Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson University New Jersey 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 63% (63%)
  • Bernie Sanders 15%%
  • Martin O'Malley 3%
  • Lincoln Chafee 0%
Survey of 345 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 15-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson University New Jersey 2016 Republican Primary Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
  • Chris Christie 18% [20%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush 18% [13%] (6%)
  • Donald Trump 11%
  • Scott Walker 9% [14%] 
  • Ben Carson 6%
  • Marco Rubio 6% (9%)
  • Rand Paul 5% [8%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 3% [8%] 
  • Carly Fiorina 3% 
  • Mike Huckabee 3% 
  • George Pataki 2%
  • Rick Perry 2%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Lindsey Graham 1% 
  • Bobby Jindal 0%
  • John Kasich 0% 
Survey of 267 registered Republican primary voters was conducted June 15-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 13-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {49%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [55%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 42% {39%} [37%] (39%) {39%} [35%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Scott Walker (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {50%} [48%] (50%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {38%} [36%] (38%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {48%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [44%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 38% {36%} [35%] (37%) {40%} [38%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [53%] (51%)
    • Marco Rubio (R) 40% [36%] (37%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
      • Carly Fiorina (R) 38%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
        • Ben Carson (R) 41%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {49%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [51%]
        • Jeb Bush (R) 38% {38%} [37%] (38%) {42%} [37%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {51%} [50%] {49%}
        • Ted Cruz (R) 39% {37%} [34%] {38%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
        • Donald Trump (R) 39%
        Survey of 1,072 likely voters was conducted June 25-28, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {37%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [36%] Democrat; 28% {29%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [29%] Republican; 36% {34%} [38%] (35%) {35%} [35%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 35% {27%} [30%] (28%) {31%} [33%] Moderate; 19% {21%} [23%] (26%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 17% {23%} [18%] (19%) {17%} [18%] Somewhat liberal; 15% {14%} [14%] (12%) {12%} [11%] Very liberal; 13% {15%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [13%] Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

        • Hillary Clinton 57%
        • Bernie Sanders 25% 
        • Lincoln Chafee 5%
        • Jim Webb 2%
        • Martin O'Malley 1% 
        • Not sure 10%
        Survey of 431 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 25-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Ideology: 34% Moderate; 30% Somewhat liberal; 28% Very liberal; 6% Somewhat conservative; 1% Very conservative.

        Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

        PPP (D) Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll
        • Scott Walker 15% {5%} [5%] 
        • Jeb Bush 14% {9%} [10%] (16%)
        • Ben Carson 14%
        • Donald Trump 14%
        • Marco Rubio 9% {4%} [8%] (11%)
        • Mike Huckabee 8% {15%}
        • Chris Christie 5% {15%} [16%] (15%)
        • Ted Cruz 5% {11%} [15%] (7%)
        • Rand Paul 4% {16%} [18%] (18%)
        • Carly Fiorina 3%
        • John Kasich 3%
        • Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (6%) 
        • Lindsey Graham 1%
        • Rick Perry 1%
        • Bobby Jindal 0% {3%} [4%] (4%) 
        • George Pataki 0%
        • Someone else/Not sure 2% {17%} [14%] (10%)
        Survey of 465 Republican primary voters was conducted June 25-28, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% {44%} [39%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 31% {29%} [33%] (29%) Very conservative; 23% {20%} [20%] (25%) Moderate; 7% {5%} [5%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Thursday, June 25, 2015

        Poll Watch: CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

        CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
        • Hillary Clinton 43% (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
        • Bernie Sanders 35% (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%)
        • Joe Biden 8% (2%) {8%} [3%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%) 
        • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
        • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%}
        • Lincoln Chafee 0% (1%) 
        Survey of 360 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 18-24, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

        CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
        • Jeb Bush 16% (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
        • Donald Trump 11% (5%) {2%}
        • Rand Paul 9% (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
        • Scott Walker 8% (11%) {12%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) 
        • Carly Fiorina 6% (4%) {0%}
        • Marco Rubio 6% (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
        • Ben Carson 5% (4%) {8%} 
        • Chris Christie 5% (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
        • Rick Perry 4% (4%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%} 
        • Ted Cruz 3% (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
        • Mike Huckabee 2% (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)  
        • John Kasich 2% (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
        • Lindsey Graham 1% (1%)
        • George Pataki 1% (2%) {1%}
        • Bobby Jindal 0% (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
        • Peter King 0% (0%) {0%}
        • Bob Ehrlich 0% (0%)
        • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
        • Rick Santorum 0% (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
        Survey of 402 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 18-24, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

        St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
        • Hillary Clinton 56% {62%} [56%] (62%)
        • Bernie Sanders 24% {18%} [8%] (6%) 
        • Martin O'Malley 2% {3%} [0%] (1%)
        • Lincoln Chafee 1% {1%}
        • None of the above 4% {3%} [2%] (2%)
        • Not sure 12% {8%} [11%] (8%)  
        Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 19-22, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

        Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
        • Hillary Clinton 50% {57%} [56%] (53%)
        • Bernie Sanders 24% {16%} [5%] (3%)
        • Martin O'Malley 2% {2%} [1%] (0%) 
        • Lincoln Chafee 0%
        Survey of 401 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted June 19-22, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is ± 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

        Wednesday, June 24, 2015

        Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

        • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [45%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [42%] (38%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [44%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (49%) {52%} [51%] (51%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [47%] (46%) {47%}
        • Marco Rubio (R) 44% [43%] (42%) {43%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {47%} [47%] (51%) {52%} [51%]
        • Rand Paul (R) 42% (43%) {45%} [44%] (40%) {41%} [42%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%]
        • Ben Carson (R) 41% [42%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (47%) {48%} (52%)
        • Ted Cruz (R) 42% [43%] (42%) {42%} (36%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [48%] (46%) {48%}
        • Scott Walker (R) 41% [42%] (40%) {42%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [49%]
        • Carly Fiorina (R) 39% [37%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
        • Donald Trump (R) 34%
        National survey of 1,005 registered voters was conducted June 21-23, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

        Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
        • Hillary Clinton 61% {57%} [63%] (62%) {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
        • Bernie Sanders 15% {11%} [6%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
        • Joe Biden 11% {8%} [6%] (9%) {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
        • Andrew Cuomo 3% {1%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%)   
        • Martin O'Malley 1% {4%} [0%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
        • Jim Webb 2% {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
        • Lincoln Chafee 0% {1%} [0%] (0%) 
        National survey of 375 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 21-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

        Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
        • Jeb Bush 15% [12%] (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
        • Donald Trump 11% [4%] (4%) {5%} [3%]
        • Ben Carson 10% [11%] (13%) {6%} [11%] (10%)
        • Rand Paul 9% [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
        • Scott Walker 9% [12%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
        • Marco Rubio 8% [7%] (9%) {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
        • Mike Huckabee 6% [6%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (13%)
        • Ted Cruz 4% [8%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)
        • Carly Fiorina 3% [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%]
        • Rick Santorum 3% [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
        • Chris Christie 2% [5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%
        • Bobby Jindal 2% [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
        • John Kasich 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
        • Rick Perry 2% [4%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%) 
        • Lindsey Graham 1% [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
        • George Pataki 1% [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
        National survey of 378 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 21-23, 2015, under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Survey

        PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Poll
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 49% (47%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%) 
        • Rand Paul (R) 50% (49%) {49%} [45%] (42%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (43%) {43%} [45%] (47%
        • Ben Carson (R) 49%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
        • Jeb Bush (R) 48% (48%) {46%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (43%) {42%}
            • Ted Cruz (R) 48% (41%) {41%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (46%) {44%}
            • Carly Fiorina (R) 45%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
            • Marco Rubio (R) 46% [40%] (40%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [46%] (48%)
            • Scott Walker (R) 46%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
            • Donald Trump (R) 42%
            Survey of 1,108 registered voters was conducted June 18-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 49% (52%) {52%} [51%] (52%) Democrat; 37% (38%) {39%} [39%] (37%) Republican; 13% (10%) {9%} [10%] (11%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% (28%) {31%} [28%] (29%) Moderate; 24% (25%) {27%} [26%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 23% (20%) {19%} [20%] (23%) Very conservative; 17% (17%) {14%} [15%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% (10%) {9%} [10%] (9%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 7-10, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Kentucky 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            • Hillary Clinton 56%
            • Bernie Sanders 12%
            • Jim Webb 7% 
            • Lincoln Chafee 6%
            • Martin O'Malley 3% 
            • Not sure 18%
            Survey of 610 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 18-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Ideology: 32% Moderate; 26% Somewhat liberal; 19% Somewhat conservative; 15% Very liberal; 9% Very conservative.

            Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Kentucky 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 GOP Primary Poll
            • Rand Paul 19% {25%} [34%] (31%)
            • Jeb Bush 13% {15%} [20%] (13%)
            • Donald Trump 12%
            • Scott Walker 11% {5%} [2%] 
            • Mike Huckabee 10% {18%}
            • Marco Rubio 10% {8%} [5%] (17%)
            • Ben Carson 7% 
            • Ted Cruz 4% {7%} [7%]
            • Carly Fiorina 4%
            • Someone else/Not sure 9% {6%} [10%] (16%)
            Note: The following candidates were not included in this poll: Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, and George Pataki. 
            Survey of 413 Republican primary voters was conducted June 18-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% {37%} [36%] (37%) Very conservative; 31% {38%} [35%] (34%) Somewhat conservative; 15% {19%} [20%] (19%) Moderate; 7% {3%} [6%] (8%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Tuesday, June 23, 2015

            Poll Watch: Suffolk University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

            Suffolk University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
            • Jeb Bush 14.4%
            • Donald Trump 10.6%
            • Scott Walker 8.4%
            • Marco Rubio 6.8% 
            • Ben Carson 6.0%
            • Chris Christie 4.6%
            • Rand Paul 4.2% 
            • Ted Cruz 3.6%
            • Carly Fiorina 3.6%
            • Mike Huckabee 2.4%
            • John Kasich 2.0%
            • George Pataki 1.2%
            • Rick Perry 1.0%
            • Rick Santorum 0.8%
            • Lindsey Graham 0.4%
            • Bobby Jindal 0.4%
            • Bob Ehrlich 0.2%
            • Mark Everson 0.0%
            • Jim Gilmore 0.0%
            • Other 0.6%
            • Undecided 28.8%  
            Survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 18-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

            Monday, June 22, 2015

            Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (43%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%)
            • Marco Rubio (R) 40% (43%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (50%)
            • Scott Walker (R) 37% (40%)
            Survey of 830 registered voters was conducted June 14-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

            NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 75%
            • Bernie Sanders 15%
            • Jim Webb 4%
            • Martin O'Malley 2%
            • Lincoln Chafee 0%
            Survey of 247 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted June 14-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.24 percentage points.

            Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

            NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
            • Jeb Bush 22% (23%)
            • Scott Walker 17% (14%)
            • Marco Rubio 14% (18%)
            • Ben Carson 11% (7%)
            • Mike Huckabee 9% (5%)
            • Rand Paul 7% (11%)
            • Rick Perry 5% (2%)
            • Chris Christie 4% (5%) 
            • Ted Cruz 4% (11%) 
            • Carly Fiorina 2% (1%)
            • Lindsey Graham 1%
            • John Kasich 1%
            • Donald Trump 1% 
            • Bobby Jindal 0%
            • George Pataki 0%
            • Rick Santorum 0%
            Survey of 236 Republican primary voters was conducted June 14-18, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6.38 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            • Hillary Clinton 53% [62%] (60%) {64%} [67%] (66%)
            • Bernie Sanders 15% [5%]
            • Joe Biden 8% [6%] (10%) {8%} [7%] (11%)
            • Elizabeth Warren 8% [12%] (13%) {15%} [5%]
            • Lincoln Chafee 1%
            • Andrew Cuomo 1% (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
            • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) 
            • Jim Webb 1% [1%] (1%)
            Internet survey of 457 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted June 5-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.58 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            • Ted Cruz 20% {20%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
            • Rick Perry 12% {8%} [14%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (10%)
            • Scott Walker 10% {19%} [2%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
            • Marco Rubio 8% {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%)
            • Jeb Bush 7% {9%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] 
            • Ben Carson 6% {9%} [10%]  
            • Rand Paul 6% {4%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
            • Mike Huckabee 5% {5%} [7%] (8%)  
            • Carly Fiorina 3% {0%}
            • Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (2%)
            • Donald Trump 2%
            • Chris Christie 1% {2%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (8%)
            • Lindsey Graham 1% {0%}
            • Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (2%)
            • John Kasich 1% {1%} [0%] 
            • George Pataki 0%
            Internet survey of 504 registered GOP primary voters was conducted June 5-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.37 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Thursday, June 18, 2015

            Poll Watch: Detroit News Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.4%
            • Marco Rubio (R) 38.7%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.5%
            • Rand Paul (R) 40.7%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
            • Scott Walker (R) 37%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
            • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
            Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted June 9-11, 2015 by the Glengariff Group.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

            Poll Watch: Advantage (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

            Advantage (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
            • Scott Walker 19%
            • Ben Carson 13%
            • Jeb Bush 11%
            • Marco Rubio 9%
            • Mike Huckabee 8%
            • Rick Perry 7%
            • Ted Cruz 6%
            • Rand Paul 5%
            • Chris Christie 3%
            • Carly Fiorina 3%
            • Rick Santorum 2%
            • Donald Trump 2%
            • Lindsey Graham 2%
            • Bobby Jindal 2%
            • John Kasich 2%
            • George Pataki 1%
            Survey of 1,235 likely Republican caucus attendees was conducted June 8-10, 2015 for the Iowa Renewable Fuels Association (IRFA). The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 53% [48%] (54%)
            • Joe Biden 15% [13%] (10%)
            • Bernie Sanders 10% [1%] (2%)
            • Jim Webb 2% [1%] (1%) 
            • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (2%)
            • Lincoln Chafee 0%
            Survey of 402 registered Democrats was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            • Marco Rubio 12% [7%] (4%)
            • Rand Paul 11% [6%] (3%)
            • Jeb Bush 10% [9%] (12%)
            • Ben Carson 10% [9%] (8%) 
            • Scott Walker 9% [14%] (6%)
            • Rick Santorum 7% [9%] (8%) 
            • Chris Christie 6% [5%] (11%)
            • Mike Huckabee 6% [6%] (10%)
            • Ted Cruz 5% [7%] (6%)  
            • Donald Trump 4%
            • Carly Fiorina 1%
            • Lindsey Graham 1% [0%]
            • John Kasich 1% [2%] (3%)
            • Rick Perry 1% [3%] (1%)
            • Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (2%)
            • George Pataki 0%
            Survey of 413 registered Republicans was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 60% [54%] (51%) 
            • Joe Biden 13% [9%] (7%) 
            • Bernie Sanders 10% [3%] (5%)
            • Martin O'Malley 1% [3%] (1%) 
            • Lincoln Chafee 0%
            • Jim Webb 0% [2%] (0%)
            Survey of 388 registered Democrats was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
            • John Kasich 19% [20%] (14%)
            • Jeb Bush 9% [8%] (10%)
            • Scott Walker 8% [9%] (11%) 
            • Mike Huckabee 7% [9%] (7%) 
            • Rand Paul 7% [7%] (10%)
            • Marco Rubio 7% [5%] (4%)
            • Ben Carson 6% [8%] (8%) 
            • Ted Cruz 6% [9%] (6%)
            • Chris Christie 3% [5%] (6%)
            • Lindsey Graham 2% [0%] 
            • Rick Perry 2% [1%] (1%)
            • Rick Santorum 2% [1%] (1%)
            • Carly Fiorina 1%
            • Donald Trump 1%
            • Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (1%)
            • George Pataki 0%
            Survey of 434 registered Republicans was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

            Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
            • Hillary Clinton 64% {65%} [61%] (67%) {64%} [64%] (70%)
            • Joe Biden 9% {11%} [11%] (8%) {11%} [9%] (9%)
            • Bernie Sanders 8% {3%} [2%]
            • Martin O'Malley 1% {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
            • Lincoln Chafee 0%
            • Jim Webb 0% {2%} [1%]
            Survey of 378 registered Democrats was conducted June 4-15, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

            Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
            • Jeb Bush 20% {24%} [32%] (21%) {27%} [25%] (22%)
            • Marco Rubio 18% {12%} [15%] (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
            • Scott Walker 9% {15%} [9%] (2%) {4%} [5%] (2%)
            • Ben Carson 7% {8%} [8%]
            • Mike Huckabee 6% {6%} [11%] (7%) {6%}  
            • Rand Paul 5% {4%} [3%] (8%) {14%} [11%] (9%) 
            • Rick Perry 4% {2%} [1%] (5%) 
            • Chris Christie 3% {1%} [3%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (14%)
            • Ted Cruz 3% {7%} [4%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%)
            • Donald Trump 3%
            • Carly Fiorina 2%
            • Lindsey Graham 1% {0%}
            • Bobby Jindal 1% {0%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
            • John Kasich 1% {1%} [0%] (1%)
            • George Pataki 1%
            • Rick Santorum 1% {0%} [3%] (1%)
            Survey of 458 registered Republicans was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Wednesday, June 17, 2015

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Marco Rubio (R) 44% (42%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%)
            • Rand Paul (R) 45% (45%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [37%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (44%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {52%} [52%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%) {50%} [45%] (46%) {44%} (47%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 41% (40%) {39%} [41%] (41%) {43%} (42%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {50%} [51%] (53%) {52%}
            • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (40%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {36%} 
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%)
            • Scott Walker (R) 41% (41%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
            • John Kasich (R) 39%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {54%} [51%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% (41%) {34%} [36%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%) (54%) {54%}
            • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (39%) (34%) {36%}
            Survey of 970 Pennsylvania voters was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (31%) {36%} [38%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (37%) Democrat; 31% (31%) {28%} [30%] (32%) {30%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 29% (31%) {28%} [27%] (26%) {27%} [21%] (24%) Independent; 8% (7%) {8%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) Other/Don't know.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

            • John Kasich (R) 47% {43%} [40%] (42%) {39%} [38%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {44%} [47%] (47%) {51%} [49%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%) {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (47%)
            • Rand Paul (R) 43% (41%) {36%} [42%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (44%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (47%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [50%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (38%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {36%} [37%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%) (47%) {50%} [48%]
            • Marco Rubio (R) 42% (38%) (40%) {36%} [39%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (49%)
            • Scott Walker (R) 40% (38%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [42%] (42%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 39% (39%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [41%] (42%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {49%} (49%)
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% (39%) {34%} (41%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%) (51%) {51%} [50%]
            • Ted Cruz (R) 39% (38%) (37%) {34%} [35%]
            Survey of 1,191 Ohio voters was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 30% (28%) {28%} [32%] (29%) {32%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 27% (27%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {28%} [26%] (28%) Republican; 34% (35%) {32%} [35%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (35%) Independent; 10% (9%) {13%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 24-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

            Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%] (49%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {50%} [53%] (52%)
            • Marco Rubio (R) 44% [44%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [42%] (44%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 42% [45%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (40%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [46%] (50%) {53%} [55%] (53%) {51%}
              • Rand Paul (R) 39% [43%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (38%) {41%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [46%]
                • Scott Walker (R) 38% [40%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [44%] (51%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {45%}
                • Chris Christie (R) 35% [39%] (33%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {41%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [48%] (51%) [53%]
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% [40%] (34%) [35%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (57%) (54%) {52%}
                • Ted Cruz (R) 37% [39%] (31%) (34%) {36%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                • John Kasich (R) 35%
                Survey of 1,147 Florida voters was conducted June 4-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [32%] (33%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% [29%] (28%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 34% [30%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% [9%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Tuesday, June 16, 2015

                Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (60%)
                • Joe Biden 12% (16%)
                • Bernie Sanders 12% (7%)
                • Jim Webb 2% (1%)
                • Martin O'Malley 1% (2%)
                • Lincoln Chafee 0%
                • No one (vol.) 2% (2%)
                • Undecided (vol.) 14% (12%)
                Survey of 350 registered voters who identify themselves as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party was conducted June 11-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {48%} (48%) {45%} [51%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
                • Marco Rubio (R) 43% (43%) {41%} (40%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [37%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {48%}
                    • Ben Carson (R) 43% (42%) {40%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
                    • Chris Christie (R) 41% (37%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {50%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (40%) {40%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {48%} [45%]
                    • Scott Walker (R) 42% (42%) {40%} [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%) {50%} (49%) {46%} [48%]
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% (41%) {41%} (42%) {43%} [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%) {50%} (51%) {47%} [49%] (50%)
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 42% (43%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [41%] (33%)
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                          • Carly Fiorina (R) 40%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%) {47%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (49%)
                          • Rand Paul (R) 40% (42%) {40%} [39%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
                          National survey of 1.129 registered voters was conducted June 11-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (39%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 32% (31%) {34%} [37%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 29% (31%) {26%} [23%] (26%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.

                          Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                          • Hillary Clinton 65% (63%) {54%} [54%] (60%)
                          • Bernie Sanders 9% (13%) {6%} [5%] (2%) 
                          • Martin O'Malley 5% (2%) {3%} [1%] (1%)
                          • Jim Webb 4% (6%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
                          • Lincoln Chafee 4% (5%)
                          • Not sure 12% (11%) {13%} [10%] (11%)
                          Survey of 471 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 11-14, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 38% (32%) {30%} [29%] (38%) Moderate; 30% (30%) {34%} [26%] (26%) Somewhat liberal; 17% (25%) {20%} [28%] (22%) Very liberal; 12% (9%) {13%} [14%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 4% (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

                          Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                          PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                          • Scott Walker 17% (18%) {20%} [25%] (11%) 
                          • Jeb Bush 15% (11%) {17%} [17%] (17%)
                          • Marco Rubio 13% (13%) {6%} [3%]
                          • Ben Carson 12% (12%) {10%} [18%] (15%) 
                          • Mike Huckabee 11% (12%) {6%} [10%] (9%)
                          • Ted Cruz 8% (10%) {16%} [5%] (9%)
                          • Rand Paul 8% (9%) {10%} [4%] (4%)  
                          • Carly Fiorina 5%
                          • Chris Christie 4% (5%) {4%} [5%] (7%)
                          • Someone else/Not sure 9% (7%) {8%} [11%] (5%)
                          Note: The following candidates were not included in this poll: Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, and Donald Trump.
                          Survey of 492 Republican primary voters was conducted June 11-14, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% (37%) {34%} [38%] (35%) Very conservative; 35% (34%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (21%) {19%} [17%] (21%) Moderate; 5% (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.