Tuesday, November 06, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 51% (51%) {51%} [52%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (46%) {47%} [43%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% (47%) {47%} [43%] (47%) {42%} [43%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 54% (53%) {45%} [37%] (51%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {49%} [58%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama 41% (44%) {52%} [52%] (41%) {37%} [54%] (47%) {44%} [27%] (41%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 60% (63%) {57%} (53%) {57%} [67%] (64%) {55%} [53%] (61%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% (34%) {41%} (40%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {36%} [34%] (35%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 50% (48%) {53%} [48%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (44%) 
  • Mitt Romney 49% (50%) {45%} [46%] (52%) {46%} [41%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (47%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% (54%) {49%} [55%] (54%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (44%) {48%} [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (45%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 55% (57%)
  • Barack Obama 44% (42%)
Among Hispanics
  • Barack Obama 66% (69%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% (28%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 74% (34%)
  • No 26% (66%)
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 55% (61%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (39%)
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 56% (51%)
  • Barack Obama 40% (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% (48%) {50%} [46%] {41%} [38%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (47%) / 47% (49%) {46%} [49%] {53%} [51%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {+2%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% (51%) {46%} [49%] {32%} [36%] (40%) {40%} [48%] (58%) / 43% (43%) {49%} [46%] {54%} [54%] (47%) {43%} [38%] (28%) {+6%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 38% (38%) {40%} [42%] {29%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [44%] (42%) / 55% (59%) {56%} [54%] {64%} [56%] (57%) {50%} [38%] (42%) {-17%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% (48%) {46%} [50%] {41%} [36%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (45%) / 45% (48%) {50%} [44%] {54%} [56%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {+5%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 48% (49%) {54%} [43%] {40%} [40%] (45%) {34%} [44%] (49%) / 49% (49%) {43%} [53%] {52%} [47%] (44%) {42%} [41%] (30%) {-1%}
Already Voted
  • Mitt Romney 47% (40%) / 50% (57%) {-3%}
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 55% (53%) / 38% (44%) {+17%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% (52%) {49%} [48%] {49%} [50%] (44%) {47%} [45%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 48% (46%) {48%} [49%] {47%} [46%] (53%) {50%} [52%] (46%)
Survey of 750 likely Nevada voters was conducted November 3-4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 38% (36%) {35%} [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 20% (23%) {21%} [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (34%) {33%} (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 24% (23%) {24%} (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (14%) {18%} (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (16%) {16%} (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 13% (13%) {9%} (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Race: 71% (66%) White; 14% (19%) Hispanic; 9% (8%) Black; 6% (7%) Other.  Gender: 44% (49%) Male; 56% (51%) Female.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

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