vote for Obama, but still thinking about it 13% {10%} (13%) [13%]
  • Just leaning toward voting for Obama 9% {12%} (13%) [12%]
(Among Romney Voters) Would you definitely vote for Mitt Romney, probably vote for Mitt Romney but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning toward voting for Romney?
  • Definitely vote for Romney 72% {68%} (72%) [65%]
  • Probably vote for Romney, but still thinking about it 12% {20%} (14%) [16%]
  • Just leaning toward voting for Romney 15% {12%} (14%) [19%]
Definitely Vote for Candidate
  • Barack Obama 38% {37%} (34%) [37%]
  • Mitt Romney 31% {30%} (31%) [28%]
Which ONE of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Barack Obama?
  • I like Barack Obama personally, and I approve of most of his policies 41%
  • I like Barack Obama personally, but I disapprove of many of his policies 26%
  • I don't like Barack Obama personally, but I do approve of most of his policies 2%
  • I don't like Barack Obama personally, and I disapprove of many of his policies 29%
Which ONE of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Mitt Romney?
  • I like Mitt Romney personally, and I approve of most of his policies 28%
  • I like Mitt Romney personally, but I disapprove of many of his policies 19%
  • I don't like Mitt Romney personally, but I do approve of most of his policies 12%
  • I don't like Mitt Romney personally, and I disapprove of many of his policies 34%
For each of the following candidates, please tell me whether that person has a background and set of values that you can identify with, or whether he does NOT have a background and set of values that you can identify with.

Barack Obama
  • Has Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 50%
  • Does NOT Have Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 47%
Mitt Romney
  • Has Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 42%
  • Does NOT Have Background/Set Of Values I Identify With 52%
I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few qualities that people might look for in a president. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama would be better or Mitt Romney would be better on that item.

Who do you think would be better when it comes to:

Looking out for the middle class
  • Obama 49%
  • Romney 33%
Being knowledgeable and experienced enough to handle the presidency
  • Obama 48%
  • Romney 32%
Being a good commander-in-chief
  • Obama 45%
  • Romney 35%
Being consistent and standing up for his beliefs
  • Obama 37%
  • Romney 35%
Having good ideas for how to improve the economy
  • Romney 43%
  • Obama 36%
Changing business as usual in Washington
  • Romney 33%
  • Obama 32%
Now I'd like you to compare Barack Obama and Mitt Romney on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would be better on that issue.

Handling foreign policy
  • Obama 47%
  • Romney 32%
Dealing with health care
  • Obama 44%
  • Romney 37%
Handling the situation in Afghanistan
  • Obama 43%
  • Romney 27%
Dealing with Medicare
  • Obama 42%
  • Romney 34%
Dealing with taxes
  • Obama 40%
  • Romney 38%
Dealing with immigration
  • Obama 38%
  • Romney 36%
Dealing with the economy
  • Romney 43%
  • Obama 37%
Rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative.

Barack Obama
  • Very positive 33%
  • Somewhat positive 16%
  • Neutral 8%
  • Somewhat negative 11%
  • Very negative 32%
Mitt Romney
  • Very positive 13%
  • Somewhat positive 22%
  • Neutral 23%
  • Somewhat negative 16%
  • Very negative 24%
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 48%
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?
  • Approve 44%
  • Disapprove 53%
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in handling foreign policy?
  • Approve 53%
  • Disapprove 41%
Has what you have seen, read, or heard about Mitt Romney’s tax returns and the percent he has paid in federal income taxes made you feel … more positive or more negative about him, not made much difference in your opinion or do you not know enough about this to have an opinion at this time?
  • More positive 4%
  • More negative 32%
  • Not much difference 40%
  • Don’t know enough 23%
Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted July 18-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage pointsParty ID: 35% Democrat; 23% Republican; 39% Independent.  Ideology: 34% Moderate; 20% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in square brackets.   Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-17, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in curly brackets.

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