Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Arizona

• Donald Trump 43% {40%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (42%)
• Joe Biden 39% {38%} [42%] (41%) {35%} [33%] (37%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (8%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Florida

• Donald Trump 45% {43%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 41% {37%} [38%] (39%) {34%} [34%] (37%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% {7%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
• Chase Oliver 0% {1%}
• Jill Stein 0% {1%}

Georgia

• Donald Trump 46% {44%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 40% {39%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [35%] (38%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {6%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (8%)
• Jill Stein 1% {0%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Michigan

• Joe Biden 43% {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} [38%] (38%)
• Donald Trump 42% {37%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (40%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {8%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (7%)
• Chase Oliver 1% {1%}
• Jill Stein 0% {1%}

North Carolina

• Donald Trump 44% {43%} [44%] (43%) {37%} [44%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 42% {40%} [37%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (38%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% {7%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Pennsylvania

• Donald Trump 45% {44%} [43%] (44%) {40%} [44%] (39%)
• Joe Biden 40% {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [37%] (39%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {5%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Survey of eligible voters: 506 (Arizona), 574 (Florida), 534 (Georgia), 560 (Michigan), 536 (North Carolina), and 891 (Pennsylvania) was conducted July 8-10, 2024. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 14-17, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 28-30, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27-29, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2023 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters (High Turnout)

• Joe Biden 51% {54%} [49%] (52%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% {43%} [46%] (42%)
  

Likely Voters (Low Turnout)

• Joe Biden 50% {53%} [48%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {45%} [47%] (44%)
  

Registered Voters

• Joe Biden 50% {54%} [49%] (53%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% {42%} [45%] (40%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 90% {97%} [88%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 8% {2%} [6%] (1%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 92% {89%} [90%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 5% {8%} [6%] (12%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 53% {59%} [45%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 35% {34%} [45%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 48% {49%} [56%] (47%)
  
• Joe Biden 45% {48%} [37%] (45%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 54% {61%} [59%] (60%)
  
• Donald Trump 42% {35%} [35%] (34%)
  

White, College

• Joe Biden 56% {57%} [58%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 40% {38%} [40%] (34%)
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 58% {53%} [57%] (55%)
  
• Joe Biden 37% {44%} [35%] (39%)
  

Survey of 502 registered voters was conducted October 28 - November 1, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-31, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% {42%} [40%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 90% {91%} [92%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 6% {5%} [5%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 89% {84%} [85%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 8% {11%} [10%] (11%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 48% {47%} [44%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 36% {34%} [34%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 47% {46%} [49%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% {44%} [41%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 54% {54%} [58%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 40% {39%} [32%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 58% {60%} [59%]
  
• Donald Trump 36% {31%} [33%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 56% {58%} [52%]
  
• Joe Biden 39% {34%} [39%]
  

Survey of 1,862 likely voters was conducted October 26-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 39%
• Bernie Sanders 13%
• Kamala Harris 8%
• Elizabeth Warren 8%
• Pete Buttigieg 6%
• Cory Booker 5%
• Beto O'Rourke 2%
• Amy Klobuchar 1%
• Julián Castro 0%
• Michael Bennet 0%
• Eric Swalwell 0%
• Tulsi Gabbard 0%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
• John Hickenlooper 0%
• Jay Inslee 0%
• John Delaney 0%
• Wayne Messam 0%
• Seth Moulton 0%
• Tim Ryan 0%
• Marianne Williamson 0%
• Andrew Yang 0%

Age 18-49

• Joe Biden 29%
  
• Bernie Sanders 27%
• Cory Booker 8%
• Pete Buttigieg 8%
• Elizabeth Warren 7%
• Kamala Harris 4%
• Beto O'Rourke 3%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Eric Swalwell 1%

Age 50+

• Joe Biden 47%
• Kamala Harris 11%
• Elizabeth Warren 7%
• Pete Buttigieg 6%
• Bernie Sanders 4%
• Cory Booker 3%
• Amy Klobuchar 2%
• Beto O'Rourke 2%

Survey of 431 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted May 9-14, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 28%
• Bernie Sanders 16%
• Kamala Harris 8%
• Elizabeth Warren 8%
• Pete Buttigieg 4%
• Beto O'Rourke 3%
• Amy Klobuchar 3%
• Cory Booker 3%
• Other (vol.) 6%
• Not sure (vol.) 20%

Survey of 405 registered Democratic voters was conducted April 3-10, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden (D) 54.8%
• Donald Trump (R) 45.2%

• Bernie Sanders (D) 54.6%
• Donald Trump (R) 45.4%

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 52.4%
• Donald Trump (R) 47.6%

• Beto O'Rourke (D) 50.8%
• Donald Trump (R) 49.2%

• Kamala Harris (D) 50.7%
• Donald Trump (R) 49.3%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 50.9%
• Joe Biden (D) 49.1%

• Donald Trump (R) 51.6%
• Bernie Sanders (D) 48.4%

• Donald Trump (R) 56.0%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 44.0%

• Donald Trump (R) 54.4%
• Beto O'Rourke (D) 45.6%

• Donald Trump (R) 55.3%
• Kamala Harris (D) 44.7%

Among Women

• Joe Biden (D) 60.0%
• Donald Trump (R) 40.0%

• Bernie Sanders (D) 60.2%
• Donald Trump (R) 39.8%

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 60.0%
• Donald Trump (R) 40.0%

• Beto O'Rourke (D) 55.6%
• Donald Trump (R) 44.4%

• Kamala Harris (D) 56.2%
• Donald Trump (R) 43.8%

President Trump Job Approval

• Approve 41.0%
• Disapprove 50.7% 

Among Men

• Approve 48.0%
• Disapprove 44.3%

Among Women

• Approve 34.3%
• Disapprove 56.9%

Survey of 808 registered voters was conducted March 26-28, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Pennsylvania 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Emerson College Pennsylvania 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 39.0%
• Bernie Sanders 20.4%
• Elizabeth Warren 10.9%
• Pete Buttigieg 6.3%
• Beto O'Rourke 5.2%
• Kamala Harris 4.5%
• Cory Booker 3.7%
• Tulsi Gabbard 2.6%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1.8%
• Andrew Yang 1.0%
• Julián Castro 0.6%
• Amy Klobuchar 0.3%
• John Hickenlooper 0.0%
• Jay Inslee 0.0%
• Someone else 3.6%
  

Survey of 359 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted March 26-28, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Harper Polling (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (45%)
  
• Donald Trump (R) 46% (43%)
  
• Gary Johnson (L) 2% (8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% (1%)

Survey of 504 likely voters was conducted November 2-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 21-22, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%} [44%] (47%)
• Donald Trump (R) 42% {41%} [41%] (38%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%} [40%] (40%)
• Donald Trump (R) 40% {39%} [38%] (32%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 7% {8%} [8%] (14%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% {2%} [3%] (5%)

Survey of 405 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 20-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-16, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis/Breitbart (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Donald Trump (R) 45% {46%} [44%] (43%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 2% {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% {2%} [2%] (3%)

Survey of 1,016 registered Pennsylvania voters was conducted November 1-2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 31, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis/OAN (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Donald Trump (R) 49%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [47%] (46%)
• Donald Trump (R) 46% [44%] (43%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% [3%] (3%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% [2%] (3%)
• Unsure 3% [4%] (6%)

Survey of 2,606 registered Pennsylvania voters was conducted October 31, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 1.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 51% (50%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46% (47%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% (45%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% (44%)
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 4% (6%)
• Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 2% (3%)

Survey of 799 likely voters was conducted October 27 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20-25, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 50% {51%} [48%] (48%) {52%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {45%} 
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {40%}

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 53% {50%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [48%] (50%) {54%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 41% {45%} [41%] (41%) {44%} [37%] (33%) {33%} [36%] (38%) {35%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 59% {55%} [54%] (54%) {59%} [43%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%}
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 37% {40%} [37%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (37%) {32%}

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% {47%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [34%] (39%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% {41%} [41%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (36%)
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 3% {6%} [5%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%)
• Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 3% {1%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) 
  

Survey of 612 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted October 27 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 10-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 7, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [50%] (48%)
• Donald Trump (R) 44% [40%] (40%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% [5%] (6%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% [2%] (1%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 49% [50%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (40%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% [6%] (9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% [2%] (1%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [59%] (55%)
• Donald Trump (R) 39% [31%] (37%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 1% [5%] (4%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% [2%] (0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 36% [41%] (36%) / 53% [48%] (51%) {-17}
• Donald Trump 32% [27%] (31%) / 54% [60%] (54%) {-22}

Survey of 403 likely voters was conducted October 29 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 26-29, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis/Breitbart (R) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%)
• Donald Trump (R) 44% (43%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% (3%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% (3%)
• Unsure 4% (6%)

Survey of 3,217 registered Pennsylvania voters was conducted October 25-30, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 1.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (45%)
• Donald Trump (R) 40% [40%] (37%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% [4%] (6%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% [2%] (2%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 45% [45%] (39%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [44%] (42%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% [5%] (8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% [1%] (2%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [52%] (49%)
• Donald Trump (R) 35% [36%] (35%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% [3%] (3%)
• Jill Stein (G) 3% [2%] (2%)

Survey of 1,091 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted October 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 5-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 30 - September 2, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47.6% [45.4%] (45.9%)
• Donald Trump (R) 43.1% [40.7%] (42.7%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 6.1% [3.6%] (6.9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0.3% [3.8%] (1.5%)
• Unsure 2.9% [6.4%] (2.9%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 45.2% [45.7%] (48.6%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42.9% [37.9%] (37.6%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 8.5% [5.1%] (9.5%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0.4% [5.0%] (2.3%)
• Unsure 3.0% [6.3%] (2.0%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51.7% [52.1%] (52.8%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41.3% [36.3%] (37.8%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3.9% [2.3% (4.8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0.0% [2.7%] (0.9%)
• Unsure 2.9% [6.5%] (3.7%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 40.6% [41.8%] (41.5%) / 55.2% [56.1%] (54.9%) {-14.6}
• Donald Trump 38.6% [35.8%] (39.5%) / 59.2% [60.6%] (57.7%) {-20.6}

Survey of 550 likely voters was conducted October 25-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 25-28, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45.4% (45.9%)
• Donald Trump (R) 40.7% (42.7%)
• Jill Stein (G) 3.8% (1.5%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3.6% (6.9%)
• Unsure 6.4% (2.9%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 45.7% (48.6%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37.9% (37.6%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5.1% (9.5%)
• Jill Stein (G) 5.0% (2.3%)
• Unsure 6.3% (2.0%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52.1% (52.8%)
• Donald Trump (R) 36.3% (37.8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2.7% (0.9%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 2.3% (4.8%)
• Unsure 6.5% (3.7%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 41.8% (41.5%) / 56.1% (54.9%) {-14.3}
• Donald Trump 35.8% (39.5%) / 60.6% (57.7%) {-24.8}

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 17-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 25-28, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 51% [48%] (48%) {52%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {45%} 
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {40%}

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 50% [50%] (48%) {49%} [48%] (50%) {54%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 45% [41%] (41%) {44%} [37%] (33%) {33%} [36%] (38%) {35%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 55% [54%] (54%) {59%} [43%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%}
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 40% [37%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (37%) {32%}

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% [45%] (44%) {48%} [34%] (39%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 41% [41%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (36%)
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 6% [5%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%)
• Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 1% [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) 
  

Survey of 660 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted October 10-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 7, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Susquehanna Polling and Research Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

SP&R Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%)
• Donald Trump (R) 40% (37%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% (7%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 39% (40%) / 54% (49%) {-15}
• Donald Trump 36% (35%) / 56% (57%) {-20}

Survey of 764 likely voters was conducted October 4-9, 2016 for WHTM-TV/ABC27 News. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2016 are in parentheses.