Thursday, August 16, 2012

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 44% [48%] (41%) {41%} [35%] (36%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% [36%] (33%) {30%} [26%] (30%)
  • Other 3% [5%] (8%) {6%} [10%] (8%)
  • Don't know 15% [12%] (18%) {24%} [30%] (27%)
Note: Allocating voters who lean to a candidate produces a similar advantage for Obama, 47% to 42%, but shows that 7% of voters remain undecided.

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 46% [47%] (45%) {45%} / 45% [44%] (47%) {44%} {+1%
  • Mitt Romney 32% [27%] (27%) {25%} / 49% [48%] (44%) {35%} {-17%}
Regardless of how you plan to vote, which presidential candidate do you think is best described by each of the following statements?

Best understands the concerns of ordinary Americans?
  • Barack Obama 57% [57%]
  • Mitt Romney 30% [31%]
Is most prepared to fix our economic problems?
  • Mitt Romney 44% [38%] 
  • Barack Obama 42% [44%]
Is closest to your views on value issues, such as abortion and gay marriage?
  • Barack Obama 44% [47%]
  • Mitt Romney 42% [37%]
Will better handle the job of commander in chief of the military?
  • Barack Obama 47% [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 37% [33%]
Is most prepared to handle foreign policy issues?
  • Barack Obama 53% [57%]
  • Mitt Romney 34% [29%]
How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
  • Excellent 12% [13%] (11%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
  • Good 31% [29%] (26%) {31%} [28%] (25%)
  • Fair 23% [30%] (29%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
  • Poor 33% [28%] (35%) {30%} [32%] (33%)
How would you rate the way that Barack Obama has handled the economy?
  • Excellent 7% [8%] (9%) {6%}
  • Good 26% [30%] (23%) {23%}
  • Fair 22% [26%] (26%) {27%}
  • Poor 44% [35%] (42%) {43%}
Survey of 681 registered voters was conducted August 7-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party registration: 50% [50%] Democrat; 37% [37%] Republican; 11% [10%] Independent; 1% [2%] Something else.  Ideology: 40% [34%] Moderate; 36% [36%] Conservative; 21% [25%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 17-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-29, 2011 are in parentheses.

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