Poll Watch: ARG South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 25% (18%)
• Sarah Palin 16% (10%)
• Michele Bachmann 13% (5%)
• Herman Cain 10% (1%)
• Rudy Giuliani 6% (4%)
• Rick Perry 6%
• Newt Gingrich 3% (9%)
• Ron Paul 2% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%)
• Buddy Roemer 2% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 0% (2%)
• Undecided 15% (11%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 27% (16%)
• Sarah Palin 17% (10%)
• Michele Bachmann 10% (4%)
• Herman Cain 10% (1%)
• Rudy Giuliani 6% (4%)
• Rick Perry 6%
• Newt Gingrich 3% (12%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%)
• Ron Paul 2% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 2% (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 0% (3%)
• Undecided 15% (10%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Michele Bachmann 24% (7%)
• Mitt Romney 17% (26%)
• Herman Cain 11% (3%)
• Sarah Palin 10% (10%)
• Rick Perry 7%
• Rudy Giuliani 6% (4%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 1% (0%)
• Ron Paul 1% (4%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 17% (9%)

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Mitt Romney 26% (12%)
• Sarah Palin 17% (10%)
• Michele Bachmann 16% (8%)
• Herman Cain 10% (3%)
• Rick Perry 5%
• Rudy Giuliani 2% (4%)
• Newt Gingrich 2% (12%)
• Ron Paul 2% (2%)
• Buddy Roemer 2% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 0% (4%)
• Undecided 16% (7%)

Among Non-Tea Party Republican Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 24% (25%)
• Sarah Palin 14% (10%)
• Rudy Giuliani 10% (4%)
• Michele Bachmann 10% (1%)
• Herman Cain 10% (0%)
• Rick Perry 7%
• Newt Gingrich 4% (6%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
• Ron Paul 2% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 0% (0%)
• Undecided 15% (13%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (471 Republicans, 123 independents, and 6 Democrats) was conducted July 12-17, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: Republican 79% (76%); Independent 21% (24%). Tea Party supporter: 51% (52%); Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 49% (48%).  Results from the poll conducted April 18-23, 2011 are in parentheses.