Thursday, August 23, 2012

Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% {49%} (45%) [45%] {43%} (46%) [46%] {44%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (44%) [42%] {45%} (47%) [48%] {48%} 
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% {40%} (41%) [40%] {43%} (39%) [46%] {46%} (42%) [42%] {45%} {42%} [44%] {42%} (41%) [41%] {41%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% {41%} (43%) [40%] {46%} (46%) [49%] {52%} [47%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 40% {47%} (42%) [45%] {41%} (37%) [45%] {38%} [42%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% {51%} (48%) [46%] {46%} (55%) [47%] {49%} [50%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% {39%} (40%) [39%] {40%} (33%) [42%] {41%} [38%]
Among Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44%
Which presidential ticket do you trust to do a better job improving the economy and creating jobs?

Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 41%
Among Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43%
Which presidential ticket do you trust to do a better job protecting Medicare and making sure it’s there for future generations?

Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 39%
Among Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 52% {54%} (52%) {54%} (52%) [50%] (50%) {51%} / 43% {42%} (46%) {42%} (44%) [48%] (47%) {46%} {+9%}
  • Paul Ryan 41% / 34% {+7%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% {46%} (52%) {46%} (45%) [42%] (39%) {45%} / 45% {45%} (40%) {42%} (43%) [45%] (49%) {38%} {+1%}
  • Joe Biden 45% / 42% {+3%} 
Among Likely Voters
  • Paul Ryan 45% / 35% {+10%}
  • Barack Obama 51% / 46% {+5%}
  • Mitt Romney 49% / 44% {+5%}
  • Joe Biden 46% / 44% {+2%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Among Registered Voters
  • Approve 46% {49%} (47%) [48%] {49%} (49%) [45%] {42%} (47%) [48%] {45%} (44%) [42%] {43%} (45%) [48%] {51%}
  • Disapprove 48% {46%} (49%) [43%] {45%} (47%) [51%] {51%} (45%) [45%] {47%} (51%) [48%] {51%} (46%) [43%] {43%}
Among Likely Voters 
  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 50%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing on the economy?

Among Registered Voters
  • Approve 43% (43%) (42%)
  • Disapprove 52% (53%) (54%)
Among Likely Voters
  • Approve 42%
  • Disapprove 54%
If Mitt Romney were to win the presidential election, would that make you feel more confident that your family’s financial situation will improve, less confident, or would it not make a difference?

Among Registered Voters
  • More confident 34%
  • Less confident 38%
  • Won't matter 24%
Among Likely Voters
  • More confident 38%
  • Less confident 39%
  • Won't matter 19%
If Barack Obama were to win re-election, would that make you feel more confident that your family’s financial situation will improve, less confident, or would it not make a difference?

Among Registered Voters
  • More confident 31%
  • Less confident 41%
  • Won't matter 25%
Among Likely Voters
  • More confident 33%
  • Less confident 44%
  • Won't matter 20%
Which presidential candidate -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney -- do you think most members of the media want to win the election?

Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 57% {58%}
  • Mitt Romney 18% {21%}
Among Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Mitt Romney 15%
Do you think Mitt Romney will say and do just about anything to get elected?

Among Registered Voters
  • Yes, he will 60%
  • No, he won't 34%
Among Likely Voters
  • Yes, he will 58%
  • No, he won't 37%
Do you think Barack Obama will say and do just about anything to get elected?

Among Registered Voters
  • Yes, he will 59%
  • No, he won't 37%
Among Likely Voters
  • Yes, he will 57%
  • No, he won't 39%
Who do you think is a stronger vice presidential candidate -- Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Paul Ryan?

Among Registered Voters
  • Paul Ryan 45%
  • Joe Biden 39%
Among Likely Voters
  • Paul Ryan 49%
  • Joe Biden 39%
Which vice presidential candidate would you feel more comfortable with if they had to step in and serve as president -- Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Paul Ryan?

Among Registered Voters
  • Joe Biden 45%
  • Paul Ryan 43%
Among Likely Voters
  • Paul Ryan 46%
  • Joe Biden 45%
Which vice presidential candidate would make you feel more scared if they had to step in and serve as president -- Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Paul Ryan?

Among Registered Voters
  • Joe Biden 44%
  • Paul Ryan 42%
Among Likely Voters
  • Joe Biden 47%
  • Paul Ryan 42%
I’m going to read some descriptions about all four candidates on the presidential tickets. For each one, please tell me whether you think it’s a fair description, or not.

Some people say Barack Obama wants to change the country in a way that makes people more dependent on government. Is that a fair description, or not?

Among Registered Voters
  • Fair description 53%
  • Unfair description 43%
Among Likely Voters
  • Fair description 53%
  • Unfair description 44%
Some people say Joe Biden has made so many embarrassing gaffes that it’s become clear he’s not smart enough to be president. Is that a fair description, or not?

Among Registered Voters
  • Fair description 40%
  • Unfair description 51%
Among Likely Voters
  • Fair description 41%
  • Unfair description 52%
Some people say Mitt Romney wants to change the country in ways that will make the rich even richer but will not help everyone else. Is that a fair description, or not?

Among Registered Voters
  • Fair description 49%
  • Unfair description 46%
Among Likely Voters
  • Fair description 47%
  • Unfair description 49%
Some people say Paul Ryan has extreme views and doesn’t care if he hurts seniors with his budget cuts. Is that a fair description, or not?

Among Registered Voters
  • Fair description 38%
  • Unfair description 49%
Among Likely Voters
  • Fair description 37%
  • Unfair description 51%
Survey of 1,219 registered voters, including a subsample of 1,007 likely voters, was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) August 19-21, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Party ID (among registered voters): 42% {44%} (42%) [41%] {41%} Democrat; 35% {35%} (38%) [36%] {37%} Republican; 21% {14%} (18%) [19%] {20%} Independent.  Party ID (among likely voters): 42% Democrat; 38% Republican; 18% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

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