Thursday, October 25, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll
  • Dean Heller (R) 50% {50%} [48%] (42%) {51%} [51%] (47%) 
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 45% {43%} [45%] (41%) {42%} [40%] (40%)
I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 

Dean Heller
  • Very favorable 24% {25%} [28%] (23%)
  • Somewhat favorable 23% {24%} [22%] (20%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 19% {19%} [16%] (21%)
  • Very unfavorable 30% {27%} [28%] (25%)
Shelley Berkley  
  • Very favorable 23% {19%} [21%] (24%)
  • Somewhat favorable 21% {22%} [19%] (14%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 15% {17%} [17%] (18%)
  • Very unfavorable 39% {39%} [36%] (36%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Dean Heller 47% {49%} [50%] (43%) / 49% {46%} [44%] (46%) {-2%}
  • Shelley Berkley 44% {41%} [40%] (38%) / 54% {56%} [53%] (54%) {-10%}
Survey of 500 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Heller holds a 51% to 46% advantage among the 35% of Nevada voters who say they have already voted. He leads 51% to 45% among the 97% of likely Nevada voters who say they are certain to vote in this year’s election.
Heller earns 87% support from his fellow Republicans in the state and leads Berkley 54% to 33% among voters not affiliated with either major political party. Berkley has the backing of 81% of Nevada Democrats.

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