Thursday, June 30, 2016

Poll Watch: IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Survey

IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Poll 

If the 2016 election for the President of United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {40%} [40%] (35%)
If the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {39%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% {35%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% {11%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 5%
National survey of 837 registered voters was conducted June 24-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (39%) {39%} [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%) {44%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Some other candidate 12% (11%) {14%} [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 5% (6%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 28-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Trump now earns 75% support among his fellow Republicans and picks up 14% of the Democratic vote. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats like Clinton, as do 10% of GOP voters.

Trump how holds a 14-point lead among men, while Clinton leads by six among women. The candidates are tied among those under 40, while Trump leads among older voters.

Clinton continues to hold a wide lead among blacks. Trump leads among whites and other minority voters.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads by 18 points, but 28% of these voters like some other candidates or are undecided.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll

The candidates for President are Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (38%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5% (4%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (2%)
  • Undecided 7% (13%)
If you had to choose between just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {50%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (41%) {41%} [40%] (43%) {44%} [44%] (44%) {37%} 
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% 
National survey of 947 registered voters was conducted June 20-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (43%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (43%) {41%} Democrat; 34% (36%) {36%} [34%] (32%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {33%} Republican; 27% (21%) {24%} [24%] (26%) {25%} [24%] (23%) {26%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 24-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 16-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-21, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%] (42%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [49%] (41%) [40%] [46%] (47%) {51%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% [39%] (45%) {41%} [38%] (42%) {47%} [38%] (46%) [45%] [42%] (42%) {34%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% [48%] (55%) {51%} [43%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [33%] (33%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [50%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 32% [32%] (36%) {33%} [34%] (35%)
How would you vote if the candidates were:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [39%] (39%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% [36%] (42%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% [12%] (10%) 
National survey of 1,017 registered voters was conducted June 26-28, 2016 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 20-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll 

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [45%] (46%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% [41%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (32%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 47% [51%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [36%] (37%) {39%} [42%] (46%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [54%] (51%) {48%} [52%] (54%) {56%} [55%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 33% [30%] (35%) {39%} [36%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (28%)
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% [38%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% [5%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% [3%]
National survey of 1,610 registered voters was conducted June 21-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 24-30, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 16-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-20, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 23-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%) {43%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (43%) {40%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 31%
Survey of 897 registered Iowa voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [50%] (47%) {47%} [46%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [36%] (41%) {41%} [44%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 50% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 30%
Survey of 578 registered New Hampshire voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 4-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {45%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (42%) {40%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (51%) {46%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (37%) {39%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (52%) {50%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (34%) {35%}
Survey of 708 registered Ohio voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (38%) {37%} Republican; 39% (41%) {39%} Democrat; 22% (21%) {24%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 26-27, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 4-6, 2016 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% (44%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (33%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (34%)
Survey of 980 registered Pennsylvania voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016 on behalf of Americans United for Change. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (41%)
  • Not sure 16% (14%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 51% (53%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% (34%)
  • Not sure 15% (13%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (39%)
  • Not sure 17% (14%)
Survey of 691 registered Arizona voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016 on behalf of Americans United for Change.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 33%
Survey of 843 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016 on behalf of Americans United for Change.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Monday, June 27, 2016

Poll Watch: University of Texas/Texas Politics Project 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Someone else 19%
  • Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion 8%
Three-Way Match-Up 
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7%
  • Someone else 14%
  • Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion 8%
Survey of 1,200 registered Texas voters was conducted June 10-20, 2016 for The Texas Tribune. The margin of error is +/- 2.83 percentage points.

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Donald Trump (R) 35%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Survey of 996 likely voters was conducted June 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Survey of 988 likely voters was conducted June 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Donald Trump (R) 30%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 1%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Survey of 993 likely voters was conducted June 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (43%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (42%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (38%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (38%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 1%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Survey of 1,192 likely voters was conducted June 21-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 16-19, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [50%] {49%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (43%) {39%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [42%] {39%}
With other candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10%
  • Jill Stein (G) 6% 
Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted June 19-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Survey

If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (44%) {50%} [50%] (46%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (46%) {41%} [44%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% (56%) {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (34%) {43%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (52%) {56%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% (38%) {35%}
If the presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Survey of 836 registered voters was conducted June 20-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted May 16-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses.

Thursday, June 23, 2016

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% {39%} [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Some other candidate 11% {14%} [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 6% {4%} [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 20-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Clinton now earns the support of 80% of her fellow Democrats, while Trump has the backing of 70% of Republicans. Both findings are down slightly from last week.
The two are in a near tie among voters not affiliated with either major party, but 31% of these voters still like someone else or are undecided.
Men still favor Trump 46% to 39%, while women prefer Clinton by 18 points, 49% to 31%.
Clinton also has a double-digit lead among voters under 40 and a six-point advantage among middle-aged adults. Senior citizens prefer Trump 52% to 37%.
The former first lady maintains an enormous lead among blacks and is ahead by 12 among other minority voters. Trump has a slight advantage among whites.
Among voters who think stricter gun control laws would help prevent shootings like the one in Orlando, Clinton earns 74% support. Trump gets 68% of the vote from those who don't see more gun control as a preventative measure.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

The candidates for President are Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (41%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% (3%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (2%)
  • Undecided 7% (11%)
If you had to choose between just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 48% (47%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [47%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 55% (54%) {50%} [52%] (55%) {50%} [53%] (55%) {54%} (53%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (36%) {39%} [37%] (34%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {32%} (41%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (50%) {49%} [48%] (52%) {47%} [45%] (47%) {50%} (53%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (41%) {36%} [36%] (36%) {43%} [44%] (40%) {36%} (36%)
Survey of 947 registered North Carolina voters was conducted June 20-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets.

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll

Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party’s candidate, and Donald Trump as the Republican Party’s candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [54%] (53%) {52%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [56%] (59%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% [41%] (41%) {44%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [40%] (35%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% [47%] (50%) {54%} [57%] (47%) {53%} [49%] (56%) {53%} [46%] (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [47%] (45%) {41%} [39%] (48%) {43%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [50%] (57%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [61%] (60%) {62%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (55%) {60%} [62%] (61%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% [35%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (46%) {40%} [41%] (41%) {37%} [34%] (34%)
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 51% [52%] (48%) {57%} [57%] (55%) {58%} [54%] (57%) {55%} [50%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [43%] (44%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (48%)
Among Non-Whites
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 71% [81%] (74%) {80%} [72%] (71%) {76%} [72%] (67%) {71%} [75%] (82%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 19% [14%] (22%) {15%} [22%] (25%) {21%} [25%] (28%) {24%} [21%] (15%) 
Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party’s candidate, Donald Trump as the Republican Party’s candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian Party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green Party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Jill Stein (G) 7%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [49%] (42%) {44%} / 57% [49%] (57%) {53%} {-15%}
  • Donald Trump 40% [41%] (33%) {38%} / 59% [56%] (65%) {59%} {-19%}
National survey of 891 registered voters was conducted June 16-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {43%} [44%] (42%) {38%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {39%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% {51%} [53%] (55%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {36%} [35%] (32%) {37%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {43%} [49%] (53%) {48%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 31% {36%} [36%] (30%) {32%}
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 35% {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} / 59% {62%} [57%] (56%) {54%} {-24%}
  • Donald Trump 32% {36%} [35%] (34%) {32%} / 59% {57%} [59%] (58%) {54%} {-27%}





Survey of 971 Ohio voters was conducted June 8-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 34% {29%} [33%] (32%) {30%} Democrat; 27% {30%} [33%] (28%) {27%} Republican; 33% {34%} [26%] (32%) {35%} Independent; 7% {7%} [7%] (7%) {8%} Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {43%} [45%] (44%) {45%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% {42%} [42%] (42%) {40%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 50% {54%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {33%} [36%] (38%) {35%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% {32%} [35%] (37%) {32%}
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Hillary Clinton 41% {37%} [35%] (41%) {38%} / 56% {58%} [59%] (54%) {55%} {-15%}
  • Donald Trump 35% {39%} [32%] (36%) {34%} / 60% {55%} [60%] (56%) {55%} {-25%}
Survey of 950 Pennsylvania voters was conducted June 8-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {43%} [46%] (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% {49%} [48%] (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {36%} [40%] (34%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {48%} [51%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% {35%} [35%] (37%)
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 39% {37%} [44%] (37%) / 53% {57%} [51%] (55%) {-14%}
  • Donald Trump 33% {37%} [35%] (36%) / 61% {57%} [57%] (50%) {-28%}
Survey of 975 Florida voters was conducted June 8-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 33% {32%} [33%] (30%) Democrat; 31% {32%} [29%] (32%) Republican; 30% {31%} [32%] (29%) Independent; 6% {6%} [6%] (9%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Monday, June 20, 2016

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Poll
If the election for President was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican or Hillary Clinton the Democrat?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (38%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 50% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (44%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (52%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 30% (31%)
And who would you vote for if the candidates were Donald Trump the Republican, Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, or Jill Stein of the Green Party?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% (34%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% (11%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 36% (40%) / 52% (51%) {-16%}
  • Donald Trump 28% (30%) / 57% (60%) {-29%}
National survey of 803 registered voters was conducted June 15-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (34%) Democrat; 28% (30%) Republican; 38% (36%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Friday, June 17, 2016

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 National Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (51%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% (46%)
  • Other 5% (5%)
National survey of registered voters was conducted June 16, 2016. Results from the poll conducted May 10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.8% [47.1%] (47%) {46.7%} [49.8%] (51.1%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36.9% [36.6%] (37%) {38.3%} [36.4%] (35.4%)
Survey of 666 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted June 6-9, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted March 24-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Some other candidate 14% [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 4% [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 14-15, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Among voters who consider the mass murders in Orlando, Florida this past weekend primarily a terrorist attack, Trump leads Clinton 64% to 16%. Clinton posts an 83% to four percent (4%) lead among those who see the killings as chiefly a gun control issue.
The former secretary of State now earns the support of 83% of her fellow Democrats, while Trump has the backing of 73% of Republicans. That’s a 10-point jump in Democratic support for Clinton from last week. Trump’s GOP support has not changed.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Clinton leads 36% to 31%, but one-third (34%) of these voters like someone else or are undecided.
Clinton now has a 15-point lead among women voters. Trump leads by six among men.
Those under 40 are the age group most enthusiastic for Clinton, but younger voters are also the most likely to be undecided.
Eighty-four percent (84%) of blacks support Clinton, while Trump holds modest leads among whites and other minority voters.
In terms of income level, Clinton’s support is strongest among those who earn the least and those who earn the most.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
If you had to choose between just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% (39%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (52%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (35%) 
Survey of 1,032 registered voters was conducted June 13-15, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (37%) Democrat; 30% (31%) Republican; 32% (32%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. 

Poll Watch: CBS News 2016 National Presidential Survey

CBS News 2016 National Presidential Poll

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [47%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% [41%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [46%] 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [41%]
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [53%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 29% [36%]
If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump or Gary Johnson?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Donald Trump (R) 32%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 11%
National survey of 1,048 registered voters was conducted June 9-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 13-17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
National survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 10-13, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Thursday, June 09, 2016

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [49%] (41%) [40%] [46%] (47%) {51%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (45%) {41%} [38%] (42%) {47%} [38%] (46%) [45%] [42%] (42%) {34%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48% (55%) {51%} [43%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (33%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%) {55%} [53%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 32% (36%) {33%} [34%] (35%)
How would you vote if the candidates were:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (39%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% (42%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% (10%) 
National survey of 1,004 registered voters was conducted June 5-8, 2016 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 14-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 20-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Some other candidate 15% (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 5% (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 6-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Clinton now earns 74% of the vote from Democrats, up from 68% last week, suggesting that some of Bernie Sanders’ support may be moving her way now that their primary battle is over. Trump has the backing of 72% of Republicans, down from 76% in the previous survey. It remains to be seen whether these are developing trends.

But Clinton has lost ground among voters not affiliated with either major party and is now essentially tied with Trump among this group.

Clinton leads Trump by 14 points among women but trails by eight among men. Women are also more likely to favor another candidate or be undecided.

The Democrat continues to run weakest among those under 40, traditionally an important part of her party’s voter base, but in this election cycle, younger voters have much preferred Sanders and have strongly questioned Clinton’s honesty.

Blacks who have been critical to Clinton’s primary wins continue to overwhelmingly favor the former first lady, while Trump this week has a slight advantage among whites and other minority voters.

Clinton has a near two-to-one lead among government workers but is only barely ahead among those who work in the private sector.

Wednesday, June 08, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll 

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Donald Trump (R) 40%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
If the candidates for President this fall were just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 55%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Donald Trump (R) 34%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Hillary Clinton 35% / 56% {-21%}
  • Donald Trump 34% / 59% {-25%}
Survey of 1,106 registered voters was conducted June 3-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Tuesday, June 07, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
If the candidates for President this fall were just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [46%] {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [44%] {42%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 39% [39%] {40%} / 55% [51%] {51%} {-16%}
  • Hillary Clinton 37% [39%] {40%} / 55% [53%] {53%} {-18%
Survey of 737 registered voters was conducted June 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 24-25, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-13, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Connecticut 2016 Presidential Survey

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% (40%)
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Survey of 1,330 registered voters was conducted June 1-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2015 are in parentheses.