Friday, January 31, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {47%} [50%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% {45%} [43%] (40%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%} [53%] (52%)
    • Marco Rubio (R) 41% {43%} [41%] (41%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {50%}
    • Paul Ryan (R) 39% {42%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {51%}
    • Rand Paul (R) 38% {41%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {45%}
    • Chris Christie (R) 35% {41%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {52%}
    • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {36%}
    Among Independents
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [48%] (42%)
    • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {46%} [42%] (41%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {48%} [55%] (47%)
      • Marco Rubio (R) 38% {42%} [36%] (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {49%}
      • Paul Ryan (R) 37% {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {48%}
      • Rand Paul (R) 34% {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {41%}
      • Chris Christie (R) 33% {42%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {51%}
      • Ted Cruz (R) 29% {34%}
      Among Men
      • Jeb Bush (R) 48% {51%} [45%] (45%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {41%} [45%] (45%)
        • Marco Rubio (R) 47% {49%} [44%] (44%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [49%] (48%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%}
        • Paul Ryan (R) 44% {48%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {43%}
        • Rand Paul (R) 44% {49%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {38%}
        • Chris Christie (R) 39% {45%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%}
        • Ted Cruz (R) 40% {42%}
        Among Women
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {53%} [53%] (56%)
        • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {39%} [41%] (36%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% {56%} [56%] (55%)
          • Marco Rubio (R) 36% {37%} [38%] (37%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {57%}
          • Paul Ryan (R) 35% {36%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {58%}
          • Rand Paul (R) 33% {33%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% {52%}
          • Chris Christie (R) 31% {37%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {58%}
          • Ted Cruz (R) 28% {30%}
          Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 58% {56%}
          • No  38% {39%}
          Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 50% {46%}
          • No  40% {44%}
          Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 39% {39%}
          • No 46% {47%} 
          Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 36% {36%}
          • No 45% {45%}
          Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 35% {45%}
          • No 45% {35%}
          Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 31% {32%}
          • No 44% {45%}
          Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 23% {22%}
          • No 44% {45%}
          Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
          • Yes 29% {29%}
          • No 62% {63%} 
          Would you say that Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not?
          • Yes 54%
          • No 41%
          Would you say that Chris Christie is honest and trustworthy or not?
          • Yes 44%
          • No 39% 
          Would you say that Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not?
          • Yes 68%
          • No 30%
          Would you say that Chris Christie has strong leadership qualities or not?
          • Yes 64%
          • No 25% 
          Would you say that Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
          • Yes 56%
          • No 40%
          Would you say that Chris Christie cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
          • Yes 53%
          • No 34%
          Have you heard or read anything about the controversy in New Jersey surrounding the September traffic jam on the George Washington Bridge?
          • Yes 78%
          • No 21%
          Does this controversy make you more likely to vote for Chris Christie for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference?
          • More likely 4%
          • Less likely 35%
          • No difference 56%
          Do you think the George Washington Bridge scandal ends Christie's chances as a 2016 presidential contender, damages his chances, helps his chances or has no impact?
          • Ends chances 4%
          • Damages chances 52%
          • Helps chances 2%
          • No impact 37%
          Do you believe Democratic state legislators in New Jersey are conducting a legitimate investigation or do you believe they are conducting a political witch hunt?
          • Legitimate investigation 34%
          • Political witch hunt 48%   
          Survey of 1,565 registered voters was conducted January 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID: 30% {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 35% {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {7%} [8%] (7%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

          Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 64% (70%)
          • Joe Biden 9% (9%)
          • Elizabeth Warren 5% (4%)
          • Andrew Cuomo 1% (2%)
          • Mark Warner 1% (1%)
          • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%)
          Survey of 529 Democratic voters was conducted January 22-27, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

          Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
          • Jeb Bush 25% (22%)
          • Marco Rubio 16% (18%)
          • Rand Paul 11% (9%)
          • Chris Christie 9% (14%)
          • Ted Cruz 9% (12%)
          • Paul Ryan 5% (6%)
          • Scott Walker 5% (2%)
          • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%)
          Among Men
          • Jeb Bush 23% (21%)
          • Marco Rubio 16% (17%)
          • Rand Paul 14% (13%)
          • Ted Cruz 10% (14%)
          • Chris Christie 9% (11%) 
          • Scott Walker 8% (4%)
          • Paul Ryan 5% (6%)
          • Bobby Jindal 3% (4%)
          Among Women
          • Jeb Bush 26% (23%)
          • Marco Rubio 16% (20%)
          • Chris Christie 9% (17%)
          • Rand Paul 8% (5%)
          • Ted Cruz 7% (9%)
          • Paul Ryan 6% (6%)
          • Bobby Jindal 3% (2%)
          • Scott Walker 3% (1%)
          Survey of 586 Republican voters was conducted January 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Thursday, January 30, 2014

          Poll Watch: Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

          Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

          This is not an "Onion" story.
          • Mitt Romney 25%
          • Rand Paul 18%
          • Chris Christie 17% 
          • Jeb Bush 13%
          • Ted Cruz 7%
          • Bobby Jindal 5%
          • Someone else 4%
          • None of the above 2%
          • Not sure 9%
          Survey of 535 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

          Poll Watch: Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

          Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 68%
          • Elizabeth Warren 13%
          • Joe Biden 6%
          • Deval Patrick 2%
          • Martin O'Malley 1%
          • Someone else 2%
          • None of the above 1%
          • Not sure 5%
          Survey of 334 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.

          Poll Watch: Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

          Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
          • Chris Christie (R) 42%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
          • Chris Christie (R) 45%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 33%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 46%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 35%
          Among Independents
          • Chris Christie (R) 41%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
          • Chris Christie (R) 46%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 25%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 46%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 28%
          Among Men
          • Chris Christie (R) 50%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
          • Chris Christie (R) 52%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 29%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 55%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 30%
          Among Women
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
          • Chris Christie (R) 35%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
          • Chris Christie (R) 39%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 36%
          • Elizabeth Warren (D) 39%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
          Survey of 1,052 likely voters was conducted January 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 27% Democrat; 27% Republican; 43% Independent. Ideology: 43% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

          Poll Watch: Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

          Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
          • Scott Brown (R) 44%
          • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44%
          Among Independents
          • Scott Brown (R) 48%
          • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 39%
          Among Men
          • Scott Brown (R) 51%
          • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 40%
          Among Women
          • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46% 
          • Scott Brown (R) 38%
          Survey of 1,052 likely voters was conducted January 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 27% Democrat; 27% Republican; 43% Independent. Ideology: 43% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

          Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
          • Charlie Crist (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (50%)
          • Rick Scott (R) 38% {40%} [37%] (34%)
          Among Democrats
          • Charlie Crist (D) 81% {86%} [83%] (81%)
          • Rick Scott (R) 6% {4%} [8%] (7%)
          Among Republicans
          • Rick Scott (R) 79% {80%} [75%] (76%)
          • Charlie Crist (D) 12% {11%} [13%] (16%)
          Among Independents
          • Charlie Crist (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (49%)
          • Rick Scott (R) 32% {41%} [33%] (29%)
          Among Men
          • Charlie Crist (D) 43% {43%} [43%] (49%
          • Rick Scott (R) 42% {46%} [43%] (39%)
          Among Women
          • Charlie Crist (D) 50% {50%} [51%] (51%)
          • Rick Scott (R) 34% {34%} [32%] (29%)
          Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
          • Approve 41% {42%} [43%] (36%)
          • Disapprove 49% {47%} [44%] (49%)
          Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?  
          • Yes/Deserves 38% {37%} [35%] (32%)
          • No/Does not 54% {53%} [50%] (55%)
          Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charlie Crist handled his job as Governor?
          • Approve 53% {53%}
          • Disapprove 36% {36%}
          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
          • Charlie Crist 44% {41%} [48%] (49%) / 35% {39%} [31%] (30%) {+9%}
          • Rick Scott 38% {39%} [40%] (33%) / 45% {42%} [42%] (46%) {-7%}
          Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job:

          Handling the economy and jobs
          • Charlie Crist 47%
          • Rick Scott 42%
          Protecting the middle class
          • Charlie Crist 49%
          • Rick Scott 36%
          Handling health care
          • Charlie Crist 48%
          • Rick Scott 36%
          Handling education
          • Charlie Crist 49%
          • Rick Scott 35%
          Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is more honest and trustworthy?
          • Charlie Crist 44%
          • Rick Scott 36%
          Regardless of who you may support, who do you think has stronger leadership qualities?
          • Charlie Crist 43%
          • Rick Scott 43%
          Survey of 1,565 registered voters was conducted January 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID: 30% {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 35% {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

          Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll
          • Bill Cassidy (R) 44%
          • Mary Landrieu (D) 40%
          • Some other candidate 5% 
          • Undecided 11%
          Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted January 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

          Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

          ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 73%
          • Joe Biden 11%
          • Elizabeth Warren 9%
          • None of these (vol.) 3% 
          • No opinion 4%
          Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted January 20-23, 2014.

          Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

          ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
          • Jeb Bush 18%
          • Paul Ryan 18%
          • Chris Christie 14%
          • Ted Cruz 12%
          • Rand Paul 11%
          • Marco Rubio 10%
          • Other (vol.) 2%
          • None of these (vol.) 4%
          • Would not vote (vol.) 1% 
          • No opinion 9%
          Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted January 20-23, 2014.

          Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 National Presidential Survey

          ABC News/Washington Post 2016 National Presidential Poll
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
          • Chris Christie (R) 41%
          National survey of 873 registered voters was conducted January 20-23, 2014. Party ID: 32% Democrat; 25% Republican; 37% Independent.

          Wednesday, January 29, 2014

          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

          PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
          • Michelle Nunn (D) 42% (41%)
          • Paul Broun (R) 41% (36%)
            • Michelle Nunn (D) 44% (40%)
            • Jack Kingston (R) 42% (38%)
            • Michelle Nunn (D) 44% (40%)
            • Karen Handel (R) 40% (38%)
              • Michelle Nunn (D) 45% (41%)
              • Phil Gingrey (R) 41% (41%)
              Survey of 640 Georgia voters was conducted January 24-26, 2014 on behalf of Americans United for Change.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (39%) Republican; 38% (38%) Democrat; 24% (23%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

              PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
              • Mitch McConnell (R) 45% [43%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
              • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 44% [42%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (41%)
                Among Men
                • Mitch McConnell (R) 49% [47%] (49%) [49%] (49%)
                • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41% [42%] (39%) [44%] (38%)
                  Among Women
                  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 46% [41%] (51%) [46%] (44%)
                  • Mitch McConnell (R) 41% [40%] (38%) [41%] (41%)
                    Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mitch McConnell’s job performance?
                    • Approve 37% [31%] {40%} [44%] (36%)
                    • Disapprove 51% [61%] {51%} [47%] (54%)
                    Survey of 882 Kentucky voters was conducted January 24-26, 2014 on behalf of Americans United for Change.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 52% [52%] (53%) [50%] (51%) Democrat; 36% [39%] (37%) [35%] (39%) Republican; 12% [9%] (11%) [15%] (10%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                    UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton 74% (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
                    • Joe Biden 10% (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)  
                    • Andrew Cuomo 2% (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
                    • Mark Warner 1% (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%) 
                    • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] (1%)
                    • Martin O'Malley (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
                    • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (0%) {0%}
                    • Someone else 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
                    • Don't know yet 10% (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                    • Hillary Clinton 88% (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 8% (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+80%}
                    • Joe Biden 53% (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 27% (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+26%}
                    • Andrew Cuomo 38% (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 24% (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+14%}
                    • Kirsten Gillibrand 15% (12%) {19%} / 10% (5%) {7%} {+5%}  
                    • Martin O'Malley 9% (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 8% (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+1%}
                    • Mark Warner 16% (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 16% (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {0%}
                    • Brian Schweitzer 3% [5%] (12%) / 11% [12%] (6%) {-8%}
                    Survey of 205 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 21-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                    UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                    • Rand Paul 16% (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
                    • Kelly Ayotte 13% [5%] (10%)
                    • Scott Brown 11% (7%)
                    • Chris Christie 9% (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
                    • Paul Ryan 6% (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%) 
                    • Marco Rubio 6% (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
                    • Donald Trump 4%
                    • Jeb Bush 3% (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
                    • Ted Cruz 3% (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
                    • Scott Walker 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
                    • Rick Perry 2% (1%) {4%}
                    • Peter King 0% (0%)
                    • Rob Portman 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
                    • Someone else 6% (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
                    • Don't know yet 18% (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                    • Rand Paul 49% (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 14% (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%}
                    • Marco Rubio 42% (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 11% (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+31%}
                    • Paul Ryan 48% (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 20% (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+28%}
                    • Kelly Ayotte 48% [71%] (68%) / 27% [14%] (24%) {+21%}
                    • Jeb Bush 46% (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 25% (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+21%}
                    • Scott Walker 30% (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 9% (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+21%}
                    • Ted Cruz 37% (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+19%}
                    • Scott Brown 45% (59%) / 28% (19%) {+17%}
                    • Chris Christie 43% (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 33% (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+10%}   
                    • Rob Portman 15% (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 8% (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {+7%}
                    • Rick Perry 32% (36%) {39%} / 27% (30%) {37%} {+5%}
                    • Peter King 14% (15%) / 20% (18%) {-6%
                    • Donald Trump 29% / 59% {-30%}
                    Survey of 246 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 21-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

                    PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [42%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
                    • Chris Christie (R) 43% [45%] (39%) {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} (50%) {50%} [53%]
                    • Paul Ryan (R) 44% {44%} (43%) {44%} [39%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [48%] (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [43%] (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (49%)
                    • Rand Paul (R) 43% [43%] (37%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%]
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [49%] (50%)
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [41%] (33%)

                    • Chris Christie (R) 46% [49%] (45%) {45%} [49%] (49%) {44%}
                    • Joe Biden (D) 35% [35%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {44%}
                    • Chris Christie (R) 43% [49%]
                    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 34% [33%]
                    Among Independents
                    • Chris Christie (R) 41% [49%] (39%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {43%} [47%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [26%] (35%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [29%]
                    • Paul Ryan (R) 39% {41%} (41%) {44%} [41%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {36%} (44%) {42%} [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [36%] (43%) {32%} {40%} [38%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 37% [42%] (33%) {37%} {43%} [35%]
                    • Rand Paul (R) 42% [47%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (42%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [37%] (48%) {37%} [45%] (43%) 
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [39%]
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% [43%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [40%] (48%)
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 37% [43%] (29%)

                    • Chris Christie (R) 43% [59%] (51%) {43%} [51%] (50%) {49%}
                    • Joe Biden (D) 29% [18%] (24%) {25%} [29%] (30%) {32%}
                    • Chris Christie (R) 36% [59%]
                    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 29% [19%]
                    Among Moderates
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [45%] (51%) {52%} [60%] (54%) {54%} [49%]
                    • Chris Christie (R) 34% [44%] (32%) {28%} [27%] (30%) {28%} [29%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {58%} (60%) {63%} [67%]
                    • Paul Ryan (R) 29% {28%} (30%) {27%} [23%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [55%] (59%) {53%} {63%} [62%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 28% [35%] (28%) {28%} {27%} [24%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [56%] (61%) {61%} [67%] (61%)
                    • Rand Paul (R) 29% [32%] (24%) {22%} [23%] (26%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [58%]
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 28% [30%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [60%] (63%)
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 28% [28%] (21%)

                    • Chris Christie (R) 38% [50%] (39%) {35%} [38%] (41%) {31%}
                    • Joe Biden (D) 35% [30%] (44%) {43%} [48%] (42%) {51%}
                    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 34% [31%]
                    • Chris Christie (R) 32% [49%]
                    Among Men
                    • Chris Christie (R) 51% [56%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [32%] (39%) {36%} [43%] (41%) {38%} [37%]
                    • Paul Ryan (R) 51% {49%} (49%) {49%} [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} (46%) {45%} [48%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 51% [50%] (45%) {46%} {46%} [39%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [39%] (43%) {38%} {44%} [47%]
                    • Rand Paul (R) 52% [52%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (48%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [40%] (44%) {41%} [47%] (45%)
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% [51%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%]
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 48% [50%] (37%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (47%)

                    • Chris Christie (R) 53% [56%] (52%) {47%} [53%] (54%) {49%}
                    • Joe Biden (D) 30% [29%] (32%) {36%} [37%] (36%) {39%}
                    • Chris Christie (R) 50% [57%]
                    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 30% [27%]
                    Among Women
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
                    • Chris Christie (R) 36% [36%] (34%) {37%} [41%] (37%) {37%} [39%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {52%} (53%) {55%} [58%]
                    • Paul Ryan (R) 38% {38%} (38%) {39%} [36%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [56%] (52%) {51%} {54%} [54%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 36% [37%] (33%) {36%} {39%} [36%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%] (55%) {52%} [55%] (54%)
                    • Rand Paul (R) 35% [34%] (32%) {34%} [37%] (37%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [56%]
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% [35%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [56%] (54%)
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 34% [32%] (29%)

                    • Chris Christie (R) 40% [43%] (39%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {40%}
                    • Joe Biden (D) 40% [40%] (44%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {50%}
                    • Chris Christie (R) 37% [41%]
                    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 37% [38%]
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                    • Mike Huckabee 37% [38%] {42%} [34%] (38%) / 38% [35%] {38%} [46%] (39%) {-1%}
                    • Hillary Clinton 45% [47%] [51%] (50%) {49%} [54%] (57%) / 47% [45%] [43%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (36%) {-2%}
                    • Paul Ryan 33% [35%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (41%) / 39% [40%] (39%) {41%} [45%] (42%) {-6%}
                    • Elizabeth Warren 23% [23%] [24%] (23%) {28%} [30%] (25%) / 29% [27%] [24%] (22%) {20%} [22%] (27%) {-6%}
                    • Jeb Bush 34% [31%] [33%] (30%) {35%} [33%] (38%) / 41% [41%] [41%] (37%) {33%} [40%] (38%) {-7%
                    • Rand Paul 33% [34%] [33%] (36%) {35%} [32%] (32%) / 42% [39%] [39%] (37%) {39%} [44%] (38%) {-9%}
                    • Ted Cruz 28% [26%] [15%] / 38% [40%] [27%] {-10%}
                    • Chris Christie 31% [43%] [42%] (39%) {44%} [51%] (48%) / 46% [31%] [28%] (28%) {22%} [23%] (26%) {-15%}
                    • Joe Biden 34% [38%] [41%] (40%) {48%} [48%] (46%) / 49% [49%] [48%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%) {-15%}
                    Among Independents
                    • Rand Paul 32% [40%] [36%] (41%) {46%} [37%] (40%) / 37% [33%] [37%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (33%) {-5%}
                    • Jeb Bush 27% [26%] [31%] (26%) {31%} [29%] (42%) / 36% [38%] [36%] (36%) {27%} [32%] (28%) {-9%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 30% [39%] {40%} [37%] (41%) / 40% [30%] {38%} [42%] (36%) {-10%}
                    • Elizabeth Warren 17% [19%] [26%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (20%) / 28% [32%] [27%] (21%) {24%} [27%] (35%) {-11%}
                    • Ted Cruz 23% [29%] [17%] / 37% [38%] [27%] {-14%}
                    • Chris Christie 29% [46%] [45%] (37%) {41%} [52%] (46%) / 44% [28%] [25%] (31%) {26%} [18%] (29%) {-15%}
                    • Hillary Clinton 36% [34%] [49%] (42%) {39%} [48%] (52%) / 52% [55%] [42%] (47%) {47%} [41%] (42%) {-16%}  
                    • Paul Ryan 24% / 42% {-18%}
                    • Joe Biden 26% [29%] [37%] (33%) {42%} [43%] (31%) / 53% [57%] [50%] (49%) {48%} [42%] (56%) {-27%}
                    Among Moderates
                    • Hillary Clinton 53% [58%] [68%] (61%) {56%} [69%] (76%) / 35% [33%] [24%] (28%) {27%} [22%] (20%) {+18%}
                    • Elizabeth Warren 23% [27%] [32%] (30%) {37%} [36%] (33%) / 23% [26%] [16%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (22%) {0%}
                    • Joe Biden 34% [42%] [53%] (48%) {64%} [64%] (60%) / 35% [44%] [32%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (29%) {-1%}
                    • Chris Christie 28% [50%] [50%] (43%) {43%} [57%] (48%) / 44% [25%] [24%] (24%) {22%} [18%] (23%) {-16%}
                    • Jeb Bush 22% [31%] [24%] (25%) {20%} [28%] (24%) / 47% [40%] [46%] (39%) {40%} [41%] (46%) {-25%}
                    • Paul Ryan 16% / 48% {-32%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 21% [27%] {26%} [22%] (27%) / 47% [43%] {49%} [53%] (47%) {-26%
                    • Rand Paul 16% [25%] [22%] (22%) {22%} [20%] (25%) / 51% [49%] [49%] (49%) {49%} [56%] (43%) {-35%}
                    • Ted Cruz 11% [17%] [5%] / 48% [50%] [35%] {-37%}
                    Among Men
                    • Rand Paul 40% [40%] [38%] (40%) {43%} [33%] (36%) / 38% [37%] [39%] (38%) {39%} [43%] (39%) {+2%}
                    • Paul Ryan 38% / 36% {+2%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 40% [44%] {48%} [35%] (43%) / 39% [34%] {37%} [46%] (39%) {+1%}
                    • Jeb Bush 36% [34%] [36%] (32%) {39%} [34%] (43%) / 36% [39%] [40%] (38%) {29%} [38%] (35%) {0%}
                    • Ted Cruz 33% [33%] [19%] / 39% [43%] [36%] {-6%}
                    • Elizabeth Warren 20% [21%] [28%] (20%) {27%} [27%] (21%) / 34% [33%] [28%] (29%) {22%} [20%] (30%) {-14%}
                    • Chris Christie 32% [42%] [41%] (39%) {43%} [52%] (52%) / 47% [36%] [32%] (31%) {26%} [22%] (28%) {-15%}
                    • Hillary Clinton 37% [38%] [47%] (45%) {43%} [48%] (50%) / 55% [55%] [48%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (43%) {-18%
                    • Joe Biden 28% [32%] [41%] (36%) {44%} [47%] (43%) / 56% [59%] [49%] (55%) {50%} [43%] (47%) {-28%}
                    Among Women
                    • Hillary Clinton 53% [55%] [55%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (64%) / 40% [36%] [39%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (29%) {+13%}
                    • Elizabeth Warren 26% [26%] [21%] (26%) {28%} [32%] (30%) / 24% [23%] [21%] (13%) {18%} [23%] (23%) {+2%}
                    • Joe Biden 38% [43%] [41%] (45%) {52%} [50%] (50%) / 42% [40%] [46%] (38%) {38%} [42%] (40%) {-4%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 33% [33%] {36%} [32%] (33%) / 37% [35%] {39%} [46%] (38%) {-4%
                    • Paul Ryan 29% / 41% {-12%}
                    • Jeb Bush 31% [27%] [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (33%) / 45% [44%] [43%] (37%) {36%} [43%] (41%) {-14%
                    • Ted Cruz 24% [20%] [12%] / 38% [37%] [17%] {-14%}
                    • Chris Christie 30% [45%] [43%] (40%) {45%} [49%] (44%) / 46% [26%] [25%] (24%) {19%} [23%] (25%) {-16%}
                    • Rand Paul 27% [28%] [28%] (32%) {27%} [31%] (28%) / 45% [41%] [39%] (37%) {40%} [45%] (36%) {-18%}
                    National survey of 845 registered voters was conducted January 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 39% [40%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% [34%] (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 26% [26%] (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 26% [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%] (31%) {28%} [29%] (32%) Moderate; 25% [24%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {25%} [24%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 18% [20%] (16%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [17%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 18% [16%] (15%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%) Very conservative; 13% [9%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [13%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                    • Hillary Clinton 67% {66%} [67%] (52%) {63%} [64%] (58%) {57%} [61%] (57%)
                    • Joe Biden 7% {10%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%] (14%)
                    • Elizabeth Warren 7% {6%} [4%] (6%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (6%)
                    • Andrew Cuomo 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (5%) 
                    • Cory Booker 2% {2%} [1%] (3%)
                    • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% [0%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} 
                    • Mark Warner 1% [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
                    • Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) 
                    • Brian Schweitzer 1% {1%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
                    • Someone else/Not sure 10% {7%} [12%] (17%) {10%} [6%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
                    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                    • Joe Biden 32% {35%} [27%] (34%) {38%} [49%] (57%) (32%)
                    • Elizabeth Warren 16% {13%} [19%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (13%) (8%)
                    • Andrew Cuomo 7% {7%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (5%) (18%)
                    • Cory Booker 7% {7%} [6%] (4%) 
                    • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% [4%] (3%) {2%} [7%] (4%) 
                    • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (3%) (2%)
                    • Brian Schweitzer 2% {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (0%) (1%)
                    • Martin O'Malley 1% {4%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [1%] (1%) (2%)
                    • Someone else/Not sure 31% {16%} [33%] (29%) {26%} [15%] (14%) (32%)
                    Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                    • Elizabeth Warren 24% {24%} [23%] (20%) {17%} [18%] (21%) {16%} [16%] (9%)
                    • Andrew Cuomo 13% {14%} [13%] (11%) {25%} [22%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (27%)
                    • Cory Booker 11% {13%} [14%] (8%)
                    • Kirsten Gillibrand 4% [3%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {5%} 
                    • Brian Schweitzer 3% {2%} [1%] (4%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%)
                    • Martin O'Malley 2% {7%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
                    • Mark Warner 1% [2%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
                    • Someone else/Not sure 43% {40%} [39%] (47%) {38%} [36%] (36%) {40%} [45%] (46%)
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                    • Hillary Clinton 83% {85%} {85%} [84%] (81%) {79%} [86%] (86%) / 9% {11%} {12%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [10%] (10%) {+74%} 
                    • Joe Biden 67% {72%} {73%} [73%] (80%) {73%} [80%] (70%) / 11% {15%} {16%} [15%] (13%) {22%} [14%] (21%) {+56%} 
                    • Elizabeth Warren 45% {46%} {42%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (28%) / 17% {15%} {13%} [13%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {+28%}
                    Survey of 334 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 23-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 34% {35%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [30%] (32%) {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 29% {35%} [38%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 25% {18%} [15%] (17%) {14%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 8% {10%} [8%] (9%) {12%} [9%] (9%) {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 5% {2%} [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                    PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 
                     
                    Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
                    • Jeb Bush 18% (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {15%} [12%]
                    • Chris Christie 17% (23%) {16%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [15%]
                    • Rand Paul 13% (12%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [17%]
                    • Ted Cruz 11% (15%) {15%} [20%] (12%) {7%}
                    • Paul Ryan 9% (11%) {11%} [10%] (13%) {9%} [12%]
                    • Marco Rubio 8% (8%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {16%} [21%]  
                    • Scott Walker 7% (6%) [3%]
                    • Bobby Jindal 5% (4%) {6%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%] 
                    • Someone else/Not sure 11% (10%) {8%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [10%]
                    Among Men
                    • Chris Christie 19% (25%) {16%} [11%] (13%) {15%}
                    • Jeb Bush 19% (11%) {15%} [13%] (16%) {15%}
                    • Rand Paul 19% (13%) {17%} [18%] (15%) {15%}
                    • Ted Cruz 11% (18%) {15%} [24%] (14%) {9%}
                    • Scott Walker 10% (7%) [4%]
                    • Paul Ryan 6% (8%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {8%}
                    • Marco Rubio 5% (8%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {16%}
                    • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {4%}
                    • Someone else/Not sure 8% (6%) {6%} [7%] (13%) {11%}
                    Among Women
                    • Jeb Bush 17% (12%) {14%} [10%] (10%) {15%}
                    • Chris Christie 16% (20%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {14%}
                    • Paul Ryan 12% (15%) {10%} [10%] (13%) {10%}
                    • Marco Rubio 12% (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%) {15%}
                    • Ted Cruz 10% (10%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {4%}
                    • Rand Paul 6% (12%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {12%}
                    • Bobby Jindal 6% (3%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {3%}
                    • Scott Walker 5% (5%) [2%]
                    • Someone else/Not sure 15% (14%) {10%} [11%] (14%) {19%}
                    Very Conservative
                    • Rand Paul 18% (18%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%}
                    • Ted Cruz 16% (26%) {26%} [34%] (20%) {8%}
                    • Jeb Bush 15% (7%) {15%} [7%] (12%) {14%}
                    • Scott Walker 12% (8%) [2%]
                    • Marco Rubio 10% (9%) {6%} [9%] (8%) {17%}
                    • Chris Christie 8% (11%) {3%} [4%] (7%) {7%} 
                    • Paul Ryan 7% (12%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {9%}
                    • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {7%} [5%] (4%) {3%}
                    • Someone else/Not sure 10% (6%) {3%} [7%] (9%) {13%}
                    Somewhat Conservative
                    • Chris Christie 20% (24%) {16%} [12%] (13%) {14%}
                    • Jeb Bush 16% (17%) {11%} [14%] (13%) {16%}
                    • Paul Ryan 14% (13%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {11%} 
                    • Ted Cruz 10% (9%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {6%}
                    • Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {13%} [11%] (14%) {18%}
                    • Rand Paul 8% (9%) {17%} [20%] (16%) {13%}
                    • Scott Walker 7% (4%) [2%]
                    • Bobby Jindal 6% (4%) {5%} [3%] (3%) {3%}
                    • Someone else/Not sure 11% (12%) {9%} [11%] (15%) {15%}
                    Moderate
                    • Chris Christie 28% (34%) {36%} [34%] (24%) {25%}
                    • Jeb Bush 28% (11%) {18%} [12%] (12%) {17%} 
                    • Rand Paul 13% (10%) {10%} [9%] (12%) {9%}
                    • Bobby Jindal 5% (3%) {3%} [7%] (4%) {2%}
                    • Marco Rubio 4% (8%) {8%} [10%] (6%) {14%}
                    • Ted Cruz 4% (5%) {5%} [4%] (8%) {5%}
                    • Paul Ryan 2% (10%) {8%} [6%] (11%) {7%}
                    • Scott Walker 1% (6%) [6%]
                    • Someone else/Not sure 14% (14%) {10%} [9%] (16%) {17%}
                    Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
                    • Mike Huckabee 16% (13%) (11%) {15%} [11%] (17%)
                    • Jeb Bush 14% (10%) (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
                    • Chris Christie 13% (19%) (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)
                    • Rand Paul 11% (11%) (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
                    • Paul Ryan 8% (10%) (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
                    • Marco Rubio 8% (7%) (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)
                    • Ted Cruz 8% (14%)
                    • Scott Walker 6% (4%)
                    • Bobby Jindal 5% (3%) (4%) {3%} (3%)
                    • Someone else/Not sure 10% (10%) (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                    • Sarah Palin 70% [66%] (65%) / 20% [24%] (26%) {+50%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 64% (65%) (71%) {70%} [73%] (69%) / 18% (14%) (12%) {15%} [15%] (15%) {+46%}
                    • Paul Ryan 58% {67%} [75%] (78%) {76%} [74%] (47%) / 18% {13%} [11%] (9%) {11%} [15%] (11%) {+40%} 
                    • Jeb Bush 56% (49%) {56%} [51%] (59%) {59%} [63%] (71%) / 18% (22%) {17%} [16%] (12%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {+38%}
                    • Rand Paul 58% (58%) {58%} [60%] (61%) {55%} [53%] (42%) / 21% (15%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {20%} [22%] (20%) {+37%}
                    • Ted Cruz 45% (43%) {27%} / 20% (21%) {13%} {+25%}
                    • Chris Christie 40% (47%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [49%] (62%) / 38% (29%) {29%} [29%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (12%) {+2%}
                    Survey of 457 Republican primary voters was conducted January 23-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% (39%) {42%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 37% (34%) {34%} [39%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 17% (21%) {20%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 4% (4%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

                    Tuesday, January 28, 2014

                    Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

                    FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

                    Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?
                    • Approve 48% {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
                    • Disapprove 39% {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}
                    Among Democrats
                    • Approve 34% {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
                    • Disapprove 54% {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}
                    Among Republicans
                    • Approve 73% {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
                    • Disapprove 18% {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}
                    Among Independents
                    • Approve 41% {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
                    • Disapprove 40% {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}
                    Among Men
                    • Approve 48% {63%} (67%) [65%] {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
                    • Disapprove 41% {23%} (19%) [26%] {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}
                    Among Women
                    • Approve 48% {58%} (56%) [52%] {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
                    • Disapprove 38% {24%} (29%) [32%] {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}
                    Survey of 734 registered voters was conducted January 20-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 44% {44%} (46%) [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 33% {35%} (35%) [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 23% {21%} (19%) [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 5, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

                    Monday, January 27, 2014

                    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                    Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
                    • Thom Tillis (R) 47% 
                    • Kay Hagan (D) 40%
                    • Some other candidate 3%
                    • Undecided 10%
                    Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted January 22-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

                    Thursday, January 23, 2014

                    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Senatorial Survey

                    Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Senate Poll
                    • Mark Warner (D) 51%
                    • Ed Gillespie (R) 37%
                    • Some other candidate 2%
                    • Undecided 9%
                    Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

                    Inside the numbers: 
                    Sixty-one percent (61%) of Virginia voters have a favorable opinion of Warner, including 36% with a very favorable one.
                    Gillespie, by contrast, is an unknown to 30% of voters in the state. Thirty-seven percent (37%) view him favorably, with only 11% who have a very favorable opinion at this point.
                    Voters trust Warner more than Gillespie by a 44% to 32% margin when it comes to government spending and by a similar 44% to 34% margin when it comes to taxes. In the area of social issues, the incumbent has a slightly larger 48% to 30% lead in voter trust.

                    Wednesday, January 22, 2014

                    Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

                    Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

                    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
                    • Approve 53% (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
                    • Disapprove 41% (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)
                    Among Democrats
                    • Approve 29% (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
                    • Disapprove 64% (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)
                    Among Republicans
                    • Approve 83% (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
                    • Disapprove 13% (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)
                    Among Independents
                    • Approve 60% (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
                    • Disapprove 33% (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)
                    Among Moderates
                    • Approve 53% (71%) {65%} [69%] (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
                    • Disapprove 40% (23%) {30%} [27%] (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)
                    Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
                    • Favorable 46% (65%) {61%} [60%] (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
                    • Unfavorable 43% (27%) {28%} [32%] (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]
                    Among Democrats
                    • Favorable 19% (45%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
                    • Unfavorable 69% (47%) {49%} [47%] (41%) {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}
                    Among Republicans
                    • Favorable 78% (92%) {90%} [87%] (86%) {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
                    • Unfavorable 15% (5%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}
                    Among Independents
                    • Favorable 55% (69%) {68%} [64%] (69%) {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
                    • Unfavorable 33% (22%) {20%} [26%] (16%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}
                    Survey of 757 registered voters was conducted January 14-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (36%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 19% (21%) {21%} [21%] (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 42% (42%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 2, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-13, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

                    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Senator Marco Rubio

                    PPP (D) Florida Poll on Sen. Marco Rubio

                    Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?
                    • Approve 43% [43%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (52%) {51%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [43%]
                    • Disapprove 45% [45%] (43%) {36%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {35%} [31%]
                    Among Democrats
                    • Approve 16% [21%] (22%) {24%} [16%] (26%) {26%} [19%] (20%) {15%} [19%] (16%) {17%} [17%]
                    • Disapprove 65% [67%] (61%) {55%} [60%] (51%) {51%} [65%] (64%) {68%} [59%] (68%) {55%} [51%]
                    Among Republicans
                    • Approve 76% [74%] (69%) {75%} [79%] (85%) {85%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [65%] (82%) {75%} [70%]
                    • Disapprove 18% [18%] (21%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {11%} [17%] (17%) {10%} [17%] (6%) {13%} [10%]
                    Among Independents
                    • Approve 40% [34%] (45%) {53%} [55%] (50%) {42%} [44%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {36%} [44%]
                    • Disapprove 50% [49%] (44%) {28%} [36%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (39%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {30%} [31%]
                    Among Moderates
                    • Approve 30% [30%] (29%) {38%} [38%] (42%) {42%} [34%] (25%) {32%} [29%] (31%) {27%} [21%]
                    • Disapprove 60% [52%] (55%) {43%} [48%] (38%) {39%} [53%] (53%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {45%} [47%]
                    Among Men
                    • Approve 47% [50%] (49%) {57%} [54%] (56%) {51%} [47%] (50%) {50%} [42%] (45%) {47%} [50%]
                    • Disapprove 46% [41%] (42%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {38%} [45%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (41%) {32%} [30%]
                    Among Women
                    • Approve 38% [36%] (39%) {41%} [44%] (48%) {52%} [44%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (44%) {37%} [35%]
                    • Disapprove 45% [49%] (44%) {37%} [37%] (30%) {29%} [40%] (47%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [31%]
                    Survey of 591 Florida voters was conducted January 16-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [39%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] Democrat; 34% [35%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] Republican; 24% [25%] (22%) {18%} [22%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% [29%] (32%) {33%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 21% [27%] (21%) {21%} [24%] (25%) {25%} [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [18%] (17%) {17%} [16%] (13%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 17% [16%] (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {13%} [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 10% [10%] (13%) {12%} [8%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Race: 70% [67%] (69%) {68%} [66%] (69%) {70%} [69%] (70%) White: 13% [15%] (11%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (12%) Black; 13% [11%] (12%) {11%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (12%) Hispanic; 4% [6%] (8%) {6%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.