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Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary

PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary
  • Mike Huckabee 25% (20%) {19%} [22%] (29%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% (22%) {19%} [17%] (23%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% (15%) {23%} [25%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% (15%) {17%} [18%] (32%)
  • Ron Paul 9% {8%} [8%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% (20%)
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 26% (20%) {18%} [23%] (32%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% (23%) {21%} [18%] (27%)
  • Newt Gingrich 20% (17%) {24%} [28%]
  • Ron Paul 9% {7%} [11%]
  • Mitt Romney 9% (14%) {18%} [16%] (30%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 6% (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 7% (18%)
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 23% (16%) {22%} [17%] (22%)
  • Sarah Palin 23% (14%) {10%} [14%] (13%)
  • Mitt Romney 13% (23%) {15%} [26%] (40%)
  • Newt Gingrich 12% (10%) {17%} [15%]
  • Ron Paul 11% {9%} [6%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 0% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 13% (25%)
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 25% (19%) {18%} [21%] (27%)
  • Sarah Palin 25% (20%) {16%} [18%] (26%)
  • Newt Gingrich 14% (22%) {29%} [27%]
  • Mitt Romney 11% (15%) {18%} [17%] (33%)
  • Ron Paul 8% {8%} [10%]
  • Mitch Daniels 6% (2%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% (4%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 5% (12%)
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 24% (21%) {20%} [22%] (30%)
  • Newt Gingrich 21% (7%) {16%} [22%]
  • Sarah Palin 17% (23%) {23%} [16%] (21%)
  • Ron Paul 10% {7%} [11%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% (16%) {16%} [19%] (31%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 6% (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 1% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (28%)
If the Republican candidates for President next year were Mitch Daniels, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
  • Mike Huckabee 24% [18%]
  • Newt Gingrich 17% [23%]
  • Sarah Palin 17% [17%]
  • Ron Paul 10% [8%]
  • Mitt Romney 10% [14%]
  • Rick Perry 9% [8%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 4%
  • Mitch Daniels 3%
  • Someone else/Undecided 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 15% {+56%}
  • Sarah Palin 69% / 24% {+45%}
  • Rick Perry 65% / 26% {+39%}
  • Newt Gingrich 60% / 22% {+38%}
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 27% {+25%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 77% / 9% {+68%}
  • Sarah Palin 77% / 15% {+62%}
  • Rick Perry 70% / 19% {+51%}
  • Newt Gingrich 67% / 16% {+51%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 25% {+29%}
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 60% / 25% {+35%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 29% {+25%}
  • Rick Perry 52% / 42% {+10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 44% / 37% {+7%}
  • Sarah Palin 45% / 51% {-6%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 20% {+51%}
  • Sarah Palin 71% / 24% {+47%}
  • Rick Perry 64% / 29% {+35%}
  • Newt Gingrich 62% / 28% {+34%}
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 35% {+17%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 70% / 10% {+60%}
  • Sarah Palin 67% / 25% {+42%}
  • Rick Perry 65% / 23% {+42%}
  • Newt Gingrich 59% / 17% {+42%}
  • Mitt Romney 51% / 21% {+30%}
Survey of 400 usual Texas Republican primary voters was conducted January 14-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 75% {75%} [77%] (73%) Conservative; 21% {23%} [22%] (25%) Moderate; 4% {3%} [2%] (2%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

3 comments:

  1. Anonymous12:43 PM

    Aron,
    Do you still have that link that rated how the polling companies did for the midterm elections? I've been looking for the one you posted at ROS that only showed a few of the polling companies. I think it said the PPP leaned around 3 points in the Dems favor; but don't remember exactly how it ranked compared to the other polling companies.

    Thank you.

    Donna

    ReplyDelete
  2. Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly -- by Nate Silver

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/?hp

    Should 2010's "most accurate pollsters" pay for their earlier sins? -- by Steve Singiser

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/11/7/918497/-Should-2010s-most-accurate-pollsters-pay-for-their-earlier-sins

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous3:12 PM

    Aron,
    Thank you. That is what I was looking for.

    Donna

    ReplyDelete