Monday, December 29, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [59%] (58%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% [36%] (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [56%] (52%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 41% [39%] (43% )
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [56%] (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% [37%] (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [58%] (54%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% [38%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Ben Carson (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [57%] (55%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% [38%] (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 35%
National survey of 1,011 adults was conducted December 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses

Sunday, December 28, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Jeb Bush 23% [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 13% [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
  • Ben Carson 7% [11%]
  • Mike Huckabee 6% [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
  • Rand Paul 6% [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% [9%] (11%) {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 4% [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% [1%]
  • Rick Perry 4% [5%] (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]
  • John Kasich 3% [3%]
  • Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
  • Mike Pence 0% [1%]
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%]
  • Someone else (vol.) 5% [6%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 5% [2%] (2%) {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
  • No opinion 3% [4%] (3%) {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
Among Republicans
  • Jeb Bush 28% [20%] (10%) {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
  • Chris Christie 14% [11%] (13%) {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 9% [11%] (12%) {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
  • Bobby Jindal 6% [2%]
  • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% [2%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% [7%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
  • Ben Carson 5% [6%] 
  • Rand Paul 5% [6%] (12%) {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (4%) {4%} [7%] 
  • Rick Perry 3% [4%] (10%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
  • John Kasich 1% [1%]
  • Mike Pence 0% [0%]
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%]
  • Someone else (vol.) 2% [7%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 5% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
  • No opinion 3% [4%] (3%) {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
Among GOP-Leaning Independents
  • Jeb Bush 18% [7%] (5%) {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
  • Chris Christie 13% [6%] (12%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%
  • Ben Carson 9% [15%]
  • Rand Paul 7% [10%] (13%) {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% [4%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
  • Rick Perry 6% [6%] (12%) {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%) 
  • Paul Ryan 5% [11%] (7%) {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
  • John Kasich 5% [4%]
  • Scott Walker 4% [6%] (5%) {6%} [6%] 
  • Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [1%]
  • Mike Huckabee 2% [10%] (13%) {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
  • Ted Cruz 2% [7%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%) 
  • Mike Pence 1% [2%]
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%]
  • Someone else (vol.) 7% [6%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 5% [1%] (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
  • No opinion 2% [3%] (4%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)
Among Men
  • Jeb Bush 23% [11%] (7%) {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%) 
  • Chris Christie 14% [9%] (12%) {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
  • Rand Paul 8% [10%] (14%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
  • Ben Carson 6% [12%]
  • Scott Walker 6% [9%] (6%) {7%} [8%] 
  • Ted Cruz 6% [8%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%) 
  • Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (12%) {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
  • Mike Huckabee 5% [8%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
  • Rick Perry 4% [5%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 4% [2%]
  • John Kasich 4% [1%] 
  • Marco Rubio 3% [3%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [1%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
  • Mike Pence 1% [0%]
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%]
  • Someone else (vol.) 4% [7%] (7%) {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 3% [2%] (2%) {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
  • No opinion 3% [5%] (1%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
Among Women
  • Jeb Bush 24% [16%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
  • Mike Huckabee 8% [13%] (15%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
  • Ben Carson 7% [9%] 
  • Marco Rubio 7% [4%] (7%) {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
  • Paul Ryan 6% [10%] (9%) {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%
  • Bobby Jindal 5% [1%]
  • Rick Perry 5% [5%] (13%) {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
  • Rand Paul 5% [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [2%] (3%) {3%} [6%]
  • Ted Cruz 2% [6%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • John Kasich 2% [4%]
  • Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
  • Mike Pence 0% [2%]
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%]
  • Someone else (vol.) 6% [6%] (5%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 6% [2%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
  • No opinion 1% [3%] (5%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)
Survey of 453 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 54% [62%] (59%) {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 46% [38%] (41%) {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 66% [65%] (67%) {64%} [63%] (65%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9% [10%] (10%) [7%] (7%)
  • Joe Biden 8% [9%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (10%) 
  • Bernie Sanders 3% [5%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 1% [1%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [0%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (2%)
  • Jim Webb 1% [1%]
  • Deval Patrick 0% [1%]
Survey of 469 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted December 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 64% [63%] (67%) Democrat; 36% [37%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Saturday, December 27, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
  • Approve 48% {49%} [52%] (55%) {55%} [53%] (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
  • Disapprove 47% {46%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [41%] (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 22% {27%} [31%] (29%) {34%} [29%] (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 73% {67%} [60%] (67%) {60%} [64%] (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 82% {80%} [78%] (86%) {83%} [83%] (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
  • Disapprove 16% {18%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [13%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 52% {52%} [57%] (62%) {58%} [60%] (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
  • Disapprove 42% {43%} [37%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 49% {51%} [53%] (57%) [53%] (71%) {65%} [69%] (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
  • Disapprove 46% {45%} [40%] (39%) [40%] (23%) {30%} [27%] (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)
Survey of 646 registered voters was conducted December 3-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {34%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [39%] (36%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 20% {20%} [20%] (21%) {23%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [21%] (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 46% {46%} [47%] (43%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 2, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-13, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

The 2016 presidential election is far away, but thinking ahead to the Democratic primary for president, who would be your first choice for the Democratic candidate? Just tell me a name.
  • Hillary Clinton 54%
  • Elizabeth Warren 6%
  • Cory Booker 2%
  • Joe Biden 1%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Other 3%
  • Don't know 34%
Survey of 280 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted December 3-10, 2014.

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [51%] (51%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% [40%] (41%)
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% [43%] (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [42%] (45%)
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [52%] (48%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% [37%] (41%)
Among Men 
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% [46%] (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [48%] (48%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [53%] (56%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 34% [36%] (35%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 56% [54%] (59%) / 32% [32%] (32%) {+24%}
  • Chris Christie 44% [49%] (48%) / 46% [40%] (40%) {-2%}
Survey of 646 registered voters was conducted December 3-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [33%] (36%) Democrat; 20% [19%] (23%) Republican; 46% [47%] (41%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 GOP Primary Poll

The 2016 presidential election is far away, but thinking ahead to the Republican primary for president, who would be your first choice for the Republican candidate? Just tell me a name.
  • Chris Christie 32% (41%)
  • Mitt Romney 10% (6%)
  • Jeb Bush 6% (5%)
  • Rand Paul 4% (2%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% (1%)
  • Ted Cruz 3% (3%)
  • Ben Carson 2%
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (0%)
  • Rudy Giuliani 1% (0%)
  • Rick Perry 1% (1%)
  • Ron Paul 1% (1%)
  • Scott Walker 1% (2%)
  • Other 3% (3%)
  • Don't know 31% (30%)
Survey of 224 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 3-10, 2014. Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Friday, December 26, 2014

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 61% {64%} [69%] (73%)
  • Joe Biden 14% {13%} [12%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {11%} [7%] (9%)
  • Bernie Sanders 4% {1%} [2%]
  • Jim Webb 3% {2%} [1%]
  • Martin O'Malley 0% {1%} [2%]
  • None of these (vol.) 1% {3%} [2%] (3%) 
  • No opinion 2% {5%} [2%] (4%)
Survey of 346 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted December 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {52%} [51%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {39%} [42%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {52%} [51%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {50%} [50%] (49%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% {40%} [42%] (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {54%}
      • John Kasich (R) 37% {35%}
      National survey of 1,043 registered voters was conducted December 7-9, 2014 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {43%} [39%] (40%) Democrat; 39% {35%} [38%] (34%) Republican; 18% {18%} [20%] (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 62% {64%} [69%] (68%)
      • Elizabeth Warren 12% {9%} [6%] (7%)
      • Joe Biden 10% {12%} [14%] (12%) 
      • Bernie Sanders 3%
      • Andrew Cuomo 2% {5%} [2%] (4%)
      • Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
      • Jim Webb 1%
      National survey of 409 registered Democrats was conducted December 7-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Jeb Bush 14% {13%} [12%] (18%)
      • Paul Ryan 11% {9%} [12%] (18%)
      • Rand Paul 10% {12%} [15%] (11%)
      • Ben Carson 8% {7%}
      • Ted Cruz 8% {4%} [7%] (12%)
      • Chris Christie 7% {8%} [9%] (14%)
      • Mike Huckabee 7% {12%} [14%]
      • Marco Rubio 7% {8%} [6%] (10%)
      • Scott Walker 7% {2%} [5%]
      • Rick Perry 5% {6%} [5%]
      • Rick Santorum 3% {4%}
      • Bobby Jindal 3% {2%} [2%]
      • John Kasich 2% {2%} [1%]
      • Other (vol.) 0% {1%} [2%] (2%)
      • None of these (vol.) 2% {3%} [4%] (4%)
      • Would not vote (vol.) 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) 
      • No opinion 6% {9%} [5%] (9%)
      Survey of 410 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted December 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Monday, December 15, 2014

      Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [51%] (47%) {53%} [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 41% [42%] (41%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [53%] (48%) {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [42%] (41%) {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [52%] (48%) {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
      • Rand Paul (R) 40% [43%] (42%) {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
      National survey of 923 registered voters was conducted December 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 28% Republican; 37% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      McClatchy-Marist 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 62% {64%} [65%] (63%)
      • Joe Biden 11% {15%} [12%] (13%)
      • Elizabeth Warren 9% {8%} [9%]
      • Bernie Sanders 4% {4%}
      • Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [1%] (1%)
      • Jim Webb 1% {1%}
      • Unsure 11% {6%} [9%] (18%)
      Survey of 429 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted December 3-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Party ID: 72% {76%} Democrat; 28% {24%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Jeb Bush 16% (15%) {13%} [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
      • Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (13%)
      • Chris Christie 10% (12%) {13%} [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
      • Ben Carson 8%
      • Paul Ryan 7% (13%) {9%} [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
      • Rand Paul 6% (13%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
      • Ted Cruz 5% (4%) {10%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%) 
      • Rick Perry 5% (7%) {7%} [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%) 
      • Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {9%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%) 
      • Scott Walker 3% (3%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%) 
      • John Kasich 3%
      • Rick Santorum 3% (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%) 
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (4%) {2%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
      • Carly Fiorina 1%
      • Undecided 18% (21%) {23%} [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
      Among Republicans
      • Jeb Bush 17% (14%) {17%} [14%] (11%) {9%} [11%]
      • Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (15%)
      • Chris Christie 11% (14%) {10%} [14%] (13%) {17%} [17%]
      • Paul Ryan 7% (15%) {11%} [12%] (8%) {12%} [13%]
      • Ben Carson 6%
      • Rick Perry 6% (8%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {7%} [2%]
      • Ted Cruz 5% (2%) {9%} [3%] (5%) {5%} [10%]
      • Rand Paul 4% (10%) {6%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%]
      • Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {7%} [4%]
      • John Kasich 2%
      • Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {10%} [7%] (12%) {5%} [5%]
      • Scott Walker 2% (3%) {5%} [4%] (5%) {3%} [5%]
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {1%} [3%] {2%}  
      • Carly Fiorina 0%
      • Undecided 20% (23%) {24%} [16%] (13%) {24%} [16%]
      Among Independents
      • Jeb Bush 14% (17%) {8%} [11%] (4%) {6%} [9%]
      • Ben Carson 11%
      • Mike Huckabee 11% [12%] (9%)
      • Rand Paul 9% (19%) {8%} [19%] (14%) {8%} [20%
      • Chris Christie 8% (7%) {16%} [8%] (14%) {14%} [20%
      • Marco Rubio 7% (5%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [9%]
      • Paul Ryan 6% (9%) {7%} [12%] (11%) {13%} [8%]
      • Scott Walker 5% (2%) {2%} [7%] (8%) {5%} [3%]  
      • John Kasich 4%
      • Ted Cruz 4% (8%) {12%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [11%] 
      • Carly Fiorina 3%
      • Bobby Jindal 2% (6%) {5%} [4%] {4%}
      • Rick Perry 2% (5%) {11%} [0%] (0%) {4%} [3%]
      • Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {4%} [5%] (2%) {3%} [3%] 
      • Undecided 12% (17%) {21%} [9%] (10%) {26%} [8%]
      Among Men
      • Jeb Bush 22% (15%) {11%} [14%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
      • Mike Huckabee 10% [11%] (10%)
      • Ben Carson 8%
      • Chris Christie 7% (10%) {15%} [10%] (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
      • Rand Paul 7% (15%) {8%} [14%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
      • Rick Perry 7% (6%) {8%} [1%] (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
      • Paul Ryan 6% (17%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
      • Ted Cruz 6% (5%) {16%} [4%] (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%)  
      • John Kasich 4%
      • Scott Walker 4% (2%) {4%} [6%] (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
      • Marco Rubio 3% (5%) {7%} [5%] (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%) 
      • Carly Fiorina 2%
      • Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (5%) {4%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
      • Undecided 10% (17%) {14%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)
      Among Women
      • Chris Christie 13% (14%) {11%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%) 
      • Mike Huckabee 13% [14%] (16%)
      • Jeb Bush 11% (14%) {15%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
      • Paul Ryan 8% (8%) {7%} [12%] (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%)   
      • Ben Carson 7%
      • Rand Paul 4% (11%) {6%} [10%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%) 
      • Ted Cruz 4% (3%) {5%} [3%] (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
      • Marco Rubio 3% (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%) 
      • Rick Santorum 3% (3%) {4%} [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
      • John Kasich 2%
      • Rick Perry 2% (8%) {6%} [4%] (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
      • Scott Walker 2% (3%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%) 
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {1%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
      • Carly Fiorina 0%
      • Undecided 25% (26%) {30%} [14%] (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)
      Survey of 360 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Party ID: 70% (67%) {57%} [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 30% (33%) {43%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      I know the 2016 election is far away, but who would you like to see as the Democratic nominee for president? [LIST WAS NOT READ]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
      • Elizabeth Warren 6%
      • Joe Biden 2%
      • Bernie Sanders 2%
      • Andrew Cuomo 1%
      • Other 1%
      • No one, do not want Democrat as president 7%
      • Undecided 32%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Hillary Clinton 82% / 11% {+71%}
      • Joe Biden 46% / 32% {+14%}
      • Bernie Sanders 22% / 13% {+9%}
      • Andrew Cuomo 30% / 22% {+8%}
      • Jim Webb 11% / 14% {-3%}
      • Martin O'Malley 10% / 13% {-3%}
      • Joe Manchin 9% / 14% {-5%}
      Survey of 386 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted December 10-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points.

      Thursday, December 11, 2014

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

      PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
      • Ben Carson (R) 44%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [45%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [43%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
          • Chris Christie (R) 42% [38%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% [46%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]

            • Ben Carson (R) 45%
            • Joe Biden (D) 40%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 47%
            • Joe Biden (D) 42%

            • Ben Carson (R) 44%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 37%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 46%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 39%
            Among Independents
            • Ben Carson (R) 42%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [39%] (43%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [36%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (39%) {46%} [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [36%] (37%) {36%} [36%] (38%) {39%} [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 33% [37%] (42%) {39%} [39%] (45%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% [45%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {34%} [36%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [38%] (39%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {48%} [52%]

            • Ben Carson (R) 43%
            • Joe Biden (D) 28%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 44%
            • Joe Biden (D) 34%

            • Ben Carson (R) 41%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 28%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 29%
            Among Moderates
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
            • Ben Carson (R) 26%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [57%] (59%) {55%} [57%] (60%) [58%] (58%) {59%} [61%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 29% [29%] (27%) {30%} [23%] (29%) [25%] (25%) {30%} [26%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [59%] (58%) {53%} [59%] (60%) [54%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 27% [26%] (28%) {30%} [18%] (31%) [31%] (32%) {32%} [36%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [60%] (59%) {58%} [64%] (62%) [60%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 26% [31%] (28%) {25%} [21%] (28%) [25%]

            • Joe Biden (D) 46%
            • Ben Carson (R) 28%
            • Joe Biden (D) 55%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 28%

            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 41%
            • Ben Carson (R) 23%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 27%
            Among Men
            • Ben Carson (R) 53%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 53% [51%] (48%) {51%} [47%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [36%] (39%) {39%} [39%] (42%) {42%} [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 49% [45%] (42%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [38%] (39%) {41%} [39%] (42%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% [53%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [46%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [39%] (40%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {47%} [47%]

            • Ben Carson (R) 54%
            • Joe Biden (D) 35%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 52%
            • Joe Biden (D) 37%

            • Ben Carson (R) 54%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 30%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 54%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 32%
            Among Women
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
            • Ben Carson (R) 36%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [50%] (52%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [40%] (37%) {39%} [38%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [51%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 36% [33%] (35%) {37%} [36%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [51%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {52%} [50%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% [40%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (40%) {41%} [41%]

            • Joe Biden (D) 45%
            • Ben Carson (R) 38%
            • Joe Biden (D) 46%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 42%

            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 44%
            • Ben Carson (R) 35%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 39%
            Among Whites
            • Ben Carson (R) 56%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 57% [55%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (55%) {57%} [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% [33%] (38%) {35%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 54% [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% [35%] (37%) {35%} [39%] (37%) {36%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 57% [56%] (52%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {53%} [54%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% [35%] (37%) {35%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [38%]

            • Ben Carson (R) 57%
            • Joe Biden (D) 28%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 60%
            • Joe Biden (D) 30%

            • Ben Carson (R) 56%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 26%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 59%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 27%
            Among Blacks
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 83%
            • Ben Carson (R) 9%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 83% [81%] (77%) {82%} [69%] (77%) {86%} [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 12% [9%] (11%) {11%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% [84%] (78%) {82%} [68%] (78%) {80%} [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 9% [9%] (12%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% [83%] (76%) {86%} [78%] (80%) {89%} [82%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 6% [11%] (13%) {8%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%]

            • Joe Biden (D) 75%
            • Ben Carson (R) 11%
            • Joe Biden (D) 75%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 10%

            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 68%
            • Ben Carson (R) 9%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 69%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 7%
            Survey of 823 registered voters was conducted December 4-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 22% [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 72% [73%] (75%) {75%} [74%] (74%) {74%} [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 22% [20%] (20%) {20%} [20%] (20%) {20%} [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 6% [7%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
            • Ben Carson 19%
            • Jeb Bush 15% {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%) 
            • Chris Christie 14% {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
            • Mike Huckabee 14% {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
            • Paul Ryan 11% {8%} [6%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
            • Rick Perry 7%
            • Ted Cruz 5% {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
            • Rand Paul 5% {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
            • Marco Rubio 4% {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
            • Someone else/Not sure 7% {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
            Among Men
            • Ben Carson 20%
            • Chris Christie 18% {14%} [9%] (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
            • Mike Huckabee 13% {18%} [13%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
            • Paul Ryan 11% {7%} [7%] (8%) {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)
            • Jeb Bush 11%{12%} [15%] {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
            • Rand Paul 7% {14%} [18%] (8%) {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
            • Ted Cruz 6% {12%} [19%] (16%) {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] 
            • Rick Perry 5%
            • Marco Rubio 2% {4%} [6%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
            • Someone else/Not sure 7% {11%} [7%] (4%) {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)
            Among Women
            • Jeb Bush 18% {23%} [15%] (21%) {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
            • Ben Carson 17%
            • Mike Huckabee 16% {16%} [26%] (24%) {24%} [25%] (16%)
            • Paul Ryan 11% {9%} [4%] (9%) {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
            • Chris Christie 9% {10%} [9%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
            • Rick Perry 8%
            • Marco Rubio 6% {5%} [4%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
            • Ted Cruz 4% {11%} [13%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]  
            • Rand Paul 3% {9%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
            • Someone else/Not sure 8% {10%} [10%] (7%) {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)
            Survey of 390 Republican primary voters was conducted December 4-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 38% {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 18% {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 5% {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

            Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {50%} [50%] (49%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 39% {40%} [42%] (45%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {53%} [54%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 31% {32%} [34%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {55%} [55%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 31% {31%} [35%]
            Among Independents
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {46%} [48%] (44%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 41% {40%} [42%] (48%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {53%} [54%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 33% {32%} [32%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {52%} [52%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 32% {32%} [34%]
            Among Men
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {43%} [44%] (35%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 41% {46%} [47%] (58%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {46%} [49%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 33% {39%} [37%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {47%} [49%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 34% {39%} [40%]
            Among Women
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {56%} [54%] (60%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 38% {36%} [38%] (34%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {60%} [59%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 28% {26%} [32%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% {62%} [61%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 28% {25%} [31%]
            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
            • Hillary Clinton 58% [60%] (67%) / 35% [38%] (29%) {+23%}
            • Chris Christie 45% [47%] (69%) / 47% [47%] (22%) {-2%}
            • Rand Paul 25% [31%] / 32% [33%] {-7%}
            • Jeb Bush 25% [32%] / 35% [33%] {-10%}
            Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
            • Yes 40% [39%]
            • No 53% [55%]
            Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President in 2016 or not?
            • Yes 44% [46%]
            • No 50% [49%]
            Survey of 1,340 registered voters was conducted December 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {33%} [34%] (33%) Democrat; 23% {23%} [24%] (25%) Republican; 37% {37%} [35%] (36%) Independent; 7% {7%} [7%] (7%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Wednesday, December 10, 2014

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

            Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

            Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
            • Approve 48% {46%} [49%] (49%) {55%} [68%] (69%) {67%} [70%] (74%) {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
            • Disapprove 47% {45%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [26%] (27%) {24%} [23%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
            Among Democrats
            • Approve 20% {21%} [23%] (23%) {36%} [51%] (41%) {46%} [48%] (56%) {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
            • Disapprove 74% {70%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [43%] (52%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
            Among Republicans
            • Approve 82% {82%} [86%] (82%) {81%} [90%] (96%) {91%} [93%] (94%) {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
            • Disapprove 12% {13%} [12%] (14%) {16%} [6%] (3%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
            Among Independents
            • Approve 51% {48%} [47%] (54%) {56%} [70%] (78%) {73%} [73%] (77%) {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
            • Disapprove 45% {43%} [50%] (39%) {37%} [24%] (18%) {19%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
            Among Men
            • Approve 50% {51%} [54%] (53%) {54%} [67%] (71%) {72%} [75%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
            • Disapprove 46% {42%} [42%] (43%) {39%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [19%] (15%) {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
            Among Women
            • Approve 45% {43%} [44%] (46%) {55%} [69%] (66%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
            • Disapprove 48% {48%} [50%] (45%) {37%} [25%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
            Survey of 1,340 registered voters was conducted December 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {33%} [34%] (36%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% {23%} [24%] (23%) {21%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 37% {37%} [35%] (34%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {7%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-7, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-13, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

            Monday, December 08, 2014

            Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [45%] (52%) 
            • Chris Christie (R) 36% [38%] (39%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [47%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 37% [38%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [47%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 37% [38%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
            • Ted Cruz (R) 33%
            National survey of 753 likely voters was conducted December 3-5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Friday, December 05, 2014

            Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

            Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll
            • Bill Cassidy (R) 56% {56%} [50%] (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
            • Mary Landrieu (D) 40% {41%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%) 
            Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 2-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.
            Inside the numbers:
            Among the 89% who say they will definitely vote in the runoff election, Cassidy leads 57% to 40%.
            Thirty percent (30%) say they have voted already, and the Republican holds a narrower 50% to 44% lead in this group. He’s ahead 58% to 39% among the 70% who say they have yet to cast their ballots.
            This survey was taken just after the only debate between Landrieu and Cassidy, held on Monday night. Thirty-four percent (34%) of the state’s voters say they have changed the way they were going to vote after watching a debate between candidates for statewide office. Fifty-nine percent (59%) say they have not ever changed their vote because of a debate, compared to 53% of voters nationwide.
            But even among voters who say a debate has caused them to change a vote, Cassidy leads 52% to 45%.
            Landrieu is viewed favorably by 43% of voters in Louisiana and unfavorably by 55%. This includes 29% with a Very Favorable opinion of her and 42% with a Very Unfavorable one.
            For Cassidy, favorables are 55% and unfavorable 42%, including 26% with a Very Favorable opinion and 28% who view him Very Unfavorably.

            Tuesday, December 02, 2014

            Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

            CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 65% (67%) {64%} [63%] (65%)
            • Elizabeth Warren 10% (10%) [7%] (7%)
            • Joe Biden 9% (8%) {13%} [12%] (10%) 
            • Bernie Sanders 5%
            • Andrew Cuomo 1% (4%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
            • Deval Patrick 1%
            • Jim Webb 1%
            • Martin O'Malley 0% (2%) {4%} [2%] (2%)
            If Hillary Clinton were not in the race:
            • Joe Biden 41% [43%]
            • Elizabeth Warren 20% [17%]
            • Andrew Cuomo 7% [15%]
            • Bernie Sanders 7%
            • Martin O'Malley 4% [6%]
            • Jim Webb 3%
            • Deval Patrick 2%
            Survey of 457 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted November 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 63% (67%) Democrat; 37% (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

            CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
            • Jeb Bush 14% (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
            • Ben Carson 11%
            • Mike Huckabee 10% (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
            • Chris Christie 9% (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
            • Paul Ryan 9% (11%) {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
            • Rand Paul 8% (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
            • Ted Cruz 7% (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
            • Rick Perry 5% (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
            • Scott Walker 5% (5%) {5%} [7%]
            • John Kasich 3%
            • Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
            • Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
            • Bobby Jindal 1%
            • Mike Pence 1%
            • Rob Portman 0%
            • Someone else (vol.) 6% (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
            • None/No one (vol.) 2% (2%) {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
            • No opinion 4% (3%) {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
            Among Republicans
            • Jeb Bush 20% (10%) {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
            • Chris Christie 11% (13%) {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
            • Mike Huckabee 11% (12%) {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
            • Paul Ryan 7% (14%) {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
            • Ted Cruz 7% (6%) {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
            • Ben Carson 6% 
            • Rand Paul 6% (12%) {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
            • Scott Walker 5% (4%) {4%} [7%] 
            • Rick Perry 4% (10%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
            • Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
            • Bobby Jindal 2%
            • Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
            • John Kasich 1%
            • Mike Pence 0%
            • Rob Portman 0%
            • Someone else (vol.) 7% (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
            • None/No one (vol.) 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
            • No opinion 4% (3%) {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
            Among GOP-Leaning Independents
            • Ben Carson 15%
            • Paul Ryan 11% (7%) {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
            • Mike Huckabee 10% (13%) {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
            • Rand Paul 10% (13%) {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
            • Jeb Bush 7% (5%) {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
            • Ted Cruz 7% (10%) {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
            • Chris Christie 6% (12%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
            • Rick Perry 6% (12%) {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%) 
            • Scott Walker 6% (5%) {6%} [6%] 
            • John Kasich 4%
            • Marco Rubio 4% (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
            • Mike Pence 2%
            • Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
            • Bobby Jindal 1%
            • Rob Portman 0%
            • Someone else (vol.) 6% (7%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
            • None/No one (vol.) 1% (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
            • No opinion 3% (4%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)
            Among Men
            • Ben Carson 12%
            • Jeb Bush 11% (7%) {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
            • Rand Paul 10% (14%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
            • Chris Christie 9% (12%) {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
            • Scott Walker 9% (6%) {7%} [8%]
            • Paul Ryan 8% (12%) {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
            • Mike Huckabee 8% (11%) {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
            • Ted Cruz 8% (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
            • Rick Perry 5% (9%) {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
            • Marco Rubio 3% (5%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)  
            • Bobby Jindal 2%
            • John Kasich 1%
            • Rick Santorum 1% (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
            • Mike Pence 0%
            • Rob Portman 0%
            • Someone else (vol.) 7% (7%) {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
            • None/No one (vol.) 2% (2%) {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
            • No opinion 5% (1%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
            Among Women
            • Jeb Bush 16% (9%) {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
            • Mike Huckabee 13% (15%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
            • Paul Ryan 10% (9%) {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
            • Chris Christie 9% (13%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
            • Ben Carson 9%
            • Rand Paul 6% (10%) {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
            • Ted Cruz 6% (6%) {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%) 
            • Rick Perry 5% (13%) {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
            • John Kasich 4%
            • Marco Rubio 4% (7%) {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
            • Mike Pence 2%
            • Scott Walker 2% (3%) {3%} [6%]
            • Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
            • Bobby Jindal 1%
            • Rob Portman 0%
            • Someone else (vol.) 6% (5%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
            • None/No one (vol.) 2% (1%) {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
            • No opinion 3% (5%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)
            Survey of 510 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted November 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 62% (59%) {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 38% (41%) {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Survey

            Gravis Marketing (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Rand Paul (R) 55% {48%} [46%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {39%} [38%]
            • Unsure 7% {14%} [16%]
            • Paul Ryan (R) 54% {46%} [51%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {39%} [37%]
            • Unsure 9% {16%} [11%]
            • Ted Cruz (R) 52%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
            • Unsure 9%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 50% {43%} [45%] (49%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {38%} [36%] (39%)
            • Unsure 12% {19%} [19%] (13%)
            • Nikki Haley (R) 45%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
            • Unsure 18%
            Survey of 836 registered voters was conducted November 24-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {36%} [36%] (36%) Republican; 28% {29%} [29%] (29%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [35%] (35%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 51%
            • Elizabeth Warren 18%
            • Joe Biden 12%
            • Martin O'Malley 4%
            • Andrew Cuomo 2%
            • Unsure 13%
            Survey of 694 Democratic voters was conducted November 19-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.