Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [56%] (57%) {57%} [55%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 31% [30%] (34%) {32%} [36%]
Survey of 825 registered voters was conducted May 22-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 28 - March 3, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14-17, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for president was today, would you vote for Donald Trump the Republican or Hillary Clinton the Democrat?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Donald Trump (R) 34%
  • Other candidate (vol.) 11%
  • Undecided (vol.) 15%
And who would you vote for if the candidates were Donald Trump the Republican, Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, or Jill Stein of the Green Party?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Donald Trump (R) 31%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
  • Other candidate (vol.) 6%
  • Undecided (vol.) 14%
Survey of 703 registered voters was conducted May 23-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 22% Republican; 40% Independent.

Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 55.3%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35.4%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53.8%
  • Donald Trump (R) 31.7%
Survey of 405 likely voters was conducted May 25-28, 2016 by RKM Research and Communications.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Saturday, May 28, 2016

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Donald Trump (R) 41%
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
Survey of 1,728 registered voters was conducted May 24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 31% Republican; 32% Independent/Other.

Friday, May 27, 2016

Poll Watch: PPIC California 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

PPIC California 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 46%
  • Bernie Sanders 44% 
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 49%
  • Bernie Sanders 42%
Survey of 552 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 13-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Poll Watch: Civitas (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Donald Trump, the Republican, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian?
  • Donald Trump (R) 40.5%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38.2%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8.2%
  • Undecided 9.5%
Survey of 600 likely North Carolina voters was conducted May 21-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Some other candidate 14% [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 7% [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 23-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Clinton earns 77% of the Democratic vote, while 72% of Republicans favor Trump. Each candidate draws 12% support from voters in the opposing party. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 34% to 30%, but 37% prefer someone else or are undecided.
Clinton posts a 16-point advantage among women, but Trump leads by 12 points among men.
Those under 40 have been a key element of the Democratic base vote in recent elections, but these voters are closely divided given a hypothetical Clinton-Trump contest.
Clinton continues to benefit from overwhelming support among blacks. Trump leads among whites but trails among other minority voters.

Poll Watch: PPIC California 2016 Presidential Survey

PPIC California 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% 
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
  • Donald Trump (R) 30%
Survey of 996 likely voters was conducted May 13-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson University New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Donald Trump (R) 26% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 43% / 52% {-9%}
  • Donald Trump 33% / 62% {-29%}
Survey of 702 registered voters was conducted May 18-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 48% Democrat; 35% Republican; 17% Independent/Don't know/Refused.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
  • Not sure 11%
If the candidates for President this fall were just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 47% {42%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [47%]
Survey of 928 registered North Carolina voters was conducted May 20-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {52%} [50%] (43%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% {35%} [36%] (32%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 30% / 50% {-20%}
  • Donald Trump 23% / 56% {-33%}
Survey of 610 likely voters was conducted May 9-17, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted January 18-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 10-20, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
  • Unsure 12%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 40% / 52% {-12%}
  • Donald Trump 38% / 54% {-16%}
Survey of 2,542 registered voters was conducted May 17-18, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 35% Republican; 28% Independent/Other.

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {50%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [50%] {49%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% {39%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [42%] {39%}
Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted May 15-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% {41%} [44%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {50%} [50%] (46%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 56% {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {43%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {56%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% {35%}
Survey of 829 registered voters was conducted May 16-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses.

Saturday, May 21, 2016

Poll Watch: Vanderbilt University Tennessee 2016 Presidential Survey

Vanderbilt Tennessee 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
Survey of 1,001 registered voters was conducted April 25 - May 11, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2016 National Presidential Survey

CBS/NYT 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (50%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (40%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
National survey of 1,109 registered voters was conducted May 13-17, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Some other candidate 13% (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 7% (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 17-18, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Trump now gets 76% of the Republican vote, while Clinton has 72% Democratic support. Thirteen percent (13%) of Democrats prefer Trump, while nine percent (9%) of GOP voters favor Clinton. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 41% to 28%, but 31% of these voters either like another candidate or are undecided.
Trump leads by 22 points among men, compared to Clinton’s 11-point advantage among women.
Those under 40 favor Clinton, while older voters prefer Trump by double-digit margins.
Younger voters traditionally have been a key part of the Democratic base, but right now one-third of those voters like some other candidate or are undecided.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Donald Trump (R) 32%
Survey of 1,989 New Jersey voters was conducted May 10-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 26% Republican; 34% Independent; 6% Other.

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Poll Watch: WBUR/MassINC New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Donald Trump (R) 32% 
Survey of 501 likely voters was conducted May 12-15, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 45% {41%} [38%] (42%) {47%} [38%] (46%) [45%] [42%] (42%) {34%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [49%] (41%) [40%] [46%] (47%) {51%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 55%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
How would you vote if the candidates were:
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% 
National survey of 1,021 registered voters was conducted May 14-17, 2016 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 11-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 20-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
  • Not sure 13%
If the candidates for President this fall were just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Not sure 14%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 36% / 56% {-20%}
  • Hillary Clinton 31% / 60% {-29%}
Survey of 896 registered voters was conducted May 13-15, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Donald Trump (R) 33%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 14%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 35% / 54% {-19%}
  • Donald Trump 32% / 60% {-28%}
Survey of 802 likely New Mexico voters was conducted May 13-15, 2016 for NM Political Report.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 47% Democrat; 41% Republican; 13% Independent.

Monday, May 16, 2016

Poll Watch: Atlanta Journal-Constitution Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 67%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 19%
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
  • Donald Trump (R) 9% 
Survey of 822 registered Georgia voters was conducted May 9-12, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Friday, May 13, 2016

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) 2016 National Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Donald Trump (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Donald Trump (R) 46%
  • Other 5%
National survey of 1,574 registered voters was conducted May 10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: DHM Research Oregon 2016 Presidential Survey

DHM Research Oregon 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Donald Trump (R) 32%
Survey of  901 likely voters was conducted May 6-9, 2016 for OPB and Fox 12. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
  • Not sure 13%
If the candidates for President this fall were just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {48%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {50%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% {41%} [40%] (43%) {44%} [44%] (44%) {37%}
    National survey of 1,222 registered voters was conducted May 6-9, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% {40%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (43%) {41%} Democrat; 36% {36%} [34%] (32%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {33%} Republican; 21% {24%} [24%] (26%) {25%} [24%] (23%) {26%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 24-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 16-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-21, 2015 are in curly brackets.

    Tuesday, May 10, 2016

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

    Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [46%] (41%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 42% [41%] (43%)
    Among Men
    • Donald Trump (R) 49% [48%] (51%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (34%)
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [51%] (48%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 35% [35%] (37%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 37% [44%] (37%) / 57% [51%] (55%) {-20%}
    • Donald Trump 37% [35%] (36%) / 57% [57%] (50%) {-20%}
    Survey of 1,051 Florida voters was conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [33%] (30%) Democrat; 32% [29%] (32%) Republican; 31% [32%] (29%) Independent; 6% [6%] (9%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [45%] (44%) {45%}
    • Donald Trump (R) 42% [42%] (42%) {40%}
    Among Men
    • Donald Trump (R) 54% [49%] (47%) {48%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% [36%] (38%) {35%}
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [53%] (50%) {54%}
    • Donald Trump (R) 32% [35%] (37%) {32%}
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
    • Donald Trump 39% [32%] (36%) {34%} / 55% [60%] (56%) {55%} {-16%}
    • Hillary Clinton 37% [35%] (41%) {38%} / 58% [59%] (54%) {55%} {-21%}
    Survey of 1,077 Pennsylvania voters was conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Donald Trump (R) 43% [44%] (42%) {38%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [42%] (43%) {43%}
    Among Men
    • Donald Trump (R) 51% [53%] (55%) {45%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [35%] (32%) {37%}
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [49%] (53%) {48%}
    • Donald Trump (R) 36% [36%] (30%) {32%}
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Donald Trump 36% [35%] (34%) {32%} / 57% [59%] (58%) {54%} {-21%}
    • Hillary Clinton 34% [37%] (38%) {36%} / 62% [57%] (56%) {54%} {-28%}
    Survey of 1,042 Ohio voters was conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 30% [33%] (28%) {27%} Republican; 29% [33%] (32%) {30%} Democrat; 34% [26%] (32%) {35%} Independent; 7% [7%] (7%) {8%} Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

    Monday, May 09, 2016

    Poll Watch: Boston Globe/Suffolk University Massachusetts 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54.8%
    • Donald Trump (R) 31.4%
    • Undecided 11.2%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 47.0% / 43.4% {+3.6}
    • Donald Trump 28.8% / 63.0% {-34.2%}
    Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

    Sunday, May 08, 2016

    Poll Watch: Landmark Communications/RosettaStone (R) Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Donald Trump (R) 42.3%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41.4%
    Survey of 570 likely Georgia voters was conducted May 5, 2016 for WSB-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.

    Wednesday, May 04, 2016

    Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

    CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (53%) {52%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [56%] (59%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 41% (41%) {44%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [40%] (35%)
    Among Men
    • Donald Trump (R) 47% (50%) {54%} [57%] (47%) {53%} [49%] (56%) {53%} [46%] (36%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (45%) {41%} [39%] (48%) {43%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [50%] (57%)
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% (60%) {62%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (55%) {60%} [62%] (61%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 35% (33%) {34%} [37%] (46%) {40%} [41%] (41%) {37%} [34%] (34%)
    Among Whites
    • Donald Trump (R) 52% (48%) {57%} [57%] (55%) {58%} [54%] (57%) {55%} [50%] (44%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (48%)
    Among Non-Whites
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (74%) {80%} [72%] (71%) {76%} [72%] (67%) {71%} [75%] (82%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 14% (22%) {15%} [22%] (25%) {21%} [25%] (28%) {24%} [21%] (15%) 
    National survey of 890 registered voters was conducted April 28 - May 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses.

    Tuesday, May 03, 2016

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

    Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Donald Trump (R) 41% {36%} [36%] (38%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {41%} [37%] (36%)
    • Some other candidate 15% {21%} [22%] (22%)
    • Undecided 5% {3%} [5%] (5%)
    Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.
    Inside the numbers:
    Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this match-up. Republicans are twice as likely to prefer another candidate.
    Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 37% to 31%, but 23% like another candidate. Nine percent (9%) are undecided.
    Trump leads 48% to 35% among men but trails Clinton by a similar 44% to 34% among women.
    Clinton’s narrow 38% to 32% lead among those under 40, traditionally a reliable Democratic group, suggests that younger voters will be a big target in the upcoming campaigning. Twenty-five percent (25%) of these voters like another candidate for now, and five percent (5%) are undecided. Trump has a small advantage among older voters.
    Clinton earns 71% of the black vote, 45% support among other minority voters but just 33% of whites. Trump gets only nine percent (9%) of blacks, 33% of other minorities and 48% of white voters.

    Monday, May 02, 2016

    Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Indiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    • Donald Trump 44%
    • Ted Cruz 27%
    • John Kasich 9%
    • Uncertain 19%
    Survey of 379 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 28-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
    • John Kasich (R) 43% {52%} [47%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {37%} [40%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%}
    • Donald Trump (R) 42% {40%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%} [44%]
    • Ted Cruz (R) 35% {40%} [43%]
    Survey of 799 registered voters was conducted April 26-27, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {39%} [40%] Democrat; 38% {37%} [37%] Republican; 21% {24%} [23%] Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 4-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2015 are in square brackets.

    Sunday, May 01, 2016

    Poll Watch: American Research Group Indiana 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

    • Hillary Clinton 51%
    • Bernie Sanders 43%
    • Other 1%
    • Undecided 5%
    Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: American Research Group Indiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    • Donald Trump 41%
    • Ted Cruz 32%
    • John Kasich 21%
    • Undecided 6%
    Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Indiana 2016 Presidential Survey

    • John Kasich 56%
    • Hillary Clinton 37%
    • Donald Trump 48%
    • Hillary Clinton 41%
    • Ted Cruz 50%
    • Hillary Clinton 43%
    Survey of 2,149 registered voters was conducted April 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.1 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Indiana 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

    • Hillary Clinton 50%
    • Bernie Sanders 46%
    Survey of 449 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Indiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    • Donald Trump 49%
    • Ted Cruz 34%
    • John Kasich 13%
    Survey of 645 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.