Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% (46%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48% (46%) {43%} [41%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)
  • Barack Obama 42% (38%) {45%} [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (42%){43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 65% (56%) {63%} [60%] (58%) {66%} [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
  • Mitt Romney 30% (33%) {28%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 51% (46%) {52%} [54%] (44%) {47%} [44%] (45%){51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
  • Barack Obama 44% (45%) {42%} [41%] (48%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%)  
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% (47%) {53%} [55%] (48%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (45%) {41%} [38%] (46%) {44%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 48% (45%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 47% (50%) {48%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {+1%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% (41%) {39%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 50% (49%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {-9%}
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 41% (38%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 49% (54%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-8%}
  • Mitt Romney 38% (41%) {36%} [41%] (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 47% (45%) {47%} [47%] (50%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {-9%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 65% (55%) {64%} [58%] (55%) {65%} [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 30% (39%) {30%} [36%] (38%) {32%} [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+35%}
  • Mitt Romney 25% (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 65% (59%) {61%} [57%] (57%) {60%} [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-40%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 44% (41%) {44%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 46% (51%) {45%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {-2%}
  • Barack Obama 44% (44%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 52% (51%) {56%} [54%] (50%) {52%} [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-8%}    
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% (46%) {52%} [51%] (45%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 42% (49%) {42%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+10%}
  • Mitt Romney 39% (41%) {35%} [35%] (42%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 53% (46%) {48%} [54%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {-14%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% (42%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
  • Disapprove 49% (53%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)
Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
  • Too liberal 46% (48%) {45%} [48%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (44%) {49%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (45%)
  • Too conservative 7% (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
  • About right 43% (39%) {43%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (43%)
Regardless of who you support for President, would you rather go to dinner with Barack Obama and his family or Mitt Romney and his family? 
  • Barack Obama and his family 51% 
  • Mitt Romney and his family 41% 
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama and his family 49% 
  • Mitt Romney and his family 38%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama and his family 65% 
  • Mitt Romney and his family 25%
Among Men
  • Barack Obama and his family 46% 
  • Mitt Romney and his family 45%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama and his family 57% 
  • Mitt Romney and his family 38%
Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (39%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 34% (32%) {37%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 27% (29%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 44% (42%) {47%} [41%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 39% (39%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {42%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 17% (19%) {13%} [21%] (16%) {18%} [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012are in parentheses. 

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