Thursday, October 11, 2018

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Texas 2018 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac University Texas 2018 Senate Poll
  • Ted Cruz (R) 54% (54%) {49%} [50%] (47%)
  • Beto O'Rourke (D) 45% (45%) {43%} [39%] (44%)
Men
  • Ted Cruz (R) 62% (57%) {56%} [57%] (51%)
  • Beto O'Rourke (D) 37% (42%) {36%} [35%] (40%)
Women
  • Beto O'Rourke (D) 52% (48%) {49%} [42%] (47%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 46% (50%) {43%} [44%] (43%)
White, College Degree
  • Ted Cruz (R) 60% (55%) {58%} [58%] (54%)
  • Beto O'Rourke (D) 40% (42%) {35%} [35%] (39%)
White, No College Degree
  • Ted Cruz (R) 80% (78%) {65%} [64%] (64%)
  • Beto O'Rourke (D) 19% (21%) {26%} [21%] (29%)
Hispanic
  • Beto O'Rourke (D) 61% (54%) {52%} [44%] (51%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37% (45%) {40%} [46%] (33%)
Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)
  • Ted Cruz 52% (52%) {50%} [49%] (46%) / 44% (43%) {42%} [38%] (44%) (+8)
  • Beto O'Rourke 45% (43%) {33%} [30%] (30%) / 47% (42%) {23%} [19%] (16%) (-2)
Men
  • Ted Cruz 59% (55%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 36% (42%) {37%} [35%] (41%) (+23)
  • Beto O'Rourke 37% (41%) {31%) [29%] (28%) / 53% (46%) {29%} [24%] (24%) (-16)
Women
  • Beto O'Rourke 53% (45%) {35%} [31%] (31%) / 40% (38%) {17%} [14%] (10%) (+13)
  • Ted Cruz 46% (49%) {46%} [42%] (41%) / 52% (45%) {46%} [42%] (47%) (-6)
White, College Degree
  • Ted Cruz 57% (54%) {55%} [56%] (52%) / 42% (44%) {40%} [39%] (44%) (+15)
  • Beto O'Rourke 41% (42%) {33%} [29%] (31%) / 53% (47%) {33%} [23%] (23%) (-12)
White, No College Degree
  • Ted Cruz 75% (75%) {63%} [64%] (61%) / 22% (23%) {29%} [24%] (30%) (+53)
  • Beto O'Rourke 24% (24%) {22%} [20%] (20%) / 69% (57%) {33%} [23%] (19%) (-45)
Hispanic
  • Beto O'Rourke 58% (48%) {40%} [39%] (31%) / 33% (35%) {8%} [15%] (12%) (+25)
  • Ted Cruz 40% (44%) {45%} [45%] (35%) / 56% (44%) {43%} [35%] (42%) (-16)
Survey of 730 very likely voters was conducted October 3-9, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 11-17, 2018 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 26-31, 2018 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 23-29, 2018 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-17, 2018 are in parentheses.