Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

• Mark Kirk (R) 40% (35%) {30%} [37%] (34%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 36% (37%) {31%} [33%] (42%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 8% (9%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3%
• Undecided 13% (19%) {24%} [30%] (24%)

Among Men

• Mark Kirk (R) 44% (41%) {34%} [43%] (40%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 31% (35%) {30%} [34%] (40%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 11% (10%) {18%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3%
• Undecided 12% (15%) {17%} 

Among Women

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 41% (40%) {32%} [32%] (43%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 36% (30%) {26%} [31%] (28%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 6% (8%) {11%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3%
• Undecided 15% (22%) {31%} [37%] (29%)

Among Democrats

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 68% (72%) {56%} [54%] (72%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 9% (5%) {10%} [10%] (7%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 7% (8%) {15%}
• Mike Labno (L) 2%
• Undecided 15% (15%) {19%} [36%] (20%)

Among Republicans

• Mark Kirk (R) 79% (74%) {63%} [77%] (76%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 6% (7%) {7%}
• Mike Labno (L) 2%
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 2% (6%) {5%} [7%] (5%)
• Undecided 11% (12%) {25%} [16%] (19%)

Among Independents

• Mark Kirk (R) 41% (36%) {26%} [33%] (33%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 27% (20%) {20%} [30%] (27%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 13% (12%) {21%}
• Mike Labno (L) 5%
• Undecided 14% (32%) {32%} [37%] (40%)

Among Conservatives

• Mark Kirk (R) 70% (66%) {51%} [69%] (59%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 6% (9%) {11%} [9%] (19%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% (8%) {17%}
• Mike Labno (L) 4%
• Undecided 16% (17%) {21%} [22%] (21%)

Among Moderates

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 43% (42%) {33%} [36%] (45%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 33% (25%) {27%} [23%] (25%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 9% (11%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 2%
• Undecided 13% (23%) {26%} [41%] (30%)

Among Liberals

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 74% (78%) {56%} [71%] (68%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 13% (8%) {12%}
• Mark Kirk (R) 2% (1%) {6%} [8%] (11%)
• Mike Labno (L) 2%
• Undecided 9% (13%) {26%} [22%] (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Kirk 33% (26%) {23%} [24%] (27%) / 47% (34%) {31%} [23%] (22%) {-14%}
• Alexi Giannoulias 33% (26%) {23%} [21%] (31%) / 48% (42%) {31%} [28%] (19%) {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44% (49%) {53%} [50%]
• Disapprove 49% (46%) {41%} [42%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Roland Burris’ job performance?

• Approve 17% (20%) {19%} [18%] (14%)
• Disapprove 68% (55%) {54%} [54%] (60%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dick Durbin’s job performance?

• Approve 46% (50%) {49%} [45%] (47%)
• Disapprove 43% (38%) {36%} [34%] (39%)

Survey of 470 likely voters was conducted September 23-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% (41%) {42%} [42%] (47%) Democrat; 32% (32%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 26% (26%) {29%} [28%] (23%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 40% (39%) {43%} [44%] (38%) Moderate; 37% (38%) {34%} [36%] (36%) Conservative; 23% (22%) {23%} [20%] (26%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.