The Argo Journal: May 2011

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Monday, May 30, 2011

Giuliani Addresses Cornell Graduates; 1st Republican in School's History to Deliver Convocation Speech

Optimism and 'relentless preparation' are hallmarks of leaders, says Giuliani - By Susan Kelley, Cornell Chronicle
At Convocation, Giuliani Urges Students to Work for Public Good - By Jeff Stein, Cornell Daily Sun
Giuliani cites desire for presidential run at Cornell Senior Convocation - By Andrew Tutino, Ithaca Journal
Former NYC mayor stresses leadership to CU grads

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research Survey on President Obama

CNN/Opinion Research Survey on President Obama

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Approve 54%
Disapprove 45%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling:

Terrorism

Approve 65%
Disapprove 34%

The situation in Afghanistan

Approve 55%
Disapprove 42%

The situation in Iraq

Approve 54%
Disapprove 43%

The situation in Libya

Approve 45%
Disapprove 48%

The situation between Israel and the Palestinians

Approve 44%
Disapprove 49%

Taxes

Approve 46%
Disapprove 53%

Medicare

Approve 44%
Disapprove 53%

The economy

Approve 41%
Disapprove 58%

Health care policy

Approve 40%
Disapprove 57%

The federal budget deficit

Approve 34%
Disapprove 64%

Gas prices

Approve 25%
Disapprove 73%

Thinking about the following characteristics and qualities, please say whether you think it applies or doesn’t apply to Barack Obama.

Is a strong and decisive leader

Applies 57%
Does not apply 42%

Inspires confidence

Applies 58%
Does not apply 41%

Cares about people like you

Applies 60%
Does not apply 39%

Is an effective world leader

Applies 55%
Does not apply 44%

Shares your values

Applies 55%
Does not apply 44%

Overall, do you trust Barack Obama as commander-in-chief of the armed forces, or not?

Yes 62%
No 38%

Survey of 1,007 adults was conducted May 24-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Gallup: U.S. Military Personnel, Veterans Give Obama Lower Marks

Gallup: U.S. Military Personnel, Veterans Give Obama Lower Marks

Survey Methods

Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking January 2010 through April 2011, with a random sample of 238,673 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.

For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point. The maximum margin of sampling error will be larger for subgroups of veterans and active-duty military.

Sunday, May 29, 2011

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor on Face the Nation

Reps. Allen West and Donna Edwards Debate Debt, Medicare on Fox News Sunday

John McCain on Fox News Sunday

This Week Roundtable: GOP Field Takes Shape

This Week: Interview with Mitch Daniels

This Week: Interview with Tim Pawlenty

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Barack Obama 49% {47%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
Mitt Romney 42% {42%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)

Barack Obama 51% {52%} [52%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {47%} [49%] (45%) [49%] (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%)
Newt Gingrich 37% {38%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [42%] (45%) [41%] (42%) {41%} [36%] (39%)

Barack Obama 54% {54%} [54%] (53%) {52%} [55%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {52%} [56%] (53%) <55%>
Sarah Palin 37% {37%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {44%} [43%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (41%) <35%>

Among Independents

Barack Obama 45% {40%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)
Mitt Romney 39% {36%} [36%] (36%) {39%} [46%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)

Barack Obama 47% {49%} [53%] (53%) {50%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (39%) {34%} [48%] (44%) [45%] (46%) {41%} [54%] (54%)
Newt Gingrich 34% {33%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [40%] (44%) {37%} [36%] (50%) {42%} [34%] (40%) [38%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (38%)

Barack Obama 51% {52%} [57%] (58%) {58%} [51%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (42%) {40%} [50%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (42%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [52%] (51%) <46%>
Sarah Palin 36% {33%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [39%] (47%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (41%) {41%} [37%] (44%) <42%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote.

Among Republicans

Mitt Romney 77% {81%} [81%] (77%) {77%} [78%] (87%) {82%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [80%] (77%) {78%} [83%] (77%) {72%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [66%] (71%)
Barack Obama 13% {10%} [7%] (9%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {7%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {19%} [18%] (16%)

Newt Gingrich 70% {75%} [75%] (75%) {77%} [72%] (81%) {80%} [84%] (83%) {73%} [82%] (82%) [76%] (80%) {76%} [73%] (75%)
Barack Obama 16% {14%} [13%] (10%) {9%} [14%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (6%) [13%] (11%) {16%} [16%] (14%)

Sarah Palin 68% {72%} [73%] (74%) {72%} [69%] (79%) {81%} [81%] (81%) {78%} [81%] (85%) {82%} [78%] (77%) {80%} [84%] (77%) {70%} [74%] (79%) {72%} [65%] (71%) <66%>
Barack Obama 19% {18%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [20%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [14%] (14%) {12%} [7%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (14%) {18%} [27%] (21%) <17%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote (32% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote.

Among Democrats

Barack Obama 84% {83%} [83%] (82%) {82%} [86%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (80%) {82%} [80%] (86%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [86%] (82%) {78%} [81%] (77%) {79%} [81%] (77%)
Mitt Romney 12% {12%} [9%] (13%) {10%} [8%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (7%) {14%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (14%)

Barack Obama 86% {86%} [87%] (85%) {86%} [88%] (84%) {81%} [86%] (83%) {83%} [82%] (86%) [82%] (84%)
Newt Gingrich 10% {11%} [6%] (10%) {8%} [8%] (10%) {15%} [8%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (11%) [12%] (12%)

Barack Obama 88% {87%} [89%] (86%) {86%} [89%] (84%) {83%} [85%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (87%) {78%} [81%] (88%) {82%} [89%] (86%) {83%} [84%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (81%) <89%>
Sarah Palin 9% {10%} [8%] (10%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (14%) {11%} [15%] (10%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {15%} [10%] (12%) {13%} [10%] (15%) {15%} [14%] (15%) <7%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 10% of the Democratic vote (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 11% of the Democratic vote.

Among Moderates

Barack Obama 59% {60%} [58%] (57%) {63%} [62%] (60%) {59%} [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
Mitt Romney 28% {27%} [26%] (28%) {21%} [28%] (33%) {31%} [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)

Barack Obama 64% {66%} [66%] (65%) {68%} [66%] (64%) {62%} [62%] (58%) {61%} [65%] (66%) [60%] (61%)
Newt Gingrich 22% {20%} [24%] (24%) {19%} [22%] (26%) {28%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (25%) [28%] (30%)

Barack Obama 68% {71%} [73%] (67%) {72%} [73%] (70%) {65%} [62%] (62%) {66%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [63%] (66%) {69%} [65%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (62%) {68%} [71%] (65%)
Sarah Palin 20% {20%} [19%] (24%) {21%} [20%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (24%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {23%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [22%] (30%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.

Among Men

Mitt Romney 48% {46%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
Barack Obama 44% {42%} [48%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {40%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (49%)

Barack Obama 45% {44%} [52%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (46%) [45%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (48%)
Newt Gingrich 43% {44%} [41%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (46%) [46%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (44%)

Barack Obama 47% {48%} [55%] (48%) {47%} [48%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [50%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (50%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (49%) <45%>
Sarah Palin 42% {43%} [37%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {48%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (47%) {44%} [41%] (47%) <43%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

Among Women

Barack Obama 53% {52%} [46%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (42%) {48%} [47%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
Mitt Romney 37% {38%} [41%] (36%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%)

Barack Obama 56% {59%} [52%] (56%) {53%} [57%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (43%) {50%} [49%] (45%) [53%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (56%)
Newt Gingrich 32% {33%} [35%] (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (47%) {35%} [39%] (43%) [35%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (33%)

Barack Obama 60% {60%} [54%] (57%) {56%} [62%] (56%) {53%} [55%] (44%) {52%} [52%] (46%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [51%] (54%) {55%} [56%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (56%) <65%>
Sarah Palin 32% {31%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {40%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [41%] (45%) {35%} [41%] (41%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {36%} [35%] (40%) {36%} [34%] (36%) <26%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote.

Believe Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

Sarah Palin 54%
Barack Obama 37%

Mitt Romney 49%
Barack Obama 35%

Newt Gingrich 50%
Barack Obama 37%

Do Not Think Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

Barack Obama 54%
Mitt Romney 38%

Barack Obama 57%
Newt Gingrich 32%

Barack Obama 61%
Sarah Palin 31%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Mitt Romney 35% {32%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 48% {41%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-13%}
Sarah Palin 30% {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (42%) <39%> / 63% {60%} [61%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (55%) {52%} [54%] (52%) {53%} [56%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {55%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [50%] (49%) <50%> {-33%}
Newt Gingrich 19% {29%} [28%] (26%) {27%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {28%} [29%] (34%) [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (36%) / 64% {53%} [55%] (57%) {52%} [52%] (53%) {50%} [48%] (42%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [42%] (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {-45%}

Among Independents

Mitt Romney 39% {29%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [43%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 45% {40%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [31%] (46%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {33%} [42%] (39%) {-6%}
Sarah Palin 26% {31%} [22%] (30%) {23%} [36%] (37%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {33%} [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (45%) {44%} [34%] (38%) <47%> / 64% {62%} [70%] (62%) {65%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [56%] (48%) {49%} [60%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {54%} [49%] (48%) {59%} [49%] (43%) {42%} [58%] (51%) <43%> {-38%}
Newt Gingrich 12% {24%} [29%] (20%) {20%} [28%] (31%) {21%} [24%] (32%) {27%} [27%] (29%) [34%] (31%) / 68% {58%} [56%] (65%) {60%} [51%] (54%) {56%} [51%] (40%) {43%} [51%] (51%) [45%] (44%) {-56%}

Among Republicans

Mitt Romney 50% {48%} [50%] (47%) {54%} [50%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (54%) {49%} [55%] (52%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (54%) {63%} [67%] (60%) / 32% {30%} [24%] (26%) {23%} [30%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (25%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {15%} [19%] (20%) {21%} [18%] (25%) {21%} [17%] (21%) {+18%}
Sarah Palin 55% {61%} [63%] (63%) {65%} [59%] (67%) {69%} [71%] (68%) {66%} [67%] (71%) {69%} [72%] (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (76%) {75%} [76%] (76%) <69%> / 37% {30%} [25%] (23%) {21%} [32%] (25%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {19%} [23%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {18%} [15%] (18%) {22%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%](18%) <17%> {+18%}
Newt Gingrich 38% {52%} [52%] (49%) {54%} [55%] (58%) {54%} [61%] (60%) {50%} [55%] (62%) [56%] (65%) / 45% {32%} [28%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (27%) {23%} [21%] (17%) {22%} [19%] (17%) [21%] (17%) {-7%}

Among Democrats

Mitt Romney 18% {20%} [19%] (17%) {16%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [16%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (15%) {10%} [15%] (12%) {18%} [14%] (15%) {15%} [23%] (20%) {24%} [20%] (27%) / 64% {51%} [60%] (60%) {58%} [55%] (59%) {49%} [53%] (45%) {53%} [51%] (60%) {56%} [44%] (47%) {53%} [56%] (48%) {55%} [49%] (52%) {49%} [49%] (45%) {-46%}
Newt Gingrich 7% {13%} [5%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [7%] (9%) [13%] (13%) / 80% {67%} [79%] (77%) {76%} [75%] (74%) {71%} [71%] (66%) {66%} [72%] (74%) [57%] (61%) {-73%}
Sarah Palin 10% {10%} [8%] (12%) {12%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [17%] (18%) <11%> / 85% {82%} [87%] (86%) {85%} [83%] (79%) {80%} [83%] (86%) {81%} [82%] (87%) {72%} [74%] (80%) {76%} [78%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (67%) {76%} [74%] (73%) <78%> {-75%}

Among Moderates

Mitt Romney 34% {27%} [31%] (30%) {23%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 45% {45%} [44%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {39%} [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {-11%}
Newt Gingrich 11% {15%} [23%] (15%) {10%} [18%] (18%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {19%} [18%] (18%) [24%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) / 76% {65%} [63%] (69%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {63%} [59%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (64%) [49%] (52%) {53%} [58%] (60%) {-65%}
Sarah Palin 14% {18%} [15%] (26%) {19%} [18%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {23%} [23%] (26%) {23%} [23%] (22%) {20%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [29%] (28%) / 79% {75%} [77%] (69%) {72%} [77%] (73%) {70%} [67%] (67%) {67%} [72%] (71%) {64%} [63%] (68%) {70%} [62%] (66%) {71%} [58%] (58%) {58%} [64%] (67%) {-65%}

Among Men

Mitt Romney 40% {32%} [29%] (34%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 46% {42%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (39%) {-10%}
Sarah Palin 35% {36%} [34%] (41%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {45%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (46%) <48%> / 58% {56%} [61%] (51%) {50%} [54%] (51%) {48%} [49%] (54%) {50%} [56%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {54%} [46%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (49%) <38%> {-23%}
Newt Gingrich 20% {31%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [36%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (37%) [38%] (44%) / 65% {52%} [56%] (55%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [50%] (51%) [41%] (37%) {-45%}

Among Women

Mitt Romney 30% {32%} [34%] (30%) {27%} [32%] (34%) {31%} [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 49% {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {32%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {34%} [38%] (32%) {-19%}
Newt Gingrich 19% {26%} [24%] (20%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (32%) {23%} [28%] (31%) [28%] (28%) / 64% {54%} [54%] (60%) {54%} [53%] (57%) {53%} [49%] (39%) {46%} [47%] (43%) [42%] (46%) {-45%}
Sarah Palin 26% {30%} [27%] (28%) {29%} [32%] (34%) {37%} [35%] (37%) {30%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (43%) {37%} [42%] (32%) {36%} [37%] (45%) {40%} [36%] (39%) <29%> / 67% {63%} [61%] (64%) {62%} [63%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (46%) {53%} [53%] (49%) <61%> {-41%}

Believe Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

Sarah Palin 53% / 38% {+15%}
Mitt Romney 33% / 41% {-8%}
Newt Gingrich 26% / 48% {-22%}

Do Not Think/Not Sure Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

Mitt Romney 35% / 49% {-14%}
Sarah Palin 27% / 66% {-39%}
Newt Gingrich 19% / 66% {-47%}

Do you believe that the Rapture will occur in your lifetime or not?

Believe the Rapture will occur in your lifetime 11%
Think it will not 66%

Do you think Barack Obama would be taken up to Heaven in the Rapture or not?

Think Obama would be taken up to Heaven 44%
Think he would not 26%

Do you think Sarah Palin would be taken up to Heaven in the Rapture or not?

Think Palin would be taken up to Heaven 35%
Think she would not 32%

Survey of 600 registered American voters was conducted May 23-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% {40%} [38%] (40%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 35% {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 25% {27%} [28%] (24%) {20%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 31% {33%} [34%] (33%) {30%} Moderate; 24% {22%} [27%] (25%) {25%} Somewhat conservative; 18% {18%} [14%] (17%) {19%} Very conservative; 17% {18%} [18%] (17%) {18%} Somewhat liberal; 9% {9%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll onducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2009 are in angle brackets.

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?

Pro-Choice 49% (50%)
Pro-Life 41% (40%)

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 23-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of Democrats consider themselves pro-choice, while 62% of Republicans and 51% of voters not affiliated with either major political party are pro-life.

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Vice President Biden Delivers Weekly Address: The American Auto Comeback

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Ohio Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Ohio GOP Primary Survey

Mitt Romney 21% {18%} [15%] (14%)
Sarah Palin 16% {15%} [21%] (20%)
Herman Cain 12%
Newt Gingrich 12% {16%} [18%] (19%)
Michele Bachmann 10%
Ron Paul 9% {7%} [6%]
Tim Pawlenty 5% {5%} [3%] (6%)
Jon Huntsman 1%
Someone else/Undecided 15% {13%} [11%] (18%)

Among Men

Mitt Romney 21% {19%} [19%] (16%)
Sarah Palin 18% {14%} [19%] (19%)
Herman Cain 16%
Ron Paul 12% {7%} [7%]
Newt Gingrich 10% {16%} [18%] (22%)
Michele Bachmann 8%
Tim Pawlenty 4% {6%} [3%] (6%)
Jon Huntsman 0%
Someone else/Undecided 15% {10%} [9%] (14%)

Among Women

Mitt Romney 20% {17%} [11%] (13%)
Newt Gingrich 15% {17%} [19%] (16%)
Sarah Palin 14% {17%} [22%] (21%)
Michele Bachmann 11%
Herman Cain 8%
Ron Paul 6% {6%} [5%]
Tim Pawlenty 5% {5%} [4%] (7%)
Someone else/Undecided 19% {18%} [14%] (21%)

If Sarah Palin didn’t run and the choices were just Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney who would you most like to see as the nominee?

Mitt Romney 23%
Newt Gingrich 16%
Herman Cain 13%
Ron Paul 13%
Michele Bachmann 11%
Tim Pawlenty 6%
Jon Huntsman 0%
Someone else/Not sure 18%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Sarah Palin 66% {61%} [68%] / 24% {28%} [20%] {+42%}
Mitt Romney 55% {53%} [53%] / 25% {26%} [25%] {+30%}
Newt Gingrich 42% {46%} [53%] / 34% {29%} [27%] {+8%}

Among Men

Sarah Palin 66% {65%} [64%] / 27% {26%} [25%] {+39%}
Mitt Romney 58% {58%} [55%] / 28% {26%} [27%] {+30%}
Newt Gingrich 48% {49%} [57%] / 35% {35%} [31%] {+13%}

Among Women

Sarah Palin 65% {57%} [73%] / 21% {30%} [14%] {+44%}
Mitt Romney 51% {48%} [50%] / 23% {26%} [23%] {+28%}
Newt Gingrich 35% {43%} [48%] / 34% {23%} [21%] {+1%}

Survey of 400 usual Republican primary voters was conducted May 19-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% {46%} Somewhat conservative; 38% {34%} Very conservative; 17% {16%} Moderate; 4% {3%} Somewhat liberal; 2% {1%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 28-30, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Wisconsin Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Wisconsin GOP Primary Survey

Mitt Romney 17% {12%} [17%] (12%)
Sarah Palin 16% {15%} [21%] (18%)
Tim Pawlenty 12% {10%} [10%] (8%)
Michele Bachmann 11%
Herman Cain 10%
Ron Paul 10% {5%} [4%]
Newt Gingrich 10% {15%} [13%] (14%)
Jon Huntsman 2%
Someone else/Undecided 14% {17%} [12%] (28%)

Among Men

Mitt Romney 15% {11%} [14%] (11%)
Herman Cain 13%
Ron Paul 13% {5%} [5%]
Tim Pawlenty 13% {13%} [13%] (12%)
Sarah Palin 13% {16%} [21%] (21%)
Michele Bachmann 11%
Newt Gingrich 11% {16%} [15%] (17%)
Jon Huntsman 2%
Someone else/Undecided 10% {15%} [10%] (19%)

Among Women

Sarah Palin 20% {13%} [21%] (14%)
Mitt Romney 19% {14%} [19%] (13%)
Michele Bachmann 11%
Tim Pawlenty 10% {6%} [7%] (5%)
Newt Gingrich 9% {13%} [11%] (10%)
Herman Cain 6%
Ron Paul 6% {6%} [4%]
Jon Huntsman 1%
Someone else/Undecided 19% {20%} [15%] (39%)

Mitt Romney 19%
Tim Pawlenty 15%
Michele Bachmann 14%
Newt Gingrich 14%
Herman Cain 11%
Ron Paul 11%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Someone else/Not sure 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Sarah Palin 66% {65%} [71%] / 28% {25%} [21%] {+38%}
Mitt Romney 46% {49%} [57%] / 32% {25%} [23%] {+14%}
Newt Gingrich 28% {54%} [56%] / 49% {23%} [24%] {-21%}

Among Men

Sarah Palin 66% {67%} [74%] / 29% {22%} [20%] {+37%}
Mitt Romney 46% {50%} [59%] / 37% {26%} [26%] {+9%}
Newt Gingrich 28% {60%} [61%] / 51% {23%} [27%] {-23%}

Among Women

Sarah Palin 65% {62%} [67%] / 26% {28%} [21%] {+39%}
Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [54%] / 25% {24%} [20%] {+22%}
Newt Gingrich 27% {46%} [50%] / 47% {24%} [22%] {-20%}

Survey of 666 usual Republican primary voters was conducted May 19-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% {43%} Somewhat conservative; 37% {34%} Very conservative; 17% {19%} Moderate; 3% {3%} Somewhat liberal; 1% {1%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2010 are in parentheses.

Friday, May 27, 2011

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rudy Giuliani 16%
Mitt Romney 15% (11%) [18%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {20%} (22%)
Sarah Palin 13% (12%) [12%] {19%} (14%) [18%] {15%} (18%)
Ron Paul 12% (7%) [8%] {7%} (7%) [10%] {8%} (8%)
Herman Cain 10%
Newt Gingrich 8% (11%) [14%] {10%} (12%) [15%] {14%} (8%)
Michele Bachmann 7% (5%)
Tim Pawlenty 5% (2%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%} (5%)
Rick Santorum 2% (2%) [3%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {3%} (5%)
Jon Huntsman 1%
Gary Johnson 1%
Buddy Roemer 0%
Fred Karger 0%
Someone else (vol.) 3% (3%) [4%] {5%} (7%) [6%] {5%} (8%)
None/No one (vol.) 5% (4%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [0%] {5%} (2%)
No opinion 2% (1%) [2%] {2%} (6%) [4%] {1%} (3%)

Who would be your second choice?

Mitt Romney 15% (14%) [15%] {18%}
Rudy Giuliani 14%
Newt Gingrich 10% (12%) [11%] {8%}
Michele Bachmann 10% (3%)
Sarah Palin 10% (13%) [12%] {19%}
Ron Paul 7% (9%) [10%] {8%}
Tim Pawlenty 6% (3%) [4%] {5%}
Jon Huntsman 6%
Herman Cain 5%
Rick Santorum 2% (0%) [3%] {3%}
Gary Johnson 2%
Buddy Roemer 1%
Fred Karger 0%
Someone else (vol.) 4% (3%) [2%] {5%}
None/ No one (vol.) 8% (4%) [9%] {7%}
No opinion 2% (2%) [3%] {4%}

I'm going to read some names and ask how you would feel if each of them won the Republican presidential nomination next year. As I read each name, please tell me whether you would feel enthusiastic, pleased but not enthusiastic, displeased but not upset, or upset if that person were the Republican nominee?

Rudy Giuliani

Enthusiastic 27%
Pleased but not enthusiastic 41%
Displeased but not upset 24%
Upset 7%

Mitt Romney

Enthusiastic 21%
Pleased but not enthusiastic 49%
Displeased but not upset 22%
Upset 7%

Sarah Palin

Enthusiastic 26%
Pleased but not enthusiastic 30%
Displeased but not upset 28%
Upset 15%

Ron Paul

Enthusiastic 20%
Pleased but not enthusiastic 43%
Displeased but not upset 24%
Upset 10%

Newt Gingrich

Enthusiastic 16%
Pleased but not enthusiastic 34%
Displeased but not upset 35%
Upset 12%

Regardless of who you support, please tell me whether you would or would not like to see each of the following people run for the Republican nomination for President:

Paul Ryan

Would like to see run 48%
Would not like to see run 43%

Chris Christie

Would like to see run 45%
Would not like to see run 45%

Rick Perry

Would like to see run 40%
Would not like to see run 50%

Jeb Bush

Would like to see run 39%

Would not like to see run 58%

Survey of 473 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, was conducted May 24-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey

Barack Obama 49%
Chris Christie 44%

Barack Obama 49%
Mitt Romney 43%

Survey of 500 likely voters in New Jersey was conducted on May 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Among all New Jersey voters, 53% at least somewhat approve of the job Christie is doing as governor, including 30% who Strongly Approve. Forty-four percent (44%) at least somewhat disapprove of Christie’s performance, with 31% who Strongly Disapprove.

Christie has the support of 80% of the state’s Republicans, while 88% of Garden State Democrats favor Obama. The governor holds a sizable 58% to 34% lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Forty-six percent (46%) give Christie good or excellent marks for the way he has handled New Jersey’s budget crisis. Thirty-five percent (35%) rate his performance as poor.

On the other hand, 38% of Garden State voters think Obama has done a good or excellent job handling the federal budget crisis, while 41% give him poor marks in this area.

Findings are similar for Obama in the Democratic-leaning state, with 53% who somewhat approve and 46% who somewhat disapprove of the job he’s doing in the White House. This includes 32% who Strongly Approve and 39% who Strongly Disapprove.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of Garden State voters now hold at least a somewhat favorable opinion of Christie, unchanged from just before he took office in January 2010. But 43% have an unfavorable opinion of him, up from 35% in the earlier survey. The new findings include 31% with a Very Favorable view of the governor and 32% with a Very Unfavorable one.

The numbers for Obama are nearly identical. The president is viewed favorably by 54% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 46%. This includes 33% with a Very Favorable opinion and 34% with a Very Unfavorable view.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of New Jersey Republicans and 51% of voters not affiliated with either party in the state feel Christie’s done a good job dealing with budget problems. Fifty-five percent (55%) of state Democrats say he’s done a poor job.

Similarly, while 69% of Democrats in New Jersey rate the president’s budget performance as good or excellent, 71% of GOP voters and a plurality (49%) of unaffiliateds in the state think he’s been performing poorly.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of all voters in the state say the bigger problem in New Jersey is not the unwillingness of voters to pay enough in taxes but instead is the unwillingness of politicians to control government spending. Only 14% disagree and think the bigger problem is an unwillingness to pay more in taxes.

Republicans and unaffiliated voters believe much more strongly than Democrats that the bigger problem is politicians’ unwillingness to control spending.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Garden State voters think the federal government is more likely to go bankrupt and be unable to pays it debt before the federal budget is balanced. Thirty-eight percent (38%) feel the federal budget will be balanced first, a slightly more optimistic view than voters have nationally.

Just 10% of voters in New Jersey rate the economy as good or excellent, while 50% describe it as poor. Thirty-two percent (32%) say economic conditions in the country are getting better, but 41% think they’re getting worse.

Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat favor repeal of the national health care law, with 35% who Strongly Favor it. Forty-one percent (41%) are at least somewhat opposed, including 31% who are Strongly Opposed. This is in line with voter sentiments nationally.
Romney earns slightly more support (84%) among New Jersey Republicans but has a much slimmer 46% to 39% lead among unaffiliateds. Eighty-five percent (85%) of Democrats prefer the president, given this match-up.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey

Barack Obama 48%
Tim Pawlenty 43%

Barack Obama 57%
Michele Bachmann 32%

How qualified is Tim Pawlenty to be President of the United States? Very qualified? Somewhat qualified? Not very qualified? Or not at all qualified?

Very qualified 17%
Somewhat qualified 38%
Not very qualified 21%
Not at all qualified 20%

How qualified is Michele Bachmann to be President of the United States? Very qualified? Somewhat qualified? Not very qualified? Or not at all qualified?

Very qualified 8%
Somewhat qualified 19%
Not very qualified 25%
Not at all qualified 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Tim Pawlenty 35% / 38% {-3%}
Michele Bachmann 23% / 51% {-28%}

Survey of 552 registered voters was conducted May 23-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 28% Republican; 26% Democrat; 42% Independent. Political ideology: 36% Conservative; 30% Liberal; 29% Moderate.

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

Mitt Romney 17% [13%] (15%) {16%} [19%] (19%)
Sarah Palin 15% [10%] (12%) {16%} [16%] (16%)
Ron Paul 10% [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
Newt Gingrich 9% [6%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%)
Herman Cain 8%
Tim Pawlenty 6% [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%)
Michele Bachmann 5% [4%] (5%) {4%}
Jon Huntsman 2% [1%] (2%) {1%}
Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
Other 2% [1%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
None/No opinion 22% [14%] (15%) {14%} [14%] (19%)

Among Conservatives

Mitt Romney 19% [13%] {15%} [18%] (19%)
Sarah Palin 16% [10%] {15%} [16%] (16%)
Herman Cain 10%
Newt Gingrich 10% [8%] {11%} [14%] (10%)
Ron Paul 8% [7%] [6%] (7%)

Among Moderates/Liberals

Ron Paul 15% [6%] [5%] (7%)
Mitt Romney 12 % [14%] {19%} [21%] (21%)
Sarah Palin 11% [11%] {20%} [14%] (15%)
Newt Gingrich 9% [3%] {5%} [9%] (6%)
Herman Cain 4%

When you think about politics, which of the following sets of issues is most important to you?

Government spending and power 36% [37%] (38%) {35%}

Business and the economy 31% [36%] (32%) {31%}

National security and foreign policy 15% [12%] (12%) {15%}

Social issues and moral values 15% [15%] (17%) {17%}

Among those who say government spending and power are most important issues

Mitt Romney 17% [17%] (18%) {17%}
Herman Cain 13%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Sarah Palin 11% [9%] (9%) {11%}
Ron Paul 10%
Tim Pawlenty 9%
Michele Bachmann 6%

Among those who say business and the economy are most important issues

Mitt Romney 16% [18%] (15%) {20%}
Sarah Palin 14% [14%] (13%) {17%}
Ron Paul 11%
Newt Gingrich 10%
Michele Bachmann 6%
Tim Pawlenty 5%
Herman Cain 4%

Among those who say social issues and moral values are most important issues

Sarah Palin 23% [18%] (14%) {19%}
Mitt Romney 18% [8%] (9%) {7%}
Ron Paul 11%
Newt Gingrich 5%
Herman Cain 4%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Tim Pawlenty 1%

Among those who say national security and foreign policy are most important issues

Mitt Romney 18% [16%] (17%) {17%}
Sarah Palin 18% [19%] (16%) {22%}
Herman Cain 10%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Ron Paul 6%
Tim Pawlenty 6%
Michele Bachmann 5%

Survey of 971 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted May 20-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 15-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 18-22, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-14, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Barack Obama 50% [49%]
Paul Ryan 43% [40%]

Barack Obama 51% [48%] (46%)
Mitt Romney 39% [38%] (42%)

Barack Obama 53% [51%] (50%)
Newt Gingrich 35% [39%] (41%)

Barack Obama 55% [54%] (52%)
Sarah Palin 36% [35%] (38%)

Among Independents

Barack Obama 47% [46%]
Paul Ryan 42% [39%]

Barack Obama 47% [45%] (43%)
Mitt Romney 36% [33%] (36%)

Barack Obama 54% [56%] (54%)
Sarah Palin 34% [29%] (34%)

Barack Obama 53% [50%] (51%)
Newt Gingrich 29% [35%] (35%)

Among Moderates

Barack Obama 66% [65%]
Paul Ryan 24% [26%]

Barack Obama 67% [64%] (61%)
Mitt Romney 22% [20%] (25%)

Barack Obama 71% [66%] (69%)
Newt Gingrich 17% [22%] (22%)

Barack Obama 76% [70%] (71%)
Sarah Palin 16% [19%] (18%)

Among Men

Paul Ryan 53% [48%]
Barack Obama 43% [43%]

Mitt Romney 46% [44%] (45%)
Barack Obama 44% [42%] (44%)

Barack Obama 45% [46%] (48%)
Newt Gingrich 41% [44%] (42%)

Barack Obama 48% [47%] (51%)
Sarah Palin 43% [42%] (42%)

Among Women

Barack Obama 57% [54%]
Paul Ryan 35% [34%]

Barack Obama 56% [53%] (47%)
Mitt Romney 33% [32%] (40%)

Barack Obama 59% [55%] (52%)
Newt Gingrich 30% [35%] (39%)

Barack Obama 62% [60%] (54%)
Sarah Palin 30% [29%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Paul Ryan 41% [36%] / 46% [35%] {-5%}
Mitt Romney 29% [30%] (33%) / 49% [41%] (45%) {-20%}
Sarah Palin 32% [32%] (35%) / 63% [60%] (58%) {-31%}
Newt Gingrich 15% [26%] (28%) / 67% [49%] (54%) {-52%}

Among Republicans

Paul Ryan 77% [64%] / 12% [9%] {+65%}
Sarah Palin 66% [66%] (73%) / 27% [25%] (18%) {+39%}
Mitt Romney 46% [49%] (56%) / 30% [21%] (22%) {+16%}
Newt Gingrich 29% [50%] (61%) / 45% [21%] (21%) {-16%}

Among Independents

Paul Ryan 43% [35%] / 42% [33%] {+1%}
Mitt Romney 32% [31%] (34%) / 43% [38%] (46%) {-11%}
Sarah Palin 30% [27%] (32%) / 64% [62%] (61%) {-34%}
Newt Gingrich 13% [22%] (23%) / 69% [54%] (56%) {-56%}

Among Men

Paul Ryan 50% [44%] / 42% [36%] {+8%}
Mitt Romney 34% [35%] (35%) / 50% [42%] (50%) {-16%}
Sarah Palin 39% [39%] (38%) / 57% [54%] (57%) {-18%}
Newt Gingrich 18% [32%] (34%) / 66% [50%] (55%) {-48%}

Among Women

Paul Ryan 34% [29%] / 50% [34%] {-16%}
Mitt Romney 26% [25%] (31%) / 47% [40%] (41%) {-21%}
Newt Gingrich 12% [21%] (22%) / 68% [49%] (53%) {-56%}
Sarah Palin 26% [27%] (33%) / 68% [65%] (60%) {-42%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve 52% [49%] (47%)
Disapprove 44% [45%] (46%)

Among Independents

Approve 50% [49%] (47%)
Disapprove 43% [43%] (42%)

Survey of 1,636 Wisconsin voters was conducted May 19-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% [33%] (35%) Democrat; 32% [32%] (31%) Republican; 31% [35%] (33%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [31%] Moderate; 23% [22%] Somewhat conservative; 20 [21%] Somewhat liberal; 17% [18%] Very conservative; 10% [7%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Tampa-St. Petersburg Survey on Governor Rick Scott

SurveyUSA Tampa-St. Petersburg Survey on Governor Rick Scott

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Scott is doing as Governor?

Approve 31%
Disapprove 63%

Among Republicans

Approve 55%
Disapprove 41%

Among Democrats

Approve 9%
Disapprove 88%

Among Independents

Approve 21%
Disapprove 65%

Among Men

Approve 35%
Disapprove 60%

Among Women

Approve 27%
Disapprove 67%

Among Moderates

Approve 22%
Disapprove 74%

Among Conservatives

Approve 51%
Disapprove 44%

Among Liberals

Approve 11%
Disapprove 81%

Should Governor Rick Scott run for President in 2012? Or not?

Should run 7%
Should not 89%

Survey of 600 adults in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Sarasota metropolitan area was conducted May 25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% Republican; 34% Democrat; 25% Independent. Political ideology: 37% Moderate; 36% Conservative; 18% Liberal.

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott Walker’s job performance?

Approve 43% (46%)
Disapprove 54% (52%)

Among Democrats

Approve 9% (8%)
Disapprove 89% (91%)

Among Republicans

Approve 87% (86%)
Disapprove 11% (12%)

Among Independents

Approve 40% (45%)
Disapprove 56% (53%)

Among Men

Approve 50% (51%)
Disapprove 47% (47%)

Among Women

Approve 37% (42%)
Disapprove 59% (57%)

Would you support or oppose recalling Scott Walker from office before his term is up?

Would support 50% (48%)
Would oppose 47% (48%)

Among Democrats

Would support 85% (87%)
Would oppose 11% (9%)

Among Republicans

Would support 8% (8%)
Would oppose 89% (90%)

Among Independents

Would support 50% (48%)
Would oppose 47% (46%)

Among Men

Would support 43% (44%)
Would oppose 56% (53%)

Among Women

Would support 56% (52%)
Would oppose 39% (43%)

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Tom Barrett, who would you vote for?

Tom Barrett 50%
Scott Walker 43%

Among Democrats

Tom Barrett 85%
Scott Walker 10%

Among Republicans

Scott Walker 82%
Tom Barrett 10%

Among Independents

Tom Barrett 48%
Scott Walker 41%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Russ Feingold, who would you vote for?

Russ Feingold 52%
Scott Walker 42%

Among Democrats

Russ Feingold 87%
Scott Walker 10%

Among Republicans

Scott Walker 80%
Russ Feingold 14%

Among Independents

Russ Feingold 51%
Scott Walker 40%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Russ Feingold?

Favorable 51%
Unfavorable 38%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Barrett?

Favorable 41%
Unfavorable 34%

Would you rather that Democrats or Republicans had control of the State Senate?

Democrats 50%
Republicans 42%

Survey of 1,636 Wisconsin voters was conducted May 19-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% (33%) Democrat; 32% (32%) Republican; 31% (35%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (31%) Moderate; 23% (22%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (21%) Somewhat liberal; 17% (18%) Very conservative; 10% (7%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in parentheses.

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Kasich’s job performance?

Approve 33% (35%)
Disapprove 56% (54%)

Among Democrats

Approve 13% (7%)
Disapprove 79% (82%)

Among Republicans

Approve 58% (71%)
Disapprove 28% (18%)

Among Independents

Approve 33% (33%)
Disapprove 55% (54%)

Among Men

Approve 41% (42%)
Disapprove 50% (48%)

Among Women

Approve 25% (29%)
Disapprove 62% (58%)

Ohio may have a referendum on repealing Senate Bill 5, which was passed earlier this year and limits collective bargaining rights for public employees. Would you vote to repeal Senate Bill 5, or would you vote to let the law stand?

Would vote to repeal SB5: 55% (54%)
Would vote to let the law stand: 35% (31%)

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich?

Ted Strickland 59% (55%)
John Kasich 34% (40%)

Would you support or oppose an amendment to the state constitution guaranteeing the right to collective bargaining?

Support 45%
Oppose 32%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job House Speaker John Boehner is doing?

Approve 37%
Disapprove 37%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dennis Kucinich?

Favorable 26%
Unfavorable 39%

If there was an election for Congress today do you think you would vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

Democratic candidate 43%
Republican candidate 34%

Do you think gay marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal 31%
Illegal 53%

Survey of 565 Ohio voters was conducted May 19-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% (43%) Democrat; 35% (35%) Republican; 20% (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (29%) Moderate; 25% (28%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (19%) Somewhat liberal; 13% (15%) Very conservative; 13% (7%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Monday, May 30, 2011

Sunday, May 29, 2011

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Friday, May 27, 2011

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

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