Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Wisconsin 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Scott Walker 37%
  • Rand Paul 12%
  • Mike Huckabee 9% 
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Jeb Bush 8%  
  • Marco Rubio 8%
  • Chris Christie 4%
  • John Kasich 1%
  • Undecided 12%
Survey of 289 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Scott Walker (R) 47%
  • Mary Burke (D) 47%
  • Some other candidate 2%
  • Undecided 4%
Survey of 851 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.36 percentage points. Party registration: 36% Democrat; 34% Republican; 30% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Jacobs (R) 41%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 40%
  • Some other candidate 7%
  • Undecided 12%
Survey of 808 likely Iowa voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.The margin of error is +/- 3.45 percentage points. Party registration: 41% Republican; 35% Democrat; 24% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 57% 
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Jeb Bush 8%  
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Marco Rubio 4%
  • John Kasich 2%
  • Scott Walker 1%
  • Undecided 7%
Survey of 240 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Tom Cotton (R) 46%
  • Mark Pryor (D) 43%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 7%
Survey of 857 likely Arkansas voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.35 percentage points. Party registration: 32% Democrat; 28% Republican; 40% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 24% 
  • Jeb Bush 16%
  • Rand Paul 15%  
  • Chris Christie 14%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • John Kasich 3%
  • Undecided 12%
Survey of 271 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 46%
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 8%
  • Undecided 5%
Survey of 875 likely Michigan voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.31 percentage points. Party registration: 37% Democrat; 31% Republican; 32% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Alaska 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Ted Cruz 16%
  • Rand Paul 15% 
  • Jeb Bush 13% 
  • Mike Huckabee 12%
  • Chris Christie 11%
  • Marco Rubio 7%
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • John Kasich 1%
  • Undecided 19%
Survey of 193 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Dan Sullivan (R) 46%
  • Mark Begich (D) 41%
  • Some other candidate 7%
  • Undecided 6%
Survey of 603 likely Alaska voters was conducted April 14, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.99 percentage points. Party registration: 32% Republican; 14% Democrat; 54% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 25% 
  • Mike Huckabee 17%
  • Ted Cruz 13%
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Chris Christie 8%
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • John Kasich 2%
  • Undecided 13%
Survey of 271 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 44%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 42%
  • Some other candidate 10%
  • Undecided 4%
Survey of 775 likely Louisiana voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.52 percentage points. Party registration: 51% Democrat; 35% Republican; 14% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Colorado 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Colorado 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Rand Paul 17%
  • Mike Huckabee 16%
  • Ted Cruz 14%
  • Chris Christie 12%
  • Marco Rubio 10%
  • Jeb Bush 9%
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • John Kasich 2%
  • Undecided 12%
Survey of 272 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Udall (D) 45% 
  • Cory Gardner (R) 42%
  • Some other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 8%
Survey of 717 likely Colorado voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party registration: 38% Republican; 33% Democrat; 29% Unaffiliated.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 21%
  • Jeb Bush 19%
  • Rand Paul 15%
  • Chris Christie 12%
  • Ted Cruz 11%
  • Marco Rubio 6%
  • John Kasich 3%
  • Scott Walker 2% 
  • Undecided 11%
Survey of 297 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
  • Kay Hagan (D) 43%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 43%
  • Some other candidate 8%
  • Undecided 6%
Survey of 804 likely North Carolina voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.46 percentage points. Party registration: 44% Democrat; 37% Republican; 19% Unaffiliated.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Pryor (D) 43% [44%] (44%)
  • Tom Cotton (R) 42% [44%] (41%)
Among Men
  • Tom Cotton (R) 48% [53%] (50%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 40% [39%] (38%)
Among Women
  • Mark Pryor (D) 45% [49%] (50%)
  • Tom Cotton (R) 36% [37%] (33%)
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Pryor's job performance?
  • Approve 38%
  • Disapprove 46%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Cotton?
  • Favorable 37%
  • Unfavorable 42%
Survey of 840 registered voters was conducted April 25-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [37%] (37%) Democrat; 27% [27%] (27%) Republican; 32% [37%] (36%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 28% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 23% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 National Presidential Survey

ABC News/Washington Post 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41%
Among Independents
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
National survey of 873 registered voters was conducted April 24-27, 2014. Party ID: 32% (32%) Democrat; 23% (25%) Republican; 38% (37%) Independent.

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Rand Paul 15% (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 14%
  • Jeb Bush 12% (18%)
  • Paul Ryan 12% (18%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (12%) 
  • Marco Rubio 6% (10%)
  • Rick Perry 5%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
  • John Kasich 1%
  • Other (vol.) 2% (2%)
  • None of these (vol.) 4% (4%)
  • Would not vote (vol.) 0% (1%) 
  • No opinion 5% (9%)
Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted April 24-27, 2014. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 48% (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 38% (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 82% (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 9% (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 79% (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 10% (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)
Among Independents
  • Charlie Crist (D) 48% (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 34% (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Charlie Crist (D) 44% (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%
  • Rick Scott (R) 43% (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 51% (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 33% (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 42% (41%) {42%} [43%] (36%)
  • Disapprove 50% (49%) {47%} [44%] (49%)
Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?  
  • Yes/Deserves 39% (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%)
  • No/Does not 53% (54%) {53%} [50%] (55%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charlie Crist handled his job as Governor?
  • Approve 52% (53%) {53%}
  • Disapprove 38% (36%) {36%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Charlie Crist 43% (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 36% (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {+7%}
  • Rick Scott 39% (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 46% (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-7%}
In recent years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist?
  • Positive thing 52% {46%} [47%] (50%)
  • Negative thing 40% {46%} [44%] (40%)
Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 45%
  • No 43%
Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not?
  • Yes 38%
  • No 51%
Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 48%
  • No 42%
Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 38%
  • No 55%
Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 55%
  • No 37%
Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not?
  • Yes 49%
  • No 44%
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is more compassionate, Crist or Scott?
  • Charlie Crist 50%
  • Rick Scott 35%
Survey of 1,413 registered voters was conducted April 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 31% (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 25% (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 34% (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 11% (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 17%
  • Jeb Bush 17%
  • Chris Christie 14%
  • Rand Paul 11%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • John Kasich 5%
  • Marco Rubio 2%
  • Undecided 16%
Survey of 331 likely GOP voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind 2016 National Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Chris Christie (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 33%
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Chris Christie (R) 32%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Rand Paul (R) 32%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 30%
National survey of 1,051 registered voters was conducted April 21-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 37% Republican; 23% Independent.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 19% (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 17% (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Rand Paul 15% (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 6% (9%) {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%] 
  • Cliven Bundy 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
Among Men
  • Ted Cruz 19% (16%) {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
  • Rand Paul 18% (8%) {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 13% (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%) 
  • Chris Christie 9% (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% (8%) {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%) 
  • Marco Rubio 6% (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
  • Cliven Bundy 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (4%) {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 26% (24%) {24%} [25%] (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% (21%) {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 13% (7%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] 
  • Rand Paul 11% (11%) {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (12%) {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% (9%) {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)  
  • Marco Rubio 4% (5%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (2%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%] 
  • Cliven Bundy 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% (7%) {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)
Survey of 694 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 26-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 45% (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 35% (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 13% (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 4% (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 4% (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
  • Thom Tillis 46% (18%) [14%] {20%}
  • Greg Brannon 20% (15%) [14%] {13%}
  • Mark Harris 11% (11%) [7%] {8%}
  • Heather Grant 5% (7%) [11%] {13%}
  • Jim Snyder 3% (2%) [4%]
  • Edward Kryn 2% (1%) [1%] {2%}
  • Ted Alexander 2% (6%) [7%] {10%}
  • Alex Bradshaw 1% (5%) [6%]
  • Undecided 12% (34%) [36%] {34%}
If there was a runoff election for the Republican Senate nomination between Thom Tillis and Greg Brannon, who would you vote for? 
  • Thom Tillis 50%
  • Greg Brannon 32%
  • Not sure 18%
If there was a runoff election for the Republican Senate nomination between Thom Tillis and Mark Harris, who would you vote for?
  • Thom Tillis 53%
  • Mark Harris 27%
  • Not sure 20%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Thom Tillis 56% (31%) [24%] {21%} / 24% (29%) [28%] {24%} {+32%}
  • Greg Brannon 47% (18%) [13%] {15%} / 15% (13%) [17%] {17%} {+32%}
  • Mark Harris 41% (15%) [12%] {10%} / 15% (15%) [15%] {18%} {+26%}
  • Heather Grant 25% (7%) [8%] {7%} / 17% (15%) [18%] {17%} {+8%}
  • Ted Alexander 17% (6%) [6%] {7%} / 15% (12%) [17%] {18%} {+2%}
  • Jim Snyder 19% (4%) [7%] / 18% (12%) [15%] {+1%}
  • Alex Bradshaw 17% (4%) [7%] / 16% (14%) [14%] {+1%}
  • Edward Kryn 16% (4%) [4%] {3%} / 17% (12%) [17%] {17%} {-1%}
Survey of 694 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 26-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Ideology: 45% (39%) [37%] {35%} Very conservative; 35% (32%) [35%] {33%} Somewhat conservative; 13% (21%) [20%] {22%} Moderate; 4% (6%) [4%] {7%} Somewhat liberal; 4% (3%) [3%] {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Monday, April 28, 2014

Poll Watch: The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 71%
  • Joe Biden 13%
  • Elizabeth Warren 10%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3%
  • Brian Schweitzer 2%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
Survey of 204 registered Democratic voters was conducted April 22-24, 2014.

Poll Watch: The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 20%
  • Paul Ryan 19%
  • Jeb Bush 18%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Joe Scarborough 4%
Survey of 168 registered Republican voters was conducted April 22-24, 2014.

Friday, April 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 43%
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 36%
  • Ed Marksberry (I) 9%
  • Undecided 12%
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 37%
  • Matt Bevin (R) 32%
  • Ed Marksberry (I) 7%
  • Undecided 25%
Republican Primary
  • Mitch McConnell 51%
  • Matt Bevin 34%
  • Unsure 15%
Survey of 1,359 registered voters, including 638 Republican voters, was conducted April 15-17, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4% among GOP voters. Party ID: 47% Republican; 35% Democrat; 18% Independent/Other.

Thursday, April 24, 2014

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 42%
  • Rick Scott (R) 42%
  • Adrian Wyllie 4%
  • Undecided 12%
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 74%
  • Rick Scott (R) 12%
  • Adrian Wyllie 2%
  • Undecided 12%
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 79%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 9%
  • Adrian Wyllie 3%
  • Undecided 9%
Among Independents 
  • Charlie Crist (D) 37%
  • Rick Scott (R) 35%
  • Adrian Wyllie 10%
  • Undecided 18%
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 49%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 37%
  • Adrian Wyllie 5%
  • Undecided 9%
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46%
  • Rick Scott (R) 36%
  • Adrian Wyllie 3%
  • Undecided 15%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Charlie Crist 37% / 34% {+3%}
  • Rick Scott 35% / 35% {0%}
Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted April 15-17 and 21-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party registration: 42% Democrat; 38% Republican; 20% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [46%] (51%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 45% [46%] (43%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [49%] (54%)
      • Scott Walker (R) 44% [44%] (41%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [47%]
      • Rand Paul (R) 39% [42%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [46%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [42%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [43%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 36% [40%]
      Among Independents
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [43%] (51%)
      • Paul Ryan (R) 38% [44%] (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [47%] (56%)
      • Scott Walker (R) 37% [43%] (36%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [43%]
      • Rand Paul (R) 33% [40%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [41%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 30% [39%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 28%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [36%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 30% [37%]
      Among Moderates
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [57%] (61%)
      • Paul Ryan (R) 32% [30%] (26%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% [62%] (67%)
      • Scott Walker (R) 30% [27%] (25%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [59%]
      • Rand Paul (R) 26% [25%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 28% [28%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 23%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [51%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 25% [28%]
          Among Men
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [43%] (45%)
          • Paul Ryan (R) 47% [50%] (49%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [44%] (48%)
          • Scott Walker (R) 45% [49%] (48%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [43%]
          • Rand Paul (R) 40% [48%]  
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [41%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [47%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [39%] 
          • Chris Christie (R) 39% [44%]
              Among Women 
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [49%] (56%)
              • Paul Ryan (R) 43% [42%] (38%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [53%] (59%)
              • Scott Walker (R) 43% [41%] (35%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [50%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 38% [37%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [50%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [37%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [46%] 
              • Chris Christie (R) 34% [37%]
                  Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?
                  • Favorable 45%
                  • Unfavorable 44%
                  Do you think Paul Ryan should run for President in 2016, or not?
                  • Think he should 33%
                  • Think he should not 52%
                  Do you think Scott Walker should run for President in 2016, or not?
                  • Think he should 29%
                  • Think he should not 61%
                  Survey of 1,144 Wisconsin voters was conducted April 17-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 33% [32%] (31%) Democrat; 33% [28%] (30%) Republican; 35% [41%] (39%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [32%] (29%) Moderate; 24% [25%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [17%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 16% [15%] (17%) Very conservative; 13% [11%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                  • Paul Ryan 25% [27%]
                  • Scott Walker 21% [14%] 
                  • Chris Christie 8% [12%]
                  • Mike Huckabee 8%
                  • Rand Paul 8% [8%]
                  • Ted Cruz 7% [9%]
                  • Marco Rubio 6% [10%]
                  • Jeb Bush 6% [8%]
                  • Bobby Jindal 3% [3%]
                  • Someone else/Not sure 8% [5%]
                  Between Paul Ryan and Scott Walker, who would you rather see as the Republican candidate for President in 2016?
                  • Paul Ryan 52% [47%]
                  • Scott Walker 35% [38%]
                  • Not sure 13% [15%]
                  Do you think Paul Ryan should run for President in 2016, or not?
                  • Think he should 55%
                  • Think he should not 26%
                  Do you think Scott Walker should run for President in 2016, or not?
                  • Think he should 43%
                  • Think he should not 42%
                  Survey of 522 Republican primary voters was conducted April 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Ideology: 42% [41%] Somewhat conservative; 34% [34%] Very conservative; 19% [18%] Moderate; 3% [5%] Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.

                  Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                  Rasmussen (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 45%
                  • Rick Scott (R) 39%
                  • Some other candidate 6%
                  • Undecided 10%
                  Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted April 21-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                  Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                  SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
                  • Thom Tillis 39% {23%} [27%] (28%)
                  • Greg Brannon 20% {15%} [13%] (15%)
                  • Mark Harris 15% {11%} [9%] (6%)
                  • Edward Kryn 2% {2%} [0%] (3%)
                  • Heather Grant 2% {6%} [5%] (11%)
                  • Jim Snyder 2% {3%} [5%] (4%) 
                  • Ted Alexander 1% {6%} [1%] (7%)
                  • Alex Lee Bradshaw 1% {1%} [2%] (4%)
                  • Undecided 19% {34%} [38%] (23%)
                  Survey of 392 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 16-22, 2014 for the Civitas Institute (R). The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 27-31, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                  • Mark Udall (D) 45% 
                  • Cory Gardner (R) 44%
                  Among Independents
                  • Cory Gardner (R) 43%
                  • Mark Udall (D) 41%
                  Among Men
                  • Cory Gardner (R) 53%
                  • Mark Udall (D) 38%
                  Among Women
                  • Mark Udall (D) 52% 
                  • Cory Gardner (R) 35%
                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                  • Cory Gardner 30% / 18% {+12%}
                  • Mark Udall 43% [42%] (44%) / 38% [35%] (38%) {+5%}
                  Among Independents
                  • Cory Gardner 29% / 17% {+12%}
                  • Mark Udall 43% [37%] (39%) / 36% [40%] (41%) {+7%}
                  Among Men
                  • Cory Gardner 40% / 16% {+24%}
                  • Mark Udall 37% [36%] (38%) / 47% [46%] (45%) {-10%}
                  Among Women
                  • Mark Udall 49% [49%] (50%) / 31% [24%] (30%) {+18%}
                  • Cory Gardner 21% / 21% {0%}
                  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
                  • Approve 42% [45%] (44%)
                  • Disapprove 42% [41%] (44%)
                  Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                  • Yes/Deserves 40% [42%] (41%)
                  • No/Does not 46% [42%] (47%)
                  Survey of 1,298 Colorado was conducted April 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 28% Democrat; 26% Republican; 37% Independent; 10% Other. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

                    • Rand Paul (R) 48% (47%) {47%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (43%) {44%}
                    • Chris Christie (R) 42% (42%) {46%} [43%] (44%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (43%) {38%} [42%] (41%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
                    Among Independents
                      • Rand Paul (R) 48% (52%) {49%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (32%) {38%}
                      • Chris Christie (R) 41% (43%) {47%} [43%] (41%) 
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (34%) {31%} [34%] (38%)
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 35%
                      Among Men
                        • Rand Paul (R) 55% (56%) {56%}
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (34%) {34%}
                        • Chris Christie (R) 49% (50%) {51%} [50%] (51%) 
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (33%) {31%} [33%] (32%)
                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 49% 
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
                        • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
                        Among Women
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (51%) {53%}
                          • Rand Paul (R) 40% (38%) {38%}
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (53%) {45%} [50%] (49%)
                          • Chris Christie (R) 36% (33%) {41%} [36%] (38%)   
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                          • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 35%
                          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                          • Rand Paul 41% / 30% {+11%}
                          • Mike Huckabee 37% / 30% {+7%}
                          • Hillary Clinton 48% [51%] (53%) / 47% [44%] (44%) {+1%}
                          • Chris Christie 35% [50%] (49%) / 38% [22%] (17%) {-3%}
                          • Jeb Bush 29% / 40% {-11%}
                          Among Independents
                          • Rand Paul 43% / 28% {+15%} 
                          • Mike Huckabee 38% / 28% {+10%} 
                          • Chris Christie 37% [50%] (50%) / 35% [17%] (15%) {+2%}
                          • Hillary Clinton 44% [49%] (54%) / 48% [45%] (42%) {-4%}
                          • Jeb Bush 24% / 42% {-18%}
                          Among Men
                          • Rand Paul 52% / 29% {+23%} 
                          • Mike Huckabee 44% / 31% {+13%} 
                          • Chris Christie 38% [49%] (55%) / 41% [28%] (18%) {-3%}
                          • Jeb Bush 33% / 41% {-8%}
                          • Hillary Clinton 39% [43%] (42%) / 56% [52%] (53%) {-17%}
                          Among Women
                          • Hillary Clinton 57% [59%] (63%) / 38% [37%] (34%) {+19%}
                          • Mike Huckabee 30% / 29% {+1%} 
                          • Rand Paul 30% / 31% {-1%
                          • Chris Christie 33% [51%] (43%) / 35% [16%] (17%) {-2%
                          • Jeb Bush 25% / 39% {-14%}
                          Survey of 1,298 registered voters was conducted April 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 28% (29%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Democrat; 26% (24%) {26%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 37% (38%) {38%} [36%] (42%) Independent; 10% (8%) {6%} [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 2, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

                          Wednesday, April 23, 2014

                          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                          • Mark Udall (D) 47% (42%)
                          • Cory Gardner (R) 45% (40%)
                          Among Independents
                          • Cory Gardner (R) 43% (38%)
                          • Mark Udall (D) 43% (30%)
                          Among Men
                          • Cory Gardner (R) 50% (45%)
                          • Mark Udall (D) 44% (42%)
                          Among Women
                          • Mark Udall (D) 49% (43%)
                          • Cory Gardner (R) 40% (36%)
                          Survey of 618 Colorado was conducted April 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (33%) Democrat; 32% (34%) Republican; 32% (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

                          Poll Watch: Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                          • Cory Gardner (R) 44%
                          • Mark Udall (D) 42%
                          • Gaylon Kent (L) 7%
                          Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted April 16-17, 2014 for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
                          Inside the numbers: 
                          Udall is viewed favorably by 38 percent of likely voters and unfavorably by 33 percent. A slight majority, 51 percent, said it is time to give a new person a chance, compared with 35 percent who said they would automatically vote to reelect him.

                          Gardner’s voters are most passionate: he’s up 8 points among those who have an opinion of both candidates, he leads by 5 points among those who say they will “definitely” vote and he’s up 20 points among those who say that, on a 1-to-10 scale, they have a 10 level of interest.

                          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                          PPP (D) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                          • Scott Walker (R) 48% (48%)
                          • Mary Burke (D) 45% (42%)
                          • Not sure 7% (10%) 
                          Among Democrats
                          • Mary Burke (D) 86% (75%)
                          • Scott Walker (R) 7% (13%)
                          • Not sure 8% (12%)
                          Among Republicans
                          • Scott Walker (R) 93% (90%)
                          • Mary Burke (D) 4% (6%)
                          • Not sure 3% (4%)
                          Among Independents 
                          • Mary Burke (D) 46% (41%)
                          • Scott Walker (R) 44% (47%)
                          • Not sure 10% (13%)
                          Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott Walker's job performance?  
                          • Approve 50% (48%)
                          • Disapprove 47% (49%
                          Survey of 1,144 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted April 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) Democrat; 33% (28%) Republican; 35% (41%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 28% (32%) Moderate; 24% (25%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (17%) Somewhat liberal; 16% (15%) Very conservative; 13% (11%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                          Poll Watch: New York Times/Kaiser Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

                          NY Times/Kaiser Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
                          • Mitch McConnell (R) 44%
                          • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43%
                          • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41%
                          • Matt Bevin (R) 35%
                          Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mitch McConnell is handling his job as United States Senator?
                          • Approve 40%
                          • Disapprove 52%
                          Survey of 891 registered voters was conducted April 8-15, 2014

                          Poll Watch: New York Times/Kaiser North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                          • Kay Hagan (D) 42%
                          • Thom Tillis (R) 40%
                          • Kay Hagan (D) 41%
                          • Greg Brannon (R) 39%
                          Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kay Hagan is handling her job as United States Senator?
                          • Approve 44%
                          • Disapprove 44%
                          Survey of 900 registered voters was conducted April 8-15, 2014

                          Poll Watch: New York Times/Kaiser Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

                          NY Times/Kaiser Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
                          • Mark Pryor (D) 46%
                          • Tom Cotton (R) 36%
                          Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as United States Senator?
                          • Approve 47%
                          • Disapprove 38%
                          Survey of 857 registered voters was conducted April 8-15, 2014.

                          Friday, April 18, 2014

                          Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                          UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                          • Hillary Clinton 65% [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
                          • Joe Biden 6% [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)  
                          • Andrew Cuomo 4% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
                          • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%) 
                          • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] [0%] (1%)
                          • Martin O'Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
                          • Someone else 5% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
                          • Don't know yet 18% [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
                          (Open-Ended) If the Democratic primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Democratic nomination?

                          NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.    
                          • Hillary Clinton 41%
                          • Elizabeth Warren 2%
                          • Barack Obama 2%
                          • Chris Christie 2%
                          • Joe Biden 2%
                          • Someone else 0%
                          • Did not give name 51%
                          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                          • Hillary Clinton 78% [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 11% [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+67%}
                          • Andrew Cuomo 37% [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 19% [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+18%}
                          • Joe Biden 53% [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 37% [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+16%}
                          • Martin O'Malley 10% [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 5% [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+5%}
                          • Brian Schweitzer 10% [3%] [5%] (12%) / 6% [11%] [12%] (6%) {+4%
                          • Mark Warner 13% [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 14% [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {-1%}
                          Survey of 184 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

                          Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                          UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                          • Rand Paul 15% [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
                          • Kelly Ayotte 13% [13%] [5%] (10%)
                          • Paul Ryan 13% [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
                          • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
                          • Jeb Bush 7% [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
                          • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
                          • Donald Trump 5% [4%]
                          • Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (2%)
                          • Scott Walker 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
                          • Marco Rubio 2% [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
                          • Rick Perry 1% [2%] (1%) {4%} 
                          • Rick Santorum 1% (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
                          • Rob Portman 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
                          • Someone else 3% [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
                          • Don't know yet 15% [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)
                          (Open-Ended) If the Republican primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Republican nomination?

                          NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.  
                          • Rand Paul 9%
                          • Chris Christie 7%
                          • Ted Cruz 6%
                          • Mitt Romney 3%
                          • Scott Brown 3%
                          • Paul Ryan 2%
                          • Jeb Bush 2%
                          • Someone else 6%
                          • Did not give name 62%
                          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                          • Paul Ryan 60% [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 15% [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+45%}
                          • Marco Rubio 52% [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 12% [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+40%}
                          • Rand Paul 56% [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 21% [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%}
                          • Kelly Ayotte 61% [48%] [71%] (68%) / 27% [27%] [14%] (24%) {+34%}
                          • Scott Walker 38% [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 12% [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+26%}
                          • Ted Cruz 42% [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+24%} 
                          • Bobby Jindal 30% {39%} [30%] (31%) / 17% {12%} [16%] (21%) {+13%}
                          • Jeb Bush 45% [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 35% [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+10%}
                          • Rick Perry 36% [32%] (36%) {39%} / 30% [27%] (30%) {37%} {+6%}
                          • Rick Santorum 36% (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 31% (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+5%}
                          • Chris Christie 43% [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 42% [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+1%}   
                          • Rob Portman 11% [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 15% [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {-4%}
                          • Donald Trump 23% [29%] / 66% [59%] {-43%}
                          Survey of 187 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

                          Thursday, April 17, 2014

                          Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                          InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
                          • David Perdue 19%
                          • Jack Kingston 15%
                          • Karen Handel 13%
                          • Paul Broun 11%
                          • Phil Gingrey 9%
                          • Undecided 33%
                          Survey of 804 voters who intend to vote in the Republican primary was conducted April 13-15, 2014 for Morris News and Fox5 of Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

                          Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                          • Joni Ernst 22.5%
                          • Mark Jacobs 20.4% 
                          • Matt Whitaker 6.7%
                          • Sam Clovis 5.8%
                          • Scott Schaben 2.1%
                          • Paul Lunde 0.4%
                          • Undecided 40.0%
                          Survey of 223 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon.

                          Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

                          • Rand Paul (R) 44.3%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.3% 
                          • Undecided/Don't know 12.5%
                          • Mike Huckabee (R) 44.1%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8% 
                          • Undecided/Don't know 12.1%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.4%
                          • Marco Rubio (R) 42.3% 
                          • Undecided/Don't know 14.2%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 41.8%
                          • Chris Christie (R) 38.9%
                          • Undecided/Don't know 19.3%  
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.3%
                          • Bobby Jindal (R) 39.6%
                          • Undecided/Don't know 16.1%  
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 39.0%
                          • Undecided/Don't know 17.2%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.9%
                          • Scott Walker (R) 40.4%
                          • Undecided/Don't know 13.7%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
                          • Mike Pence (R) 32.0%
                          • Undecided/Don't know 24.2%
                          Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 37.0% Republican; 36.0% Democrat; 27.0% Independent/Unaffiliated. Party ID: 33.1% Republican; 29.8% Democrat; 36.6% Independent.

                          Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Presidential Survey

                          PPP (D) Texas 2016 Presidential Poll
                          • Rand Paul (R) 50% {48%}
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {44%}
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 50% {49%} [46%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {42%} [43%]
                          • Mike Huckabee (R) 50%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                              • Ted Cruz (R) 50% {48%} [49%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {45%} [44%]
                              • Rick Perry (R) 49% {45%} [44%] (42%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {47%} [48%] (50%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 44% {44%} [47%] (43%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {39%} [38%] (45%)
                              Among Independents
                              • Rand Paul (R) 48% {41%} 
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {48%}
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {42%} [44%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {39%} [36%]
                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
                              • Ted Cruz (R) 47% {40%} [47%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {53%} [37%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {54%} [44%] (56%)
                              • Rick Perry (R) 41% {31%} [40%] (34%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 40% {37%} [50%] (37%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {33%} [26%] (43%)
                              Among Moderates
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {72%} 
                              • Rand Paul (R) 26% {19%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {68%} [58%]
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 28% {23%} [24%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% 
                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 21%
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 65% {77%} [60%]
                              • Ted Cruz (R) 20% {17%} [25%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 69% {76%} [66%] (76%)
                              • Rick Perry (R) 21% {10%} [20%] (17%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {61%} [47%] (63%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 23% {25%} [29%] (18%)
                              Among Men
                              • Rand Paul (R) 55% {51%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {41%}
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 53% {54%} [52%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {38%} [38%]
                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 52%
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
                              • Ted Cruz (R) 54% {52%} [55%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {40%} [39%]
                              • Rick Perry (R) 51% {53%} [47%] (47%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {39%} [44%] (45%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 46% {49%} [53%] (48%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {37%} [32%] (41%)
                              Among Women
                              • Rand Paul (R) 45% {45%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {47%} 
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {44%} [40%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {46%} [48%]
                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 47%
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                              • Ted Cruz (R) 48% {44%} [43%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {49%} [49%]
                              • Rick Perry (R) 47% {37%} [41%] (38%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {55%} [51%] (54%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 43% {39%} [41%] (40%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {42%} [45%] (48%)
                              Do you think Ted Cruz should run for President in 2016, or not?
                              • He should 32% {29%} [26%]
                              • He should not 54% {59%} [59%] 
                              Among Republicans
                              • He should 45% {43%} [41%]
                              • He should not 37% {42%} [39%]
                              Among Independents
                              • He should 32% {33%} [27%]
                              • He should not 55% {54%} [64%] 
                              Among Moderates
                              • He should 14% {13%} [9%]
                              • He should not 71% {74%} [76%]
                              Do you think Rick Perry should run for President in 2016, or not?
                              • He should 23% {15%} [18%]
                              • He should not 66% {73%} [74%] 
                              Among Republicans
                              • He should 37% {22%} [26%]
                              • He should not 47% {60%} [59%] 
                              Among Independents
                              • He should 17% {17%} [11%]
                              • He should not 72% {75%} [85%]
                              Among Moderates
                              • He should 13% {5%} [17%]
                              • He should not 81% {86%} [78%]
                              Survey of 559 registered voters was conducted April 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 44% {42%} [38%] (43%) Republican; 32% {35%} [34%] (32%) Democrat; 24% {24%} [28%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% {26%} [21%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 23% {25%} [28%] (25%) Very conservative; 23% {26%} [26%] (30%) Moderate; 17% {14%} [16%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% {8%} [10%] (8%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                              • Ted Cruz 25% {32%} [27%]
                              • Jeb Bush 14% {13%} [15%] (11%)
                              • Rick Perry 10% {3%} [7%] (4%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 10% (14%)
                              • Rand Paul 10% {10%} [11%] (13%) 
                              • Chris Christie 5% {13%} [11%] (9%)
                              • Paul Ryan 5% {5%} [9%] (11%)
                              • Bobby Jindal 4% {6%} [3%] (4%)
                              • Marco Rubio 4% {5%} [6%] (21%)
                              • Someone else/Not sure 12% {10%} [8%] (10%)
                              Survey of 294 Republican primary voters was conducted April 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% {36%} [30%] (34%) Somewhat conservative; 34% {44%} [51%] (42%) Very conservative; 17% {15%} [15%] (15%) Moderate; 6% {3%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 4% {2%} [1%] (2%) Very liberalResults from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll
                              • Mark Udall (D) 45%
                              • Cory Gardner (R) 43%
                              • Not sure 12%
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Cory Gardner 30% / 38% {-8%}
                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as Senator?
                              • Approve 38%
                              • Disapprove 46%
                              Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
                              • Steve Daines (R) 42% (43%)
                              • John Walsh (D) 35% (29%)
                              • Not sure 23% (28%)
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Steve Daines 43% (40%) / 31% (26%) {+12%}
                              • John Walsh 33% (25%) / 22% (13%) {+11%}
                              Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                              • Terri Lynn Land (R) 43% (42%)
                              • Gary Peters (D) 40% (37%)
                              • Not sure 18% (21%)
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Terri Lynn Land 32% (32%) / 32% (22%) {0%}
                              • Gary Peters 25% (18%) / 35% (23%) {-10%}
                              Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll
                              • Bill Cassidy (R) 47% [45%] (47%)
                              • Mary Landrieu (D) 43% [44%] (45%)
                              • Not sure 10% [11%] (8%)
                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mary Landrieu is handling her job as Senator?
                              • Approve 39% [40%] (44%)
                              • Disapprove 51% [51%] (37%)
                              Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
                              • Mark Pryor (D) 39% [36%] (41%)
                              • Tom Cotton (R) 39% [42%] (43%)
                              • Not sure 22% [22%] (16%)
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Tom Cotton 31% [38%] (34%) / 39% [23%] (26%) {-8%}
                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as Senator?
                              • Approve 38% [37%] (32%)
                              • Disapprove 44% [40%] (42%)
                              Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26-27, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.