Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll
  • Dean Heller (R) 48% (44%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (51%)
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 46% (44%) {44%} [48%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 4% (7%) {4%}
Among Democrats
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 85% (78%) {76%} [85%] (81%) {73%} [70%] (82%) {75%} [76%] (64%)
  • Dean Heller (R) 11% (9%) {16%} [11%] (11%) {18%} [16%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (20%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (6%) {3%} 
Among Republicans
  • Dean Heller (R) 89% (84%) {85%} [84%] (86%) {71%} [76%] (83%) {86%} [86%] (85%)
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 9% (11%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {16%} [13%] (8%) {6%} [8%] (12%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 1% (2%) {3%} 
Among Independents
  • Dean Heller (R) 51% (46%) {47%} [40%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (39%) {44%} [56%] (56%)
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 34% (33%) {38%} [41%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (37%) {41%} [29%] (28%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 14% (15%) {10%} 
Among Men
  • Dean Heller (R) 50% (48%) {44%} [49%] (53%) {48%} [45%] (52%) {48%} [52%] (53%)
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 44% (43%) {49%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [39%] (36%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 6% (6%) {3%} 
Among Women
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 48% (45%) {39%} [51%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (52%) {45%} [46%] (40%)
  • Dean Heller (R) 47% (41%) {49%} [41%] (43%) {40%} [47%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (49%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (7%) {5%}
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 74% (34%)
  • No 26% (66%)
Already Voted
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 52% (55%)
  • Dean Heller (R) 44% (41%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3% (3%)
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Dean Heller (R) 60% (46%)
  • Shelley Berkley (D) 30% (38%)
  • David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 7% (8%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dean Heller’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% (46%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {36%} [43%] (39%) {38%}
  • Disapprove 42% (47%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (35%) {35%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shelley Berkley?
  • Favorable 39% (41%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {38%} [33%] (38%) {33%} [34%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 55% (53%) {51%} [46%] (45%) {37%} [40%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (29%)
Survey of 750 likely Nevada voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 38% (36%) {35%} [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 20% (23%) {21%} [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (34%) {33%} (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 24% (23%) {24%} (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (14%) {18%} (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (16%) {16%} (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 13% (13%) {9%} (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

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