Friday, October 18, 2019

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 22.7% [25.3%] (29.2%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 22.7% [8.5%] (10.6%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 16.1% [11.4%] (0.0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 12.6% [24.1%] (14.8%)
  • Andrew Yang 4.7% [0.0%] (0.0%)
  • Steve Bullock 3.8%
  • Cory Booker 2.5% [5.9%] (3.6%)
  • Tom Steyer 2.5%
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2.2% [0.9%] (0.0%)
  • Kamala Harris 2.2% [10.3%] (17.5%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1.3% [1.7%] (3.0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0.9%
  • Marianne Williamson 0.9%
  • Julián Castro 0.3% [0.5%] (1.5%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 0.3% [5.3%] (6.1%)
  • John Delaney 0.0%
  • Wayne Messam 0.0%
  • Tim Ryan 0.0%
  • Joe Sestak 0.0%
  • Someone else 4.4% [4.3%] (7.7%)
Among Men
  • Pete Buttigieg 20.0% [16.7%] (0.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 19.1% [4.3%] (10.2%)
  • Joe Biden 17.9% [30.4%] (25.0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 14.2% [24.1%] (18.3%)
  • Andrew Yang 5.7% [0.0%] (0.0%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 26.5% [21.0%] (32.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 25.2% [12.0%] (10.9%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 13.2% [6.9%] (0.0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 11.3% [24.1%] (12.6%)
  • Andrew Yang 3.8% [0.0%] (0.0%)
Survey of 317 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted October 13-16, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 21-24, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019 are in parentheses. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Presidential Survey

  • Bernie Sanders (D) 50.6% [50.9%] (49.5%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 49.4% [49.1%] (50.5%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 50.6% [47.2%] (49.4%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 49.4% [52.8%] (50.6%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 51.0% [51.4%] (51.9%)
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 49.0% [48.6%] (48.1%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 56.0% [55.7%] (59.7%)
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 44.0% [44.3%] (40.3%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 57.7% [54.5%] (57.6%)
  • Joe Biden (D) 42.3% [45.5%] (42.4%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 57.1% [58.6%] (60.6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 42.9% [41.4%] (39.4%)
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 56.6% [56.9%] (58.1%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 43.4% [43.1%] (41.9%) 
  • Joe Biden (D) 55.9% [59.5%] (58.2%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 44.1% [40.5%] (41.8%)
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 54.6% [55.2%] (56.3%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45.4% [44.8%] (43.7%)
President Trump Job Approval
  • Approve 44.3% [41.8%] (45.6%)
  • Disapprove 46.7% [51.0%] (48.0%)
Among Men
  • Approve 50.7% [46.8%] (54.8%)
  • Disapprove 41.7% [43.5%] (40.3%)
Among Women
  • Approve 38.5% [37.3%] (37.0%)
  • Disapprove 51.3% [57.8%] (55.1%)
Survey of 888 registered Iowa voters was conducted October 13-16, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 21-24, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019 are in parentheses.

Monday, October 14, 2019

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Elizabeth Warren 30% (29%) {27%} [19%] (21%) {15%} [14%] (15%) {13%} [12%] (4%)
  • Joe Biden 27% (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 11% (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 8% (4%) {7%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (8%) {5%} [10%] (4%)
  • Kamala Harris 4% (3%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {12%} [20%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (8%)
  • Cory Booker 2% (2%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 2% (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [5%] (12%)
  • Tom Steyer 2% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Andrew Yang 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Julián Castro 1% (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Steve Bullock 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Wayne Messam 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
  • Tim Ryan 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%]
  • Joe Sestak 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
  • Marianne Williamson 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Paying a lot of attention to the election campaign for president: 64% of all voters (60%) {55%} [50%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (45%) {44%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 34% (35%) {31%} [25%] (25%) {17%} [19%] (17%) {15%}
  • Joe Biden 30% (29%) {29%} [32%] (32%) {36%} [21%] (32%) {42%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 9% (5%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [5%] (10%) {9%}
  • Bernie Sanders 8% (9%) {12%} [11%] (11%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {8%}
  • Kamala Harris 3% (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {18%} [25%] (11%) {9%}
  • Amy Klobuchar 3% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%}
  • Tom Steyer 2% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Michael Bennet 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Cory Booker 1% (2%) {0%} [2%] (3%) {0%} [4%] (1%) {2%}
  • Julian Castro 1% (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [3%] (0%) {0%}
  • Tim Ryan 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
  • Andrew Yang 1% (3%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%}
  • Steve Bullock 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%}
  • Wayne Messam 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Beto O'Rourke 0% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%}
  • Joe Sestak 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
  • Marianne Williamson 0% (1%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%}
Survey of 505 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted October 11-13, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

Sunday, October 13, 2019

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

CBS News/YouGov South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Joe Biden 43% {43%} [39%] (45%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% {14%} [12%] (8%)
  • Bernie Sanders 16% {18%} [17%] (18%)
  • Kamala Harris 7% {7%} [12%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 4% {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Cory Booker 3% {2%} [3%] (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 2% {1%} [1%]
  • Beto O'Rourke 1% {1%} [2%] (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Marianne Williamson 1% {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • Tim Ryan 1% {1%} [1%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Steve Bullock 0% {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% {1%} [1%] (0%)
  • Julián Castro 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Wayne Messam 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Joe Sestak 0% {0%} [0%]
Survey of 915 South Carolina registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted October 3-11, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

CBS News/YouGov New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Elizabeth Warren 32% {27%} [18%] (17%)
  • Joe Biden 24% {26%} [27%] (33%)
  • Bernie Sanders 17% {25%} [20%] (20%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% {8%} [7%] (10%)
  • Andrew Yang 5% {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Kamala Harris 4% {7%} [12%] (7%)
  • Tom Steyer 4% {1%} [1%]
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2% {1%} [2%] (0%)
  • Cory Booker 1% {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 1% {1%} [2%] (4%)
  • Tim Ryan 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Joe Sestak 0% {0%} [0%]
  • Marianne Williamson 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Wayne Messam 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Steve Bullock 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Julián Castro 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)
Survey of 506 New Hampshire registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted October 3-11, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 22% {29%} [24%] (30%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 22% {17%} [17%] (12%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% {26%} [19%] (22%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 14% {7%} [7%] (11%)
  • Kamala Harris 5% {6%} [16%] (5%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% {2%} [2%]
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% {2%} [4%] (4%)
  • Cory Booker 2% {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 2% {2%} [1%] (4%)
  • Michael Bennet 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Marianne Williamson 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tim Ryan 1% {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Julián Castro 0% {1%} [2%] (0%)
  • Andrew Yang 0% {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% {1%} [1%] (2%)
  • Steve Bullock 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Wayne Messam 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Joe Sestak 0% {0%} [1%]
Survey of 729 Iowa registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted October 3-11, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.