Thursday, October 29, 2015

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Post-Debate Republican Nomination Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 Post-Debate GOP Nomination Poll
  • Donald Trump 32.7% {35.6%} [34.7%] (22%) {40.1%} [30.8%] (15%)
  • Ben Carson 22.6% {21.7%} [17.2%] (12%) {13.0%} [6.1%] (10%)
  • Marco Rubio 14.5% {10.7%} [10.8%] (15%) {4.7%} [5.4%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 7.6% {5.9%} [7.3%] (6%) {7.0%} [5.6%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 6.1% {5.7%} [8.8%] (22%) {5.2%} [1.9%] (3%)
  • Rand Paul 4.4% {1.6%} [2.5%] (2%) {1.5%} [4.4%] (4%)
  • Jeb Bush 4.3% {7.6%} [6.9%] (6%) {10.0%} [13.3%] (22%)
  • Chris Christie 2.8% {1.7%} [2.3%] (4%) {1.4%} [3.4%] (5%)
  • John Kasich 2.4% {2.9%} [3.1%] (4%) {4.8%} [5.1%]
  • Mike Huckabee 1.1% {3.2%} [4.5%] (2%) {3.7%} [5.6%] (10%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0.6% {1.7%} [0.3%] (0%) {0.6%} [0.7%] (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 0.4% {0.3%} [0.1%] (0%) {0.9%} [0.6%] (2%)
  • Rick Santorum 0.2% {1.3%} [1.4%] (1%) {1.0%} [1.6%] (1%) 
  • George Pataki 0.1% {0.1%} [0.2%] (0%) {1.1%} [0.2%] (1%)
Who do you think won the debate?
  • Donald Trump 26.7%
  • Marco Rubio 21.1%
  • Ted Cruz 17.3%
  • Ben Carson 12.5%
  • Carly Fiorina 6.6%
  • Chris Christie 6.3%
  • John Kasich 3.0%
  • Rand Paul 2.5%
  • Jeb Bush 2.1%
  • Mike Huckabee 1.9%
Who do you think lost the debate?
  • Jeb Bush 26.2%
  • Rand Paul 24.2%
  • John Kasich 15.0%
  • Donald Trump 8.8%
  • Carly Fiorina 7.9%
  • Mike Huckabee 4.7%
  • Chris Christie 4.6%
  • Ben Carson 4.2%
  • Marco Rubio 2.3%
  • Ted Cruz 2.0%
Do you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of ____________ after the debate?

More / Less {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 64% / 16% {+48%}
  • Ted Cruz 62% / 16% {+46%} 
  • Chris Christie 58% / 15% {+43%}
  • Ben Carson 51% / 20% {+31%}
  • Carly Fiorina 52% / 25% {+27%}
  • Donald Trump 50% / 23% {+27%}
  • Mike Huckabee 42% / 22% {20%}
  • John Kasich 32% / 37% {-5%}
  • Rand Paul 21% / 43% {-22%}
  • Jeb Bush 17% / 51% {-34%}
Do you think that CNBC was fair to the candidates?
  • Fair 16%
  • Unfair 76%
Do you think that, overall, CNBC did a good job?
  • Good job 12%
  • Fair job 32%
  • Poor job 52%
National survey of 1,504 registered Republican voters was released October 29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall College Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 52%
  • Bernie Sanders 18%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Other 12%
  • Don't know 17%
Survey of 303 Democratic primary voters was conducted October 19-25, 2015.

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall College Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Donald Trump 23%
  • Ben Carson 22%
  • Marco Rubio 13%
  • John Kasich 6%
  • Ted Cruz 4%
  • Chris Christie 3%
  • Jeb Bush 3%
  • Carly Fiorina 3%
  • Mike Huckabee 1%
  • Bobby Jindal 1%
  • Rand Paul 1% 
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Jim Gilmore 1%
  • Lindsey Graham 0%
  • George Pataki 0%
  • Don't know 20%
Survey of 231 Republican primary voters was conducted October 19-25, 2015.

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Poll Watch: The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 30% 
  • Bernie Sanders 21%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Undecided 46% 
Survey of 500 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted October 19-22, 2015 by Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 Republican Primary Survey

The Oklahoman Oklahoma 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Ben Carson 25% 
  • Donald Trump 19%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Mike Huckabee 4%
  • Jeb Bush 3%
  • Carly Fiorina 2% 
  • John Kasich 2%
  • Chris Christie 1%
  • Rand Paul 1%
  • Rick Santorum 0%
  • George Pataki 0%
  • Bobby Jindal 0%
  • Lindsey Graham 0%
  • Undecided 27% 
Survey of 500 registered Republican primary voters was conducted October 19-22, 2015 by Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 58.73% 
  • Bernie Sanders 9.72%
  • Martin O'Malley 3.27%
  • Undecided 28.27% 
Survey of 1,008 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 23-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.09 percentage points.

Poll Watch: KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Ben Carson 22.93% 
  • Donald Trump 22.17%
  • Ted Cruz 14.27%
  • Jeb Bush 12.65%
  • Marco Rubio 6.57%
  • Carly Fiorina 4.57%
  • Mike Huckabee 3.14%
  • Chris Christie 2.47%
  • Rand Paul 1.33%
  • Undecided 9.90% 
Survey of 1,051 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 23-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.02 percentage points.

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Poll Watch: Clemson University South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Clemson South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 43% (50%)
  • Bernie Sanders 6%
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%)
  • Undecided/Don't know 50% (35%)
Survey of 600 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 13-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 26 - June 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Clemson University South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Clemson South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 23%
  • Ben Carson 19%
  • Marco Rubio 9% (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% (22%)
  • Carly Fiorina 6%
  • Lindsey Graham 3%
  • Mike Huckabee 2%
  • John Kasich 2%
  • Chris Christie 1% (10%)
  • Rand Paul 1% (9%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 0%
  • George Pataki 0%
  • Jim Gilmore 0%
  • Undecided/Don't know 15% (48%)
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 13-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 22-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 48% (47%) {45%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%) {42%} [47%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 48% (50%) {45%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%
  • Ben Carson (R) 49% (51%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (41%) {40%} [44%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {44%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% (48%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {48%} [46%] {44%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (41%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {43%} [46%] {46%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]  
      • Carly Fiorina (R) 45% (48%) {42%} [45%] (40%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (41%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
          • Ted Cruz (R) 46% (46%) {45%} [46%] (42%) {45%} [43%] [40%] (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (43%) {43%} [47%] (49%) {45%} [47%] [48%] (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (40%) {40%}
          • John Kasich (R) 42% (44%) {41%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (41%) {42%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 43% (46%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
          Survey of 893 registered North Carolina voters was conducted October 23-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] Democrat; 36% {34%} [35%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] Republican; 22% {23%} [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.

          Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

          • Hillary Clinton 61% {37%} [55%] (55%) {62%} [53%] (56%)
          • Bernie Sanders 24% {17%} [19%] (20%) {14%} [2%] (1%)
          • Martin O'Malley 5% {1%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (3%)
          • Lawrence Lessig 2% {0%} [1%] 
          • Not sure 8% {10%} [15%] (11%) {12%} [12%] (12%)
          Survey of 421 Democratic primary voters was conducted October 23-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Ideology: 30% {17%} [19%] (20%) {22%} [21%] (21%) Very liberal; 28% {29%} [25%] (28%) {29%} [33%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 25% {34%} [37%] (36%) {33%} [31%] (38%) Moderate; 13% {13%} [15%] (11%) {11%} [10%] (8%) Somewhat conservative; 5% {7%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

          PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
          • Donald Trump 31% [26%] (24%) {16%}
          • Ben Carson 23% [21%] (14%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (19%)
          • Marco Rubio 11% [10%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (11%) {7%} (4%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
          • Jeb Bush 6% [5%] (13%) {12%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
          • Ted Cruz 6% [9%] (10%) {6%} [11%] (11%) {3%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
          • Carly Fiorina 6% [12%] (6%) {4%} [2%]
          • Mike Huckabee 5% [6%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%) 
          • John Kasich 5% [4%] (1%) {0%}
          • Chris Christie 3% [2%] (2%) {5%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (14%) {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
          • Rand Paul 2% [0%] (3%) {7%} [12%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
          • Rick Santorum 2% [1%] (2%) {1%} (4%) {5%} [2%] (5%) 
          • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
          • Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (0%) {1%}
          • Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} {2%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
          • George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} 
          • Undecided 1% [2%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
          Survey of 425 Republican primary voters was conducted October 23-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

          Political ideology: 36% [38%] (41%) {47%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 33% [36%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 23% [21%] (17%) {14%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 6% [2%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (3%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.

          Results from September 24-27, 2015 are in square brackets.
          Results from August 12-16, 2015 are in parentheses. 
          Results from July 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.
          Results from May 28-31, 2015 are in square brackets.
          Results from April 2-5, 2015 are in parentheses.
          Results from February 24-26, 2015 are in curly brackets.
          Results from January 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. 
          Results from December 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. 
          Results from May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.
          Results from April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.
          Results from April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.
          Results from March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.
          Results from February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.
          Results from January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.
          Results from December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.
          Results from November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.
          Results from December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 National Presidential Survey

          Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 National Presidential Poll
          • Ben Carson (R) 51% [53%] (52%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [47%] (48%)
          • Jeb Bush (R) 50% [52%] (51%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [48%] (49%)
          • Marco Rubio (R) 50% [52%] (50%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [48%] (50%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [48%] (46%)
          • Donald Trump (R) 49% [52%] (54%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [48%] (50%)
          • Carly Fiorina (R) 48% [52%] (50%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [50%] (50%)
          • Rand Paul (R) 47% [50%] (50%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [52%] (51%)
          • Ted Cruz (R) 47% [48%] (49%)
          National survey of 2,606 registered voters was conducted October 26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [38%] (38%) Democrat; 32% [32%] (32%) Republican; 29% [29%] (29%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

          Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 58.2% (44.4%) {53.7%} [54.9%] (55%)
          • Bernie Sanders 15.6% (25.4%) {21.0%} [18.4%] (13%)
          • Martin O'Malley 2.7% (1.5%) {2.1%} [2.8%] (2%)
          Survey of 1,037 registered Democratic voters was conducted October 26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

          Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 61.6% {48.2%} [57.0%] (48.3%)
          • Bernie Sanders 23.6% {22.9%} [2.0%] (3.8%)
          • Martin O'Malley 3.2% {4.0%} [2.4%] (0.4%)
          • Undecided 10.2% {6.4%} [16.7%] (16.1%)
          Survey of 500 likely Democratic caucus participants was conducted October 19-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 24-27, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

          Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
          • Donald Trump 35.6% [34.7%] (22%) {40.1%} [30.8%] (15%)
          • Ben Carson 21.7% [17.2%] (12%) {13.0%} [6.1%] (10%)
          • Marco Rubio 10.7% [10.8%] (15%) {4.7%} [5.4%] (8%)
          • Jeb Bush 7.6% [6.9%] (6%) {10.0%} [13.3%] (22%)
          • Ted Cruz 5.9% [7.3%] (6%) {7.0%} [5.6%] (5%)
          • Carly Fiorina 5.7% [8.8%] (22%) {5.2%} [1.9%] (3%)
          • Mike Huckabee 3.2% [4.5%] (2%) {3.7%} [5.6%] (10%)  
          • John Kasich 2.9% [3.1%] (4%) {4.8%} [5.1%]
          • Lindsey Graham 1.7% [0.3%] (0%) {0.6%} [0.7%] (2%)
          • Chris Christie 1.7% [2.3%] (4%) {1.4%} [3.4%] (5%)
          • Rand Paul 1.6% [2.5%] (2%) {1.5%} [4.4%] (4%)
          • Rick Santorum 1.3% [1.4%] (1%) {1.0%} [1.6%] (1%) 
          • Bobby Jindal 0.3% [0.1%] (0%) {0.9%} [0.6%] (2%)
          • George Pataki 0.1% [0.2%] (0%) {1.1%} [0.2%] (1%)
          National survey of 906 registered Republican voters was conducted October 26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

          Monmouth University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 65%
          • Bernie Sanders 24%
          • Martin O'Malley 5%
          • Larry Lessig 1%
          Survey of 400 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted October 22-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

          Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

          CBS News/New York Times 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
          • Ben Carson 26% {21%} [23%] (6%)
          • Donald Trump 22% {27%} [27%] (24%)
          • Marco Rubio 8% {8%} [6%] (6%)
          • Jeb Bush 7% {6%} [6%] (13%)
          • Carly Fiorina 7% {6%} [4%] (0%)
          • Ted Cruz 4% {9%} [5%] (6%)
          • Mike Huckabee 4% {2%} [6%] (8%)
          • John Kasich 4% {2%} [3%] (1%)
          • Rand Paul 4% {4%} [3%] (4%)
          • Lindsey Graham 2% {0%} [0%] (0%)
          • Chris Christie 1% {3%} [1%] (3%)
          • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
          • Bobby Jindal 0% {0%} [0%] (2%)
          • George Pataki 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
          • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
          • Don't know 6% {11%} [9%] (9%)
          National survey of 575 Republican primary voters was conducted October 21-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 4-8, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Monday, October 26, 2015

          Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

          Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
          • Ben Carson 30.6% (18.1%) {6.3%} [12.8%]
          • Donald Trump 18.6% (24.5%) {3.1%}  
          • Marco Rubio 10.0% (4.0%) {10.0%} [4.2%] (4.7%)
          • Jeb Bush 6.8% (10.4%) {9.6%} [13.1%] (10.7%)
          • Ted Cruz 6.2% (6.6%) {6.5%} [5.4%] (6.2%) 
          • Bobby Jindal 4.6% (1.4%) {1.0%} [1.6%]
          • Carly Fiorina 2.4% (5.2%) {1.0%} [1.3%]
          • Chris Christie 1.8% (2.4%) {5.1%} [5.4%] (8.0%)
          • Rand Paul 1.8% (2.2%) {6.3%} [7.0%] (8.5%)
          • John Kasich 1.4% (3.2%) {1.0%} [1.3%] (0.7%)
          • Mike Huckabee 1.2% (4.4%) {8.6%} [14.4%] (14.7%)
          • Rick Santorum 0.8% (1.0%) {3.5%} [3.8%] (4.7%)
          • Lindsey Graham 0.4% (0.2%) {0.0%} [0.6%]
          • George Pataki 0.0% (0.0%)
          • Undecided 12.8% (7.2%) {22.8%} [14.7%] (23.8%)
          Survey of 500 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted October 19-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

          Monmouth University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
          • Ben Carson 32% [23%] (8%)
          • Donald Trump 18% [23%] (13%)
          • Ted Cruz 10% [9%] (7%) 
          • Marco Rubio 10% [4%] (5%)
          • Jeb Bush 8% [5%] (7%) 
          • Carly Fiorina 5% [10%] (3%)
          • Rand Paul 3% [3%] (5%)
          • Mike Huckabee 2% [2%] (6%)
          • Bobby Jindal 2% [1%] (4%)
          • John Kasich 2% [4%] (2%)
          • Chris Christie 1% [1%] (1%)
          • Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (3%)
          • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
          • Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (0%) 
          • George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%)
          • Undecided (vol.) 5% [5%] (11%)
          Survey of 400 Iowa voters likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses was conducted October 22-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 27-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Friday, October 23, 2015

          Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

          Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
          • Ben Carson 28% (18%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
          • Donald Trump 19% (23%) {4%} [1%] 
          • Ted Cruz 10% (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%) 
          • Marco Rubio 9% (6%) {6%} [4%] (2%) 
          • Jeb Bush 5% (6%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
          • Rand Paul 5% (4%) {10%} [15%] (10%)
          • Carly Fiorina 4% (5%) {2%} [1%]
          • Mike Huckabee 3% (4%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
          • Bobby Jindal 2% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
          • John Kasich 2% (2%) {2%} [1%]  (1%)
          • Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
          • Chris Christie 1% (2%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
          • Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {1%}
          • George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} 
          • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
          Survey of 401 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted October 16-19, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

          Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 51% (40%) {52%} [60%] (61%)
          • Bernie Sanders 40% (41%) {33%} [15%] (5%)
          • Martin O'Malley 4% (3%) {3%} [3%] (0%)
          • Lincoln Chafee 0%
          • Larry Lessig 0%
          Survey of 592 likely Iowa Democratic caucus participants was conducted October 14-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Thursday, October 22, 2015

          Poll Watch: WPR/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

          • Hillary Clinton 47%
          • Bernie Sanders 42%
          • Martin O'Malley 1%
          • Lincoln Chafee 1%
          • Not sure 7%
          Survey of Democratic primary voters was conducted October 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.

          Poll Watch: WPR/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

          • Ben Carson 20%
          • Marco Rubio 18%
          • Donald Trump 18%
          • Ted Cruz 10%
          • Carly Fiorina 8%
          • Mike Huckabee 3%
          • John Kasich 3%
          • Jeb Bush 3%
          • Rand Paul 2% 
          • Rick Santorum 2%
          • Chris Christie 1%
          • Bobby Jindal 0%
          • George Pataki 0%
          • Lindsey Graham 0%
          • Jim Gilmore 0%
          • Not sure 12%
          Survey of Republican primary voters was conducted October 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.4 percentage points.

          Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

          Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 48% (43%)
          • Bernie Sanders 41% (35%)
          • Martin O'Malley 2% (5%)
          • Lincoln Chafee 1% (1%) 
          • Larry Lessig 0%
          Survey of 402 likely Democratic caucus attendees was conducted October 16-19, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

          Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
          • Ben Carson 28% (21%) {10%} [7%] (11%)
          • Donald Trump 20% (27%) {10%}
          • Marco Rubio 13% (5%) {7%} [13%] (4%)
          • Ted Cruz 10% (9%) {9%} [12%] (5%)
          • Rand Paul 6% (4%) {9%} [13%] (13%)
          • Jeb Bush 5% (6%) {8%} [5%] (10%)
          • Carly Fiorina 5% (5%) {3%} [2%]
          • Bobby Jindal 3% (2%) {3%} [1%] (2%)
          • John Kasich 3% (5%) {2%} [2%] (0%) 
          • Mike Huckabee 2% (4%) {5%} [11%] (11%)
          • Chris Christie 1% (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%)
          • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%} [2%] (4%)
          • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
          • Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]
          • George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%}
          Survey of 574 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted October 14-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Gender: 63% (57%) {61%} [58%] (60%) Men; 37% (43%) {39%} [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 45% (42%) {44%} [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 28% (28%) {29%} [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 26% (28%) {25%} [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

          Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
          • Donald Trump (R) 38%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
          • Some other candidate 22%
          • Undecided 5%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
          • Carly Fiorina (R) 34%
          • Some other candidate 21%
          • Undecided 5%
          Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 18-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

          Wednesday, October 21, 2015

          Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

          St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
          • Bernie Sanders 41% (24%) {18%} [8%] (6%)
          • Hillary Clinton 36% (56%) {62%} [56%] (62%) 
          • Lawrence Lessig 1%
          • Martin O'Malley 0% (2%) {3%} [0%] (1%)
          • Lincoln Chafee 0% (1%) {1%} 
          • Someone else 1%
          • None of the above 2% (4%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
          • Not sure 8% (12%) {8%} [11%] (8%)  
          Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015 by Purple Strategies.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19-22, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

          Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
          • Hillary Clinton 59.1% (42.6%)
          • Bernie Sanders 25.3% (5.8%)
          • Martin O'Malley 3.3% (1.7%)
          • Lincoln Chafee 3.2%
          Survey of 265 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 16-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Republican Primary Survey

          Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 GOP Primary Poll
          • Donald Trump 47.8%
          • Ben Carson 13.9% (12.5%)
          • Marco Rubio 11.8%
          • Jeb Bush 7.1% (18.7%)  
          • Carly Fiorina 6.5%
          • Ted Cruz 5.1% (5.6%)
          • John Kasich 2.8%
          • Chris Christie 2.3% (5.9%)
          • Lindsey Graham 0.9%
          • Mike Huckabee 0.4% (3.3%) 
          • Rand Paul 0.1% (7.3%)
          Survey of 271 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 16-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

          PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
          • John Kasich (R) 44% [43%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [41%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] (51%) {43%} [43%]
          • Chris Christie (R) 44% [38%] (36%) {39%} [39%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] (49%) {49%} [49%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 41% [39%] (36%) {38%} [40%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%]
          • Carly Fiorina (R) 42% [42%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%]
          • Donald Trump (R) 41% [44%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [47%] (50%) (52%)
                • Marco Rubio (R) 42% [39%] (38%) (38%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (51%)
                • Ben Carson (R) 42% [40%] (38%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [49%] (52%) {51%} [50%]
                  • Ted Cruz (R) 37% [38%] (37%) {32%} [38%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [49%] (51%)
                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 35% [36%] (38%)
                  Survey of 880 New Hampshire voters was conducted October 16-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 30% [31%] (30%) {27%} [30%] (29%) Republican; 30% [31%] (28%) {28%} [31%] (32%) Democrat; 40% [38%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% [30%] (32%) {34%} [33%] (31%) Moderate; 24% [22%] (20%) {25%} [21%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [21%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 13% [14%] (12%) {13%} [15%] (15%) Very conservative; 12% [12%] (15%) {10%} [12%] (13%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                  ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                  • Donald Trump 32% [33%] (24%) {4%}
                  • Ben Carson 22% [20%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (8%) {7%}
                  • Marco Rubio 10% [7%] (7%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (10%)
                  • Jeb Bush 7% [8%] (12%) {10%} [21%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (18%)
                  • Ted Cruz 6% [7%] (4%) {8%} [12%] (8%) {4%} [7%] (12%) 
                  • Carly Fiorina 5% [2%] (0%) {2%} [1%] 
                  • Chris Christie 3% [1%] (3%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (14%)
                  • Mike Huckabee 3% [3%] (8%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [14%]  
                  • Rand Paul 2% [5%] (6%) {11%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [15%] (11%)
                  • John Kasich 2% [3%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
                  • Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
                  • George Pataki 1% [0%] (1%) {1%}
                  • Rick Santorum 0% [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%}
                  • Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%]
                  Survey of 364 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: WBUR/MassINC New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                  WBUR/MassINC New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                  • Hillary Clinton 38% (31%)
                  • Bernie Sanders 34% (35%)
                  • Joe Biden 9% (14%)
                  • Jim Webb 2% (2%)
                  • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%)
                  • Lincoln Chafee 0% (1%) 
                  • Lawrence Lessig 0%
                  Survey of 401 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

                  St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                  • Donald Trump 24% {8%} [3%]
                  • Ben Carson 17% {5%} [6%] (9%)
                  • Jeb Bush 10% {11%} [16%] (14%)
                  • Marco Rubio 8% {11%} [5%] 
                  • Carly Fiorina 7% {3%} [1%]
                  • John Kasich 7% {1%} [2%]
                  • Chris Christie 5% {7%} [10%] (16%
                  • Ted Cruz 4% {6%} [3%] (5%)
                  • Rand Paul 4% {12%} [13%] (16%
                  • Mike Huckabee 1% {4%} [6%] (8%)
                  • Lindsey Graham 1% {1%}
                  • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [2%] 
                  • Bobby Jindal 0% {1%} [3%] (4%)
                  • George Pataki 0%
                  • Jim Gilmore 0%
                  • Someone else 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
                  • None of the above 2% {3%} [2%] (4%)
                  • Not sure 9% {12%} [14%] (13%)  
                  Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015 by Purple Strategies.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                  Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                  • Donald Trump 28% [18%]
                  • Ben Carson 16% [4%] (4%)
                  • Carly Fiorina 10% [9%] (0%)
                  • Jeb Bush 9% [13%] (15%
                  • John Kasich 6% [12%] (1%) 
                  • Marco Rubio 6% [4%] (4%)
                  • Ted Cruz 5% [10%] (9%) 
                  • Rand Paul 5% [6%] (13%)
                  • Chris Christie 3% [3%] (10%) 
                  • Mike Huckabee 2% [3%] (7%)
                  • Bobby Jindal 1% [1%] (1%)
                  • Lindsey Graham 0% [1%] (0%)
                  • Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (2%)
                  • George Pataki 0% [1%] (0%) 
                  • Other 2% [3%] (5%)
                  • Unsure 7% [9%] (10%)
                  Survey of 440 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 14-17, 2015 by RKM Research and Communications.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                  CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                  • Donald Trump 27% {24%} [32%] (24%) {18%} [12%] (3%) 
                  • Ben Carson 22% {14%} [19%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (7%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [11%] 
                  • Jeb Bush 8% {9%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [16%] (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
                  • Marco Rubio 8% {11%} [3%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (14%) {11%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
                  • Mike Huckabee 5% {6%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
                  • Rand Paul 5% {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [8%] (8%) {11%} [12%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%) 
                  • Chris Christie 4% {3%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [7%] (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%
                  • Ted Cruz 4% {6%} [7%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {7%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%) 
                  • Carly Fiorina 4% {15%} [3%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
                  • John Kasich 3% {2%} [2%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
                  • Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
                  • Lindsey Graham 1% {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) 
                  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} 
                  • Bobby Jindal 0% {0%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [1%]
                  • George Pataki 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (3%) {0%}   
                  Survey of 465 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted October 14-17, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 64% {69%} [65%] (61%) {55%} [64%] Republican; 36% {31%} [35%] (39%) {45%} [36%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                  Monmouth University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                  • Donald Trump 28% [30%] (26.0%) {13%} [2%] (7%)
                  • Ben Carson 18% [18%] (4.6%) {6%} [11%] (7%)
                  • Ted Cruz 10% [8%] (5.8%) {9%} [5%] (11%)
                  • Carly Fiorina 6% [4%] (1.9%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
                  • Marco Rubio 6% [5%] (4.4%) {6%} [9%] (5%)
                  • Jeb Bush 5% [8%] (12.2%) {15%} [9%] (13%)
                  • Mike Huckabee 4% [4%] (5.7%) {7%} [8%] (9%)
                  • Rand Paul 4% [2%] (4.4%) {6%} [6%] (6%)
                  • Chris Christie 3% [2%] (4.4%) {2%} [4%] (5%)
                  • Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (0.7%) {0%} [2%] (1%) 
                  • Bobby Jindal 1% [0%] (1.2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) 
                  • John Kasich 1% [2%] (3.2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
                  • George Pataki 0% [0%] (0.4%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
                  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0.0%) {0%}
                  • Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (1.0%) {2%} [3%] (1%) 
                  • No one (vol.) 3% [2%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%)
                  • Undecided (vol.) 9% [9%] (10%) {18%} [20%] (14%)
                  National survey of 348 registered voters who identify themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party was conducted October 15-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                  • Hillary Clinton 49% {42%}
                  • Bernie Sanders 29% {35%}
                  • Joe Biden 15% {17%}
                  • Jim Webb 2% {1%}
                  • Martin O'Malley 1% {0%}
                  • Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%}
                   If Joe Biden does not run for President:
                  • Hillary Clinton 58% {53%} [59%] (75%)
                  • Bernie Sanders 33% {38%} [25%] (15%)
                  • Jim Webb 2% {1%} [3%] (4%)
                  • Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [3%] (2%)
                  • Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)
                  Survey of 400 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted October 15-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Survey

                  NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                  • Donald Trump 25% (21%) {19%} [1%]
                  • Ben Carson 22% (20%) {10%} [11%] (7%) 
                  • Marco Rubio 13% (11%) {5%} [14%] (18%)
                  • Ted Cruz 9% (5%) {9%} [4%] (11%)
                  • Jeb Bush 8% (7%) {14%} [22%] (23%)
                  • Carly Fiorina 7% (11%) {0%} [2%] (1%)
                  • Mike Huckabee 3% (2%) {6%} [9%] (5%)
                  • John Kasich 3% (6%) {3%} [1%]
                  • Rand Paul 2% (3%) {6%} [7%] (11%)
                  • Chris Christie 1% (3%) {3%} [4%] (5%)  
                  • Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {0%} [1%]
                  • Rick Santorum 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]
                  • George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [0%]
                  • Bobby Jindal 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]
                  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%}
                  Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                  ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                  • Hillary Clinton 54% [42%] (63%) {62%} [66%] (61%) {64%} [69%] (73%)
                  • Bernie Sanders 23% [24%] (14%) {10%} [5%] (4%) {1%} [2%]
                  • Joe Biden 16% [21%] (12%) {14%} [12%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (11%)
                  • Martin O'Malley 1% [2%] (1%) {3%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] 
                  • Jim Webb 1% [1%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%]
                  • Lincoln Chafee 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} 
                  If Joe Biden does not run for President: 
                  • Hillary Clinton 64% [56%] (68%)
                  • Bernie Sanders 25% [28%] (16%)
                  • Martin O'Malley 2% [3%] (2%)
                  • Jim Webb 2% [2%] (5%)
                  • Lincoln Chafee 0% [1%] (1%)
                  Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

                  Tuesday, October 20, 2015

                  Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                  PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                  • Hillary Clinton 41% [35%] (45%) {65%} [57%] (68%) {60%} [55%] (52%)
                  • Bernie Sanders 33% [42%] (12%)  
                  • Joe Biden 11% (7%) {10%} [12%] (12%) {10%} [9%] (16%)
                  • Martin O'Malley 4% [4%] (3%) {1%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%] 
                  • Lincoln Chafee 2% [2%] (1%)
                  • Jim Webb 2% [6%] (1%)
                  • Lawrence Lessig 0% [1%]
                  • Not sure 7% [10%] (9%) {9%} [11%] (9%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
                  Survey of 393 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted October 16-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 64% [65%] (62%) {64%} [68%] (70%) {66%} [66%] Democrat; 1% [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [2%] Republican; 34% [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (27%) {33%} [32%] Independent/Other.  Ideology: 34% [39%] (36%) {31%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [34%] Somewhat liberal; 32% [30%] (28%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [39%] Moderate; 25% [24%] (30%) {20%} [26%] (26%) {19%} [19%] Very liberal; 7% [5%] (4%) {9%} [4%] (5%) {9%} [6%] Somewhat conservative; 2% [2%] (1%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%] Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                  PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                  • Donald Trump 28% {35%}
                  • Marco Rubio 12% {4%} [8%] (7%) {8%}
                  • Ben Carson 11% {6%} [7%] (15%)
                  • John Kasich 10% {11%}
                  • Jeb Bush 9% {7%} [10%] (15%) {12%}
                  • Ted Cruz 8% {4%} [14%] (10%) {9%} 
                  • Carly Fiorina 7% {10%}
                  • Rand Paul 4% {3%} [12%] (10%) {12%}
                  • Chris Christie 3% {4%} [8%] (11%) {24%}
                  • Rick Santorum 2% {1%}
                  • Lindsey Graham 1% {1%}
                  • Mike Huckabee 1% {0%} [7%] (11%) {11%}
                  • Bobby Jindal 1% {0%} {3%} 
                  • George Pataki 1% {1%}
                  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} 
                  • Undecided 3% {4%} [7%] (11%) {13%}
                  Second Choice
                  • Ben Carson 15% {11%} [9%]
                  • Carly Fiorina 11% {10%}
                  • John Kasich 10% {7%}
                  • Marco Rubio 9% {6%} [8%]
                  • Donald Trump 8% {8%}
                  • Jeb Bush 7% {7%} [13%]
                  • Chris Christie 7% {5%} [4%]
                  • Ted Cruz 3% {7%} [7%]
                  • Rand Paul 2% {5%} [14%]
                  • Rick Santorum 2% {0%}
                  • Mike Huckabee 2% {3%} [6%]
                  • Lindsey Graham 1% {0%}
                  • George Pataki 0% {1%}
                  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%}
                  • Undecided 21% {20%} [23%]
                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                  • Ben Carson 60% {62%} [45%] / 26% {17%} [14%] {+34%}
                  • Marco Rubio 55% {50%} [49%] / 25% {27%} [22%] {+30%}
                  • Carly Fiorina 53% {58%} [30%] / 25% {19%} [16%] {+28%}
                  • John Kasich 45% {49%} [22%] / 29% {22%} [15%] {+16%}
                  • Jeb Bush 45% {38%} [41%] / 38% {41%} [40%] {+7%}
                  • Chris Christie 45% {35%} [34%] / 39% {46%} [49%] {+6%}
                  • Donald Trump 48% {56%} [40%] / 42% {32%} [41%] {+6%}
                  • Ted Cruz 39% {46%} [50%] / 38% {32%} [26%] {+1%}
                  • Rand Paul 41% {34%} [54%] / 40% {49%} [25%] {+1%}
                  • Rick Santorum 32% {35%} [35%] / 38% {34%} [29%] {-6%}
                  • Jim Gilmore 6% {4%} / 12% {13%} {-6%}
                  • Mike Huckabee 37% {34%} [48%] / 45% {41%} [32%] {-8%}
                  • Lindsey Graham 29% {20%} [20%] / 38% {43%} [36%] {-9%}
                  • George Pataki 20% {27%} [21%] / 34% {32%} [28%] {-14%}
                  Survey of 417 usual Republican primary voters was conducted October 16-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Party ID: 62% {58%} [62%] (61%) Republican; 37% {40%} [38%] (38%) Independent/Other; 1% {3%} [0%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 42% {38%} [39%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 29% {29%} [31%] (26%) Moderate; 23% {26%} [22%] (25%) Very conservative; 5% {5%} [6%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {2%} [3%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.