Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% {50%} [51%] (53%) {52%} [46%] (51%) {48%} [53%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% {43%} [41%] (39%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (40%)
Among Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% {50%} [51%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% {45%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [46%] (45%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% {53%} [51%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (55%) {52%} [52%] (50%) / 43% {42%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (44%) {+9%}
  • Paul Ryan 41% / 34% {+7%}
  • Joe Biden 38% / 43% {-5%}
  • Mitt Romney 35% {36%} [36%] (35%) {40%} [40%] (33%) {32%} [27%] (30%) / 45% {48%} [42%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (42%) {-10%}
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Barack Obama, or not...he is someone who cares about people like me.
  • Describes 57%
  • Does not describe 39%
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mitt Romney, or not...he is someone who cares about people like me.
  • Describes 37%
  • Does not describe 51%
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Barack Obama, or not...he is a strong leader.
  • Describes 52%
  • Does not describe 46%
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Mitt Romney, or not...he is a strong leader.
  • Describes 46%
  • Does not describe 38%
As you may know, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney has selected Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan as his vice presidential running mate. How would you rate Romney's choice of Ryan for vice president? Would you rate this choice as excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?
  • Excellent 31%
  • Pretty good 27%
  • Only fair 16%
  • Poor 19%
Do you think Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan as his running mate reflects favorably or unfavorably on Romney's ability to make important presidential decisions?
  • Favorably 58%
  • Unfavorably 31%
Based on what you know about Paul Ryan, do you think he is qualified to serve as president if it becomes necessary, or not?
  • Qualified 55%
  • Not qualified 37%
Does having Paul Ryan as his running mate make you more likely to vote for Mitt Romney for president in November, less likely, or will it not have much effect on your vote?
  • More likely 29%
  • Less likely 16%
  • Not have much effect 53%
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
  • Approve 48% {50%} [49%] (52%) {52%} [45%] (50%) {48%}
  • Disapprove 45% {46%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [49%] (46%) {47%}
Survey of 706 registered voters, including 576 likely voters, was conducted August 16-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.2 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID: 28% {32%} [33%] (30%) {33%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 26% {30%} [29%] (27%) {28%} [28%] (30%) {27%} [26%] Republican; 42% {35%} [36%] (39%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {36%} [35%] Independent.  Political views: 11% {10%} [8%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {9%} [8%] Very conservative; 30% {33%} [32%] (31%) {33%} [38%] (33%) {30%} [30%] Conservative; 30% {31%} [35%] (34%) {32%} [30%] (32%) {37%} [38%] Moderate; 16% {17%} [15%] (16%) {16%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [14%] Liberal; 7% {6%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 13-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.

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