Tuesday, September 04, 2012

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Survey

Among Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% {49%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% {47%}
Among Registered Voters 
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52% {52%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (54%) {51%} [47%] (52%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {54%}
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% {43%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {46%} [48%] (45%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {43%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 52% {48%} [42%] (49%) {51%} [43%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42% {45%} [53%] (42%) {39%} [48%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 59% {57%} [61%] (55%) {55%} [67%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 38% {37%} [35%] (40%) {42%} [25%]
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 55% {53%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [46%]
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% {43%} [51%] (44%) {48%} [49%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 54% {54%} [53%] (54%) {49%} [55%]
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% {42%} [44%] (43%) {46%} [39%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Likely Voters
  • Paul Ryan 49% {45%} / 38% {39%} {+11%}
  • Mitt Romney 53% {50%} / 43% {46%} {+10%} 
  • Barack Obama 51% {52%} / 48% {47%} {+3%}
  • Joe Biden 46% {46%} / 47% {47%} {-1%}
Among Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 54% {54%} [55%] (54%) {53%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [48%] / 44% {44%} [44%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {47%} [50%] {+10%}
  • Mitt Romney 49% {48%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {36%} [44%] / 43% {46%} [47%] (42%) {41%} [44%] (49%) {54%} [43%] {+6%} 
  • Paul Ryan 42% {41%} [29%] (25%) / 38% {38%} [20%] (22%) {+4%} 
  • Joe Biden 46% {44%} {41%} / 43% {47%} {46%} {+3%}
I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me if you think Barack Obama or Mitt Romney would better handle that issue if they were elected President.
THE ECONOMY
Registered Voters
  • Mitt Romney 48% {49%} (48%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {46%} (47%)
Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney 51% {50%}
  • Barack Obama 45% {46%}
FOREIGN POLICY
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 53% {55%} (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% {40%} (41%)
Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama 49% {51%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% {44%}
MEDICARE
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 50% {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% {45%}
Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama 49% {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% {48%}
Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think each one applies more to Barack Obama or more to Mitt Romney. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him.
HAS AN OPTIMISTIC VISION FOR THE COUNTRY'S FUTURE
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 47% {51%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% {41%}
Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney 47% {45%}
  • Barack Obama 43% {48%}
IS IN TOUCH WITH THE PROBLEMS FACING MIDDLE CLASS AMERICANS TODAY
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 52% {58%} (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% {33%} (36%)
Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama 49% {53%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% {39%}
IS IN TOUCH WITH THE PROBLEMS FACING WOMEN TODAY
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 57% {62%} (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% {27%} (28%)
Likely Voters
  • Barack Obama 56% {60%}
  • Mitt Romney 36% {31%}
IS A STRONG AND DECISIVE LEADER
Registered Voters
  • Barack Obama 46% {50%} (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {42%} (35%)
Likely Voters
  • Mitt Romney 48% {46%}
  • Barack Obama 43% {49%}
Does what you saw or read of the Republican National Convention in Tampa make you more likely or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney?

Registered Voters
  • More likely 36%
  • Less likely 46%
At their convention, do you think the Republicans maintained the right balance between criticizing the Democrats and saying positive things about themselves, or do you think they spent too much time criticizing the Democrats?

Registered Voters
  • Maintained the right balance 34%
  • Too much time criticizing 56%
Survey of 877 registered voters, including 735 likely voters, was conducted August 31 - September 3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.

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