Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 41% {39%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [43%]
• Jon Huntsman 34% {32%} [35%] (28%) {31%} [33%]

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 2-3, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 2, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30-31, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2011 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

The president draws support from 80% of Democrats, while Huntsman is favored by just 61% of Republicans. Obama holds a slight 34% to 30% lead among voters not affiliated with either political party, but 36% of these voters either prefer a different candidate or are undecided.

Among conservatives, 60% like Huntsman, but 21% like some other candidate. Obama captures 51% of moderates and 77% of liberals.

Women favor the president by a 10-point margin, while men are almost evenly divided. Those under 40 tend to support Obama. Huntsman runs strongest among middle-aged voters.

Among voters who have served in the military, Huntsman holds a 41% to 32% advantage over the president. Those voters who have never served support Obama 43% to 32%. Similarly, voters who have immediate family members currently serving give the nod to Huntsman, while those who do not have family currently in the military favor the president.