Friday, June 28, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 42%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 48%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 38%
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 49%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Chris Christie (R) 32%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 28%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 53%
  • Chris Christie (R) 27%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 63%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 23%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 39%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 42%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 44%
  • Chris Christie (R) 39%
  • Brian Schweitzer (D) 52%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
Survey of 807 registered voters was conducted June 21-23, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% Republican; 29% Democrat; 39% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 52%
  • Brian Schweitzer 17%
  • Joe Biden 9%
  • Cory Booker 3%
  • Elizabeth Warren 3%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
  • Andrew Cuomo 1%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13%
Among Men
  • Hillary Clinton 44%
  • Brian Schweitzer 23%
  • Joe Biden 8%
  • Cory Booker 5%
  • Elizabeth Warren 3%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
  • Andrew Cuomo 1%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 14%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 56%
  • Brian Schweitzer 14%
  • Joe Biden 10%
  • Elizabeth Warren 3%
  • Cory Booker 2%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 2%
  • Andrew Cuomo 1%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13%
Survey of 316 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 21-23, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2016 GOP Primary Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2016 GOP Primary Poll

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Rand Paul 21%
  • Jeb Bush 13%
  • Chris Christie 12%
  • Ted Cruz 12%
  • Marco Rubio 10%
  • Paul Ryan 9%
  • Bobby Jindal 6%
  • Susana Martinez 3%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13%
Among Men
  • Rand Paul 25%
  • Ted Cruz 15%
  • Chris Christie 13%
  • Jeb Bush 10%
  • Paul Ryan 10%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Bobby Jindal 6%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Susana Martinez 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 9%
Among Women
  • Rand Paul 17%
  • Jeb Bush 15%
  • Marco Rubio 11% 
  • Chris Christie 10%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Paul Ryan 9%
  • Bobby Jindal 5%
  • Susana Martinez 4%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 17%
Survey of 340 Republican primary voters was conducted June 21-23, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Poll Watch: Kean University New Jersey Gubernatorial Survey

Kean University New Jersey Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 58%
  • Barbara Buono (D) 28% 
  • Some other candidate 6%
  • Not sure 8%
How would you rate the job Chris Christie has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 37% (34%)
  • Somewhat approve 33% (37%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 17% (15%)
  • Strongly disapprove 12% (13%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 18, 2013 by Pulse Opinion Research. Results from the poll conducted April 25 and 29, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Rand Paul (R) 44%

  • Chris Christie (R) 50%
  • Joe Biden (D) 32%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49%
  • Joe Biden (D) 40%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Rand Paul (R) 44%

  • Chris Christie (R) 53%
  • Joe Biden (D) 25%
  • Rand Paul (R) 51%
  • Joe Biden (D) 35%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 48% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Rand Paul (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

  • Chris Christie (R) 52%
  • Joe Biden (D) 29%
  • Rand Paul (R) 55%
  • Joe Biden (D) 35%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Rand Paul (R) 36%

  • Chris Christie (R) 48%
  • Joe Biden (D) 34%
  • Joe Biden (D) 44%
  • Rand Paul (R) 43%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 48% / 16% {+32%}
  • Rand Paul 43% / 26% {+17%}
  • Hillary Clinton 52% / 44% {+8%}
  • Joe Biden 41% / 48% {-7%}
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie 53% / 14% {+39%}
  • Rand Paul 43% / 26% {+17%}
  • Hillary Clinton 55% / 43% {+12%}
  • Joe Biden 37% / 53% {-16%}
Among Men
  • Chris Christie 50% / 18% {+32%}
  • Rand Paul 50% / 25% {+25%}
  • Hillary Clinton 43% / 53% {-10%}
  • Joe Biden 37% / 56% {-19%}
Among Women
  • Chris Christie 46% / 15% {+31%}
  • Hillary Clinton 60% / 36% {+24%}
  • Rand Paul 36% / 26% {+10%}
  • Joe Biden 43% / 41% {+2%}
Survey of 941 registered voters was conducted June 18-23, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 29% Democrat; 28% Republican; 35% Independent; 7% Other.

Monday, June 24, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Marco Rubio

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Marco Rubio

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 37% [39%] (42%) {36%} [42%] (35%) / 35% [32%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (28%) {+2%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 20-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 5-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-17, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 17-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers
Rubio is now viewed favorably by 58% of Republican voters nationwide. That is down 10 points since May and 15 points since February. Sixteen percent (16%) of GOP voters have an unfavorable opinion of him, while 25% are undecided.
The level of enthusiasm for Rubio has declined significantly. Today, just 21% of GOP voters have a very favorable opinion of the Florida senator. That’s down sharply from 44% in February and 31% in May.
In February, 20 percent of Democrats and 37 percent of independents had a favorable impression of Rubio. In the new poll, 16 percent of Democrats view Rubio favorably, while his rating among independents has climbed to 41 percent.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Tom Foley (R) 43%
  • Dannel Malloy (D) 40%
  • Dannel Malloy (D) 44%
  • John McKinney (R) 37%
  • Dannel Malloy (D) 44%
  • Larry Cafero (R) 37%
  • Dannel Malloy (D) 43%
  • Mark Boughton (R) 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Foley 35% / 18% {+17%}
  • John McKinney 16% / 8% {+8%}
  • Mark Boughton 11% / 5% {+6%}
  • Larry Cafero 11% / 7% {+4%}
  • Dannel Malloy 46% / 44% {+2%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 47%
Do you feel that Dannel Malloy deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 44%
  • No/Does not 46%
Survey of 1,154 registered voters was conducted June 12-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% Democrat; 21% Republican; 40% Independent; 4% Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41% (41%)

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47%
  • Joe Biden (D) 43%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45%
  • Joe Biden (D) 43%
Among Independents
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (42%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (47%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 36% (38%)

  • Jeb Bush (R) 48%
  • Joe Biden (D) 36%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45%
  • Joe Biden (D) 40%
Among Men
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (48%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 44% (44%)

  • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
  • Joe Biden (D) 38%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 48%
  • Joe Biden (D) 41%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (56%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (55%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 38% (37%) 

  • Joe Biden (D) 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
  • Joe Biden (D) 45%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Jeb Bush 54% (50%) / 33% (35%) {+21%}
  • Hillary Clinton 57% (62%) / 38% (33%) {+19%}
  • Marco Rubio 44% (41%) / 33% (34%) {+11%}
  • Joe Biden 45% / 42% {+3%}
Survey of 1,176 registered voters was conducted June 11-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (35%) Democrat; 28% (27%) Republican; 30% (31%) Independent; 8% (7%) Other. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 57% (58%) [64%]
  • Barbara Buono (D) 27% (22%) [21%]
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?
  • Approve 61% (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 26% (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}
Among Democrats
  • Approve 44% (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 38% (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}
Among Republicans
  • Approve 84% (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 7% (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}
Among Independents
  • Approve 64% (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 24% (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}
Among Men
  • Approve 66% (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
  • Disapprove 22% (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}
Among Women
  • Approve 56% (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
  • Disapprove 29% (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barbara Buono 21% / 24% {-3%}
Survey of 705 registered voters was conducted June 10-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 45% (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 33% (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 22% (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 66%
  • Joe Biden 11%
  • Andrew Cuomo 1%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1%
  • Mark Warner 1%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Brian Schweitzer 0%
Survey of 376 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.89 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Ted Cruz 25%
  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Marco Rubio 11%
  • Rick Perry 10%
  • Chris Christie 8%
  • Paul Ryan 8%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
Survey of 492 GOP primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.27 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 47% (50%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 37% (34%)
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 83% (81%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 8% (7%)
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 75% (76%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 13% (16%)
Among Independents
  • Charlie Crist (D) 45% (49%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 33% (29%)
Among Men
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% (49%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 43% (39%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 51% (51%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 32% (29%)
If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Rick Scott the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Bill Nelson 48%
  • Rick Scott 38%
If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Nan Rich the Democrat and Rick Scott the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Rick Scott 42%
  • Nan Rich 36%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 43% (36%)
  • Disapprove 44% (49%)
Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?  
  • Yes/Deserves 35% (32%)
  • No/Does not 50% (55%)
In the last three years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist?
  • Positive thing 47% (50%)
  • Negative thing 44% (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bill Nelson 41% /23% {+18%}
  • Charlie Crist 48% (49%) / 31% (30%) {+17%}
  • Nan Rich 7% / 6% {+1%}
  • Rick Scott 40% (33%) / 42% (46%) {-2%}
Survey of 1,176 registered voters was conducted June 11-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (35%) Democrat; 28% (27%) Republican; 30% (31%) Independent; 8% (7%) Other. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Monday, June 17, 2013

Poll Watch: Stockton College New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Stockton College New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 64.2%
  • Barbara Buono (D) 24.5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 75.2% / 21.7% {+53.5%}
  • Barbara Buono 20.8% / 23.7% {-2.9%}
How would you rate Governor Christie's overall job performance?
  • Excellent 23.3%
  • Good 46.2%
  • Fair 21.6%
  • Poor 7.4%
How would you describe Governor Christie's handling of the state's recovery from Superstorm Sandy?
  • Very effective 54.1%
  • Somewhat effective 39.7%
  • Somewhat ineffective 3.1%
  • Very ineffective 1.0%
Would Governor Christie's close working relationship with President Obama on the storm recovery make you more likely or less likely to vote for the governor, or would it make no difference?  
  • More likely 25.9%
  • Less likely 2.8%
  • No difference 68.9%
Survey of 741 likely voters was conducted June 8-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Poll

Democratic Primary
  • Cory Booker 54%
  • Rush Holt 11%
  • Frank Pallone 8%
  • Sheila Oliver 5%
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 18%
Special Election
  • Cory Booker (D) 50%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 33%
  • Frank Pallone (D) 39%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 36%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 37%
  • Rush Holt (D) 35%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 38%
  • Sheila Oliver (D) 32%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including a subsample of Democratic primary voters, was conducted June 12-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Friday, June 14, 2013

Poll Watch: Gallup National Survey on Potential 2016 Republican Presidential Candidates

Gallup National Poll on Potential 2016 GOP Presidential Candidates

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 52% / 20% {+32%}
  • Marco Rubio 37% / 22% {+15%}
  • Paul Ryan 40% / 32% {+8%}
  • Ted Cruz 24% / 18% {+6%}
  • Rand Paul 34% / 29% {+5%}
Among Democrats/Dem-Leaning Independents
  • Chris Christie 54% / 17% {+37%}
  • Marco Rubio 21% / 34% {-13%}
  • Ted Cruz 11% / 29% {-18%}
  • Rand Paul 16% / 45% {-29%}
  • Paul Ryan 17% / 53% {-36%}
Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents
  • Paul Ryan 69% / 12% {+57%}
  • Marco Rubio 58% / 11% {+47%}
  • Rand Paul 56% / 13% {+43%}
  • Ted Cruz 40% / 8% {+32%}
  • Chris Christie 53% / 25% {+28%}
National survey of 1,529 adults was conducted June 1-4, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 58%
  • Barbara Buono (D) 28%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 10%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 12-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 59% {57%} [63%] (60%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 27% {27%} [21%] (22%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 64% {64%} [70%] (67%) / 26% {26%} [20%] (25%) {+38%}
  • Barbara Buono 22% {18%} [20%] (11%) / 24% {12%} [13%] (7%) {-2%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
  • Approve 70% {68%} [73%] (67%)
  • Disapprove 25% {26%} [23%] (26%)
Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you expect to win?
  • Chris Christie (R) 83% {80%}
  • Barbara Buono (D) 9% {9%}
Survey of 763 registered voters was conducted June 3-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 41% {41%} [39%] (43%) Democrat; 22% {19%} [22%] (22%) Republican; 37% {40%} [40%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

  • Chris Christie (R) 48%
  • Joe Biden (D) 32%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 48%
  • Joe Biden (D) 35%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43%

  • Chris Christie (R) 46%
  • Joe Biden (D) 26%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 44%
  • Joe Biden (D) 31%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%

  • Chris Christie (R) 53%
  • Joe Biden (D) 26%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 56%
  • Joe Biden (D) 28%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 38%

  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Joe Biden (D) 38%
  • Joe Biden (D) 42%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 49% / 17% {+32%}
  • Marco Rubio 39% / 22% {+17%}
  • Hillary Clinton 53% / 44% {+9%}
  • Joe Biden 39% / 49% {-10%}
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie 50% / 15% {+35%}
  • Marco Rubio 40% / 22% {+18%}
  • Hillary Clinton 54% / 42% {+12%}
  • Joe Biden 37% / 50% {-13%}
Among Men
  • Chris Christie 55% / 18% {+37%}
  • Marco Rubio 51% / 20% {+31%}
  • Hillary Clinton 42% / 53% {-11%}
  • Joe Biden 34% / 56% {-22%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 63% / 34% {+29%}
  • Chris Christie 43% / 17% {+26%}
  • Marco Rubio 29% / 25% {+4%}
  • Joe Biden 43% / 43% {0%}
Survey of 1,065 registered voters was conducted June 5-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 27% Republican; 24% Democrat; 42% Independent; 8% Other.

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Monmouth University New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 61% (62%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 31% (20%)
Among Democrats
  • Barbara Buono (D) 59% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% (35%)
Among Republicans
  • Chris Christie (R) 92% (87%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 2% (5%)
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 63% (73%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 26% (9%)
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 64% (66%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 30% (19%)
Among Women
  • Chris Christie (R) 59% (59%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 33% (21%)
Survey of 626 likely voters was conducted June 10-11, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (37%) Democrat; 31% (23%) Republican; 30% (40%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Monmouth New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Poll

Democratic Primary
  • Cory Booker 63%
  • Rush Holt 10%
  • Frank Pallone 8%
  • Sheila Oliver 6%
  • Undecided 13%
Special Election
  • Cory Booker (D) 53%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 37%
  • Frank Pallone (D) 45%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 40%
  • Rush Holt (D) 44%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 41%
  • Sheila Oliver (D) 44%
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 42%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Cory Booker 61% / 15% {+46%}
  • Steve Lonegan 34% / 20% {+14%}
  • Frank Pallone 24% / 17% {+7%}
  • Rush Holt 22% / 18% {+4%}
  • Sheila Oliver 20% / 19% {+1%}
Survey of 560 likely voters, including 205 potential Democratic primary voters, was conducted June 10-11, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points among all voters; +/- 6.9 percentage points among Democratic voters.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 31% Republican; 30% Independent.

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
  • Approve 70% {68%} [73%] (67%)
  • Disapprove 25% {26%} [23%] (26%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 56% {51%} [62%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 39% {42%} [31%] (39%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 87% {93%} [90%] (88%)
  • Disapprove 9% {5%} [10%] (8%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 77% {75%} [75%] (76%)
  • Disapprove 18% {20%} [21%] (20%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 73% {70%} [75%] (68%)
  • Disapprove 22% {25%} [20%] (25%)
Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
  • Favorable 64% {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
  • Unfavorable 26% {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 48% {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
  • Unfavorable 41% {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 86% {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
  • Unfavorable 12% {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}
Among Independents
  • Favorable 69% {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
  • Unfavorable 16% {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}
Would you consider Governor Christie to be liberal, conservative, or somewhere in between?  
  • Very liberal 2%
  • Somewhat liberal 4%
  • Somewhere in between 59%
  • Somewhat conservative 19%
  • Very conservative 9%
Survey of 763 registered voters was conducted June 3-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 41% {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 22% {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 37% {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

Monday, June 10, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Rand Paul 18%
  • Jeb Bush 16%
  • Chris Christie 15%
  • Paul Ryan 12%
  • Marco Rubio 11%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Rick Santorum 6%
  • Bobby Jindal 4% 
  • Susana Martinez 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10%
Survey of 334 GOP primary voters was conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% Somewhat conservative; 29% Very conservative; 25% Moderate; 4% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Chris Christie (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (51%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 36% (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Rand Paul (R) 35%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (45%)
    • Marco Rubio (R) 41% (38%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
    • Rand Paul (R) 43%
    Among Moderates
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
    • Chris Christie (R) 29%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 28%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 66% (65%)
    • Marco Rubio (R) 22% (16%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 71%
    • Rand Paul (R) 20%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (44%)
    • Marco Rubio (R) 42% (48%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
    • Rand Paul (R) 42%
    Among Women 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
    • Chris Christie (R) 34%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 31%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (57%)
    • Marco Rubio (R) 30% (28%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
    • Rand Paul (R) 27%
    Survey of 697 Michigan voters was conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (33%) Democrat; 29% (29%) Republican; 35% (38%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% (34%) Moderate; 25% (23%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (18%) Somewhat liberal; 13% (14%) Very conservative; 11% (11%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Terry McAuliffe (D) 44%
    • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 41%
    • Some other candidate 3%
    • Undecided 12%
    Survey of 1,000 voters was conducted June 5-6, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

    Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Poll

    Democratic Primary
    • Cory Booker 53%
    • Rush Holt 10%
    • Frank Pallone 9%
    Special Election
    • Cory Booker (D) 54%
    • Steve Lonegan (R) 27%
    • Frank Pallone (D) 39%
    • Steve Lonegan (R) 29%
    • Rush Holt (D) 36%
    • Steve Lonegan (R) 31%
    Survey of 858 New Jersey voters, including 306 Democratic voters, was conducted June 7-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.6 percentage points among Democratic voters.  Party ID: 34% Democrat; 23% Republican; 37% Independent; 7% Other/Don't know.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

    Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
    • Approve 69% {67%} [70%] (74%) {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
    • Disapprove 27% {24%} [23%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 41% {46%} [48%] (56%) {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
    • Disapprove 52% {43%} [40%] (38%) {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 96% {91%} [93%] (94%) {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
    • Disapprove 3% {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
    Among Independents
    • Approve 78% {73%} [73%] (77%) {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
    • Disapprove 18% {19%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
    Among Men
    • Approve 71% {72%} [75%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
    • Disapprove 26% {21%} [19%] (15%) {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
    Among Women
    • Approve 66% {63%} [65%] (67%) {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
    • Disapprove 27% {27%} [26%] (28%) {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
    Survey of 858 New Jersey voters was conducted June 7-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 37% {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

    Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Chris Christie (R) 59% {58%} [60%] (62%) {63%} [61%] (49%)
    • Barbara Buono (D) 29% {26%} [25%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (33%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Chris Christie 63% {66%} [69%] (69%) {69%} [67%] {52%} / 27% {24%} [22%] (22%) {21%} [22%] {42%} {+36%}
    • Barbara Buono 18% {12%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [8%] / 23% {9%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [7%] {-5%}
    Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
    • Yes/Deserves 65% {66%} [66%] (71%) {68%} [67%] (52%)
    • No/Does not 28% {26%} [25%] (23%) {24%} [25%] (40%)
    Survey of 858 New Jersey voters was conducted June 7-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 37% {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

    Friday, June 07, 2013

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

    Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
    • Rand Paul (R) 37%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
    • Rick Santorum (R) 36%
    • Joe Biden (D) 45%
    • Rand Paul (R) 41%
    • Joe Biden (D) 46%
    • Rick Santorum (R) 39%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 56% / 37% {+19%}
    • Joe Biden 49% / 42% {+7%}
    • Rand Paul 35% / 30% {+5%}
    • Rick Santorum 39% / 44% {-5%}
    Survey of 1,032 registered voters was conducted May 30 - June 4, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 33% Republican; 21% Independent; 7% Other/Don't know.

    Thursday, June 06, 2013

    Poll Watch: Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Survey

    Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Poll

    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Chris Christie  50% / 16% {+34%}
    • Hillary Clinton 58% / 37% {+21%}
    • Marco Rubio 32% / 22% {+10%}
    • Rand Paul 32% / 27% {+5%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Clinton handled the situation in Benghazi where the U.S. consulate was attacked and four Americans killed when she was Secretary of State? 
      • Approve 34%
      • Disapprove 47% 
      National survey of 1,002 adults was conducted May 31 - June 3. The margin of error is ± 3.1 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Gallup Foreign Policy Survey

      Gallup Foreign Policy Poll

      For each of the following countries, please say whether you consider it an ally of the United States, friendly, but not an ally, unfriendly, or an enemy of the United States.

      Great Britain
      • Ally 66%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 25%
      • Unfriendly 2%
      • Enemy 1%
      Canada
      • Ally 61%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 33%
      • Unfriendly 2%
      • Enemy 1%
      Israel
      • Ally 46%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 32%
      • Unfriendly 10%
      • Enemy 6%
      Japan
      • Ally 44%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 40%
      • Unfriendly 7%
      • Enemy 3%
      Mexico
      • Ally 31%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 47%
      • Unfriendly 15%
      • Enemy 4%
      India
      • Ally 25%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 53%
      • Unfriendly 10%
      • Enemy 3%
      Saudi Arabia
      • Ally 12%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 37%
      • Unfriendly 26%
      • Enemy 16%
      China
      • Ally 11%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 44%
      • Unfriendly 26%
      • Enemy 14%
      Russia
      • Ally 11%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 41%
      • Unfriendly 30%
      • Enemy 12%
      Egypt
      • Ally 11%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 39%
      • Unfriendly 28%
      • Enemy 11%
      Pakistan
      • Ally 4%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 18%
      • Unfriendly 42%
      • Enemy 28%
      Iraq
      • Ally 4%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 17%
      • Unfriendly 40%
      • Enemy 35%
      North Korea
      • Ally 3%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 7%
      • Unfriendly 26%
      • Enemy 58%
      Iran
      • Ally 2%
      • Friendly, but not an ally 8%
      • Unfriendly 34%
      • Enemy 51%
      Survey of 1,529 adults each were conducted on June 1-4, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

      PPP (D) Massachusetts 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
      • Ed Markey (D) 47% {48%} [44%]
      • Gabriel Gomez (R) 39% {41%} [40%]
      • Undecided 14% {11%} [16%]
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Ed Markey 44% {48%} [44%] (38%) / 39% {40%} [41%] (35%) {+5%}
      • Gabriel Gomez 39% {42%} [41%] / 40% {34%} [27%] {-1%}
      Survey of 560 likely voters was conducted June 3-4, 2013 on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {43%} [41%] (41%) Democrat; 23% {20%} [17%] (17%) Republican; 36% {37%} [42%] (42%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 1-2, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2013 are in parentheses.