Monday, January 27, 2020

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 25.4% [17.6%] (24.0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18.6% [9.0%] (9.0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17.6% [13.2%] (6.2%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13.2% [16.8%] (13.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5.6% [2.6%] (2.0%)
  • Andrew Yang 3.0% [1.2%] (0.6%)
  • Tom Steyer 2.2% [3.0%]
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0.8% [2.6%] (1.4%)
  • Deval Patrick 0.2%
  • Michael Bennet 0.0% [0.0%] (0.6%)
  • John Delaney 0.0% [0.2%] (0.6%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 27% [18%] (25%)
  • Bernie Sanders 20% [11%] (11%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 18% [15%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% [13%] (11%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 24% [17%] (23%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18% [8%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17% [12%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% [20%] (14%)
Survey of 500 likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers was conducted January 23-26, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 26% {30%} [31%] (32%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {32%} [35%] (31%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23% {20%} [19%] (17%) {18%} [10%] (15%) {13%} [17%] (23%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% {13%} [21%] (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 10% {5%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% {7%} [7%] (4%) {5%} [3%] (5%) {8%} [6%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 5% {3%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 3% {5%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 1% {*}
  • Michael Bennet * {1%} [*] (1%) {1%} [*] (*) {*}( [*] (*)
  • John Delaney * {*} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard * {3%} [2%] (1%) {*} [1%] (*) {1%} [1%] (*)
  • Other (vol.) 0% {*} [*] (*) {0%} [1%] (0%) {*} [*] (1%)
  • None of the above (vol.) 1% {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (*) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%] (11%)
Under Age 45
  • Bernie Sanders 39% {30%} [31%] (27%) {29%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [25%] (37%)
  • Joe Biden 18% {18%} [24%] (22%) {20%} [20%] (18%) {21%} [22%] (19%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {12%} [15%] (18%) {15%} [23%] (11%) {6%} [9%] (4%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 7% {4%}
Age 45+
  • Joe Biden 32% {40%} [37%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% {14%} [26%] (25%) {17%} [18%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (3%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 12% {5%}
  • Bernie Sanders 12% {10%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (11%)
White, College Degree
  • Joe Biden 23% {24%} [25%] (31%) {28%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [27%]
  • Bernie Sanders 19% {15%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [13%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% {20%} [32%] (30%) {20%} [33%] (16%) {9%} [14%]
  • Mike Bloomberg 13% {7%}
White, No College Degree
  • Joe Biden 25% {30%} [35%] (31%) {24%} [34%] (36%) {31%} [40%]
  • Bernie Sanders 24% {21%} [21%] (20%) {16%} [8%] (18%) {17%} [23%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% {13%} [17%] (22%) {19%} [15%] (12%) {11%} [7%]
  • Mike Bloomberg 6% {2%}
Survey of Democratic primary voters was conducted January 19-22, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 8-11, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 6-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (21%) {19%} [30%] (26%
  • Joe Biden 16% (15%) {24%} [18%] (22%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 15% (10%) {10%} [15%] (1%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (18%) {19%} [5%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6% (5%) {0%} [2%] (4%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 5% (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 5% (5%) {1%} [2%]
  • Tom Steyer 2% (3%) {0%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 1%
  • John Delaney 1% (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%) {1%}
  • Deval Patrick 0%
  • Undecided 10% (10%) {9%} [12%] (14%)
Survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 15-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-27, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-26, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 26% {23%} [22%] (21%) {26%} [19%] (22%)
  • Joe Biden 25% {23%} [22%] (22%) {29%} [24%] (30%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 22% {23%} [21%] (14%) {7%} [7%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% {16%} [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (12%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% {7%} [5%] (2%) {2%} [4%] (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%]
  • Andrew Yang 1% {2%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • John Delaney 1% [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (2%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% {1%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% {0%}
Survey of 1,401 Iowa registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted January 16-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 27, 2019 - January 3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 6-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-11, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

New York Times/Siena College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (19%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 18% (18%)
  • Joe Biden 17% (17%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (22%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 8% (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% (2%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% (3%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (2%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 0%
Survey of 584 likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers was conducted January 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 29.8% (21.8%) {12.6%} [24.1%] (14.8%)
  • Joe Biden 20.9% (23.4%) {22.7%} [25.3%] (29.2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 12.4% (10.2%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (3.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10.7% (12.3%) {22.7%} [8.5%] (10.6%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 10.4% (17.8%) {16.1%} [11.4%] (0.0%)
  • Tom Steyer 5.1% (3.4%) {2.5%}
  • Andrew Yang 4.9% (1.8%) {4.7%} [0.0%] (0.0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 4.4% (1.8%) {2.2%} [0.9%] (0.0%)
  • John Delaney 0.7% (0.0%) {0.0%}
  • Michael Bennet 0.0% (0.0%) {0.9%}
  • Deval Patrick 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Someone else 0.7% (2.4%) {4.4%} [4.3%] (7.7%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 31.6% (23.6%) {14.2%} [24.1%] (18.3%)
  • Joe Biden 22.1% (25.5%) {17.9%} [30.4%] (25.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 14.1% (8.9%) {1.6%} [2.3%] (3.6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5.0% (13.9%) {19.1%} [4.3%] (10.2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7.4% (11.1%) {20.0%} [16.7%] (0.0%)
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders 28.4% (20.3%) {11.3%} [24.1%] (12.6%)
  • Joe Biden 19.9% (21.8%) {26.5%} [21.0%] (32.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15.1% (11.0%) {25.2%} [12.0%] (10.9%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 12.6% (22.9%) {13.2%} [6.9%] (0.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11.3% (11.0%) {0.9%} [1.3%] (2.5%)
Survey of 450 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted January 23-26, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-24, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019 are in parentheses. 

Friday, January 24, 2020

Poll Watch: Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 30.0% [32.2%] (27.4%) {27.4%} [25.0%] (31.3%) {32.9%} [29.7%] (33.9%) {32.6%} [23.9%] (25.9%) {27.4%}
  • Bernie Sanders 27.4% [24.8%] (26.5%) {24.4%} [21.7%] (24.2%) {20.2%} [15.4%] (27.1%) {24.9%} [28.9%] (26.3%) {17.2%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 12.7% [12.4%] (19.4%) {21.2%} [22.9%] (15.2%) {14.0%} [14.6%] (14.2%) {9.7%} [6.7%] (8.4%) {9.3%}
  • Andrew Yang 7.6% [6.3%] (4.1%) {4.4%} [8.1%] (4.5%) {1.9%} [3.1%] (0.7%) {1.1%} [2.8%] (1.4%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 7.4% [2.9%] (0.9%) {2.2%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 5.4% [7.8%] (7.5%) {6.5%} [6.4%] (3.2%) {6.3%} [5.2%] (6.3%) {7.5%} [9.0%] (2.9%) {0.0%}
  • Amy Klobuchar 3.6% [2.1%] (1.5%) {0.9%} [0.4%] (0.8%) {0.2%} [0.8%] (0.7%) {0.6%} [1.1%] (0.8%) {4.6%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1.2% [3.8%] (2.4%) {2.8%} [0.9%] (2.9%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (0.2%) {1.0%} [0.8%] (1.0%) {1.9%}
  • Tom Steyer 1.2% [1.7%] (1.7%) {0.5%} [0.0%] (0.0%) {1.5%}
  • John Delaney 0.6% [1.0%] (0.2%) {0.2%} [0.3%] (0.3%) {0.8%} [0.4%] (0.4%) {0.0%} [0.6%] {0.0}
  • Michael Bennet 0.4% [0.2%] (0.0%) {0.2%} [0.3%] (0.0%) {0.2%} [1.2%] (0.2%) {0.7%}
  • Deval Patrick 0.0% [0.0%] (0.2%)
  • Someone else 2.2% [2.5%] (2.8%) {2.0%} [2.1%] (1.0%) {1.2%} [2.3%] (2.4%) {1.7%} [2.0%] (4.7%) {5.6%}
Survey of 497 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 21-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 15-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 24-26, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 27-29, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-18, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2019 are in curly brackets.

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 30% {26%} [23%] (25%) {19%} [32%] (33%) {27%} [28%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23% {21%} [20%] (15%) {20%} [14%] (15%) {20%} [25%] (16%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% {17%} [23%] (28%) {20%} [15%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (8%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 9% {5%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% {8%} [9%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [0%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% {4%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {1%} [3%] (2%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% {1%}
  • Other (vol.) 1% {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • No one (vol.) 1% {3%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [0%] (3%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 6% {11%} [7%] (10%) {10%} [11%] (9%) {14%} [8%] (9%)
Among Liberals
  • Bernie Sanders 26% {29%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [30%] (23%)
  • Joe Biden 24% {16%} [13%] (20%) {15%} [24%] (22%) {17%} [20%] (18%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% {25%} [26%] (37%) {24%} [25%] (14%) {8%} [8%] (11%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 9% {2%}
Among Moderates/Conservatives
  • Joe Biden 35% {31%} [34%] (30%) {22%} [40%] (41%) {36%} [35%] (39%)
  • Bernie Sanders 19% {15%} [17%] (11%) {20%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [19%] (9%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 10% {6%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% {12%} [17%] (20%) {16%} [6%] (7%) {4%} [7%] (5%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 32% {27%} [18%] (31%) {24%} [38%] (27%) {31%} [28%] (35%)
  • Bernie Sanders 24% {22%} [28%] (14%) {24%} [16%] (20%) {22%} [30%] (17%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 13% {5%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% {11%} [19%] (19%) {15%} [11%] (9%) {4%} [6%] (7%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 28% {25%} [27%] (21%) {16%} [29%] (37%) {24%} [27%] (26%)
  • Bernie Sanders 22% {20%} [15%] (16%) {17%} [13%] (12%) {19%} [21%] (16%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% {20%} [25%] (33%) {23%} [18%] (11%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 7% {4%}
Age 18-49
  • Bernie Sanders 33% {34%} [33%] (25%) {27%} [20%] (25%) {30%} [29%] (27%)
  • Joe Biden 23% {16%} [21%] (17%) {6%} [21%] (26%) {25%} [22%] (21%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% {19%} [17%] (28%) {19%} [15%] (10%) {2%} [8%] (8%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 5% {1%}
Age 50+
  • Joe Biden 36% {38%} [26%] (33%) {33%} [42%] (40%) {28%} [34%] (38%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 13% {8%}
  • Bernie Sanders 12% {5%} [10%] (6%) {11%} [8%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% {14%} [28%] (28%) {19%} [16%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (7%)
Survey of 372 registered Democrats and leaning Democratic voters was conducted January 16-20, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 3, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

CNN 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 27% (20%) {17%} [16%] (17%) {15%} [14%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (14%)
  • Joe Biden 24% (26%) {28%} [34%] (24%) {29%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [28%] (33%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% (16%) {14%} [19%] (18%) {14%} [15%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 11% (8%) {11%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (5%) {7%} [1%]
  • Michael Bloomberg 5% (5%) {3%} (2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4% (3%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Andrew Yang 4% (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Tom Steyer 2% (1%) {3%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%]
  • Deval Patrick 0% (0%) {0%}
Survey of 500 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted January 16-19, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 5-9, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28-30, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 14-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2018 are in parentheses.