Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Senate Poll
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 46% {43%} [43%] (42%)
  • Josh Mandel (R) 41% {42%} [38%] (38%)
  • Scott Rupert (I) 3% {3%} [4%] (4%)
  • Undecided 9% {10%} [13%] (14%)
Among Independents
  • Josh Mandel (R) 43% {46%} [37%] (39%)
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 34% {33%} [34%] (32%)
  • Scott Rupert (I) 7% {6%} [10%] (9%)
  • Undecided 13% {14%} [19%] (17%)
Among Moderates
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 53% {54%} [52%] (53%)
  • Josh Mandel (R) 31% {30%} [28%] (25%)
  • Scott Rupert (I) 4% {4%} [5%] (5%)
  • Undecided 11% {11%} [14%] (15%)
Among Men
  • Josh Mandel (R) 45% {47%} [42%] (41%)
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)
  • Scott Rupert (I) 4% {2%} [5%] (4%)
  • Undecided 8% {8%} [13%] (13%)
Among Women
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 50% {45%} [45%] (44%)
  • Josh Mandel (R) 37% {37%} [35%] (34%)
  • Scott Rupert (I) 2% {5%} [4%] (4%)
  • Undecided 10% {12%} [14%] (15%)
Already Voted (25%)
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 60% {54%} [52%] (57%)
  • Josh Mandel (R) 35% {35%} [38%] (37%)
  • Scott Rupert (I) 2% {4%} [4%] (0%)
  • Undecided 1% {4%} [3%] (2%)
Will Vote Before Election Day (14%)
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 47%
  • Josh Mandel (R) 31%
  • Scott Rupert (I) 4%
  • Undecided 18%
Will Vote on Election Day (60%)
  • Josh Mandel (R) 46% 
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 41%
  • Scott Rupert (I) 3%
  • Undecided 10%
Survey of 603 likely and actual voters was conducted October 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% {39%} [39%] (39%) Democrat; 32% {32%} [32%] (33%) Republican; 26% {25%} [26%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 41% {38%} [42%] (40%) Moderate; 32% {34%} [34%] (35%) Conservative; 17% {18%} [17%] (16%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

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