Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Presidential Poll 

I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2016. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decide to run for the Republican nomination four years from now?

Paul Ryan

• Very likely 32%
• Somewhat likely 43%
• Not very likely 12%
• Not likely at all 10%

Chris Christie

• Very likely 23%
• Somewhat likely 36%
• Not very likely 21%
• Not likely at all 16%

Marco Rubio

• Very likely 28%
• Somewhat likely 30%
• Not very likely 17%
• Not likely at all 16%

Jeb Bush

• Very likely 13%
• Somewhat likely 38%
• Not very likely 23%
• Not likely at all 24%

Rand Paul

• Very likely 19%
• Somewhat likely 29%
• Not very likely 25%
• Not likely at all 22%

Rick Santorum

• Very likely 10%
• Somewhat likely 38%
• Not very likely 28%
• Not likely at all 21%

National survey of 290 Republican and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Presidential Poll 

I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decide to run for the Democratic nomination four years from now?

Hillary Clinton

• Very likely 65%
• Somewhat likely 20%
• Not very likely 8%
• Not likely at all 6%

Joe Biden

• Very likely 26%
• Somewhat likely 40%
• Not very likely 21%
• Not likely at all 13%

Andrew Cuomo

• Very likely 11%
• Somewhat likely 45%
• Not very likely 25%
• Not likely at all 16%

Elizabeth Warren

• Very likely 16%
• Somewhat likely 36%
• Not very likely 26%
• Not likely at all 14%

Deval Patrick

• Very likely 8%
• Somewhat likely 33%
  
• Not very likely 29%
• Not likely at all 18%

Brian Schweitzer

• Very likely 10%
• Somewhat likely 27%
• Not very likely 32%
• Not likely at all 18%

National survey of 290 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted December 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.

President Barack Obama on Meet the Press

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Gun Control

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Gun Control 

Should there be a ban on the purchase of semi-automatic and assault type weapons?

• Yes 55%
• No 36%
  

National survey of 1,000 adults was conducted December 19-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Most women favor a ban on the sale of semi-automatic and assault-type weapons. Men are evenly divided.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Democrats and 52% of those not affiliated with either major party support a ban; 59% of Republicans do not.

Forty-three percent (43%) of those who have a gun in the family favor a ban on semi-automatic and assault-type weapons, compared to 69% of those in non-gun owning families.

Poll Watch: Harper (R) 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll 

• Marco Rubio 34% 
• Chris Christie 18% 
• Condoleezza Rice 14% 
• Rand Paul 8% 
• Allen West 5% 
• Scott Brown 3% 
• Undecided 18% 

National survey of 2,746 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 1.87 percentage points. Gender: 48% Male; 52% Female.  Region: 39% South; 24% Midwest; 19% Northeast; 18% West. Age 66+: 49%; Age 55-65: 23%; Age 46-55: 16%; Age 36-45: 7%; Age 18-35: 5%.  Watch Fox News: 80% Yes; 20% No. Support goals of Tea Party movement: 58% Yes; 13% No; 29% Not sure.

Inside the numbers: 

Rubio is strongest in the South and West. In the Northeast, he and Christie run virtually tied at 29-27%. The Midwest may ultimately be the harder nut to crack for Rubio. His working class background may be his strongest connection to the industrial Midwest.

The Chris Christie primary voter appears to lean more toward the middle. Along with Condi Rice, his voters are more likely to support exceptions to the no-new-taxes pledge and they believe that compromise is better for the country. They are less likely to watch Fox News and support TEA party goals.

Allen West and Rand Paul voters in a hypothetical 2016 primary are the strongest supporters of the no-new-taxes pledge at 62% and 60%, respectively. Chris Christie and Condi Rice voters are the most open to exceptions at 44% and 40%, respectively.

Speaking of the TEA party. It is the foundation of Rubio’s support. Approaching half of all TEA supporters (43%) are voting for him.

Rice and Scott Brown are the only candidates who do better among women than men.

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Survey on Gun Control

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Poll on Gun Control

Would you support or oppose requiring a criminal background check before any purchase of a gun? 

• Support 92%
• Oppose 6%

Would you support or oppose requiring a mental health examination before any purchase of a gun? 

• Support 63%
• Oppose 28%

Would you support or oppose banning assault weapons? 

• Support 63%
• Oppose 32%

Would you support or oppose banning the sale of guns and bullets over the Internet?

• Support 69%
• Oppose 26%

Would you support or oppose closing the so-called 'gun-show loophole,' which allows unlicensed dealers to sell guns at gun shows without performing criminal background checks?

• Support 76%
• Oppose 19%

Would you support or oppose prohibiting felons convicted of violent crimes from purchasing guns? 

• Support 94%
• Oppose 5%

Would you support or oppose banning high-capacity magazines on guns - magazines capable of holding more than ten bullets?

• Support 64%
• Oppose 31%

Do you think assault weapons are necessary for hunting, or not? 

• They are necessary 18%
• They are not 76%

Are you more or less interested in owning a gun today than you were before last week's shooting in Connecticut, or has there been no change in your level of interest?  

• More interested 22%
  
• Less interested 30%
• No change 47% 

Do you think the answer to gun-related violence is more widespread gun ownership or tighter restrictions on gun ownership?  

• More widespread gun ownership 32%
  
• Tighter restrictions on gun ownership 48% 

Do you think the guns are a necessary check on government tyranny, or not?  

• They are a necessary check on tyranny 39%
  
• They are not 40%
  

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted December 18-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% Democrat; 32% Republican; 31% Independent/Other.  Political views: 43% Moderate; 39% Conservative; 18% Liberal.

Poll Watch: MassINC Massachusetts 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

WBUR/MassINC Polling Group Massachusetts 2013 Senate Special Election Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 47%
• Deval Patrick (D) 40%

• Scott Brown (R) 51%
• Martha Coakley (D) 36%

• Scott Brown (R) 48%
• Ed Markey (D) 30%

• Scott Brown (R) 47%
• Mike Capuano (D) 28%

• Scott Brown (R) 49%
• Marty Meehan (D) 30%

• Scott Brown (R) 51%
• Steve Lynch (D) 24%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Deval Patrick 60% / 26% {+34%}
• Scott Brown 58% / 28% {+30%}
  
• Martha Coakley 48% / 27% {+21%}
• Ed Markey 24% / 12% {+12%}
• Steve Lynch 24% / 12% {+12%}
• Mike Capuano 23% / 11% {+12%}
• Vicki Kennedy 31% / 20% {+11%}
• Marty Meehan 21% / 12% {+9%}

Survey of 500 registered voters was conducted December 17-18, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party registration: 36% Democrat; 11% Republican; 53% Independent/Unenrolled. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Survey on Benghazi

CNN/ORC Poll on Benghazi
  
As you may know, in September, terrorists attacked the U.S. consulate in Libya and killed the U.S. ambassador to that country and three other U.S. citizens. Based on what you have read or heard, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Obama administration has handled this matter in the past few months?

Among Registered Voters

• Satisfied 42%
• Dissatisfied 51% 

Among Independents

• Satisfied 33%
• Dissatisfied 58%

Among Moderates

• Satisfied 43%
• Dissatisfied 54%

As you may know, immediately after the attack on the U.S. consulate in Libya, some Obama administration officials made inaccurate public statements about that incident. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view:

Among Registered Voters 

• Those statements were an attempt by the Obama administration to intentionally mislead the American public about that attack 42%
• Those statements reflected what the Obama administration believed at the time had occurred based on the unclassified information available 55%

Among Independents

• Those statements were an attempt by the Obama administration to intentionally mislead the American public about that attack 48%
• Those statements reflected what the Obama administration believed at the time had occurred based on the unclassified information available 48%

Among Moderates

• Those statements were an attempt by the Obama administration to intentionally mislead the American public about that attack 31%
• Those statements reflected what the Obama administration believed at the time had occurred based on the unclassified information available 63%

Survey of 620 adults, including a subsample of registered voters, was conducted December 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 25% Republican; 41% Independent.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Survey on Gun Rights

CNN/ORC Poll on Gun Rights 

Please tell me whether you would generally favor or oppose each of the following proposals which some people have made to reduce the amount of gun violence: 

A ban on the manufacture, sale and possession of semi-automatic assault guns, such as the AK-47 

• Favor 62%
• Oppose 37%

Among Men

• Favor 50%
• Oppose 49%

Among Women

• Favor 74%
• Oppose 25%

A ban on the sale and possession of equipment known as high-capacity or extended ammunition clips, which allow some guns to shoot more than 10 bullets before they need to be reloaded

• Favor 62%
• Oppose 37%

Among Men

• Favor 53%
• Oppose 46%

Among Women

• Favor 71%
• Oppose 29%

Limiting the number of guns an individual can own

• Favor 48%
  
• Oppose 52%

Among Men

• Favor 35%
• Oppose 65%

Among Women

• Favor 61%
• Oppose 39%

Have the shootings in Connecticut made you more likely to support stricter gun control laws, less likely to support stricter gun control laws, or has your opinion on gun control not changed as a result of the shootings in Connecticut? 

• More likely 43% 
• Less likely 7% 
• No change 50%

Among Men

• More likely 35% 
• Less likely 10% 
• No change 55%

Among Women

• More likely 50% 
• Less likely 4% 
• No change 45%

A background check on anyone attempting to purchase a gun in order to determine whether the prospective buyer has been convicted of a felony 

• Favor 95%
• Oppose 5%

Preventing certain people, such as convicted felons or people with mental health problems, from owning guns 

• Favor 92%
• Oppose 8%

Requiring gun owners to register their guns with the local government 

• Favor 78%
• Oppose 22%

Which of the following statements comes closest to your view: 

• There should be no restrictions on owning guns 13% 
• There should be some restrictions on owning guns 71% 
• All guns should be illegal for everyone except police and authorized personnel 15%

Survey of 620 adults was conducted December 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 25% Republican; 41% Independent.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind Survey on Federal Funding for Hurricane Sandy

FDU PublicMind Poll on Federal Funding for Hurricane Sandy 

Some people think that the federal government should fund reconstruction from natural disasters like Hurricane Sandy, and worry about how to pay for it later. Others say that the federal government shouldn’t spend money it doesn’t have, even if there is a natural disaster. What comes closer to your view?

• Fund 66%
• Don't fund 23%

Among Democrats

• Fund 77%
• Don't fund 13%

Among Republicans

• Fund 54%
• Don't fund 36%

Among Independents

• Fund 61%
• Don't fund 24%

Among Men

• Fund 61%
• Don't fund 26%

Among Women

• Fund 70%
• Don't fund 21%

National survey of 814 registered voters was conducted December 10-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 26% Republican; 39% Independent; 1% Other.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the School Shooting in Connecticut

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Sandy Hook Shooting 

Does the United States need stricter gun control laws? 

• Yes 47%
• No 45%
  

Note: This is the highest level of support for more gun control ever measured by Rasmussen Reports. It’s two points higher than the support measured in April 2007 following the killings at Virginia Tech. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Democrats think the United States needs stricter gun control laws. Sixty-four percent (64%) of Republicans disagree. Unaffiliated adults are fairly evenly divided.

Does the United States need to take more action to identify and treat mental health issues? 

• Yes 86%
• No 7%
  

Does the United States need to place limits on violent movies and video games? 

• Yes 49%
• No 37%
• Not sure 13%

Note: Most adults under 40 oppose limits on violent video games and movies. Most older adults are in favor of such limits. 
 
Can schools ever be made completely safe against violence like the incident in Connecticut? 

• Yes 20%
• No 64%
• Not sure 15%
  

Note: That’s slightly more optimism than Americans felt in February following school shootings in an Ohio high school. Just 12% thought it was possible to make schools completely safe from such violence at that time. Last summer, only nine percent (9%) thought it was possible to make public spaces that safe following the shootings in a Colorado movie theater.
 
What will do the most to reduce the number of mass murders like the school shootings in Connecticut—stricter gun control laws, more action to treat mental health issues, or limits on violent movies and video games? 

• More action to treat mental health issues 48%
• Stricter gun control laws 27%
• Limits on violent movies and video games 15%
• Undecided 10%

Note: While 57% of Republicans and 54% of adults not affiliated with either major party think more action to treat mental health issues will do the most to prevent incidents like the one in Connecticut, a plurality (45%) of Democrats sees stricter gun control laws as the most effective approach. 

National survey of 1,000 adults was conducted December 17-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Women are stronger advocates than men of more mental health treatment, stricter gun control and limits on violent movies and video games. Fifty-four percent (54%) of women favor tougher gun control laws; 54% of men are opposed.

Sixty-four percent (64%) of Americans who own a gun oppose stricter gun control laws. Sixty-one percent (61%) of those who say they don’t own a gun favor such laws.

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Americans have been following news stories about the recent shootings at an elementary school in Connecticut at least somewhat closely. This includes 51% who have been following very closely.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA San Diego Poll on Gun Control

SurveyUSA San Diego Poll on Gun Control

What do you think is more important -- to protect the right of Americans to own guns, or to control gun ownership?

• Right to own 42%
  
• Control ownership 52%

Among Democrats

• Right to own 29%
  
• Control ownership 67%

Among Republicans

• Right to own 56%
• Control ownership 37%

Among Independents

• Right to own 42%
• Control ownership 51%

Among Moderates

• Right to own 31%
  
• Control ownership 67%

Among Men

• Right to own 50%
• Control ownership 46%

Among Women

• Right to own 34%
  
• Control ownership 57%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Right to own 56%
• Control ownership 39%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Right to own 34%
  
• Control ownership 60%

Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on semi-automatic weapons, which automatically re-load every time the trigger is pulled? 

• Support 59%
• Oppose 34%

Among Democrats

• Support 66%
• Oppose 27%

Among Republicans

• Support 60%
• Oppose 34%

Among Independents

• Support 53%
• Oppose 40%

Among Moderates

• Support 60%
• Oppose 36%

Among Men

• Support 55%
• Oppose 41%

Among Women

• Support 63%
• Oppose 27%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Support 48%
  
• Oppose 50%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Support 68%
• Oppose 23%

Would you support or oppose a law that limits how much ammunition a gun can hold at once?

• Support 62%
• Oppose 29%

Among Democrats

• Support 67%
• Oppose 24%

Among Republicans

• Support 59%
• Oppose 33%

Among Independents

• Support 60%
• Oppose 31%

Among Moderates

• Support 65%
• Oppose 24%

Among Men

• Support 62%
• Oppose 33%

Among Women

• Support 63%
• Oppose 24%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Support 56%
• Oppose 41%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Support 67%
• Oppose 22%

Would you support or oppose a law that limits how much ammunition can be purchased at one time?  

• Support 65%
• Oppose 28%

Among Democrats

• Support 76%
• Oppose 23%

Among Republicans

• Support 51%
• Oppose 40%

Among Independents

• Support 71%
• Oppose 19%

Among Moderates

• Support 74%
• Oppose 21%

Among Men

• Support 57%
• Oppose 37%

Among Women

• Support 73%
• Oppose 18%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Support 60%
• Oppose 38%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Support 71%
• Oppose 20%

What do you think is the best way to reduce gun violence in this country: by passing stricter gun control laws, or by stricter enforcement of existing laws?  

• Passing stricter gun control laws 44%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 47%

Among Democrats

• Passing stricter gun control laws 52%
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 38%

Among Republicans

• Passing stricter gun control laws 38%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 58%

Among Independents

• Passing stricter gun control laws 38%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 45%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Passing stricter gun control laws 37%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 57%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Passing stricter gun control laws 48%
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 41%

Survey of 500 adults in the San Diego area was conducted December 17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 34% Republican; 28% Independent. Ideology: 37% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 20% Liberal.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Tampa-St. Petersburg Poll on Gun Control

SurveyUSA Tampa-St. Petersburg Poll on Gun Control

What do you think is more important -- to protect the right of Americans to own guns, or to control gun ownership?

• Right to own 45%
  
• Control ownership 49%

Among Democrats

• Right to own 28%
  
• Control ownership 67%

Among Republicans

• Right to own 63%
• Control ownership 33%

Among Independents

• Right to own 46%
• Control ownership 44%

Among Moderates

• Right to own 34%
  
• Control ownership 61%

Among Men

• Right to own 53%
• Control ownership 45%

Among Women

• Right to own 38%
  
• Control ownership 52%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Right to own 58%
• Control ownership 36%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Right to own 32%
  
• Control ownership 61%

Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on semi-automatic weapons, which automatically re-load every time the trigger is pulled? 

• Support 50%
• Oppose 42%

Among Democrats

• Support 61%
• Oppose 37%

Among Republicans

• Support 39%
  
• Oppose 51%

Among Independents

• Support 51%
• Oppose 36%

Among Moderates

• Support 61%
• Oppose 37%

Among Men

• Support 47%
  
• Oppose 49%

Among Women

• Support 52%
• Oppose 35%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Support 40%
  
• Oppose 50%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Support 59%
• Oppose 34%

Would you support or oppose a law that limits how much ammunition a gun can hold at once?

• Support 59%
• Oppose 31%

Among Democrats

• Support 67%
• Oppose 26%

Among Republicans

• Support 48%
• Oppose 44%

Among Independents

• Support 63%
• Oppose 24%

Among Moderates

• Support 63%
• Oppose 31%

Among Men

• Support 53%
• Oppose 40%

Among Women

• Support 65%
• Oppose 24%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Support 54%
• Oppose 39%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Support 64%
• Oppose 24%

Would you support or oppose a law that limits how much ammunition can be purchased at one time?  

• Support 66%
• Oppose 31%

Among Democrats

• Support 75%
• Oppose 23%

Among Republicans

• Support 51%
• Oppose 45%

Among Independents

• Support 71%
• Oppose 25%

Among Moderates

• Support 73%
• Oppose 26%

Among Men

• Support 56%
• Oppose 42%

Among Women

• Support 74%
• Oppose 21%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Support 55%
• Oppose 40%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Support 76%
• Oppose 22%

What do you think is the best way to reduce gun violence in this country: by passing stricter gun control laws, or by stricter enforcement of existing laws?  

• Passing stricter gun control laws 38%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 56%

Among Democrats

• Passing stricter gun control laws 47%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 48%

Among Republicans

• Passing stricter gun control laws 29%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 69%

Among Independents

• Passing stricter gun control laws 37%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 52%

Gun Owners (44%)

• Passing stricter gun control laws 30%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 64%

Do Not Own a Gun (54%)

• Passing stricter gun control laws 45%
  
• Stricter enforcement of existing laws 49%

Survey of 500 adults in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Sarasota area was conducted December 17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent. Ideology: 42% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 14% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind 2016 Presidential Survey

FDU PublicMind 2016 Presidential Poll 

Among Voters Who've Heard of Potential Presidential Candidate

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Chris Christie 55% / 20% {+35%}
• Marco Rubio 46% / 21% {+25%}
• Bobby Jindal 45% / 28% {+17%}
• Jeb Bush 32% / 30% {+2%}
• Rick Santorum 31% / 37% {-6%}

Among Democrats

• Chris Christie 52% / 22% {+30%}
• Marco Rubio 20% / 41% {-21%}
• Bobby Jindal 19% / 49% {-30%}
• Jeb Bush 14% / 49% {-35%}
• Rick Santorum 8% / 61% {-53%}

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio 74% / 5% {+69%}
• Bobby Jindal 70% / 10% {+60%}
• Jeb Bush 57% / 13% {+44%} 
• Rick Santorum 58% / 16% {+42%}
• Chris Christie 59% / 18% {+41%}

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 57% / 19% {+38%}
• Marco Rubio 36% / 20% {+16%}
• Bobby Jindal 41% / 31% {+10%}
• Jeb Bush 18% / 24% {-6%}
• Rick Santorum 22% / 32% {-10%}

Among Men

• Chris Christie 53% / 22% {+31%}
• Marco Rubio 49% / 20% {+29%}
• Bobby Jindal 47% / 27% {+20%}
• Jeb Bush 32% / 32% {0%}
• Rick Santorum 33% / 38% {-5%}

Among Women

• Chris Christie 57% / 18% {+39%}
• Marco Rubio 43% / 22% {+21%}
• Bobby Jindal 44% / 28% {+16%}
• Jeb Bush 32% / 28% {+4%}
• Rick Santorum 29% / 37% {-8%}

National survey of 814 registered voters was conducted December 10-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 26% Republican; 39% Independent; 1% Other.

Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Gun Control

Washington Post-ABC News Poll on Gun Control
 
Do you favor or oppose stricter gun control laws in this country?

• Favor 54%
• Oppose 43%

Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on: 

High-capacity ammunition clips, meaning those containing more than 10 bullets

• Support 59%
• Oppose 38%

Semi-automatic handguns, which automatically re-load every time the trigger is pulled

• Support 52%
• Oppose 44%

The sale of handguns, except to law enforcement officers

• Support 27%
• Oppose 71%

What do you think is the best way to reduce gun violence in this country - by passing stricter gun control laws, or by stricter enforcement of existing laws? 

• Passing new laws 32%
• Enforcing existing laws 49%

Thinking about the shooting at a Connecticut elementary school: Do you think this shooting reflects broader problems in American Society, or are things like this just the isolated acts of troubled individuals? 

• Broader problems 52%
• Isolated acts 43%
  

Survey of 602 adults was conducted December 14-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers: 

Among groups, women are more apt to support stricter gun control than are men, by a 12-point margin, 59 vs. 47 percent; support for gun control is much higher in the Northeast and West than in the Midwest and South; and it’s far higher among nonwhites, 72 percent, than among whites, 48 percent.

Political and ideological differences, in particular, are stark: Stricter gun control overall is favored by 74 percent of Democrats but just 29 percent of Republicans; it’s 52 percent among independents, more than half for the first time since 2007. Support, similarly, is 72 percent among liberals and 58 percent among moderates, vs. 38 percent among conservatives.

As noted, however, these gaps narrow on the issue of banning high-capacity ammunition clips. Compared with their views on stricter gun control more generally, support for banning such clips jumps by 11 points among independents, by 16 points among Republicans and by 10 points among conservatives.

Intensity is on the side of supporters of stricter gun control in general – 44 percent of Americans are “strongly” in favor, vs. 32 percent strongly opposed, the widest intensity gap since spring 2007. And on banning high-capacity clips, strong supporters outnumber strong opponents by an 18-point margin, 47 percent vs. 29 percent.

At the same time, the highest intensity is in opposition to banning handguns overall – 56 percent “strongly” opposed, vs. 20 percent strong support.

People who see the Connecticut attack as a sign of broader societal problems are 11 points more apt to support stricter gun control than are those who see the crime as an isolated act, 59 vs. 48 percent. There are similar gaps in support for specific gun control measures; banning high-capacity clips, for instance, is favored by 65 percent of those who see a societal problem, vs. 52 percent of those who don’t.

Poll Watch: Purple Strategies 2016 Presidential Survey

Purple Strategies 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Paul Ryan (R) 36%
• Not sure 11%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 8-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 30% Republican; 29% Independent. 

Inside the numbers: 

Hillary Clinton's lead includes a 9-point edge among men, whom President Obama lost nationally by 7 points, and an 11-point edge among voters without a college degree, whom Obama won by just 4 points nationally.

Clinton’s lead among independents is the same as her overall lead, 53% to 36%, a strong showing at this early stage. However, Clinton is by no means a consensus candidate. She wins just 8% of Republican voters, while Obama won 6% of the Republican vote nationwide.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Survey on Marijuana Legalization

Quinnipiac Ohio Poll on Pot Legalization

Do you think that the use of marijuana should be made legal in Ohio, or not?

• Yes 47%
• No 47%

Among Democrats

• Yes 57%
• No 36%

Among Republicans

• Yes 28%
  
• No 67%

Among Independents

• Yes 49%
• No 45%

Among Men

• Yes 49%
• No 46%

Among Women

• Yes 45%
• No 48%

Age 18-29 

• Yes 65%
• No 29%

Age 30-44

• Yes 55%
• No 39%

Age 45-64 

• Yes 45%
• No 49%

Age 65+

• Yes 25%
  
• No 68%

Survey of 1,165 registered Ohio voters was conducted December 4-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 27% Republican; 34% Independent; 6% Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Marijuana Legalization

Quinnipiac New York Poll on Pot Legalization

Do you think that the use of marijuana should be made legal in New York State, or not?

• Yes 51%
• No 44%

Among Democrats

• Yes 56%
• No 39%

Among Republicans

• Yes 33%
  
• No 63%

Among Independents

• Yes 57%
• No 38%

Among Men

• Yes 56%
• No 41%

Among Women

• Yes 47%
• No 46%

Age 18-29 

• Yes 62%
• No 34%

Age 30-44

• Yes 55%
• No 40%

Age 45-64 

• Yes 53%
• No 43%

Age 65+

• Yes 37%
  
• No 56%

College Degree

• Yes 58%
• No 37%

No College Degree

• Yes 47%
  
• No 48%

Survey of 1,302 New York State voters was conducted December 5-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 46% Democrat; 21% Republican; 25% Independent.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Governor Andrew Cuomo

Quinnipiac New York Poll on Gov. Andrew Cuomo

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 74% (70%) {73%} [71%] (68%) {69%} [68%] (65%) {66%} [62%] (64%) {61%} [64%] (56%)
• Disapprove 13% (16%) {16%} [16%] (19%) {19%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 82% (73%) {80%} [76%] (67%) {75%} [71%] (70%) {72%} [69%] (75%) {66%} [66%] (56%)
• Disapprove 9% (12%) {10%} [11%] (20%) {16%} [12%] (17%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {18%} [15%] (14%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 68% (66%) {69%} [68%] (67%) {64%} [63%] (66%) {61%} [53%] (53%) {59%} [58%] (57%)
• Disapprove 18% (21%) {19%} [20%] (24%) {21%} [25%] (19%) {20%} [33%] (26%) {22%} [18%] (14%)

Among Independents

• Approve 70% (71%) {72%} [69%] (73%) {71%} [69%] (64%) {61%} [63%] (61%) {57%} [66%] (59%)
• Disapprove 12% (15%) {17%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [17%] (18%) {21%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)

Survey of 1,302 New York State voters was conducted December 5-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 46% (44%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {40%} [41%] (39%) {41%} [40%] Democrat; 21% (22%) {21%} [22%] (20%) {25%} [21%] (20%) {18%} [22%] Republican; 25% (28%) {30%} [29%] (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [31%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 24-30, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5-11, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-21, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Survey

Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Poll

For each of the following Republicans, please tell me how you would rate them as a person to help the Republican party figure out how to win more races, including the presidency—excellent, good, just fair, or poor.

Chris Christie 

• Excellent 12%
• Good 28%
• Just fair 24%
• Poor 14%

Marco Rubio

• Excellent 13%
• Good 18%
• Just fair 17%
• Poor 18%

Paul Ryan 

• Excellent 14%
• Good 19%
• Just fair 21%
• Poor 30%

Bobby Jindal 

• Excellent 8%
• Good 16%
• Just fair 21%
• Poor 17%

Jeb Bush

• Excellent 7%
• Good 20%
• Just fair 23%
• Poor 33%

For each of the following Democrats, please tell me how you would rate them as a potential presidential nominee for 2016—excellent, good, just fair, or poor.

Hillary Clinton

• Excellent 32%
• Good 27%
• Just fair 19%
• Poor 20%

Joe Biden

• Excellent 8%
• Good 24%
• Just fair 19%
• Poor 45%

Andrew Cuomo

• Excellent 4%
• Good 25%
• Just fair 29%
• Poor 23%

Rahm Emanuel

• Excellent 3%
• Good 16%
• Just fair 22%
• Poor 32%

National survey of 1,000 adults was conducted December 7-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Senate Poll

• Steve Beshear (D) 46%
• Rand Paul (R) 44%
• Not sure 10%

• Rand Paul (R) 47%
• Ashley Judd (D) 46%
• Not sure 7%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Steve Beshear’s job performance?

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 34%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rand Paul’s job performance? 

• Approve 43% 
• Disapprove 39% 

Survey of 1,266 registered Kentucky voters was conducted December 7-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 52% Democrat; 37% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 23% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 9% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Rand Paul (R) 42%
• Not sure 11%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Marco Rubio (R) 40%
• Not sure 12%

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
• Not sure 14%

• Marco Rubio (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Not sure 13%

Among Women 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Rand Paul (R) 40%
• Not sure 9%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Marco Rubio (R) 36%
• Not sure 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 31% / 22% {+9%}
• Hillary Clinton 48% / 42% {+6%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rand Paul’s job performance? 

• Approve 43% 
• Disapprove 39%  

Survey of 1,266 registered Kentucky voters was conducted December 7-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 52% Democrat; 37% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 23% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 9% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP North Carolina 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

PPP North Carolina 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Condoleezza Rice, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to
see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

• Marco Rubio 21%
• Mike Huckabee 15%
• Paul Ryan 12%
• Chris Christie 10%
• Jeb Bush 9%
• Condoleezza Rice 9%
• Rand Paul 6%
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Sarah Palin 5%
• Someone else/Not sure 8%

Very Conservative

• Marco Rubio 28%
• Mike Huckabee 19%
• Paul Ryan 13%
• Jeb Bush 8%
• Rand Paul 7%
• Condoleezza Rice 6%
• Sarah Palin 6%
• Chris Christie 4%
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

Somewhat Conservative

• Marco Rubio 16%
• Paul Ryan 14%
• Chris Christie 13%
• Mike Huckabee 12%
• Jeb Bush 11%
• Condoleezza Rice 8%
• Rand Paul 8%
• Rick Santorum 7%
• Sarah Palin 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 9%

Survey of 462 usual Republican primary voters was conducted December 6-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% Very conservative; 35% Somewhat conservative; 13% Moderate; 6% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Constitutional Rights

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Constitutional Rights

I am going to read you a short list of freedoms contained in the Bill of Rights of the U.S. Constitution. For each please let me know how important you think this freedom is. 

Freedom of Speech

• Very important 85%
• Somewhat important 14%
• Not very important 1%
• Not at all important 0%
  

Freedom of Religion

• Very important 75%
• Somewhat important 16%
• Not very/Not at all important 7%
  

Freedom of the Press 

• Very important 64%
• Somewhat important 28%
• Not very/Not at all important 7%
  

The Right to Bear Arms  

• Very important 49%
• Somewhat important 19%
• Not very important 19%
• Not at all important 11%
  

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 8-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
 
Inside the numbers: 

There are strong ideological differences of opinion when it comes to these basic freedoms. Liberals place less importance on all four than conservatives do. The most dramatic difference is over the right to bear arms: 90% of conservatives view that constitutional right as at least somewhat important, but 51% of liberals do not. Moderates generally fall somewhere in between on all four rights.

There are significant partisan differences, too. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Republicans and 70% of voters not affiliated with either major party, for example, consider freedom of press to be very important, but just 53% of Democrats agree. Seventy-five percent (75%) of GOP voters and 52% of unaffiliated voters rate the right to bear arms as Very Important, a view shared by only 25% of Democrats.

Voters 40 and over are far more likely than younger voters to consider all four freedoms – speech, religion, press and right to bear arms – to be Very Important.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Gallup Survey on Marijuana Legalization

USA Today/Gallup Poll on Pot Legalization

Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not? 

• Yes, legal 48% 
• No, illegal 50% 

Among Democrats 

• Yes, legal 61% 
• No, illegal 38%

Among Republicans 

• Yes, legal 33% 
• No, illegal 66%

Among Independents

• Yes, legal 50% 
• No, illegal 47%

Age 18-29

• Yes, legal 60% 
• No, illegal 39%

Age 30-64

• Yes, legal 48% 
• No, illegal 51%

Age 65+

• Yes, legal 36% 
• No, illegal 61%

As you may know, marijuana use is legal in some states. Do you think the federal government should take steps to enforce federal anti-marijuana laws in those states, or not? 

• Yes, should take steps 34%
• No, should not 64%

Among Adults Who Say Marijuana Use Should Be Legal 

• Yes, should take steps 12%
• No, should not 87%

Among Adults Who Say Marijuana Use Should Not Be Legal 

• Yes, should take steps 56%
• No, should not 43%

National survey of 1,015 adults was conducted November 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Conan O'Brien Interview with Nate Silver

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia Survey on Secession

PPP (D) Georgia Poll on Secession  

Would you support or oppose Georgia seceding from the union because of Barack Obama’s re-election?

• Support 26%
• Oppose 60%
• Not sure 13%

Among Republicans

• Support 42%
• Oppose 42%
• Not sure 16%

Among Democrats 

• Support 10%
• Oppose 82%
• Not sure 8%

Among Independents

• Support 25%
• Oppose 58%
• Not sure 17%

Very Conservative

• Support 45%
• Oppose 37%
• Not sure 17%

Moderate 

• Support 14%
• Oppose 74%
• Not sure 11%

Among Whites

• Support 31%
• Oppose 56%
• Not sure 13%

Among Blacks

• Support 15%
• Oppose 72%
• Not sure 13%

Survey of 729 Georgia voters was conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Republican; 37% Democrat; 23% Independent.  Political ideology: 29% Somewhat conservative; 25% Moderate; 23% Very conservative; 12% Somewhat liberal; 11% Very liberal. Race: 68% White; 25% Black; 7% Other.

Chris Christie on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Net Favorability Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Net Favorability Poll

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Christie 48% / 26% {+22%}
• Condoleezza Rice 51% / 29% {+22%}
• Hillary Clinton 57% / 36% {+21%}
• Marco Rubio 35% / 27% {+8%}
• Joe Biden 46% / 44% {+2%}
• Jeb Bush 38% / 38% {0%}
• Paul Ryan 41% / 42% {-1%}
• Mike Huckabee 38% / 39% {-1%}
• Elizabeth Warren 25% / 27% {-2%}
• Rand Paul 32% / 38% {-6%}
• Mark Warner 9% / 16% {-7%}
• Deval Patrick 10% / 17% {-7%}
• Rick Santorum 30% / 40% {-10%}
• Andrew Cuomo 23% / 33% {-10%}
• Brian Schweitzer 4% / 16% {-12%}
• Martin O’Malley 5% / 17% {-12%}
• Sarah Palin 33% / 56% {-23%}

Among Independents

• Condoleezza Rice 55% / 26% {+29%}
• Chris Christie 46% / 29% {+17%}
• Paul Ryan 50% / 34% {+16%}
• Jeb Bush 42% / 28% {+14%}
• Marco Rubio 39% / 26% {+13%}
• Hillary Clinton 52% / 42% {+10%}
• Rand Paul 40% / 33% {+7%}
• Mike Huckabee 41% / 36% {+5%}
• Rick Santorum 35% / 38% {-3%}
• Mark Warner 11% / 18% {-7%}
• Sarah Palin 38% / 51% {-13%}
• Martin O’Malley 6% / 20% {-14%}
• Brian Schweitzer 4% / 19% {-15%}
• Elizabeth Warren 20% / 35% {-15%}
• Deval Patrick 8% / 25% {-17%}
• Andrew Cuomo 17% / 41% {-24%}
• Joe Biden 31% / 56% {-25%}

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton 76% / 20% {+56%}
• Joe Biden 60% / 29% {+31%}
• Chris Christie 48% / 23% {+25%}
• Elizabeth Warren 33% / 22% {+11%}
• Andrew Cuomo 27% / 23% {+4%} 
• Condoleezza Rice 40% / 38% {+2%}
• Mark Warner 13% / 14% {-1%}
• Deval Patrick 12% / 16% {-4%}
• Marco Rubio 24% / 33% {-9%}
• Brian Schweitzer 6% / 17% {-11%}
• Martin O’Malley 6% / 19% {-13%}
• Rand Paul 25% / 43% {-18%}
• Mike Huckabee 27% / 47% {-20%}
• Jeb Bush 24% / 46% {-22%}
• Paul Ryan 27% / 59% {-32%}
• Rick Santorum 15% / 58% {-43%}
• Sarah Palin 16% / 74% {-58%}

Survey of 700 registered voters was conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 32% Republican; 24% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 15% Very conservative; 11% Very liberal. 

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll 

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016? 

• Hillary Clinton 61% (57%)
• Joe Biden 12% (14%)
• Andrew Cuomo 5% (5%)
• Elizabeth Warren 4% (6%)
• Martin O'Malley 2% (1%)
• Mark Warner 1% (2%) 
• Deval Patrick 1%
• Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%)
• Someone else/Undecided 12% (12%)

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee? 

• Andrew Cuomo 21% (27%)
• Elizabeth Warren 16% (9%)
• Deval Patrick 8%
• Martin O'Malley 5% (4%)
• Mark Warner 3% (4%)
• Brian Schweitzer 2% (2%)
• Someone else/Undecided 45% (46%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 86% (86%) / 10% (10%) {+76%} 
• Joe Biden 80% (70%) / 14% (21%) {+66%} 
• Elizabeth Warren 45% (28%) / 12% (17%) {+33%} 
• Andrew Cuomo 37% (32%) / 21% (24%) {+16%} 
• Deval Patrick 17% / 15% {+2%}
• Mark Warner 11% (11%) / 17% (18%) {-6%} 
• Martin O'Malley 7% (8%) / 17% (17%) {-10%} 
• Brian Schweitzer 5% (7%) / 19% (17%) {-14%} 

Do you think same-sex marriage should be allowed, or not?

• Should be allowed 64%
• Should not 31%
• Not sure 5%

Survey of 454 Democratic primary voters was conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Political ideology: 32% (36%) Moderate; 32% (30%) Somewhat liberal; 20% (16%) Very liberal; 12% (13%) Somewhat conservative; 4% (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Condoleezza Rice, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to
see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

• Marco Rubio 18% (10%) 
• Chris Christie 14% (21%)
• Paul Ryan 12% (7%)
• Jeb Bush 12% (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% (17%) 
• Condoleezza Rice 8%
• Rand Paul 7% (4%)
• Sarah Palin 7%
• Rick Santorum 4% (12%)
• Someone else/Undecided 7% (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 74% (47%) / 15% (11%) {+59%} 
• Mike Huckabee 73% (69%) / 15% (15%) {+58%} 
• Condoleezza Rice 73% / 18% {+55%}
• Marco Rubio 62% (53%) / 11% (10%) {+51%} 
• Jeb Bush 63% (71%) / 14% (13%) {+49%}
• Sarah Palin 66% (65%) / 24% (26%) {+42%}  
• Rick Santorum 56% (63%) / 17% (23%) {+39%} 
• Rand Paul 53% (42%) / 22% (20%) {+31%}
• Chris Christie 49% (62%) / 28% (12%) {+21%}  

Do you think Reince Priebus should continue in his role as chair of the Republican National
Committee or be replaced?

• He should continue 20%
• He should be replaced 37%
• Not sure 43%

Survey of 475 Republican primary voters was conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% (36%) Very conservative; 38% (41%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (16%) Moderate; 6% (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) National Survey on Marijuana Legalization

PPP (D) National Poll on Marijuana Legalization

Do you think the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not?

• Yes, should be legal 58%
• No, should not be legal 39%

Among Democrats

• Yes, should be legal 68%
• No, should not be legal 28%

Among Republicans

• Yes, should be legal 42%
  
• No, should not be legal 56%

Among Independents

• Yes, should be legal 59%
• No, should not be legal 38%

Among Men

• Yes, should be legal 62%
• No, should not be legal 38%

Among Women

• Yes, should be legal 54%
• No, should not be legal 42%

Age 18-29

• Yes, should be legal 61%
• No, should not be legal 39%

Age 30-45

• Yes, should be legal 64%
• No, should not be legal 34%

Age 46-65

• Yes, should be legal 57%
• No, should not be legal 39%

Older Than 65

• Yes, should be legal 48%
• No, should not be legal 48%

In last month's election, the voters of Colorado and Washington state passed ballot measures making the use of marijuana legal for adults, as well as regulating the production and sale of marijuana in a manner similar to alcohol. However, marijuana-related activities remain illegal under federal law. Do you feel President Obama should allow Colorado and Washington to implement these laws, or do you think he should use federal resources to prevent these laws from taking effect?

• Obama should allow them to implement the laws 47%
• He should use federal resources to prevent the laws from taking effect 33%

Among Democrats

• Obama should allow them to implement the laws 55%
• He should use federal resources to prevent the laws from taking effect 26%

Among Republicans

• Obama should allow them to implement the laws 35%
• He should use federal resources to prevent the laws from taking effect 46%

Among Independents

• Obama should allow them to implement the laws 47%
• He should use federal resources to prevent the laws from taking effect 31%

Among Men

• Obama should allow them to implement the laws 52%
• He should use federal resources to prevent the laws from taking effect 30%

Among Women

• Obama should allow them to implement the laws 42%
• He should use federal resources to prevent the laws from taking effect 36%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? "Marijuana is safer than alcohol."

• Agree 45%
• Disagree 42%
  

Among Democrats

• Agree 58%
• Disagree 29%
  

Among Republicans

• Agree 32%
• Disagree 58%

Among Independents

• Agree 38%
• Disagree 45%

Among Men

• Agree 52%
• Disagree 39%
  

Among Women

• Agree 38%
• Disagree 46%

Do you think marijuana will be legal under federal law within the next 10 years, or not?

• Will be legal 50%
• Will not 37%

Among Democrats

• Will be legal 59%
• Will not 30%

Among Republicans

• Will be legal 40%
• Will not 46%

Among Independents

• Will be legal 47%
• Will not 39%

Among Men

• Will be legal 49%
• Will not 39%

Among Women

• Will be legal 51%
• Will not 36%

National survey of 1,325 registered voters was conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 for the Marijuana Policy Project.  Party ID: 44% Democrat; 32% Republican; 24% Independent/Other.