Thursday, September 11, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
  • Kay Hagan (D) 45% {40%} [44%] (40%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 39% {45%} [45%] (47%) 
  • Some other candidate 6% {6%} [5%] (3%)
  • Undecided 9% {9%} [7%] (10%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 5-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-23, 2014 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers: 
Among voters who say they are certain to vote on Election Day, it’s a much closer race: Hagan 45%, Tillis 43%.
While Tillis leads by nine points among male voters in the state, Hagan has a 21-point lead among women. Tillis has lost ground among male voters over the past month, while Hagan’s lead among women has grown.
Eighty-one percent (81%) of North Carolina Republicans support Tillis. Hagan earns 78% of the vote from the state’s Democrats and leads by five points among voters not affiliated with either major party.
Hagan is viewed favorably by 47% of all voters in the state and unfavorably by 45%. This includes 20% with a Very Favorable opinion of her and 29% with a Very Unfavorable one. For Tillis, favorables are 41% and unfavorables 49%, with 13% who view him Very Favorably and 32% with a Very Unfavorable opinion.
Hagan’s favorables haven’t changed over the past month, but Tillis is more unpopular now.

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