Thursday, March 31, 2016

Poll Watch: Fox Business Network Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% 
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Donald Trump (R) 26%
Survey of 1,602 likely primary voters was conducted March 28-30, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fox Business Network Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Bernie Sanders 48%
  • Hillary Clinton 43%
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 55%
  • Hillary Clinton 36%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 47%
  • Bernie Sanders 44%
Survey of 860 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted March 28-30, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fox Business Network Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Ted Cruz 42%
  • Donald Trump 32%
  • John Kasich 19%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 40%
  • Ted Cruz 35%
  • John Kasich 17%
Among Women
  • Ted Cruz 46%
  • Donald Trump 27%
  • John Kasich 21%
Survey of 742 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 28-30, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Bernie Sanders 49%
  • Hillary Clinton 43%
  • Undecided 8%
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 56%
  • Hillary Clinton 39%
  • Undecided 5%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton 46%
  • Bernie Sanders 44%
  • Undecided 10%
Survey of 720 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted March 28-29, 2016 on behalf of VoteVets Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Ted Cruz 38%
  • Donald Trump 37%
  • John Kasich 17%
  • Undecided 9%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 40%
  • Ted Cruz 36%
  • John Kasich 16%
  • Undecided 7%
Among Women
  • Ted Cruz 39%
  • Donald Trump 32%
  • John Kasich 18%
  • Undecided 10%
Survey of 768 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 28-29, 2016 on behalf of VoteVets Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University New York 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • John Kasich (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Donald Trump (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 32%

  • Bernie Sanders (D) 47%
  • John Kasich (R) 37%
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 56%
  • Donald Trump (R) 32%
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 56%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 28%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Kasich 43% / 18% {+25%}
  • Bernie Sanders 54% / 30% {+24%}
  • Hillary Clinton 45% / 49% {-4%}
  • Ted Cruz 26% / 57% {-31%}
  • Donald Trump 30% / 65% {-35%}
Survey of 1,667 New York State voters was conducted March 22-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University New York 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 54% [55%] (51%)
  • Bernie Sanders 42% [15%] (5%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 49%
  • Hillary Clinton 46%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 59%
  • Bernie Sanders 37%
Survey of 693 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted March 22-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 28 - June 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 11-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University New York 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 56% [6%]
  • Ted Cruz 20% [3%] (3%)
  • John Kasich 19% [1%] (1%) 
Survey of 457 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 22-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 28 - June 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 11-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • John Kasich (R) 48.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39.2%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.2% (43%) {44.9%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44.2% (43%) {44.1%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47.1% (47%) {46.7%} [49.8%] (51.1%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36.6% (37%) {38.3%} [36.4%] (35.4%)
Survey of 1,405 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted March 24-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 18-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Bernie Sanders 49.2% (44%) {43.5%} [29.7%] (32.2%)
  • Hillary Clinton 44.9% (43%) {45.1%} [42.2%] (44.4%) {58.2%} [64.0%] (61.5%)
  • Don't know 5.5% {9.4%} [7.8%] (8.8%) {8.9%} [9.2%] (11.0%)
Survey of 405 likely Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted March 24-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 6.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 18-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Ted Cruz 39.6% (19.2%) {16.1%} [5.1%] (8.2%) {6.0%} [4.3%]
  • Donald Trump 30.4% (30.3%) {24.3%} [20.1%] (9.1%) 
  • John Kasich 21.4% (8.3%) {2.0%} [2.8%] (1.0%)
  • Don't know 7.7% (9.6%) {16.8%} [9.8%] (9.6%) {8.9%} [8.9%] (10.5%)
Survey of 471 likely Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted March 24-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 18-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Sunday, March 27, 2016

Poll Watch: Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 36% (24%)
  • Ted Cruz 35% (6%)
  • John Kasich 14% (2%)
Survey of 332 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 16-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses.

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43%) {46%} [44%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (41%) {38%} [42%]
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 19-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 25-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18-22, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Poll
  • John Kasich (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • John Kasich 50% / 18% {+32%}
  • Bernie Sanders 48% / 37% {+11%}
  • Ted Cruz 37% / 43% {-6%
  • Hillary Clinton 40% / 51% {-11%}
  • Donald Trump 30% / 60% {-30%}
National survey of 848 registered voters was conducted March 17-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 30% Republican; 36% Independent.

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall College Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Donald Trump (R) 33%
Survey of 828 Pennsylvania registered voters was conducted March 14-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall College Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Donald Trump 33% {22%} [24%] (23%)
  • John Kasich 30% {15%} [3%] (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 20% {12%} [14%] (4%)
  • Don't know 17% {25%} [26%] (20%)
Survey of 312 registered Republican primary voters was conducted March 14-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 13-21, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
  • John Kasich (R) 47% {47%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {39%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [43%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (48%) [50%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 42% {46%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [46%] (37%) {41%} [38%] (37%) [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {44%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {43%} [41%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (32%)

  • John Kasich (R) 45% {41%}
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 44% {45%}
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 50% {49%} [46%] (43%) {49%} [44%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39% {39%} [42%] (44%) {39%} [45%]
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 52% {48%} [49%] (51%) {49%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [45%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% {42%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [37%]
National survey of 1,451 registered voters was conducted March 16-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {32%} [32%] (33%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 33% {34%} [32%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (31%) {29%} [26%] (23%) {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 24% {26%} [26%] (28%) {30%} [25%] (29%) {26%} [34%] (36%) {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 6% {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 73% {72%} [70%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (72%) {74%} [75%] (72%) {73%} [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 12% {11%} [13%] (11%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 7% {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% {8%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted February 10-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-20, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 23-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • John Kasich (R) 49% (44%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (40%) {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [47%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% [44%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (49%) {45%} [47%] [48%] (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 42% [46%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (42%) {45%} [43%] [40%] (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]
Survey of 843 registered North Carolina voters was conducted March 18-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2016 National Presidential Survey

CBS/NYT 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • John Kasich (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 40%
National survey of 1,058 registered voters was conducted March 17-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • John Kasich (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 48% {49%} [50%] (48%) {47%} {43%} [36%] {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {48%} [47%] (46%) {50%} {52%} [60%] {60%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {52%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [56%] (59%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% {44%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [40%] (35%)
National survey of 925 registered voters was conducted March 17-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conductedMay 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

Friday, March 18, 2016

Poll Watch: Emerson College New York 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54.5%
  • Donald Trump (R) 35.8%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60.5%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 30.4%
Survey of 768 likely voters was conducted March 14-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Monday, March 14, 2016

Poll Watch: Trafalgar Group (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Trafalgar Group (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 43.94% (41.87%)
  • Marco Rubio 24.46% (23.10%)
  • Ted Cruz 19.56% (21.43%)
  • John Kasich 8.57% (10.94%)
  • Undecided 3.47% (2.67%)
Survey of 1,500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.58 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 8-9, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 44.3% {42.8%} [31%] (29.7%) {22.7%} [29%] (27%)
  • Marco Rubio 26.2% {23.5%} [12%] (15.0%) {17.9%} [6%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 18.2% {20.9%} [19%] (20.4%) {12.4%} [3%] (8%) 
  • John Kasich 9.7% {10.4%} [3%] (0.9%) {2.8%} [3%] (3%)
Survey of 787 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 13, 2016 for The Florida Times-Union, Fox 35 Orlando, and Fox 13 Tampa Bay. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 11, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 52%
  • Bernie Sanders 45%
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 55%
  • Hillary Clinton 41%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 59%
  • Bernie Sanders 38%
Early Vote (28%)
  • Hillary Clinton 58%
  • Bernie Sanders 41%
Election Date (72%)
  • Hillary Clinton 49%
  • Bernie Sanders 47%
Survey of 400 likely Democrats was conducted March 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • John Kasich 44%
  • Donald Trump 38%
  • Ted Cruz 12%
  • Marco Rubio 2%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 49%
  • John Kasich 37%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Marco Rubio 2%
Among Women
  • John Kasich 51%
  • Donald Trump 26%
  • Ted Cruz 15%
  • Marco Rubio 3%
Early Vote (24%)
  • John Kasich 55%
  • Donald Trump 30%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Marco Rubio 3%
Election Day (76%)
  • Donald Trump 41%
  • John Kasich 40%
  • Ted Cruz 13%
  • Marco Rubio 2%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 49%
  • Marco Rubio 24%
  • Ted Cruz 16%
  • John Kasich 8%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 53%
  • Marco Rubio 23%
  • Ted Cruz 14%
  • John Kasich 7%
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 45%
  • Marco Rubio 25%
  • Ted Cruz 18%
  • John Kasich 9%
Early Vote (37%)
  • Donald Trump 49%
  • Marco Rubio 28%
  • Ted Cruz 17%
  • John Kasich 5%
Election Day (63%)
  • Donald Trump 49%
  • Marco Rubio 22%
  • Ted Cruz 15%
  • John Kasich 10%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 11-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Monmouth University Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • John Kasich 40%
  • Donald Trump 35%
  • Ted Cruz 15%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
Survey of 503 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 11-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Monmouth University Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 44% (38%)
  • Marco Rubio 27% (30%)
  • Ted Cruz 17% (17%) 
  • John Kasich 9% (10%)
Survey of 405 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 11-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 51% {55%} [52%]
  • Bernie Sanders 46% {40%} [26%]
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 55% {44%} [33%]
  • Hillary Clinton 43% {54%} [44%]
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 56% {56%} [57%]
  • Bernie Sanders 39% {37%} [22%]
Survey of 543 likely Democrats was conducted March 8-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • John Kasich 38% (32%) {26%} [13%] (27%) {19%} [20%] (14%)
  • Donald Trump 38% (38%) {31%} [23%] (21%) {1%}
  • Ted Cruz 16% (16%) {21%} [11%] (7%) {6%} [9%] (6%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% (9%) {13%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 40% (44%) {35%} [24%] (27%)
  • John Kasich 33% (29%) {26%} [15%] (24%)
  • Ted Cruz 21% (17%) {23%} [10%] (9%)
  • Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {9%} [8%] (5%)
Among Women
  • John Kasich 44% (36%) {26%} [11%] (31%)
  • Donald Trump 37% (31%) {27%} [22%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% (15%) {19%} [11%] (4%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% (12%) {17%} [6%] (9%)
Survey of 721 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 2-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 46% [45%] (44%) {28%} [21%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 22% [22%] (28%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% [18%] (12%) {6%} [7%] (3%) {7%} [4%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%)  
  • John Kasich 10% [8%] (7%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 52% [50%] (49%)
  • Marco Rubio 20% [17%] (25%) 
  • Ted Cruz 13% [22%] (13%)
  • John Kasich 9% [8%] (8%)
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 41% [39%] (39%)
  • Marco Rubio 25% [27%] (31%)
  • Ted Cruz 15% [14%] (11%)
  • John Kasich 11% [8%] (6%)
Survey of 615 likely Republicans was conducted March 8-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 2-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Missouri 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Bernie Sanders 47% (25%)
  • Hillary Clinton 46% (53%)
Survey of 839 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted March 11-12, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 46% [53%] (61%)
  • Bernie Sanders 41% [37%] (13%)
Survey of 502 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted March 11-12, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Illinois 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 48% (60%)
  • Bernie Sanders 45% (23%)
Survey of 597 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted March 11-12, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 20-21, 2015 are in parentheses.

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 41%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Donald Trump (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% 
Survey of 2,422 registered voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
  • John Kasich (R) 57%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
Among Men
  • John Kasich (R) 63%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 30%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 54%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Donald Trump (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
Among Women
  • John Kasich (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Donald Trump (R) 34%
Survey of 2,052 registered voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journa/Marist Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • John Kasich 39%
  • Donald Trump 33%
  • Ted Cruz 19%
  • Marco Rubio 6%
Among Men
  • John Kasich 36%
  • Donald Trump 36%
  • Ted Cruz 20%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
Among Women
  • John Kasich 41%
  • Donald Trump 29%
  • Ted Cruz 18%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
College Graduate
  • John Kasich 45%
  • Donald Trump 26%
  • Ted Cruz 19%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
Not a College Graduate
  • Donald Trump 39%
  • John Kasich 33%
  • Ted Cruz 19%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
Survey of 564 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Illinois 2016 Republican Primary Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Illinois 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 34%
  • Ted Cruz 25%
  • John Kasich 21%
  • Marco Rubio 16%
Survey of 421 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 43%
  • Marco Rubio 22%
  • Ted Cruz 21%
  • John Kasich 9%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 47%
  • Ted Cruz 22%
  • Marco Rubio 18%
  • John Kasich 9%
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 38%
  • Marco Rubio 26%
  • Ted Cruz 20%
  • John Kasich 10%
Survey of 511 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Saturday, March 12, 2016

Poll Watch: FAU Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

FAU Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 44% {47.6%} [35.9%] (31.5%)
  • Ted Cruz 21% {16.3%} [10.0%] (5.8%)
  • Marco Rubio 21% {11.1%} [18.4%] (19.2%)
  • John Kasich 9% {2.1%} [3.0%] (1.7%)
Survey of 852 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-11, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 15-16, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-20, 2015 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Trump has a narrow lead among Hispanic Republicans. He has 37 percent, Rubio 34.5 percent, Cruz 20.5 percent and Kasich 8 percent.
Kasich, who has been emphasizing a positive message and not attacking the others, has the highest favorability rating among Republican voters: 60 percent, with just 28 percent unfavorable.
Trump is rated positively by 56 percent — down from 70 percent favorability in January — and negatively by 41 percent. Rubio is viewed favorably by 48 percent, negatively by 45 percent. And Cruz is viewed favorably by 44 percent and negatively by 49 percent.

Friday, March 11, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
  • John Kasich (R) 52% [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [44%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41% [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [44%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Donald Trump (R) 40%
Survey of 1,248 Ohio voters was conducted March 4-6, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 39% [40%] Democrat; 37% [37%] Republican; 24% [23%] Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Illinois 2016 Republican Primary Survey

We Ask America (R) Illinois 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 32.64% (38.44%)
  • Ted Cruz 19.90% (15.87%)
  • John Kasich 18.41% (9.31%)
  • Marco Rubio 11.34% (21.21%)
  • Other 1.49% (4.73%)
  • Undecided 16.22% (10.45%)
Survey of 1,009 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 7-8, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.09 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 24, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Trafalgar Group (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Trafalgar Group (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 41.87%
  • Marco Rubio 23.10%
  • Ted Cruz 21.43%
  • John Kasich 10.94%
  • Undecided 2.67%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 42.40%
  • Ted Cruz 24.51%
  • Marco Rubio 20.86%
  • John Kasich 10.35%
  • Undecided 1.87%
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 41.35%
  • Marco Rubio 25.31%
  • Ted Cruz 18.37%
  • John Kasich 11.52%
  • Undecided 3.45%
Survey of 1,280 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-9, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.83 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 36% [11%]
  • Marco Rubio 30% [16%] (31%)
  • Ted Cruz 17% [4%] (8%)
  • John Kasich 8% [3%]
  • Undecided 8% [13%] (17%)
Survey of 700 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 7-9, 2016 for The Ledger/10 News WTSP. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 20-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 14-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 42.8% [31%] (29.7%) {22.7%} [29%] (27%)
  • Marco Rubio 23.5% [12%] (15.0%) {17.9%} [6%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 20.9% [19%] (20.4%) {12.4%} [3%] (8%) 
  • John Kasich 10.4% [3%] (0.9%) {2.8%} [3%] (3%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 47.2%
  • Ted Cruz 20.5%
  • Marco Rubio 19.8%
  • John Kasich 10.8%
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 38.5%
  • Marco Rubio 27.0%
  • Ted Cruz 21.2%
  • John Kasich 10.1%
Survey of 590 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 9, 2016 for The Florida Times-Union, Fox 35 Orlando, and Fox 13 Tampa Bay. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 11, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2015 are in parentheses.

Thursday, March 10, 2016

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Suffolk University Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 35.6%
  • Marco Rubio 26.6%
  • Ted Cruz 19.2%
  • John Kasich 9.8%
  • Other 1.2%
  • Undecided 7.6%
Survey of 500 likely Florida Republican primary voters was conducted March 7-9, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Washington Post-Univision Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Washington Post-Univision Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 38%
  • Marco Rubio 31%
  • Ted Cruz 19%
  • John Kasich 4%
Survey of 450 likely Republicans was conducted March 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fox News Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Fox News Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • John Kasich 34%
  • Donald Trump 29%
  • Ted Cruz 19%
  • Marco Rubio 7%
Among Men
  • John Kasich 33%
  • Donald Trump 32%
  • Ted Cruz 20%
  • Marco Rubio 6%
Among Women
  • John Kasich 35%
  • Donald Trump 25%
  • Ted Cruz 18%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
Survey of 806 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 5-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fox News Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Fox News Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 43%
  • Marco Rubio 20%
  • Ted Cruz 16%
  • John Kasich 10%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 47%
  • Marco Rubio 20%
  • Ted Cruz 15%
  • John Kasich 10%
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 38%
  • Marco Rubio 19%
  • Ted Cruz 17%
  • John Kasich 11%
Survey of 813 likely Republicans was conducted March 5-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Wednesday, March 09, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/ORC Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 41%
  • John Kasich 35%
  • Ted Cruz 15%
  • Marco Rubio 7%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 45%
  • John Kasich 34%
  • Ted Cruz 13%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
Among Women
  • John Kasich 36%
  • Donald Trump 36%
  • Ted Cruz 16%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
Survey of 359 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 2-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/ORC Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 40%
  • Marco Rubio 24%
  • Ted Cruz 19%
  • John Kasich 5%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 48%
  • Marco Rubio 21%
  • Ted Cruz 20%
  • John Kasich 5%
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 31%
  • Marco Rubio 28%
  • Ted Cruz 17%
  • John Kasich 4%
Survey of 313 likely Republicans was conducted March 2-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 38% {31%} [23%] (21%) {1%}
  • John Kasich 32% {26%} [13%] (27%) {19%} [20%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 16% {21%} [11%] (7%) {6%} [9%] (6%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% {13%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 44% {35%} [24%] (27%)
  • John Kasich 29% {26%} [15%] (24%)
  • Ted Cruz 17% {23%} [10%] (9%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {9%} [8%] (5%)
Among Women
  • John Kasich 36% {26%} [11%] (31%)
  • Donald Trump 31% {27%} [22%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 15% {19%} [11%] (4%)
  • Marco Rubio 12% {17%} [6%] (9%)
Survey of 685 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 2-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 45% (44%) {28%} [21%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 22% (28%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
  • Ted Cruz 18% (12%) {6%} [7%] (3%) {7%} [4%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%)  
  • John Kasich 8% (7%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
Among Men
  • Donald Trump 50% (49%)
  • Ted Cruz 22% (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 17% (25%) 
  • John Kasich 8% (8%)
Among Women
  • Donald Trump 39% (39%)
  • Marco Rubio 27% (31%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% (11%)
  • John Kasich 8% (6%)
Survey of 657 likely Republicans was conducted March 2-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.