Tuesday, July 17, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% [48%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% [45%] (45%) {45%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 45% [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (42%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%
  • Mitt Romney 43% [41%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 63% [60%] (58%) {66%} [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
  • Mitt Romney 28% [33%] (34%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% [54%] (44%) {47%} [44%] (45%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
  • Barack Obama 42% [41%] (48%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%)  
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% [55%] (48%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% [38%] (46%) {44%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 47% [47%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 48% [48%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {-1%}
  • Mitt Romney 39% [42%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 47% [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {-8%}
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 43% [43%] (42%) {46%} [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 49% [49%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-6%}
  • Mitt Romney 36% [41%] (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 47% [47%] (50%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {-11%}
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 64% [58%] (55%) {65%} [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 30% [36%] (38%) {32%} [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+34%}
  • Mitt Romney 25% [32%] (33%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 61% [57%] (57%) {60%} [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-36%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 44% [50%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 45% [42%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {-1%}
  • Barack Obama 41% [42%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 56% [54%] (50%) {52%} [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-15%}   
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% [51%] (45%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 42% [43%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+10%}
  • Mitt Romney 35% [35%] (42%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 48% [54%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {-13%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 44% [45%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
  • Disapprove 49% [50%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)
Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 45% [48%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (44%) {49%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
  • Too conservative 7% [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
  • About right 43% [42%] (40%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (43%)
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 56%
  • He should not 34%
Among Independents
  • He should 61%
  • He should not 27%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release financial records documenting his overseas investments in countries like Switzerland and Bermuda, or not?
  • He should 56%
  • He should not 36%
Among Independents
  • He should 58%
  • He should not 36%
Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted July 12-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% [38%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 37% [36%] (35%) {36%} [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 25% [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 47% [41%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 40% [38%] (37%) {42%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 13% [21%] (16%) {18%} [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses. 

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