Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

The candidates for Governor this fall are Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Charlie Crist, and Libertarian Adrian Wyllie. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44.0% [45%] (42%)
• Rick Scott (R) 43.8% [43%] (39%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [8%] (8%)
• Undecided 6% [5%] (11%)

Horse race, with Wyllie supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Scott or Crist:

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% (44%) [42%] (49%) {43%} [50%] (52%) {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
• Rick Scott (R) 46% (41%) [42%] (42%) {41%} [38%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 78% (70%) [74%] (77%) {66%} [72%] (74%) {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
• Rick Scott (R) 18% (17%) [12%] (13%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 83% (73%) [75%] (69%) {80%} [65%] (65%) {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% (15%) [11%] (21%) {14%} [21%] (29%) {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 49% (49%) [37%] (38%) {47%} [57%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
• Rick Scott (R) 33% (31%) [41%] (56%) {23%} [33%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 59% (54%) [44%] {56%} [64%] (71%) {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 31% (31%) [36%] {28%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 48% (44%) [39%] (41%) {39%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
• Rick Scott (R) 46% (43%) [49%] (52%) {47%} [43%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 47% (45%) [44%] (55%) {47%} [54%] (53%) {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
• Rick Scott (R) 45% (40%) [36%] (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 41% (40%) [39%] {34%} [33%] (33%) {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Disapprove 48% (49%) [48%] {51%} [55%] (57%) {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 18% (20%) [15%] {19%} [16%] (23%) {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
• Disapprove 73% (72%) [75%] {69%} [74%] (69%) {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 72% (69%) [61%] {58%} [57%] (46%) {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
• Disapprove 18% (23%) [26%] {27%} [29%] (42%) {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 28% (27%) [43%] {26%} [27%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
• Disapprove 56% (54%) [42%] {54%} [63%] (59%) {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 26% (29%) [33%] {30%} [26%] (21%) {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
• Disapprove 62% (59%) [48%] {57%} [63%] (68%) {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 42% (43%) [48%] {41%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
• Disapprove 50% (50%) [46%] {44%} [48%] (57%) {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 39% (38%) [31%] {27%} [28%] (32%) {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
• Disapprove 47% (49%) [51%] {57%} [62%] (57%) {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 40% (40%) [32%] {36%} [43%] (46%) {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 47% (46%) [48%] {46%} [42%] (43%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 68% (66%) [55%] {52%} [58%] (60%) {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
• Unfavorable 20% (21%) [22%] {24%} [24%] (28%) {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 11% (13%) [16%] {17%} [25%] (28%) {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
• Unfavorable 80% (76%) [74%] {72%} [65%] (62%) {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 40% (40%) [24%] {35%} [47%] (49%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 38% (39%) [49%] {45%} [38%] (40%) {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 48% (51%) [35%] {47%} [51%] (61%) {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
• Unfavorable 31% (33%) [41%] {35%} [32%] (25%) {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]

Among Men

• Favorable 39% (44%) [30%] {34%} [44%] (48%) {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
• Unfavorable 48% (49%) [53%] {50%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]

Among Women

• Favorable 42% (37%) [34%] {38%} [43%] (44%) {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 45% (43%) [44%] {42%} [36%] (42%) {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]

Survey of 1,198 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. Party ID: 39% [44%] (40%) [38%] (44%) {41%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% [39%] (38%) [37%] (39%) {34%} [35%] (37%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 23% [17%] (22%) [25%] (17%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (31%) [28%] {33%} [29%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 24% (23%) [25%] {21%} [27%] (21%) {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 16% (19%) [22%] {20%} [18%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 15% (13%) [15%] {17%} [16%] (17%) {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 11% (13%) [11%] {10%} [10%] (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 16-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.