Poll Watch: PPP (D) NY-26 Special Election Survey

PPP (D) New York 26th Congressional District Special Election Survey

The candidates in the special election for Congress are Republican Jane Corwin, Tea Party candidate Jack Davis, Democrat Kathy Hochul, and Green Party candidate Ian Murphy. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Kathy Hochul (D) 42% (35%)
• Jane Corwin (R) 36% (31%)
• Jack Davis (TP) 13% (24%)
• Ian Murphy (G) 3% (2%)
• Undecided 5% (8%)

Among Republicans

• Jane Corwin (R) 61% (55%)
• Jack Davis (TP) 16% (24%)
• Kathy Hochul (D) 16% (10%)
• Ian Murphy (G) 3% (2%)
• Undecided 4% (9%)

Among Democrats

• Kathy Hochul (D) 74% (67%)
• Jane Corwin (R) 11% (7%)
• Jack Davis (TP) 8% (19%)
• Ian Murphy (G) 3% (2%)
• Undecided 4% (4%)

Among Independents

• Kathy Hochul (D) 36% (37%)
• Jane Corwin (R) 34% (20%)
• Jack Davis (TP) 17% (31%)
• Ian Murphy (G) 5% (3%)
• Undecided 9% (9%)

Among Tea Party Members

• Jane Corwin (R) 71% (47%)
• Jack Davis (TP) 16% (37%)
• Kathy Hochul (D) 6% (7%)
• Ian Murphy (G) 2% (3%)
• Undecided 6% (6%)

Among Men

• Jane Corwin (R) 39% (32%)
• Kathy Hochul (D) 39% (31%)
• Jack Davis (TP) 15% (27%)
• Ian Murphy (G) 3% (3%)
• Undecided 4% (7%)

Among Women

• Kathy Hochul (D) 44% (39%)
• Jane Corwin (R) 34% (30%)
• Jack Davis (TP) 12% (22%)
• Ian Murphy (G) 4% (1%)
• Undecided 6% (8%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kathy Hochul 51% (46%) / 37% (40%) {+14%}
• Jane Corwin 34% (39%) / 52% (42%) {-18%}
• Ian Murphy 12% (10%) / 34% (35%) {-22%}
• Jack Davis 23% (43%) / 62% (43%) {-39%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 42% (40%)
• Disapprove 51% (53%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job John Boehner is doing?

• Approve 28%
• Disapprove 45%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Republicans are doing?

• Approve 26% (31%)
• Disapprove 59% (57%)

Do you think the Republicans are doing a better job than the Democrats did while in charge of the House of Representatives, a worse job, or is it about the same?

• A better job 34%
• A worse job 38%
• About the same 27%

Do you have more faith in Barack Obama or Congressional Republicans to lead the country in the right direction?

• Congressional Republicans 45%
• Barack Obama 44%

Would you like the new Congressman from our district to caucus with the Democrats or the Republicans in Congress?

• Republicans 41% (44%)
• Democrats 39% (37%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Andrew Cuomo’s job performance?

• Approve 62% (69%)
• Disapprove 17% (16%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Schumer’s job performance?

• Approve 54% (54%)
• Disapprove 34% (38%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (44%)
• Disapprove 35% (37%)

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 16% (19%)
• No 76% (71%)

Survey of 1,106 likely voters in New York's 26th Congressional District was conducted May 21-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% (43%) Republican; 36% (32%) Democrat; 25% (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 28% Somewhat conservative; 18% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 7% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.