Mason-Dixon Montana 2012 Presidential Poll
Survey of 625 likely Montana voters was conducted October 29-31,
2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage
points. Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers: - Mitt Romney (R) 53% (51%)
- Barack Obama (D) 43% (42%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 2% (2%)
- Undecided 2% (5%)
Among Independents
- Mitt Romney (R) 53% (51%)
- Barack Obama (D) 36% (33%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 7% (5%)
- Undecided 4% (11%)
Among Republicans
- Mitt Romney (R) 97% (95%)
- Barack Obama (D) 2% (1%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 0% (0%)
- Undecided 1% (4%)
Among Democrats
- Barack Obama (D) 94% (93%)
- Mitt Romney (R) 2% (4%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 0% (0%)
- Undecided 2% (3%)
Among Men
- Mitt Romney (R) 58% (56%)
- Barack Obama (D) 38% (34%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 3% (3%)
- Undecided 1% (7%)
Among Women
- Mitt Romney (R) 49% (47%)
- Barack Obama (D) 47% (49%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 1% (1%)
- Undecided 3% (3%)
By region, Romney leads Obama in the Eastern Montana media market, 69 percent to 27 percent; the Billings media market, 63 percent to 34 percent; the Great Falls media market, 51 percent to 44 percent; and the Missoula/Kalispell market, 52 percent to 45 percent.
Obama tops Romney only in the Butte/Helena/Bozeman media market, 51 percent to 44 percent.
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