UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% {47%} (49%) [47%] {52%} (45%) [49%] {49%} (51%) [50%] {44%} (42%) [43%] {43%} (41%)
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% {47%} (41%) [41%] {37%} (40%) [46%] {45%} (42%) [40%] {47%} (50%) [47%] {50%} (49%)
Including Leaners
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% {48%} (51%) [50%] {54%}
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [48%} (42%) [44%] {39%}
- Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51%
- Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48%
- Barack Obama 51% (46%) [61%] {63%} (51%)
- Mitt Romney 31% (31%) [25%] {21%} (29%)
Survey
of 789 likely voters was conducted November 1-4, 2012.
The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 6, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-10, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-15, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-20, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 25 - February 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 15-22, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 6, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21 - July 1, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 15- May 2, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011 are in parentheses.
There is a pronounced gender gap -- Obama leads among women by 58% to 40% while Romney leads among men, 53% to 42%. There is also a religious divide -- among regular church goers, Romney holds a 60% to 38% lead while Obama leads by 60% to 35% among people who never attend church services.
Both candidates have secured their bases -- Obama currently has the support of 94% of New Hampshire Democrats, and Romney has the support of 94% of Republicans. Independents are breaking to Romney -- 50% say they will vote for Romney while 36% say they will vote for Obama.
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