Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Mitt Romney 48% {44%} [46%] (44%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
  • Barack Obama 47% {50%} [47%] (50%) {53%} [46%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (46%)
Note: 2008 Barack Obama 56%, John McCain 43% / 2004 John Kerry 50%, George W. Bush 49% 

Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% {53%} [53%] (53%) {57%} [38%] (40%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {39%} [35%] (36%) {33%} [42%] (37%) {36%} [33%] (36%)
Note: Independents: 2008 (29%): Barack Obama 58%, John McCain 39% / 2004 (27%): John Kerry 53%, George W. Bush 45% 

Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 61% {67%} [61%] (66%) {67%} [61%] (57%) {67%} [64%] (61%)
  • Mitt Romney 31% {24%} [29%] (28%) {24%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [20%] (25%)
Note: Moderates: 2008 (47%): Barack Obama 63%, John McCain 36% / 2004 (49%): John Kerry 56%, George W. Bush 44% 

Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% {48%} [49%] (49%) {42%} [49%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 43% {46%} [42%] (46%) {51%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 50% {53%} [51%] (53%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {56%} [53%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {41%} [43%] (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {33%} [32%] (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {41%} [37%] (38%) {25%} [31%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (33%) / 48% {50%} [48%] (49%) {61%} [53%] (48%) {49%} [41%] (45%) {-3%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?
  • Favorable 49% {44%} [40%] {41%} [36%]
  • Unfavorable 45% {39%} [35%] {46%} [35%]
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?
  • Favorable 41%
  • Unfavorable 48%
If you were allowed to vote directly for Vice President, would you choose Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Paul Ryan?
  • Paul Ryan 51%
  • Joe Biden 44%
  • Not sure 5%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 46% {47%} [44%] (47%) {52%} [44%] (45%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
  • Disapprove 50% {48%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [51%] (51%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Do you support or oppose Paul Ryan's proposal for reforming Medicare?
  • Support 40%
  • Oppose 46%
  • Not sure 14%
Survey of 1,308 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted August 16-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {32%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (34%) {32%} [32%] (31%) Republican; 32% {30%} [28%] (31%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (35%) Democrat; 34% {38%} [37%] (37%) {36%} [32%] (29%) {31%} [35%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% {28%} {31%} (30%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Moderate; 24% {26%} {25%} (25%) {21%} [23%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 20% {18%} {19%} (19%) {22%} [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 16% {18%} {15%} (17%) {17%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 10% {10%} {10%} (10%) {11%} [10%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

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