Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

Among Registered Voters 

• Tommy Thompson 36% {35%} [34%]
• Eric Hovde 24% {21%} [14%] 
• Mark Neumann 19% {11%} [15%]
• Jeff Fitzgerald 13% {7%} [10%]
• Undecided/Don't know 8% {25%} [26%]

Among Likely Voters

• Tommy Thompson 33% {35%} [34%]
• Eric Hovde 24% {23%} [14%] 
• Mark Neumann 21% {10%} [16%]
• Jeff Fitzgerald 15% {6%} [10%]
• Undecided/Don't know 7% {25%} [25%]

GENERAL ELECTION

Among Registered Voters

• Tommy Thompson (R) 46% {46%} [49%] (48%)
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 42% {39%} [39%] (42%)

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 42% {41%} [43%] (44%)
• Mark Neumann (R) 42% {39%} [41%] (40%) 

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 43% {42%} [44%]
• Eric Hovde (R) 39% {36%} [33%]

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 45% {41%} [44%] (45%)
• Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 38% {37%} [36%] (37%)

Among Likely Voters

• Tommy Thompson (R) 48% {45%} [49%]
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 43% {41%} [41%]

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% {43%} [44%]
• Mark Neumann (R) 44% {40%} [44%]

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% {44%} [45%]
• Eric Hovde (R) 41% {38%} [36%]

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 45% {43%} [45%]
• Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 40% {37%} [39%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tommy Thompson 39% {44%} [48%] (44%) / 43% {36%} [36%] (34%) {-4%}
• Eric Hovde 21% {19%} [14%] / 25% {12%} [13%] {-4%} 
• Tammy Baldwin 30% {26%} [27%] (21%) / 35% {31%} [30%] (27%) {-5%}
• Jeff Fitzgerald 17% {15%} [17%] (17%) / 23% {18%} [22%] (23%) {-6%}
• Mark Neumann 23% {21%} [24%] (22%) / 34% {23%} [24%] (22%) {-11%} 

Survey of 1,400 registered voters, including subsamples of 1,188 likely general election voters, and 519 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted August 2-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 2.9 percentage points among likely general election voters; +/- 4.4 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters.  Party ID: 32% {33%} [30%] (34%) Democrat; 30% {29%} [27%] (26%) Republican; 35% {36%} [39%] (35%) Independent.  Political views: 33% {32%} [31%] (30%) Conservative; 31% {35%} [34%] (38%) Moderate; 17% {15%} [16%] (14%) Liberal; 10% {8%} [10%] (8%) Very conservative; 6% {5%} [6%] (4%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses.