Friday, July 31, 2015

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%) {54%} [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42% (42%) {38%} [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (51%) {54%} [52%] (48%) {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% (40%) {40%} [43%] (42%) {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
    • Jeb Bush (R) 43% (42%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (48%)
    • Scott Walker (R) 41% (44%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%) {58%} [52%]
      • Rick Perry (R) 40% (42%) {37%} [36%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (53%) {54%} [56%] {57%}
        • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (39%) {39%} [39%] {35%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {53%} [55%]
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% {40%} [41%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {53%} [51%] (47%) {53%} [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
        • Chris Christie (R) 40% {41%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
        • John Kasich (R) 39%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
        • Ben Carson (R) 39%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
          • Rick Santorum (R) 39%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
          • George Pataki (R) 37%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
          • Bobby Jindal (R) 36%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
          • Donald Trump (R) 38%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
          • Lindsey Graham (R) 35%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
          • Carly Fiorina (R) 35%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
          • Jim Gilmore (R) 32%
          If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
          • Jeb Bush (R) 29%
          • Donald Trump (I) 20 
          National survey of 964 registered voters was conducted July 22-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) {34%} Democrat; 25% (29%) {28%} Republican; 40% (38%) {37%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Thursday, July 30, 2015

          Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

          Rasmussen (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
          • Donald Trump 26%
          • Scott Walker 14% (11%) {20%} [5%] (6%)
          • Jeb Bush 10% (13%) {18%} [12%] (16%) 
          • Ted Cruz 7% [12%]
          • Mike Huckabee 7%   
          • Marco Rubio 5% (5%) [16%] (18%) 
          • Ben Carson 5% (12%)
          • John Kasich 5%
          • Rand Paul 3% (7%) {13%} [20%] (15%)
          • Chris Christie 2% (7%) {15%} [22%] (21%)
          • Rick Perry 2% (5%)
          • Rick Santorum 2%
          • Bobby Jindal 2% 
          • Carly Fiorina 1%
          • Lindsey Graham 1%
          • George Pataki 1%
          Survey of 471 likely Republican voters was conducted July 28-29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

          • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (37%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%) {46%} [48%]
          • Scott Walker (R) 43% (38%) {41%} [39%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (50%)
                • Donald Trump (R) 36% (32%)
                National survey of 1,644 registered voters was conducted July 23-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (31%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 26% (23%) {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 34% (36%) {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 10% (10%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 75% (72%) {73%} [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 11% (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 7% (8%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 7% (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                • Hillary Clinton 55% {57%} [60%] (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
                • Bernie Sanders 17% {15%} [8%] (4%) {4%}
                • Joe Biden 13% {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%) 
                • Lincoln Chafee {1%} [0%] 
                • Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [3%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
                • Jim Webb 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
                • Don't know 11% {14%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
                National survey of 681 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted July 23-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                • Donald Trump 20% {5%}
                • Scott Walker 13% {10%} [11%] (18%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%) 
                • Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [13%] (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
                • Ben Carson 6% {10%} [3%] (7%) {9%}
                • Mike Huckabee 6% {10%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [10%]
                • Rand Paul 6% {7%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%) 
                • Marco Rubio 6% {10%} [15%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
                • Ted Cruz 5% {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
                • John Kasich 5% {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
                • Chris Christie 3% {4%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
                • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
                • Rick Perry 2% {1%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [3%]   
                • Carly Fiorina 1% {2%} [1%] 
                • Lindsey Graham 1% {1%} [2%] (1%)
                • George Pataki 1% {0%}
                • Rick Santorum 1% {0%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%]
                • Jim Gilmore 0%
                • Don't know 12% {20%} [14%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
                Survey of 710 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted July 23-28, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Wednesday, July 29, 2015

                Poll Watch: St. Pete Polls Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                St. Pete Polls Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 26.1%
                • Jeb Bush 20.0%
                • Scott Walker 12.2%
                • Marco Rubio 9.7%
                • Ben Carson 4.5%
                • Ted Cruz 4.2%
                • John Kasich 4.1%
                • Rand Paul 3.3%
                • Unsure/Someone else 15.9%
                Note: The following candidates were not included in this poll: Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, George Pataki, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum.   
                Survey of 1,902 likely Republican primary voters was conducted July 18-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Illinois 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 39%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                • Rand Paul (R) 37%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Scott Walker (R) 39%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                • Ben Carson (R) 37%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                • Marco Rubio (R) 37%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                • Chris Christie (R) 35%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                • Carly Fiorina (R) 34%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Ted Cruz (R) 35%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 35%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Donald Trump (R) 33%
                Survey of 931 registered voters was conducted July 20-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 45% Democrat; 25% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. 

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Illinois 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                • Hillary Clinton 60%
                • Bernie Sanders 23%
                • Martin O'Malley 4%
                • Jim Webb 3%
                • Lincoln Chafee 1%
                • Not sure 8%
                Survey of 409 Democratic primary voters was conducted July 20-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Ideology: 34% Somewhat liberal; 34% Moderate; 20% Very liberal; 9% Somewhat conservative; 3% Very conservative.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Illinois 2016 Republican Primary Poll

                • Scott Walker 23% (7%)
                • Donald Trump 18%
                • Jeb Bush 11% (12%)
                • Chris Christie 8% (18%)
                • Ben Carson 7%
                • Marco Rubio 6% (6%)
                • Mike Huckabee 5%
                • Rand Paul 5% (10%)
                • Ted Cruz 4% (13%)  
                • Carly Fiorina 3%
                • Bobby Jindal 2% (4%)
                • Rick Santorum 2% (4%)  
                • Lindsey Graham 1%
                • John Kasich 1%
                • Rick Perry 1%
                • Jim Gilmore 0%
                • George Pataki 0%
                • Undecided 3% (16%)
                Survey of 369 Republican primary voters was conducted July 20-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Ideology: 40% (43%) Somewhat conservative; 30% (29%) Very conservative; 25% (21%) Moderate; 4% (6%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Tuesday, July 28, 2015

                Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Monmouth University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 24%
                • Jeb Bush 12%
                • John Kasich 7%
                • Scott Walker 7%
                • Marco Rubio 6%
                • Ben Carson 5%
                • Rand Paul 5%
                • Chris Christie 4%
                • Ted Cruz 3%
                • Carly Fiorina 3%
                • Mike Huckabee 2%
                • Bobby Jindal 2%
                • George Pataki 2%
                • Rick Perry 1%
                • Rick Santorum 1%
                • Jim Gilmore 0%
                • Lindsey Graham 0%
                • Undecided (vol.) 14%
                Survey of 467 likely GOP primary voters was conducted July 23-26, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

                Sunday, July 26, 2015

                Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (54%) {51%} [56%] (55%) {54%} [59%] (58%)
                • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (41%) {43%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [36%] (36%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (57%) {49%} [59%] (55%)
                    • Scott Walker (R) 44% (40%) {46%} [37%] (40%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (59%)
                    • Donald Trump (R) 40% (35%)
                    National survey of 898 registered voters was conducted July 22-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                    CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton 56% [58%] (60%) {69%} [67%]
                    • Bernie Sanders 19% [15%] (10%) {5%} [5%] 
                    • Joe Biden 15% [17%] (14%) {11%} [16%]
                    • Jim Webb 1% [1%] (2%) {3%} [1%]
                    • Martin O'Malley 0% [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%]
                    • Lincoln Chafee 0% [0%] (0%) {1%}
                    Survey of 392 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted July 22-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets.

                    Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                    CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                    • Donald Trump 18% [12%] (3%) 
                    • Jeb Bush 15% [17%] (13%) {17%} [16%] (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
                    • Scott Walker 10% [6%] (10%) {12%} [13%] (11%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]
                    • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (8%) {7%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%) 
                    • Rand Paul 6% [8%] (8%) {11%} [12%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%) 
                    • Marco Rubio 6% [7%] (14%) {11%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
                    • Mike Huckabee 5% [5%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
                    • Ben Carson 4% [8%] (7%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [11%]
                    • Chris Christie 4% [3%] (4%) {4%} [7%] (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%
                    • John Kasich 4% [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
                    • Rick Perry 3% [4%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%) 
                    • Bobby Jindal 2% [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [1%] 
                    • Rick Santorum 2% [4%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
                    • Carly Fiorina 1% [1%] (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
                    • Lindsey Graham 1% [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
                    • George Pataki 1% [0%] (3%) {0%} 
                    • Jim Gilmore 0%
                    Survey of 419 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July 22-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 55% [64%] Republican; 45% [36%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                    NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton 49% [68%] (70%)
                    • Bernie Sanders 25% [7%]
                    • Joe Biden 10% [12%] (20%)
                    • Martin O'Malley 3% [0%]
                    • Jim Webb 1% [1%]
                    • Lincoln Chafee 0%
                    • Undecided 11% [12%] (10%)
                    If Joe Biden does not run:
                    • Hillary Clinton 55%
                    • Bernie Sanders 26%
                    • Martin O'Malley 4%
                    • Jim Webb 2%
                    • Lincoln Chafee 1%
                    • Undecided 13%
                    Survey of 320 potential Democratic caucus-goers was conducted July 14-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                    NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                    • Scott Walker 19% [15%] (5%) 
                    • Donald Trump 17%
                    • Jeb Bush 12% [16%] (12%)
                    • Ben Carson 8% [6%] 
                    • Mike Huckabee 7% [17%]
                    • Rand Paul 5% [7%] (12%
                    • Ted Cruz 4% [2%] (7%)
                    • Marco Rubio 4% [6%] (7%)
                    • Rick Perry 3% [4%] (7%)
                    • Chris Christie 2% [9%] (8%)
                    • John Kasich 2% 
                    • Carly Fiorina 1%
                    • Lindsey Graham 1% [1%]
                    • Bobby Jindal 1%
                    • Jim Gilmore 0%
                    • Rick Santorum 0% [5%] (9%)
                    • George Pataki 0%
                    • Undecided 14% [14%] (20%)
                    Survey of 342 potential GOP caucus-goers was conducted July 14-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                    NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton 42% [69%] (74%)
                    • Bernie Sanders 32% [13%]
                    • Joe Biden 12% [8%] (18%)
                    • Martin O'Malley 3% [0%]
                    • Lincoln Chafee 2%
                    • Jim Webb 1% [2%] 
                    • Undecided 10% [7%] (8%)
                    If Joe Biden does not run:
                    • Hillary Clinton 47%
                    • Bernie Sanders 34%
                    • Martin O'Malley 5%
                    • Lincoln Chafee 2%
                    • Jim Webb 1%
                    • Undecided 11%
                    Survey of 309 potential Democratic primary voters was conducted July 14-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                    NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                    • Donald Trump 21%
                    • Jeb Bush 14% [18%] (10%)
                    • Scott Walker 12% [15%] (6%)
                    • John Kasich 7%
                    • Chris Christie 6% [13%] (13%)
                    • Ben Carson 6% [7%]
                    • Marco Rubio 5% [6%] (7%) 
                    • Ted Cruz 5% [6%] (9%)
                    • Rand Paul 4% [14%] (14%)
                    • Mike Huckabee 3% [7%]
                    • Carly Fiorina 2%
                    • George Pataki 2%
                    • Rick Perry 0% [1%] (5%) 
                    • Bobby Jindal 0% (4%) 
                    • Rick Santorum 0% [1%] (3%)
                    • Lindsey Graham 0% [1%]
                    • Jim Gilmore 0%
                    • Undecided 13% [13%] (22%)
                    Survey of 401 potential GOP primary voters was conducted July 14-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

                    Friday, July 24, 2015

                    Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                    Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton 58%
                    • Bernie Sanders 17%
                    • Martin O'Malley 2%
                    • Lincoln Chafee 0%
                    • Jim Webb 0%
                    • Undecided 23%
                    Survey of 500 registered Democratic voters was conducted July 20-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                    Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                    Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                    • Jeb Bush 28% (30%)
                    • Marco Rubio 16% (31%)
                    • Scott Walker 13% (2%)
                    • Donald Trump 11%
                    • Mike Huckabee 5%
                    • Ted Cruz 4% (8%)
                    • Rand Paul 3% (7%)
                    • John Kasich 3% 
                    • Carly Fiorina 2%
                    • Ben Carson 1%
                    • Bobby Jindal 1%
                    • Rick Santorum 0%
                    • Rick Perry 0%
                    • Chris Christie 0%
                    • Lindsey Graham 0%
                    • George Pataki 0% 
                    • Undecided 13% (17%)
                    Survey of 500 registered Republican voters was conducted July 20-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 14-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

                    Wednesday, July 22, 2015

                    Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

                    PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [47%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (49%)
                    • Rand Paul (R) 42% [40%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (46%) {50%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 41% [41%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [46%] (46%) {48%} (48%) {45%} [51%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
                    • Marco Rubio (R) 41% [43%] (43%) {41%} (40%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [37%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [46%] (46%) {48%} [45%]
                    • Scott Walker (R) 41% [42%] (42%) {40%} [42%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [47%] (48%) {50%} (49%) {46%} [48%]
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [42%] (41%) {41%} (42%) {43%} [42%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
                      • Chris Christie (R) 38% [41%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%] (47%) {48%}
                      • Ben Carson (R) 39% [43%] (42%) {40%}
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (49%) {50%} (51%) {47%} [49%] (50%)
                            • Ted Cruz (R) 40% [42%] (43%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [41%] (33%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%]
                            • Carly Fiorina (R) 37% [40%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                            • Donald Trump (R) 37%
                              If the candidates for President next time were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Jeb Bush, and Donald Trump running as an independent who would you vote for?
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 25%
                              • Donald Trump (I) 23%
                              • Not sure 9%
                              National survey of 1,087 registered voters was conducted July 20-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [39%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 33% [32%] (31%) {34%} [37%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 26% [29%] (31%) {26%} [23%] (26%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.

                              Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                              • Hillary Clinton 57% [65%] (63%) {54%} [54%] (60%)
                              • Bernie Sanders 22% [9%] (13%) {6%} [5%] (2%) 
                              • Jim Webb 5% [4%] (6%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
                              • Lincoln Chafee 3% [4%] (5%)
                              • Martin O'Malley 2% [5%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (1%) 
                              • Not sure 12% [12%] (11%) {13%} [10%] (11%)
                              Survey of 496 Democratic primary voters was conducted July 20-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Political ideology:34% [30%] (30%) {34%} [26%] (26%) Somewhat liberal; 29% [38%] (32%) {30%} [29%] (38%) Moderate; 25% [17%] (25%) {20%} [28%] (22%) Very liberal; 9% [12%] (9%) {13%} [14%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 3% [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                              PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                              • Donald Trump 19%
                              • Scott Walker 17% [17%] (18%) {20%} [25%] (11%) 
                              • Jeb Bush 12% [15%] (11%) {17%} [17%] (17%)
                              • Ben Carson 10% [12%] (12%) {10%} [18%] (15%)
                              • Marco Rubio 10% [13%] (13%) {6%} [3%]
                              • Mike Huckabee 8% [11%] (12%) {6%} [10%] (9%)
                              • Ted Cruz 4% [8%] (10%) {16%} [5%] (9%) 
                              • Carly Fiorina 4% [5%] 
                              • Rand Paul 4% [8%] (9%) {10%} [4%] (4%)
                              • Chris Christie 3% [4%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (7%)
                              • John Kasich 3% 
                              • Bobby Jindal 1%
                              • Rick Perry 1% (2%) {3%} [3%] (2%)
                              • Rick Santorum 1%
                              • Jim Gilmore 0%
                              • Lindsey Graham 0%
                              • George Pataki 0%
                              • Undecided 2% [9%] (7%) {8%} [11%] (5%)
                              Survey of 524 Republican primary voters was conducted July 20-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% [35%] (34%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [40%] (37%) {34%} [38%] (35%) Very conservative; 21% [19%] (21%) {19%} [17%] (21%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

                              • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {40%} [42%] (39%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {47%} [42%] (47%)
                              • Scott Walker (R) 43% {40%} [40%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {47%} [45%]
                              • Marco Rubio (R) 43% {40%} {38%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {48%} {51%}
                              Survey of 1,209 Virginia voters was conducted July 9-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% {32%} [30%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (31%) Democrat; 27% {26%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [22%] (26%) Republican; 35% {30%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [37%] (36%) Independent; 9% {11%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (8%) Other/Don't know. Gender: 53% {52%} [53%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (53%) Female; 47% {48%} [47%] (46%) {50%} [48%] (47%) Male.  Race: 68% {71%} [71%] (72%) {70%} [69%] (71%) White; 19% {19%} [18%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (17%) Black; 4% {2%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (4%) Hispanic; 9% {8%} [8%] (8%) {10%} [10%] (9%) Other/Don't know. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-15, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.

                              Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

                              Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll
                              • Scott Walker (R) 47% [42%] (40%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [41%] (42%)
                                • Marco Rubio (R) 46% [41%] (46%)
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [40%] (45%)
                                    • Jeb Bush (R) 41% [38%] (36%) {40%} [40%]
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [41%] (44%) {44%} [45%]
                                    Survey of 1,231 Colorado voters was conducted July 9-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 29% [26%] (27%) {29%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 26% [28%] (25%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Democrat; 36% [37%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (42%) Independent; 10% [9%] (9%) {6%} [10%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (8%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 2, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

                                    Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
                                    • Marco Rubio (R) 44% (40%) (37%)
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (43%) (48%)
                                    • Scott Walker (R) 45% (40%) {35%}
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (44%) {45%}
                                    • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (40%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {40%}
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (41%) {45%} [49%] (51%) {47%}
                                      Survey of 1,236 Iowa voters was conducted July 9-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% (30%) {26%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [27%] Republican; 27% (29%) {28%} [29%] (28%) {27%} [29%] Democrat; 38% (37%) {40%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [40%] Independent; 6% (5%) {7%} [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] Other/Don't know. Gender: 52% (51%) {52%} [52%] {52%} [51%] Female; 48% (49%) {48%} [48%] {48%} [49%] Male.  Race: 91% (93%) {92%} [94%] {92%} [93%] White; 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] {2%} [3%] Black; 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] {2%} [1%] Hispanic; 4% (2%) {3%} [3%] {3%} [4%] Other/Don't know.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                      Tuesday, July 21, 2015

                                      Poll Watch: Morning Consult 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                                      Morning Consult 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                                      • Donald Trump 22% [17%]
                                      • Jeb Bush 15% [19%]
                                      • Scott Walker 12% [7%]
                                      • Ben Carson 8% [5%]
                                      • Mike Huckabee 7% [6%]
                                      • Marco Rubio 6% [9%]
                                      • Rand Paul 5% [8%]
                                      • Chris Christie 4% [6%]
                                      • Ted Cruz 4% [6%]
                                      Note: The following candidates were not included in this poll: Carly Fiorina, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, and George Pataki.  
                                      Survey of 754 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted July 17-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 8-13, 2015 are in square brackets.

                                      Monday, July 20, 2015

                                      Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Survey

                                      Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Poll
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [47%] {53%} (54%) [53%]
                                      • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [44%] {41%} (41%) [41%]
                                      How about if the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Jeb Bush, the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent candidate for president - for whom would you vote?
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                      • Jeb Bush (R) 30%
                                      • Donald Trump (I) 20%
                                      Survey of 815 registered voters was conducted July 16-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets.

                                      Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                                      ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                                      • Hillary Clinton 63% {62%} [66%] (61%) {64%} [69%] (73%)
                                      • Bernie Sanders 14% {10%} [5%] (4%) {1%} [2%]
                                      • Joe Biden 12% {14%} [12%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (11%)
                                      • Jim Webb 2% {1%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%]
                                      • Martin O'Malley 1% {3%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%]
                                      • Lincoln Chafee 0% {1%}
                                      Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted July 16-19, 2015. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                                      ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                                      • Donald Trump 24% {4%}
                                      • Scott Walker 13% {11%} [13%] (7%) {2%} [5%]
                                      • Jeb Bush 12% {10%} [21%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (18%)
                                      • Mike Huckabee 8% {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [14%] 
                                      • Marco Rubio 7% {10%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (10%)
                                      • Ben Carson 6% {8%} [6%] (8%) {7%}
                                      • Rand Paul 6% {11%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [15%] (11%)
                                      • Ted Cruz 4% {8%} [12%] (8%) {4%} [7%] (12%) 
                                      • Rick Perry 4% {2%} [1%] (5%) {6%} [5%] 
                                      • Chris Christie 3% {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (14%)
                                      • John Kasich 2% {3%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
                                      • Bobby Jindal 2% {0%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%]
                                      • George Pataki 1% {1%}
                                      • Rick Santorum 1% {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%}
                                      • Carly Fiorina 0% {2%} [1%]
                                      • Lindsey Graham 0% {1%} [1%]
                                      Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted July 16-19, 2015. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network Nevada 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                                      Gravis Marketing/OAN Nevada 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                                      • Hillary Clinton 55.4%
                                      • Bernie Sanders 18.3%
                                      • Elizabeth Warren 7.6% 
                                      • Joe Biden 4.5%
                                      • Lincoln Chafee 1.1%
                                      • Jim Webb 0.8%
                                      • Martin O'Malley 0.4%
                                      • Unsure 11.9%
                                      Survey of 416 registered Democratic caucus participants was conducted July 12-13, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

                                      Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network Nevada 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                                      Gravis Marketing/OAN Nevada 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                                      • Donald Trump 27.7%
                                      • Scott Walker 15.0%
                                      • Ben Carson 7.8%
                                      • Jeb Bush 6.8%
                                      • Marco Rubio 5.4%
                                      • Rand Paul 3.9%
                                      • Ted Cruz 3.7%
                                      • Rick Perry 3.3%
                                      • Bobby Jindal 1.9%
                                      • Mike Huckabee 1.6%
                                      • Chris Christie 1.5%
                                      • George Pataki 0.6%
                                      • Carly Fiorina 0.2%
                                      • Lindsey Graham 0.2%
                                      • Rick Santorum 0.1%
                                      • Unsure 20.4%
                                      Survey of 623 Republican caucus participants was conducted July 12-13, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                                      Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                                      Monmouth University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                                      • Scott Walker 22%
                                      • Donald Trump 13% 
                                      • Ben Carson 8%
                                      • Jeb Bush 7%
                                      • Ted Cruz 7%
                                      • Mike Huckabee 6%
                                      • Rand Paul 5%
                                      • Marco Rubio 5%
                                      • Bobby Jindal 4%
                                      • Carly Fiorina 3%
                                      • Rick Perry 3%
                                      • Rick Santorum 3%
                                      • John Kasich 2%
                                      • Chris Christie 1%
                                      • George Pataki 0%
                                      • Jim Gilmore 0%
                                      • Lindsey Graham 0% 
                                      • Undecided (vol.) 11%
                                      Survey of 452 Iowa voters likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses was conducted July 16-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.

                                      Thursday, July 16, 2015

                                      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Ben Carson (R) 43%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Scott Walker (R) 42%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Rand Paul (R) 42%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                                      • Chris Christie (R) 39%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                      • Carly Fiorina (R) 39%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                                      • Ted Cruz (R) 41%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                      • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                                      • Donald Trump (R) 39%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 39%
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                      • Jim Gilmore (R) 35%
                                      Survey of 1,170 registered voters was conducted July 13-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 31% Republican; 32% Independent/Other. 

                                      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                                      • Hillary Clinton 64%
                                      • Bernie Sanders 14%
                                      • Jim Webb 8%
                                      • Lincoln Chafee 5%
                                      • Martin O'Malley 2%
                                      • Not sure 7%
                                      Survey of 409 Democratic primary voters was conducted July 13-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Ideology: 34% Somewhat liberal; 33% Moderate; 24% Very liberal; 6% Somewhat conservative; 3% Very conservative.

                                      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                      PPP (D) Virginia 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                      • Jeb Bush 18%
                                      • Donald Trump 14%
                                      • Scott Walker 14%
                                      • Ben Carson 10%
                                      • Mike Huckabee 8%
                                      • Marco Rubio 7%
                                      • Chris Christie 5%
                                      • Ted Cruz 5%
                                      • Carly Fiorina 5%
                                      • Rand Paul 5%
                                      • Bobby Jindal 3%
                                      • Rick Perry 2%
                                      • Jim Gilmore 1%
                                      • Lindsey Graham 1%
                                      • John Kasich 1%
                                      • Rick Santorum 1%
                                      • George Pataki 0%
                                      • Someone else/Not sure 3%
                                      Survey of 502 Republican primary voters was conducted July 13-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% Very conservative; 37% Somewhat conservative; 20% Moderate; 3% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

                                      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                                      Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                                      • Hillary Clinton 59% (61%) {57%} [63%] (62%) {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
                                      • Bernie Sanders 19% (15%) {11%} [6%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
                                      • Joe Biden 8% (11%) {8%} [6%] (9%) {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)   
                                      • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {4%} [0%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
                                      • Lincoln Chafee 1% (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
                                      • Jim Webb 1% (2%) {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
                                      National survey of 382 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted July 13-15, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                                      Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                                      • Donald Trump 18% {11%} [4%] (4%) {5%} [3%] 
                                      • Scott Walker 15% {9%} [12%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%) 
                                      • Jeb Bush 14% {15%} [12%] (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
                                      • Rand Paul 8% {9%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
                                      • Marco Rubio 7% {8%} [7%] (9%) {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
                                      • Ben Carson 6% {10%} [11%] (13%) {6%} [11%] (10%) 
                                      • Mike Huckabee 4% {6%} [6%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (13%)
                                      • Ted Cruz 4% {4%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)
                                      • Chris Christie 3% {2%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
                                      • John Kasich 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
                                      • Rick Santorum 2% {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
                                      • Carly Fiorina 1% {3%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%]
                                      • Rick Perry 1% {2%} [4%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%) 
                                      • Lindsey Graham 0% {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
                                      • Bobby Jindal 0% {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
                                      • George Pataki 0% {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
                                      National survey of 389 likely Republican primary voters was conducted July 13-15, 2015, under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.