Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Poll Watch: IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Survey

IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.3% [43.1%] (45.3%) {46.0%} [45.0%] (44.3%) {44.0%} [44.7%] (45.1%) {44.9%} [45.5%] (45.2%) {44.2%} [43.3%] (42.7%) {42.0%} [42.3%] (41.7%) {42.6%} [43.1%] (43.6%) {44%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42.3% [42.1%] (43.8%) {43.4%} [43.8%] (44.0%) {44.2%} [43.9%] (43.4%) {41.3%} [41.0%] (41.8%) {41.6%} [41.3%] (41.5%) {42.3%} [43.2%] (42.2%) {40.5%} [41.0%] (40.6%) {43%} [39%] (40%) {40%} [40%] (35%) 
  • Other 5.3%
  • Not sure 9.0%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 42.7% [43.1%] (44.0%) {43.7%} [43.9%] (44.1%) {44.4%} [43.7%] (43.7%) {41.6%} [40.6%] (40.8%) {41.4%} [41.2%] (40.8%) {41.1%} [42.6%] (42.1%) {41.1%} [41.2%] (41.3%) {39%} [35%] (36%) {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41.2% [40.7%] (43.0%) {44.2%} [44.4%] (44.0%) {44.0%} [44.6%] (44.7%) {44.1%} [44.5%] (43.8%) {42.6%} [41.8%] (41.6%) {41.2%} [40.8%] (39.7%) {40.2%} [40.2%] (40.0%) {39%} [39%] (37%) {39%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7.1% [6.3%] (5.0%) {4.8%} [3.7%] (3.9%) {4.1%} [4.2%] (4.2%) {5.6%} [6.8%] (7.3%) {7.5%} [8.0%] (8.4%) {7.7%} [7.2%] (7.3%) {7.7%} [7.3%] (7.6%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {11%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.9% [2.2%] (2.0%) {1.6%} [1.7%] (1.9%) {2.2%} [2.1%] (2.3%) {2.4%} [1.8%] (1.8%) {2.2%} [2.9%] (3.2%) {3.7%} [3.3%] (3.6%) {4.4%} [4.8%] (5.5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
  • Other 2.0%
  • Not sure 5.0%
IBD/TIPP Final Results ('Not Sure' Allocated):
  • Donald Trump (R) 45.0%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.4%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7.6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.0%
  • Other 2.0%
National survey of 1,107 likely voters was conducted November 4-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 2-5, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 26-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 24-29, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 21-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-25, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-19, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-18, 2016 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted August 26 - September 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29 - August 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-29, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2016 are in parentheses.

Monday, November 07, 2016

Poll Watch: Emerson College Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 45.6% {44.5%} [43.0%] (43.4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38.9% {45.3%} [44.5%] (42.5%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6.8% {5.8%} [6.7%] (9.8%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.8% {1.0%} [1.6%] (2.1%)
  • Unsure 5.9% {3.4%} [4.2%] (2.2%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 50.0% {48.2%} [47.4%] (49.1%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33.9% {40.7%} [38.1%] (32.7%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9.4% {5.3%} [9.7%] (14.8%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.6% {1.1%} [0.1%] (1.4%)
  • Unsure 5.1% {4.7%} [4.7%] (2.0%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.6% {49.8%} [50.4%] (51.4%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41.5% {40.9%} [38.9%] (38.2%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4.2% {6.3%} [3.9%] (5.3%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 4.0% {0.9%} [3.1%] (2.7%)
  • Unsure 6.7% {2.1%} [3.7%] (2.4%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 43.0% {37.0%} [35.2%] (40.7%) / 52.7% {60.1%} [62.6%] (57.4%) {-9.7}
  • Hillary Clinton 38.9% {41.2%} [49.5%] (41.8%) / 57.8% {56.2%} [49.5%] (56.0%) {-18.9}
Survey of 900 likely voters was conducted November 4-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 26-27, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-27, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {49%} [44%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% {47%} [43%] (39%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3% {1%} [7%] (10%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% {1%} (2%)
Survey of 1,250 registered voters was conducted November 1-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 25-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (44%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% (38%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% (6%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Survey of 1,362 registered voters was conducted November 1-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 24, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.4% {46.3%} [43.6%] (41.8%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 43.8% {43.1%} [35.7%] (36.6%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4.5% {5.9%} [10.2%] (13.9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3.3% {1.9%} [5.5%] (4.4%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.9% {38.0%} [42.7%] (38.3%) / 55.1% {60.2%} [54.4%] (59.9%) {-12.2}
  • Donald Trump (R) 39.3% {38.8%} [35.9%] (34.0%) / 57.9% {58.1%} [61.4%] (63.0%) {-18.6}
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 4-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-5, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48.4% [49.3%] (49.0%) {46.9%} [46.6%] (45.2%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 46.4% [45.0%] (45.0%) {44.1%} [46.3%] (44.3%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3.0% [2.6%] (2.8%) {5.3%} [3.9%] (5.9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.1% [1.1%] (1.8%) {0.8%} [1.7%] (1.2%)
  • Undecided 1.1% [2.0%] (1.5%) {2.9%} [1.4%] (3.4%)
Survey of 853 likely voters was conducted November 5-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 1-2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-11, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28-29, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (53%) {49%} [49%] (54%) {46%} [49%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (41%) {46%} [42%] (40%) {45%} [41%]
Including Third-Party Candidates: 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%) {46%} [46%] (50%) {45%} [44%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (38%) {42%} [39%] (37%) {43%} [37%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% (5%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [9%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [4%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% (42%) {44%} [44%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (43%) {39%} [36%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5% (7%) {10%} [11%] (9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (51%) {51%} [50%] (55%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% (34%) {36%} [29%] (27%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3% (4%) {6%} [5%] (6%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 0% (3%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 37% (41%) {38%} [37%] (42%) {35%} / 54% (50%) {54%} [51%] (49%) {54%} {-17}
  • Donald Trump 34% (27%) {34%} [29%] (28%) {33%} / 55% (62%) {56%} [57%] (61%) {54%} {-21}
National survey of 748 likely voters was conducted November 3-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 14-16, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 15-19, 2016 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% {46%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {45%} [48%] (49%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [49%] (41%) [40%] [46%] (47%) {51%}
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {45%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [44%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (39%) {38%} [39%] (45%) {41%} [38%] (42%) {47%} [38%] (46%) [45%] [42%] (42%) {34%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 48% {53%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [50%] (54%) {53%} [50%] (45%) {46%} [48%] (55%) {51%} [43%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 43% {38%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [41%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 52% {53%} [54%] (54%) {55%} [54%] (59%) {53%} [55%] (57%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 40% {39%} [40%] (36%) {35%} [39%] (36%) {40%} [35%] (34%) {32%} [32%] (36%) {33%} [34%] (35%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% {45%} [44%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [39%] (39%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {43%} [41%] (39%) {38%} [42%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (42%)
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 3% {5%} [7%] (5%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (10%)
  • Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 2% {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {3%} [4%]  
National survey of 1,295 likely voters was conducted November 3-6, 2016 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-30, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 2, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 20-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% (48%) {50%} [49%] (47%) 
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% (46%) {44%} [46%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 54% (49%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 39% (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 55% (52%) {57%} [56%] (49%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 37% (44%) {38%} [42%] (42%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% (47%) {47%} [46%] (42%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% (44%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 3% (3%) {5%} [7%] (15%)
Survey of 870 likely North Carolina voters was conducted November 3-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 27 - November 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 20-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 7, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (47%) {49%} [49%] (47%) {46%} [39%] (47%) {43%} [46%] (41%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46% (45%) {45%} [44%] (47%) {45%} [42%] (39%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 50% (47%) {52%} [53%] (58%) {51%} [50%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 41% (45%) {42%} [42%] (36%) {39%} [29%] (41%) {36%} [40%] (34%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 50% (49%) {54%} [56%] (56%) {53%} [48%] (52%) {48%} [51%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 42% (44%) {40%} [35%] (36%) {40%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (46%) {48%} [46%] (43%) {43%} [36%] (42%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% (45%) {44%} [41%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 2% (2%) {4%} [5%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%)
  • Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 1% (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [4%] (3%)
Survey of 884 likely Florida voters was conducted November 3-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 27 - November 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-16, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 7, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%) {42%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [43%] (39%) {42%} [41%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (44%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (43%) {43%} [39%] (39%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (44%) {42%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (40%) {40%} [40%] (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (8%) 
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {3%}
Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 2-3 and 6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27 and 30-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 26-27 and 30, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-27, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 24-26, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20 and 23-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19-20 and 23, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 12-13 and 16, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13 and 16-17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 9-11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 6 and 9-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 5-6 and 9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 2-4, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 2, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 12-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University National 2016 Presidential Survey

Boston Herald/FPU National 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47.6% (46.4%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 44.4% (41.2%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4.3% (5.5%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.8% (1.6%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 47.9% (45.9%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.8% (40.9%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5.4% (6.7%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.8% (1.7%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52.6% (51.6%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40.8% (36.8%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3.0% (4.4%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.9% (1.5%)
National survey of 1,009 likely voters was conducted November 1-5, 2016 by RKM Research and Communications.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 9-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News 2016 National Presidential Survey

CBS News 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% {47%} [51%] (49%) {46%} [47%] (43%) {40%} [47%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% {44%} [40%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (44%) {40%} [41%] (40%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [47%] (45%) {42%} [43%] (39%) {36%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% {42%} [38%] (41%) {42%} [38%] (40%) {36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5% {5%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (12%) {12%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%}
National survey of 1,426 likely voters was conducted November 2-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 2, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 9-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 13-17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) {46%} [50%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (41%) {46%} [44%]
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (47%) {41%} [44%] (49%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (38%) {43%} [40%] (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% (8%) {8%} [9%] (9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (3%) {4%} [4%]
National survey of 799 likely voters was conducted November 4-6, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 49% [49%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [52%] (46%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% [44%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (46%) {47%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [41%] (49%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% [48%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (48%) {45%} [48%
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% [43%] (44%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [42%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [39%]
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 4% [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [9%] (7%) {8%} [6%]
  • Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
Survey of 1,937 likely voters was conducted November 2-5, 2016 by Langer Research Associates. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 2, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 28-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 11-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 16-19, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Survey

IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.1% (45.3%) {46.0%} [45.0%] (44.3%) {44.0%} [44.7%] (45.1%) {44.9%} [45.5%] (45.2%) {44.2%} [43.3%] (42.7%) {42.0%} [42.3%] (41.7%) {42.6%} [43.1%] (43.6%) {44%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42.1% (43.8%) {43.4%} [43.8%] (44.0%) {44.2%} [43.9%] (43.4%) {41.3%} [41.0%] (41.8%) {41.6%} [41.3%] (41.5%) {42.3%} [43.2%] (42.2%) {40.5%} [41.0%] (40.6%) {43%} [39%] (40%) {40%} [40%] (35%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 43.1% (44.0%) {43.7%} [43.9%] (44.1%) {44.4%} [43.7%] (43.7%) {41.6%} [40.6%] (40.8%) {41.4%} [41.2%] (40.8%) {41.1%} [42.6%] (42.1%) {41.1%} [41.2%] (41.3%) {39%} [35%] (36%) {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.7% (43.0%) {44.2%} [44.4%] (44.0%) {44.0%} [44.6%] (44.7%) {44.1%} [44.5%] (43.8%) {42.6%} [41.8%] (41.6%) {41.2%} [40.8%] (39.7%) {40.2%} [40.2%] (40.0%) {39%} [39%] (37%) {39%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6.3% (5.0%) {4.8%} [3.7%] (3.9%) {4.1%} [4.2%] (4.2%) {5.6%} [6.8%] (7.3%) {7.5%} [8.0%] (8.4%) {7.7%} [7.2%] (7.3%) {7.7%} [7.3%] (7.6%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {11%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.2% (2.0%) {1.6%} [1.7%] (1.9%) {2.2%} [2.1%] (2.3%) {2.4%} [1.8%] (1.8%) {2.2%} [2.9%] (3.2%) {3.7%} [3.3%] (3.6%) {4.4%} [4.8%] (5.5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
National survey of 1,026 likely voters was conducted November 3-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 2-5, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 26-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 24-29, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 21-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-25, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-19, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-18, 2016 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted August 26 - September 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29 - August 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-29, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2016 are in parentheses.

Sunday, November 06, 2016

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% (42%) {39%} [40%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3% (5%) {7%} [6%] (5%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48% (43%) {41%} [44%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%) {45%} [41%] (39%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3% (5%) {8%} [8%] (8%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (2%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (48%) {47%} [52%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (41%) {36%} [36%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3% (4%) {6%} [4%] (1%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%)
Survey of 1,189 likely voters was conducted November 2-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 5-7, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 17-19, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [49%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (46%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [46%] (47%) {42%} [45%] (42%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
Survey of 1,220 registered voters was conducted November 1-2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-26, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (43%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [43%] (42%) {40%} [41%] (42%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% [3%] (5%) {5%} [3%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% [45%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [43%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (38%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6% [5%] (6%) {8%} [4%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% [2%] (3%) {3%} [2%]
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [48%] (46%) {49%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% [42%] (39%) {38%} [39%] (38%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2% [2%] (4%) {3%} [1%]
Survey of 1,188 likely voters was conducted November 2-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 10-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 16-19, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% (51%) {52%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (46%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [50%] {49%}
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% (41%) {38%} [41%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (43%) {39%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [42%] {39%}
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [39%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (37%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [38%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6% (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [10%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (2%) {2%} [3%] (5%) {6%} [6%] 
Survey of 1,282 likely voters was conducted November 3-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.73 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-19, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 3, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (45%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% (43%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2% (8%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% (1%)
Survey of 504 likely voters was conducted November 2-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 21-22, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%} [44%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% {41%} [41%] (38%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%} [40%] (40%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {39%} [38%] (32%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% {8%} [8%] (14%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% {2%} [3%] (5%)
Survey of 405 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 20-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-16, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (39%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6% (6%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% (2%)
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted November 1-4, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 3-6, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Survey

IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.3% {46.0%} [45.0%] (44.3%) {44.0%} [44.7%] (45.1%) {44.9%} [45.5%] (45.2%) {44.2%} [43.3%] (42.7%) {42.0%} [42.3%] (41.7%) {42.6%} [43.1%] (43.6%) {44%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 43.8% {43.4%} [43.8%] (44.0%) {44.2%} [43.9%] (43.4%) {41.3%} [41.0%] (41.8%) {41.6%} [41.3%] (41.5%) {42.3%} [43.2%] (42.2%) {40.5%} [41.0%] (40.6%) {43%} [39%] (40%) {40%} [40%] (35%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 44.0% {43.7%} [43.9%] (44.1%) {44.4%} [43.7%] (43.7%) {41.6%} [40.6%] (40.8%) {41.4%} [41.2%] (40.8%) {41.1%} [42.6%] (42.1%) {41.1%} [41.2%] (41.3%) {39%} [35%] (36%) {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.0% {44.2%} [44.4%] (44.0%) {44.0%} [44.6%] (44.7%) {44.1%} [44.5%] (43.8%) {42.6%} [41.8%] (41.6%) {41.2%} [40.8%] (39.7%) {40.2%} [40.2%] (40.0%) {39%} [39%] (37%) {39%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5.0% {4.8%} [3.7%] (3.9%) {4.1%} [4.2%] (4.2%) {5.6%} [6.8%] (7.3%) {7.5%} [8.0%] (8.4%) {7.7%} [7.2%] (7.3%) {7.7%} [7.3%] (7.6%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {11%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.0% {1.6%} [1.7%] (1.9%) {2.2%} [2.1%] (2.3%) {2.4%} [1.8%] (1.8%) {2.2%} [2.9%] (3.2%) {3.7%} [3.3%] (3.6%) {4.4%} [4.8%] (5.5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
National survey of 903 likely voters was conducted November 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 26-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 24-29, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 21-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-25, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-19, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-18, 2016 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted August 26 - September 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29 - August 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-29, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2016 are in parentheses.