Friday, March 29, 2013

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Presidential Poll 

I'm going to read you the names of some candidates who may run for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.

Paul Ryan
  • Favorable 74%
  • Unfavorable 13%
  • Never heard of 7%
  • No opinion 6%
Marco Rubio
  • Favorable 54%
  • Unfavorable 12%
  • Never heard of 26%
  • No opinion 8%
Rand Paul
  • Favorable 53%
  • Unfavorable 19%
  • Never heard of 17%
  • No opinion 11%
Jeb Bush
  • Favorable 56%
  • Unfavorable 28%
  • Never heard of 9%
  • No opinion 7%
Chris Christie
  • Favorable 48%
  • Unfavorable 26%
  • Never heard of 19%
  • No opinion 7%
Bobby Jindal
  • Favorable 32%
  • Unfavorable 11%
  • Never heard of 45%
  • No opinion 12%
Rick Santorum
  • Favorable 47%
  • Unfavorable 27%
  • Never heard of 16%
  • No opinion 10%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 74% / 13% {+61%}
  • Marco Rubio 54% / 12% {+42%}
  • Rand Paul 53% / 19% {+34%}
  • Jeb Bush 56% / 28% {+28%}
  • Chris Christie 48% / 26% {+22%}
  • Bobby Jindal 32% / 11% {+21%}
  • Rick Santorum 47% / 27% {+20%}
    National survey of 262 Republicans and 205 GOP-leaning Independents (a total of 467) was conducted March 15-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

    Thursday, March 28, 2013

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Keystone XL Pipeline

    Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Keystone XL Pipeline 

    Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose building the Keystone XL pipeline?
    • Strongly favor 34%
    • Somewhat favor 24%
    • Somewhat oppose 14%
    • Strongly oppose 12%
    National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted March 26-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Harper Polling (R) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Chris Christie (R) 58%
    • Barbara Buono (D) 28%
    Among Democrats
    • Barbara Buono (D) 42%
    • Chris Christie (R) 37%
    Among Republicans
    • Chris Christie (R) 83%
    • Barbara Buono (D) 9%
    Among Independents
    • Chris Christie (R) 59%
    • Barbara Buono (D) 24%
    Among Moderates 
    • Chris Christie (R) 59%
    • Barbara Buono (D) 27%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 63%
    • Barbara Buono (D) 24%
    Among Women
    • Chris Christie (R) 52%
    • Barbara Buono (D) 31%
    Survey of 760 likely voters was conducted March 24-25, 2013 on behalf of Conservative Intel. The margin of error is +/- 3.55 percentage points.  Party registration: 37% Democrat; 27% Republican; 36% Other. Ideology: 41% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 21% Liberal. Click here to view crosstabs.

    Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

    Harper Polling (R) New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
    • Approve 63%
    • Disapprove 27%
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 46%
    • Disapprove 41%
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 82%
    • Disapprove 10%
    Among Independents
    • Approve 65%
    • Disapprove 24%
    Among Moderates 
    • Approve 70%
    • Disapprove 24%
    Among Men
    • Approve 67%
    • Disapprove 25%
    Among Women
    • Approve 59%
    • Disapprove 30%
    It was recently reported that Governor Christie was not invited to attend the largest annual meeting of conservative Republicans from across the country. Does this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Chris Christie?
    • More likely 49%
    • Less likely 17%
    Among Democrats
    • More likely 46%
    • Less likely 22%
    Among Republicans
    • More likely 54%
    • Less likely 11%
    Among Independents
    • More likely 45%
    • Less likely 16%
    Among Moderates 
    • More likely 58%
    • Less likely 15%
    Among Men
    • More likely 52%
    • Less likely 17%
    Among Women
    • More likely 47%
    • Less likely 17%
    Survey of 760 likely voters was conducted March 24-25, 2013 on behalf of Conservative Intel. The margin of error is +/- 3.55 percentage points.  Party registration: 37% Democrat; 27% Republican; 36% Other. Ideology: 41% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 21% Liberal. Click here to view crosstabs.

    Tuesday, March 26, 2013

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

    Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
    • Approve 70% (74%) {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
    • Disapprove 23% (22%) {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 48% (56%) {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
    • Disapprove 40% (38%) {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 93% (94%) {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
    • Disapprove 6% (5%) {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
    Among Independents
    • Approve 73% (77%) {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
    • Disapprove 21% (19%) {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
    Among Men
    • Approve 75% (82%) {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
    • Disapprove 19% (15%) {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
    Among Women
    • Approve 65% (67%) {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
    • Disapprove 26% (28%) {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
    Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
    • Yes 41%
    • No 44%
    Among Democrats
    • Yes 20%
    • No 67%
    Among Republicans
    • Yes 67%
    • No 22%
    Among Independents
    • Yes 42%
    • No 39%
    Among Men
    • Yes 46%
    • No 39%
    Among Women
    • Yes 36%
    • No 49%
    Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President in 2016 or not?  
    • Yes 46%
    • No 47%
    Among Democrats
    • Yes 24%
    • No 68%
    Among Republicans
    • Yes 69%
    • No 24%
    Among Independents
    • Yes 50%
    • No 44%
    Among Men
    • Yes 49%
    • No 43%
    Among Women
    • Yes 43%
    • No 50%
    Survey of 1,149 registered voters was conducted March, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 24% (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 37% (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Chris Christie (R) 60% (62%) {63%} [61%] (49%)
    • Barbara Buono (D) 25% (25%) {22%} [23%] (33%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Chris Christie 69% (69%) {69%} [67%] {52%} / 22% (22%) {21%} [22%] {42%} {+47%}
    • Barbara Buono 10% (8%) {8%} [8%] / 10% (8%) {9%} [7%] {0%}
    Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
    • Yes/Deserves 66% (71%) {68%} [67%] (52%)
    • No/Does not 25% (23%) {24%} [25%] (40%)
    Governor Christie thinks New Jersey voters should decide the issue of same-sex marriage in a referendum in November. Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
    • Good idea 72%
    • Bad idea 22% 
    Survey of 1,129 registered voters was conducted March 19-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 24% (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 37% (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

    Saturday, March 23, 2013

    PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

    PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll
    • Mike Rounds (R) 49%
    • Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 44%
    • Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 48%
    • Kristi Noem (R) 47%
    • Mike Rounds (R) 53%
    • Brendan Johnson (D) 32%
    • Kristi Noem (R) 49%
    • Brendan Johnson (D) 37%
    Republican Primary
    • Mike Rounds 43%
    • Kristi Noem 39%
    Democratic Primary
    • Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin 68%
    • Brendan Johnson 16%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Mike Rounds 51% / 34% {+17%}
    • Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin 52% / 37% {+15%
    • Brendan Johnson 25% / 17% {+8%}
    • Kristi Noem 49% / 42% {+7%}
    Survey of 1,069 South Dakota voters, including subsamples of 501 GOP primary voters and 390 Democratic primary voters, was conducted March 18-19, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.4 percentage points among GOP primary voters; +/- 5.0 percentage points among Democratic primary voters. Party ID: 49% Republican; 37% Democrat; 15% Independent. 

    Thursday, March 21, 2013

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

    PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
    • Hillary Clinton 62% {65%} [61%] (67%)
    • Joe Biden 12% {15%} [14%] (11%)
    • Andrew Cuomo 5% {4%} [8%] (8%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 3% {4%} [1%] (2%) 
    • Mark Warner 1% {1%} [2%] (0%)
    • Martin O'Malley 1% {0%} [3%] (0%)
    • Brian Schweitzer 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) 
    • Deval Patrick 0% {1%} [1%] (0%)
    • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {0%}
    • Someone else/Undecided 14% {11%} [9%] (11%)
    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton? 
    • Favorable 82% 
    • Unfavorable 14%  
    Survey of 300 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted March 15-18, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% {39%} [33%] (41%) Moderate; 28% {28%} [30%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 18% {18%} [22%] (16%) Very liberal; 9% {11%} [10%] (12%) Somewhat conservative; 3% {3%} [5%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

    PPP (D) Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

    Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
    • Jeb Bush 30% {26%} [28%] (22%) 
    • Marco Rubio 29% {31%} [22%] (24%
    • Rand Paul 11% {5%} [3%] (4%)
    • Mike Huckabee 9% {11%} [11%] (10%) 
    • Chris Christie 8% {7%} [9%] (10%)
    • Paul Ryan 4% {5%} [8%] (10%)
    • Bobby Jindal 2% {5%}
    • Rick Perry 1% {2%}
    • Susana Martinez 0% {2%}
    • Someone else/Undecided 6% {5%} [5%] (4%)
    Among Men
    • Jeb Bush 33% {22%} [33%] (23%)
    • Marco Rubio 27% {34%} [20%] (28%)
    • Rand Paul 13% {4%} [3%] (4%)
    • Mike Huckabee 8% {11%} [8%] (9%)
    • Chris Christie 7% {7%} [8%] (11%)
    • Paul Ryan 4% {7%} [8%] (11%)
    • Bobby Jindal 3% {4%}
    • Rick Perry 1% {3%}
    • Susana Martinez 0% {4%}
    • Someone else/Undecided 5% {4%} [3%] (3%)
    Among Women
    • Marco Rubio 31% {27%} [23%] (20%)
    • Jeb Bush 25% {31%} [23%] (21%)
    • Mike Huckabee 10% {12%} [13%] (11%)
    • Rand Paul 10% {6%} [3%] (5%)
    • Chris Christie 9% {7%} [9%] (9%)
    • Paul Ryan 5% {3%} [8%] (9%) 
    • Rick Perry 2% {0%}
    • Bobby Jindal 1% {6%}
    • Susana Martinez 0% {1%}
    • Someone else/Undecided 7% {6%} [6%] (5%)
    If you had to choose between just Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio as the Republican candidate for President in 2016, who would you pick? 
    • Marco Rubio 49%  
    • Jeb Bush 36%
    • Not sure 15%
    Survey of 326 Republican primary voters was conducted March 15-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% {36%} [42%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 27% {35%} [34%] (33%) Very conservative; 24% {19%} [19%] (20%) Moderate; 6% {9%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [2%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
    • Paul Ryan (R) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (49%)
    • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (44%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (50%)
    • Marco Rubio (R) 40% (46%)
      Among Independents
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
      • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (44%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 31% (42%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (43%)
      • Marco Rubio (R) 38% (51%)  
        Among Moderates
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 69%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 22%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% (63%)
        • Jeb Bush (R) 31% (29%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 71% (63%)
        • Marco Rubio (R) 23% (32%) 
          Among Men
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
          • Paul Ryan (R) 48%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43%)
          • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (52%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (43%)
          • Marco Rubio (R) 46% (53%)  
            Among Women
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
            • Paul Ryan (R) 34%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (54%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 35% (36%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% (56%)
            • Marco Rubio (R) 35% (39%)
              Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?
              • Approve 44% (49%)
              • Disapprove 43% (36%)
              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
              • Favorable 50% (51%)
              • Unfavorable 37% (35%)
              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
              • Favorable 56% (52%)
              • Unfavorable 37% (41%)
              Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?
              • He should 33% (32%)
              • He should not 51% (53%)
              Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?
              • He should 37% (38%)
              • He should not 53% (49%)
              Survey of 500 Florida voters was conducted March 15-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% (44%) Democrat; 37% (38%) Republican; 22% (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% (33%) Moderate; 21% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) Very conservative; 17% (17%) Somewhat liberal; 13% (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

              Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
              • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
                Among Independents
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 41%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                • Marco Rubio (R) 38%
                  Among Men
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                  • Marco Rubio (R) 44%
                    Among Women
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
                    • Marco Rubio (R) 37% 
                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                      • Hillary Clinton 62% / 33% {+29%}
                      • Jeb Bush 50% / 35% {+15%}
                      • Marco Rubio 41% / 34% {+7%}
                      Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted March 13-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 27% Republican; 31% Independent; 7% Other.

                      Wednesday, March 20, 2013

                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Senator Marco Rubio

                      PPP (D) Florida Poll on Sen. Marco Rubio

                      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?
                      • Approve 44% {49%} [48%] (52%) {51%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [43%]
                      • Disapprove 43% {36%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {35%} [31%]
                      Among Democrats
                      • Approve 22% {24%} [16%] (26%) {26%} [19%] (20%) {15%} [19%] (16%) {17%} [17%]
                      • Disapprove 61% {55%} [60%] (51%) {51%} [65%] (64%) {68%} [59%] (68%) {55%} [51%]
                      Among Republicans
                      • Approve 69% {75%} [79%] (85%) {85%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [65%] (82%) {75%} [70%]
                      • Disapprove 21% {16%} [9%] (9%) {11%} [17%] (17%) {10%} [17%] (6%) {13%} [10%]
                      Among Independents
                      • Approve 45% {53%} [55%] (50%) {42%} [44%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {36%} [44%]
                      • Disapprove 44% {28%} [36%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (39%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {30%} [31%]
                      Among Moderates
                      • Approve 29% {38%} [38%] (42%) {42%} [34%] (25%) {32%} [29%] (31%) {27%} [21%]
                      • Disapprove 55% {43%} [48%] (38%) {39%} [53%] (53%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {45%} [47%]
                      Among Men
                      • Approve 49% {57%} [54%] (56%) {51%} [47%] (50%) {50%} [42%] (45%) {47%} [50%]
                      • Disapprove 42% {35%} [34%] (34%) {38%} [45%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (41%) {32%} [30%]
                      Among Women
                      • Approve 39% {41%} [44%] (48%) {52%} [44%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (44%) {37%} [35%]
                      • Disapprove 44% {37%} [37%] (30%) {29%} [40%] (47%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [31%]
                      Survey of 500 voters was conducted March 15-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {44%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] Democrat; 37% {38%} [37%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] Republican; 22% {18%} [22%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {33%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 21% {21%} [24%] (25%) {25%} [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 17% {18%} [17%] (16%) {13%} [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% {17%} [16%] (13%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {12%} [8%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Race: 69% {68%} [66%] (69%) {70%} [69%] (70%) White: 12% {11%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (12%) Hispanic; 11% {15%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (12%) Black; 8% {6%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                      Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 50%
                      • Rick Scott (R) 34%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 81%
                      • Rick Scott (R) 7%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Rick Scott (R) 76%
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 16%
                      Among Independents
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 49%
                      • Rick Scott (R) 29%
                      Among Men
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 49%
                      • Rick Scott (R) 39%
                      Among Women
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 51%
                      • Rick Scott (R) 29%
                      If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you vote for?
                      • Alex Sink 45%
                      • Rick Scott 34%
                      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
                      • Approve 36%
                      • Disapprove 49%
                      Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?  
                      • Yes/Deserves 32%
                      • No/Does not 55%
                      In the last three years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist?
                      • Positive thing 50%
                      • Negative thing 40%
                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                      • Charlie Crist 49% / 30% {+19%]
                      • Alex Sink 29% / 12% {+17%}
                      • Rick Scott 33% / 46% {-13%}
                      Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted March 13-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 27% Republican; 31% Independent; 7% Other.

                      Tuesday, March 19, 2013

                      Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Iran's Nuclear Weapons Program

                      Pew Research Survey on Iran's Nuclear Weapons Program

                      In your opinion, which is more important: to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action; or to avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons?
                      • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 64% (58%)
                      • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 25% (30%)
                      Among Democrats
                      • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 62% (50%)
                      • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 25% (38%)
                      Among Republicans
                      • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 80% (74%)
                      • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 14% (16%)
                      Among Independents
                      • Prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, even if it means taking military action 59% (55%)
                      • Avoid a military conflict with Iran, even if it means they may develop nuclear weapons 32% (34%)
                      Survey of 1,501 adults was conducted March 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

                      Pew Research Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

                      In the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians, which side do you sympathize with more, Israel or the Palestinians?
                      • Israel 49%
                      • Palestinians 12%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Israel 39%
                      • Palestinians 17%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Israel 66%
                      • Palestinians 5%
                      Among Independents
                      • Israel 49%
                      • Palestinians 14%
                      Thinking about the situation in the Middle East these days, do you think Barack Obama is favoring Israel too much; favoring the Palestinians too much; or striking about the right balance?
                      • Favoring Israel too much 9%
                      • Favoring the Palestinians too much 21%
                      • Striking about the right balance 41%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Favoring Israel too much 9%
                      • Favoring the Palestinians too much 7%
                      • Striking about the right balance 59%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Favoring Israel too much 6%
                      • Favoring the Palestinians too much 39%
                      • Striking about the right balance 24%
                      Among Independents
                      • Favoring Israel too much 10%
                      • Favoring the Palestinians too much 22%
                      • Striking about the right balance 40%
                      Survey of 1,501 adults was conducted March 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                      PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 52% {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
                      • Rick Scott (R) 40% {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}
                      Among Democrats
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 74% {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
                      • Rick Scott (R) 19% {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}
                      Among Republicans
                      • Rick Scott (R) 65% {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 29% {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}
                      Among Independents
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 47% {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
                      • Rick Scott (R) 41% {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
                      Among Moderates
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 71% {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
                      • Rick Scott (R) 23% {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}
                      Among Men
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 50% {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
                      • Rick Scott (R) 44% {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}
                      Among Women
                      • Charlie Crist (D) 53% {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
                      • Rick Scott (R) 37% {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
                      If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you vote for?
                      • Alex Sink 45% {47%}
                      • Rick Scott 40% {40%}
                      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?
                      • Approve 33% {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
                      • Disapprove 57% {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]
                      Among Democrats
                      • Approve 23% {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
                      • Disapprove 69% {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]
                      Among Republicans
                      • Approve 46% {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
                      • Disapprove 42% {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]
                      Among Independents
                      • Approve 30% {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
                      • Disapprove 59% {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]
                      Among Moderates
                      • Approve 21% {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
                      • Disapprove 68% {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]
                      Among Men
                      • Approve 34% {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
                      • Disapprove 57% {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]
                      Among Women
                      • Approve 32% {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
                      • Disapprove 57% {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]
                      Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?
                      • Favorable 46% {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
                      • Unfavorable 43% {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]
                      Among Democrats
                      • Favorable 60% {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
                      • Unfavorable 28% {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]
                      Among Republicans
                      • Favorable 28% {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
                      • Unfavorable 62% {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]
                      Among Independents
                      • Favorable 49% {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
                      • Unfavorable 40% {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]
                      Among Moderates
                      • Favorable 61% {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
                      • Unfavorable 25% {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]
                      Among Men
                      • Favorable 48% {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
                      • Unfavorable 44% {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]
                      Among Women
                      • Favorable 44% {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
                      • Unfavorable 42% {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]
                      Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Alex Sink?
                      • Favorable 31% {37%}
                      • Unfavorable 30% {22%}
                      Survey of 500 Florida voters was conducted March 15-18, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 22% {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 21% {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 17% {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Survey

                      Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Poll
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 46%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 38%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 32% 
                      Among Independents
                      • Chris Christie (R) 48% 
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 29%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 35% 
                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                      • Hillary Clinton 71% / 24% {+47%}
                      • Chris Christie 55% / 17% {+38%}
                      • Andrew Cuomo 52% / 27% {+25%}
                      Survey of 1,165 New York State voters was conducted March 11-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 19% Republican; 32% Independent. 

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Governor Andrew Cuomo

                      Quinnipiac New York Poll on Gov. Andrew Cuomo

                      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
                      • Approve 55% {59%} [74%] (70%) {73%} [71%] (68%) {69%} [68%] (65%) {66%} [62%] (64%) {61%} [64%] (56%)
                      • Disapprove 27% {28%} [13%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (19%) {19%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%)
                      Among Democrats
                      • Approve 69% {74%} [82%] (73%) {80%} [76%] (67%) {75%} [71%] (70%) {72%} [69%] (75%) {66%} [66%] (56%)
                      • Disapprove 12% {14%} [9%] (12%) {10%} [11%] (20%) {16%} [12%] (17%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {18%} [15%] (14%)
                      Among Republicans
                      • Approve 38% {44%} [68%] (66%) {69%} [68%] (67%) {64%} [63%] (66%) {61%} [53%] (53%) {59%} [58%] (57%)
                      • Disapprove 49% {43%} [18%] (21%) {19%} [20%] (24%) {21%} [25%] (19%) {20%} [33%] (26%) {22%} [18%] (14%)
                      Among Independents
                      • Approve 49% {54%} [70%] (71%) {72%} [69%] (73%) {71%} [69%] (64%) {61%} [63%] (61%) {57%} [66%] (59%)
                      • Disapprove 34% {32%} [12%] (15%) {17%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [17%] (18%) {21%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
                      Survey of 1,165 New York State voters was conducted March 11-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 44% {41%} [46%] (44%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (39%) {41%} [40%] Democrat; 19% {21%} [21%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (20%) {25%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [22%] Republican; 32% {29%} [25%] (28%) {30%} [29%] (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [31%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 24-30, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5-11, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-21, 2011 are in parentheses.

                      Monday, March 18, 2013

                      Poll Watch: Gallup Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

                      Gallup Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

                      In the Middle East situation, are your sympathies more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians?
                      • Israelis 64%
                      • Palestinians 12%
                      • Both (vol.) 5%
                      • Neither (vol.) 11%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Israelis 55%
                      • Palestinians 19%
                      • Both (vol.) 7%
                      • Neither (vol.) 10%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Israelis 78%
                      • Palestinians 5%
                      • Both (vol.) 3%
                      • Neither (vol.) 6%
                      Among Independents
                      • Israelis 63%
                      • Palestinians 11%
                      • Both (vol.) 5%
                      • Neither (vol.) 15%
                      Among Moderates
                      • Israelis 58%
                      • Palestinians 12%
                      • Both (vol.) 7%
                      • Neither (vol.) 15%
                      Among Men
                      • Israelis 69%
                      • Palestinians 11%
                      • Both (vol.) 4%
                      • Neither (vol.) 12%
                      Among Women
                      • Israelis 60%
                      • Palestinians 12%
                      • Both (vol.) 7%
                      • Neither (vol.) 11%


                      Survey of 1,015 adults was conducted February 7-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                      Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

                      ABC News/Washington Post Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

                      In the Middle East, are your sympathies more with Israel, or more with the Palestinian Authority?
                      Among Registered Voters
                      • Israel 58%
                      • Palestinian Authority 9%
                      • Both (vol.) 3%
                      • Neither (vol.) 14%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Israel 49%
                      • Palestinian Authority 11%
                      • Both (vol.) 3%
                      • Neither (vol.) 16%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Israel 73%
                      • Palestinian Authority 4%
                      • Both (vol.) 1%
                      • Neither (vol.) 9%
                      Among Independents
                      • Israel 51%
                      • Palestinian Authority 10%
                      • Both (vol.) 4%
                      • Neither (vol.) 16%
                      Among Moderates
                      • Israel 55%
                      • Palestinian Authority 10%
                      • Both (vol.) 3%
                      • Neither (vol.) 16%
                      Survey of 1,001 adults, including a subsample of registered voters, was conducted March 7-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 25% Republican; 35% Independent.

                      Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

                      ABC News/Washington Post Poll on Gay Marriage

                      Do you think it should be legal or illegal for gay and lesbian couples to get married? 
                      • Legal 58%
                      • Illegal 36%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Legal 72%
                      • Illegal 23%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Legal 34%
                      • Illegal 59%
                      Among Independents 
                      • Legal 62%
                      • Illegal 33%
                      Among Moderates
                      • Legal 71%
                      • Illegal 24%
                      Among Men
                      • Legal 54%
                      • Illegal 39%
                      Among Women
                      • Legal 61%
                      • Illegal 34%

                      Do you think each state should make its own law on whether same-sex marriage is legal or illegal there, or do you think this should be decided for all states on the basis of the U.S. Constitution?
                      • Each state should make its own law 33%
                      • Should be decided for all states on basis of Constitution 64%
                      Do you think being homosexual is something that people choose to be, or do you think it's just the way they are?   
                      • Something that people choose 24%
                      • Just the way they are 62%
                      Survey of 1,001 adults was conducted March 7-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 25% Republican; 35% Independent.

                      Inside the numbers
                      Among young adults age 18 to 29, support for gay marriage is overwhelming, hitting a record high of 81 percent in the new poll. Support has also been increasing among older adults, but those aged 65 years old and up remain opposed, on balance: 44 percent say same-sex marriage should be legal; 50 percent say illegal.
                      A slim majority of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents under 50 years old now support gay marriage. Nearly seven in 10 of those aged 65 and up oppose it, although that is down from more than eight in 10 just four years ago.

                      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Paul Ryan

                      Rasmussen (R) Poll on Paul Ryan

                      Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Paul Ryan?
                      • Very favorable 17% (21%) {29%} [21%] (22%)
                      • Somewhat favorable 18% (22%) {21%} [18%] (14%)
                      • Somewhat unfavorable 31% (16%) {19%} [10%] (13%)
                      • Very unfavorable 23% (30%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                      • Paul Ryan 35% (43%) {50%} [39%] (36%) / 54% (46%) {32%} [25%] (30%) {-19%}
                      National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted March 14-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Gallup Survey on the Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq

                      Gallup Poll on the Wars in Afghanistan & Iraq

                      Looking back, do you think the United States made a mistake sending troops to fight in Afghanistan in 2001?
                      • Yes, a mistake 44%
                      • No, not a mistake 51%
                      Among Democrats/Lean Democratic
                      • Yes, a mistake 56%
                      • No, not a mistake 40%
                      Among Republicans/Lean Republican
                      • Yes, a mistake 31%
                      • No, not a mistake 66%
                      Looking back, do you think the United States made a mistake sending troops to fight in Iraq in 2003?
                      • Yes, a mistake 53%
                      • No, not a mistake 42%
                      Among Democrats/Lean Democratic
                      • Yes, a mistake 73%
                      • No, not a mistake 22%
                      Among Republicans/Lean Republican
                      • Yes, a mistake 30%
                      • No, not a mistake 66%
                      Survey of 1,022 adults was conducted March 7-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                      Sunday, March 17, 2013

                      Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post Survey on the Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq

                      ABC News/Washington Post Poll on Wars in Afghanistan & Iraq

                      All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Afghanistan has been worth fighting, or not?
                      • Worth fighting 39%
                      • Not worth fighting 56%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Worth fighting 34%
                      • Not worth fighting 61%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Worth fighting 55%
                      • Not worth fighting 39%
                      Among Independents
                      • Worth fighting 38%
                      • Not worth fighting 58%
                      All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Iraq was worth fighting, or not? 
                      • Worth fighting 38%
                      • Not worth fighting 58%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Worth fighting 27%
                      • Not worth fighting 68%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Worth fighting 57%
                      • Not worth fighting 38%
                      Among Independents
                      • Worth fighting 35%
                      • Not worth fighting 61%
                      Do you think the war in Afghanistan has or has not contributed to the long-term security of the United States?
                      • Contributed 51%
                      • Has not contributed 42%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Contributed 51%
                      • Has not contributed 42%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Contributed 63%
                      • Has not contributed 31%
                      Among Independents
                      • Contributed 47%
                      • Has not contributed 48%
                      Do you think the war in Iraq has or has not contributed to the long-term security of the United States?
                      • Contributed 46%
                      • Has not contributed 48%
                      Among Democrats
                      • Contributed 41%
                      • Has not contributed 54%
                      Among Republicans
                      • Contributed 61%
                      • Has not contributed 32%
                      Among Independents
                      • Contributed 42%
                      • Has not contributed 52%
                      Survey of 1,001 adults was conducted March 7-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 25% Republican; 35% Independent.

                      Inside the numbers
                      Just 21 percent say the war in Iraq contributed a great deal to long-term U.S. security; among them, 70 percent say the war was worth fighting. Among those say the war contributed “somewhat” to security, 59 percent say it was worth it. But among those who say it didn’t enhance U.S. security at all, a vast 83 percent say the Iraq war was not worth fighting. The breakdowns on Afghanistan are almost identical.

                      Thursday, March 14, 2013

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

                      Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 42%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 36%

                      • Chris Christie (R) 51%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 38%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 47%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 44%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 45%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 41%

                      • Chris Christie (R) 53%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 32%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 44%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 41%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 42%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 38%
                      Among Independents
                      • Chris Christie (R) 45%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 37%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 36%

                      • Chris Christie (R) 55%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 22%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 48%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 38%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 39%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 35%

                      • Chris Christie (R) 60%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 20%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 41%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 40%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 42%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 26%
                      Among Men
                      • Chris Christie (R) 48%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 47%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 45%

                      • Chris Christie (R) 56%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 33%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 55%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 38%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 48%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 41%
                       
                      • Chris Christie (R) 57%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 27%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 51%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 39%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 49%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 35%
                      Among Women
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 37%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 30%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 28%

                      • Chris Christie (R) 45%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 42%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 51%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 39%
                      • Joe Biden (D) 49%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 35%

                      • Chris Christie (R) 49%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 36%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 48%
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 34%
                      • Andrew Cuomo (D) 48%
                      • Marco Rubio (R) 29%
                      Survey of 1,116 registered voters was conducted March 6-11, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% Democrat; 34% Republican; 24% Independent; 5% Other/Don't know.