Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
  •  Tommy Thompson (R) 46% (44%) {41%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [49%]
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 45% (48%) {50%} [41%] (43%) {41%} [41%] 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tommy Thompson 37% (36%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {44%} [48%] (44%) / 50% (48%) {44%} [38%] (43%) {36%} [36%] (34%) {-13%}
  • Tammy Baldwin 32% (37%) {36%} [32%] (30%) {26%} [27%] (21%) / 47% (39%) {31%} [37%] (35%) {31%} [30%] (27%) {-15%
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Tammy Baldwin, or not…she is someone who cares about people like me.
  • Describes 47% (47%)
  • Does not describe 40% (37%)
Please tell me whether the following statement describes Tommy Thompson, or not…she is someone who cares about people like me.
  • Describes 42% (41%)
  • Does not describe 49% (49%)
Survey of 870 likely voters was conducted October 11-14, 2012. The margin of error is +/-3.4 percentage points Party ID: 31% (33%) {34%} [28%] (32%) {33%} [30%] (34%) Democrat; 28% (26%) {26%} [26%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (26%) Republican; 38% (37%) {38%} [42%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (35%) Independent.  Political views: 35% (30%) {31%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [31%] (30%) Conservative; 34% (33%) {32%} [30%] (31%) {35%} [34%] (38%) Moderate; 19% (16%) {19%} [16%] (17%) {15%} [16%] (14%) Liberal; 6% (10%) {8%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (8%) Very conservative; 3% (5%) {7%} [7%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers: 
The attack ads seem to have gained traction on both sides. Asked whether they agree that Thompson "sold out to special interests and isn't working for you anymore," 49 percent of likely voters agreed with the statement while 41 percent disagreed. When asked whether they agree that Baldwin "is one of the most liberal members of Congress and is too liberal for Wisconsin," the results were the same: 49 percent agreed and 41 percent disagreed.

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