Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Charlie Crist (D) 42% (42%) {39%}
• Rick Scott (R) 42% (44%) {37%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 86% (83%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 5% (7%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% (80%) {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 7% (11%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 41% (37%) {36%}
• Rick Scott (R) 38% (44%) {34%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% (11%) {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 46% (48%) {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 38% (40%) {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 10% (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% (43%) {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 39% (41%) {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
• Rick Scott (R) 44% (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 87% (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 6% (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 85% (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 8% (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 48% (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 41% (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 42% (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 47% (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-5%}
• Rick Scott 40% (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-8%}

Survey of 984 likely voters was conducted October 14-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.