Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% {53%} [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {39%} [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 54% {50%} [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 38% {37%} [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 64% {68%} [66%] (70%) {56%} [56%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 30% {23%} [21%] (22%) {30%} [25%] (29%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 53% {48%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 40% {45%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% {59%} [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 48% {33%} [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)

Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Michigan: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 53% {55%} [55%]
• Mitt Romney 31% {29%} [31%]

Is the candidates’ for President record on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?

• Very important 48%
• Somewhat important 32%
• Not that important 18%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 46% / 41% {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 45% {38%} [35%] (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 49% {55%} [57%] (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-4%}

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 38% / 42% {-4%} 
• Mitt Romney 39% {36%} [32%] (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 51% {57%} [60%] (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {-12%}

Among Moderates

• Paul Ryan 31% / 51% {-20%} 
• Mitt Romney 30% {20%} [22%] (29%) {37%} [34%] (31%) / 60% {71%} [65%] (57%) {42%} [46%] (39%) {-30%}

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 42% / 44% {-2%} 
• Mitt Romney 43% {43%} [40%] (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 52% {50%} [53%] (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {-9%}

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 50% / 38% {+12%} 
• Mitt Romney 47% {32%} [30%] (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 46% {61%} [60%] (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {+1%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49% {51%} [53%] (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
• Disapprove 49% {44%} [41%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)

Among Men

• Approve 52% {44%} [48%] (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
• Disapprove 46% {50%} [48%] (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 46% {58%} [57%] (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
• Disapprove 52% {37%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 52% {58%}
• He should not 42% {34%}

Do you consider Mitt Romney to be a Michigander, or not?

• He is a Michigander 34% {22%}
• He is not 57% {67%}

Who do you think gives better speeches: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 57%
• Mitt Romney 31%

Do you support or oppose Paul Ryan's proposal for reforming Medicare?

• Support 35%
• Oppose 42%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the speech Clint Eastwood gave at the Republican convention?

• Favorable 34%
• Unfavorable 41%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Clint Eastwood in general?

• Favorable 74%
• Unfavorable 10%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 64% {56%}
• Unfavorable 21% {28%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ann Romney?

• Favorable 51%
• Unfavorable 27%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

• Favorable 39%
• Unfavorable 26%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?

• Favorable 37%
• Unfavorable 31%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Susana Martinez?

• Favorable 30%
• Unfavorable 12%

Did the Republican convention make you more or less likely to vote for Republicans this year, or did it not make a difference?

• More likely 30%
• Less likely 35%
• Didn't make a difference 35%

Survey of 815 likely Michigan voters was conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% {28%} [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 33% {32%} [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 33% {40%} [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 35% {31%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [35%] Moderate; 23% {21%} [22%] (21%) {26%} [21%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {16%} [23%] (20%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 16% {21%} [15%] (17%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 9% {11%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.