Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

• Dan Malloy (D) 43% (43%) {43%} [43%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 42% (43%) {42%} [43%] (46%)
  
• Joe Visconti (I) 8% (7%) {9%} [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

• Dan Malloy (D) 47% (45%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 44% (46%) {45%} [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 42% (43%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 44% (43%) {46%} [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {-2%}
• Dan Malloy 43% (41%) {42%} [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 49% (52%) {50%} [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-6%}

Survey of 926 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (36%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 25% (25%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 35% (33%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 6% (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Dan Malloy (D) 48% [43%] (38%)
• Tom Foley (R) 47% [50%] (45%)
  
• Some other candidate 2% [2%] (7%)
• Undecided 4% [4%] (10%)

Survey of 977 likely voters was conducted October 29-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18-19, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Dan Malloy (D) 44% (43%)
• Tom Foley (R) 41% (35%)
  
• Joe Visconti (I) 6% (9%)
• Undecided 8% (14%)

Horse race, with Visconti supporters asked if they lean Malloy or Foley:

• Dan Malloy (D) 47% (45%)
• Tom Foley (R) 44% (39%)
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 33% (34%) / 48% (49%)  {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Dan Malloy's job performance?

• Approve 38% (40%)
• Disapprove 52% (50%)

Survey of 931 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 1, 2014. Party ID: 41% (42%) Democrat; 28% (28%) Republican; 31% (31%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

• Dan Malloy (D) 43% {43%} [43%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 43% {42%} [43%] (46%)
  
• Joe Visconti (I) 7% {9%} [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

• Tom Foley (R) 46% {45%} [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)
• Dan Malloy (D) 45% {45%} [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 43% {40%} [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 43% {46%} [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {0%}
• Dan Malloy 41% {42%} [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 52% {50%} [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-11%}

Survey of 838 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 25% {26%} [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 33% {34%} [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 5% {6%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

• Dan Malloy (D) 43% [43%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 42% [43%] (46%)
  
• Joe Visconti (I) 9% [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

• Dan Malloy (D) 45% [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 45% [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 40% [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 46% [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {-6%}
• Dan Malloy 42% [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 50% [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-8%}

Survey of 1,010 likely voters was conducted October 14-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 26% [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 34% [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 6% [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 50% (45%)
  
• Dan Malloy (D) 43% (38%)
• Some other candidate 2% (7%)
• Undecided 4% (10%)

Survey of 980 likely voters was conducted October 14-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18-19, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

• Tom Foley (R) 43% (46%)
  
• Dan Malloy (D) 43% (40%)
• Joe Visconti (I) 9% (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

• Tom Foley (R) 46% (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)
  
• Dan Malloy (D) 46% (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 41% (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 39% (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {+2%}
• Dan Malloy 41% (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 51% (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-10%}

Survey of 1,085 likely voters was conducted October 1-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 26% (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 35% (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 6% (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Dan Malloy (D) 43%
• Tom Foley (R) 35%
  
• Joe Visconti (I) 9%
• Undecided 14%

Horse race, with Visconti supporters asked if they lean Malloy or Foley:

• Dan Malloy (D) 45%
• Tom Foley (R) 39%
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 34% / 49%  {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Dan Malloy's job performance?

• Approve 40%
• Disapprove 50%

Survey of 861 likely voters was conducted October 2-5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% Democrat; 28% Republican; 31% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

• Tom Foley (R) 46%
  
• Dannel Malloy (D) 40%
• Joe Visconti (I) 7%

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

• Tom Foley (R) 49% {43%} [42%] (43%)
  
• Dannel Malloy (D) 43% {43%} [42%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 42% {36%} [38%] (35%) / 33% {23%} [21%] (18%) {+9%}
• Dannel Malloy 40% {46%} [46%] (46%) / 53% {45%} [43%] (44%) {-13%}

Survey of 1,304 likely voters was conducted September 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 26% {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 38% {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 5% {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 45%
  
• Dannel Malloy (D) 38%
• Some other candidate 7%
• Undecided 10%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 18-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 43% [42%] (43%)
  
• Dannel Malloy (D) 43% [42%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 36% [38%] (35%) / 23% [21%] (18%) {+13%}
• Dannel Malloy 46% [46%] (46%) / 45% [43%] (44%) {+1%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 48% [48%] (47%)
• Disapprove 46% [45%] (47%)

Do you feel that Dannel Malloy deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 44% [45%] (44%)
• No/Does not 48% [46%] (46%)

Survey of 1,668 registered voters was conducted May 1-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [31%] (34%) Democrat; 21% [20%] (21%) Republican; 42% [42%] (40%) Independent; 5% [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 42% (43%)
  
• Dannel Malloy (D) 42% (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 38% (35%) / 21% (18%) {+17%}
• Dannel Malloy 46% (46%) / 43% (44%) {+3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 48% (47%)
• Disapprove 45% (47%)

Do you feel that Dannel Malloy deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 45% (44%)
• No/Does not 46% (46%)

Survey of 1,878 registered voters was conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% (34%) Democrat; 20% (21%) Republican; 42% (40%) Independent; 6% (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 43%
  
• Dannel Malloy (D) 40%

• Dannel Malloy (D) 44%
• John McKinney (R) 37%
  

• Dannel Malloy (D) 44%
• Larry Cafero (R) 37%
  

• Dannel Malloy (D) 43%
• Mark Boughton (R) 36%
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 35% / 18% {+17%}
• John McKinney 16% / 8% {+8%}
• Mark Boughton 11% / 5% {+6%}
• Larry Cafero 11% / 7% {+4%}
• Dannel Malloy 46% / 44% {+2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 47%

Do you feel that Dannel Malloy deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 44%
• No/Does not 46%

Survey of 1,154 registered voters was conducted June 12-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% Democrat; 21% Republican; 40% Independent; 4% Other.