Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 NCAA Final Four Survey

Rasmussen 2012 NCAA Final Four Poll 

Who do you think will win the NCAA men’s basketball tournament? 

• Kentucky 56% 
• Ohio State 14% 
• Kansas 10% 
• Louisville 7% 
• Undecided 12% 

Regardless of who you think will win, who do you want to win the NCAA men’s basketball tournament? 

• Kentucky 34% 
• Ohio State 21% 
• Kansas 18% 
• Louisville 14% 

What do you hope for most when watching the tournament…a close game or a game that your team is winning handedly? 

• Close game 72% 
• Game team is winning handedly 22% 

National survey of 559 NCAA basketball tournament fans was conducted March 26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers: 

Sixty-five percent (65%) of male tournament followers and 47% of women predict a Kentucky championship.

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Kentucky fans think their team will be victorious, while 45% of those pulling for Kansas share that confidence. Forty-three percent (43%) of Buckeye fans think Ohio State will win, while 35% of Louisville fans say the same.

Twenty-four percent (24%) of tournament followers participated in a bet or pool for prizes or fun this year, down from 41% last year. Betting participation this year is more similar to results measured in 2010.

Most tournament followers (75%) will watch the Final Four games at home this year. Eight percent (8%) plan on watching the games at a friend or relative’s house and another eight percent (8%) plan on going out to a bar or restaurant. Seven percent (7%) of tournament followers don’t even plan on watching the Final Four.

Thirty-one percent (31%) plan on drinking beer or other alcohol while watching the games, while 63% will not.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Major League Baseball Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Major League Baseball Poll

Which team is most likely to win the World Series this year?

• New York Yankees 17%
• Boston Red Sox 12%
• Philadelphia Phillies 9%
• Detroit Tigers 9%
• Texas Rangers 8%
• Los Angeles Angels 7%
• San Francisco Giants 6%

Note: All other teams mentioned in the survey (St. Louis Cardinals, Atlanta Braves, Milwaukee Brewers, Arizona Diamondbacks, Tampa Bay Rays, Miami Marlins, and Cincinnati Reds) fell below five percent (5%).

Regardless of who you think will win, which team do you want to win the World Series this year?

• New York Yankees 16%
• Boston Red Sox 14%
• Philadelphia Phillies 8%
• San Francisco Giants 8%
• Los Angeles Angels 6%
• Detroit Tigers 6%
• Atlanta Braves 6%
• St. Louis Cardinals 6%

Note: Fifteen percent (15%) want the championship to go to some other team not mentioned in the survey.

Major League Baseball has decided to expand the playoffs this season to include an additional wild card team in each league. Do you favor or oppose expanding the playoffs to include an additional wild card team in each league?

• Favor 56%
• Oppose 33%
• Undecided 11%

Is the Major League Baseball season too long?

• Yes 35%
• No 56%

National survey of 800 adults who watch professional baseball at least once a week was conducted March 26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Women are more likely than men to both predict and root for the Yankees to win the World Series. Men are more divided between New York and Boston.

Yankee fans remain the cockiest group, with 83% who believe their team will win another championship. Despite watching their team lose back-to-back World Series the past two seasons, 70% of Ranger fans think their team will win this year. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of those rooting for Detroit and 65% of Boston fans think their teams will be victorious.

Just 14% of baseball followers are participating in a fantasy baseball league this year. Still, that’s up from eight percent (8%) two years ago.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 42%
• Rick Santorum 27%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Ron Paul 10%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted March 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 46%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Rick Santorum 42%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted March 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

President Obama Delivers Weekly Address: Passing the Buffett Rule So That Everyone Pays Their Fair Share

House Speaker John Boehner Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Core Four States 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Core Four States 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% [47%] {46%} (46%) [44%]
  
• Mitt Romney 44% [42%] {42%} (42%) [44%]

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] {44%} (49%) [46%]
  
• Rick Santorum 42% [43%] {48%} (44%) [47%]
  

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 42% [44%] {40%} (42%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [36%] {44%} (40%)

• Barack Obama 46% [50%] {34%} (46%)
• Rick Santorum 42% [38%] {56%} (41%)
  

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 28% [24%] {29%} (24%)
• Somewhat approve 18% [23%] {19%} (24%)
• Somewhat disapprove 12% [8%] {10%} (13%)
• Strongly disapprove 40% [44%] {42%} (38%)

Survey of 500 likely voters in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia was conducted March 24-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-15, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-8, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 17-22, 2012 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Romney is ahead of Obama by 12 points among male voters, unchanged from last week, but Santorum holds a much narrower four-point lead among men. Female voters favor the president by 16 points over both contenders. Most voters under 40 like the president, while their elders prefer the Republicans in both matchups.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 42%
• Rick Santorum 27%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Ron Paul 10%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted March 25-29, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Elon University North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

Confident in candidate’s ability to handle foreign policy issues:

• Barack Obama 42%
• Newt Gingrich 28%
• Mitt Romney 24%
• Rick Santorum 22%
• Ron Paul 16%

Confident in candidate’s ability to handle domestic issues:

• Barack Obama 38%
• Rick Santorum 29%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 24%
• Newt Gingrich 20%

Survey of 534 adults was conducted March 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.24 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on the NYPD and the Monitoring of Muslim Groups

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on the NYPD and the Monitoring of Muslim Groups

Recently, it was reported that the New York City Police Department was secretly monitoring Muslim groups within New Jersey. How much have you heard about this story? Is it a lot, a little, or nothing at all?

• A lot 41%
• A little 38%
• Nothing at all 21%

Some say the NYPD's actions are a violation of civil liberties, while others say that the monitoring is necessary to protect our country. What about you? Do you believe the actions of the NYPD are a violation of civil liberties or are they necessary to protect our country?

• Necessary action 50%
• Violation of civil liberties 29%

Among Independents

• Necessary action 48%
• Violation of civil liberties 26%

Among Democrats

• Violation of civil liberties 47%
• Necessary action 32%

Among Republicans

• Necessary action 70%
• Violation of civil liberties 15%

Among Moderates

• Necessary action 51%
• Violation of civil liberties 28%

Among Liberals

• Violation of civil liberties 51%
• Necessary action 30%

Among Conservatives

• Necessary action 64%
• Violation of civil liberties 13%

Heard A Lot About This Story

• Necessary action 54%
• Violation of civil liberties 30%

How effective do you think secret monitoring of groups is in protecting us from terrorist threats? Is it very effective, somewhat effective, not very effective, or not at all effective?

• Very effective 26%
• Somewhat effective 50%
• Not very effective 11%
• Not at all effective 6%

Among Independents

• Very effective 22%
• Somewhat effective 50%
• Not very effective 13%
• Not at all effective 6%

Among Democrats

• Very effective 19%
• Somewhat effective 56%
• Not very effective 14%
• Not at all effective 6%

Among Republicans

• Very effective 37%
• Somewhat effective 47%
• Not very effective 7%
• Not at all effective 1%

Survey of 518 registered voters was conducted March 21-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Independent; 39% Democrat; 21% Republican.

Poll Watch: St. Norbert College/WPR Wisconsin 2012 Republican Primary Survey

St. Norbert College/WPR Wisconsin 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 37%
• Rick Santorum 32%
• Ron Paul 8% 
• Newt Gingrich 4%
• Other 5%
• Not sure 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 62% / 29% {+33%}
• Rick Santorum 58% / 28% {+30%}
• Ron Paul 40% / 39% {+1%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% / 55% {-23%}

Survey of 403 likely Wisconsin Republican primary voters was conducted March 24-28, 2012 . The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 45%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Rick Santorum 42%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted March 27-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51%
• Rick Santorum 38%

• Barack Obama 51%
• Ron Paul 36%

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 35%

• Barack Obama 56%
• Newt Gingrich 31%

Survey of 1,400 likely voters was conducted March 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Wisconsin 2012 Republican Primary Survey

NBC News/Marist Wisconsin 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 40%
• Rick Santorum 33%
• Ron Paul 11% 
• Newt Gingrich 8%
• Undecided 7%

And how about if the candidates are:

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Rick Santorum 41%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 12%

Survey of 740 likely Wisconsin Republican primary voters was conducted March 26-27, 2012 . The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on ObamaCare and the Supreme Court

Rasmussen (R) Survey on ObamaCare and the Supreme Court  

How closely have you followed recent news reports about President Obama's health care law and the U.S. Supreme Court?

• Very closely 47%
• Somewhat closely 37%
• Not very/not at all closely 16%

Would you like to see the U.S. Supreme Court overturn the health care law or uphold its legality?

• Overturn 50%
• Uphold 37%
• Undecided 13%

Which do you think the U.S. Supreme Court is more likely to do – overturn the health care law or uphold its legality?

• Overturn 54%
• Uphold 26%
• Not sure 21%

The health care law requires every American to buy or obtain health insurance. Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose a federal law that requires every American to buy or obtain health insurance?

• Strongly favor 24%
• Somewhat favor 19%
• Somewhat oppose 13%
• Strongly oppose 40%

Does the federal government have the constitutional authority to force everyone to buy health insurance?

• Yes 20%
• No 63%
• Not sure 17%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted March 27-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-six percent (86%) of Republicans and a plurality (48%) of voters not affiliated with either major party would like to see the Supreme Court overturn the health care law. Sixty-four percent (64%) of Democrats want the court to uphold its legality instead.

Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans actually expect the high court to overturn the law, compared to 39% of Democrats and 48% of unaffiliated voters.

Seventy-two percent (72%) of Democrats favor a law that requires all Americans to have health insurance. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Republicans and 52% of unaffiliateds oppose such a law.

Republicans (87%) and unaffiliated voters (66%) strongly believe the federal government does not have the constitutional authority to force everyone to have health insurance. Democrats think the government does have such authority but by a narrow 41% to 33% margin.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% [47%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [42%] (41%)

• Barack Obama 51% [46%]
• Rick Santorum 39% [41%]

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 53%
• Rick Santorum 35%

• Barack Obama 57%
• Mitt Romney 31%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% / 44% {+6%}
• Rick Santorum 41% / 55% {-14%} 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 36%
• Somewhat approve 15%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 39%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted March 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Obama is essentially tied with Romney and Santorum among men. Among women, however, Obama posts a double-digit lead over both Republicans.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 39%
• Rick Santorum 28%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Newt Gingrich 10%

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted March 24-28, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Maryland 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Rasmussen (R) Maryland 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Rick Santorum 28%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Ron Paul 7% 
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 6%

If the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today and you only had a choice between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

• Mitt Romney 53%
• Rick Santorum 39%

Which Republican presidential candidate would be the strongest opponent against Barack Obama in the general election?

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Rick Santorum 20%
• Newt Gingrich 16%

Regardless of who you want to win, who do you think will win the Republican presidential nomination?

• Mitt Romney 82%
• Rick Santorum 9%

Suppose your favorite candidate does not win the nomination. When the general election is held, would you be most likely to vote for the Republican candidate, President Barack Obama, or a third party candidate?

• Republican candidate 84%
• President Barack Obama 7%
• Third party candidate 4%

Are you certain you will vote for that candidate or is it possible that something come up that causes you to change your mind?

• Certain 61%
• Could change mind 33%

Survey of 750 likely Maryland Republican primary voters was conducted March 28, 2012 . The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.
 

Inside the numbers:

If Romney is the nominee, 79% think he is at least somewhat likely to beat Obama, including 39% who say it’s Very Likely. Fifty-seven percent (57%) feel Santorum is likely to beat the president, with 21% who rate it as Very Likely. Most Maryland Republicans think Gingrich and Paul are unlikely to beat the president.

Most Maryland Republicans (54%) think it’s more important to choose a candidate who has the best chance of defeating Obama, but 40% think the emphasis should be on a candidate who does the best job representing GOP values. Romney leads Santorum by a three-to-one margin – 59% to 20% - among those who put electability first. Santorum leads Romney 38% to 29% among voters who prefer the candidate closest to party values.

Romney is viewed favorably by 74% of Maryland Republicans, Santorum by 65%, Gingrich by 56% and Paul by 37%.

The former Massachusetts governor leads among very conservative GOP primary voters by a slight 38% to 34% but is ahead 52% to 27% among those who say they are somewhat conservative. He also leads 47% to 19% among non-conservatives.

Romney holds double-digit leads over Santorum among both Tea Party Republicans and those who are not members of the grass roots movement.

Santorum leads by six points among Evangelical Christian Republicans in Maryland but trails by wide margins in all other religious categories.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Marijuana Legalization

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Marijuana Legalization

To help solve America’s fiscal problems, should the country legalize and tax marijuana?

• Yes 47% (42%) [41%]
  
• No 42% (45%) [49%]
• Undecided 10% (13%) [10%]

Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted March 24-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-28, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 14-15, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Democrats and 50% of adults not affiliated with either major political party support legalizing and taxing marijuana. Sixty percent (60%) of Republicans are opposed.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 44%

• Barack Obama 45%
• Rick Santorum 43%

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 46% {48%} (47%) [49%] {49%} (49%) [45%]
• Josh Mandel (R) 36% {35%} (32%) [34%] {36%} (34%) [31%]
• Don't know {14%} (18%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [21%]

Among Men

• Sherrod Brown (D) 43%
• Josh Mandel (R) 42%
• Don't know 11%

Among Women

• Sherrod Brown (D) 48%
• Josh Mandel (R) 31%
• Don't know 18%

Survey of 1,246 registered voters was conducted March 20-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 29% Republican; 33% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-16, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2012 Senate Poll

• Bill Nelson (D) 44% [41%] (42%)
• Connie Mack (R) 36% [40%] (40%)

Among Men

• Connie Mack (R) 41% [46%] (47%)
  
• Bill Nelson (D) 41% [40%] (38%)
  

Among Women

• Bill Nelson (D) 46% [42%] (45%)
• Connie Mack (R) 32% [36%] (34%)

Survey of 1,228 registered voters was conducted March 20-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 33% [29%] (33%) Democrat; 29% [32%] (30%) Republican; 33% [32%] (31%) Independent; 5% [8%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 7, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News Favorability Survey on Mitt Romney

Washington Post/ABC News Favorability Survey on Mitt Romney

Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney? Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat?

• Strongly favorable 8% {10%} [9%] (6%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {5%}
• Somewhat favorable 26% {28%} [26%] (27%) {27%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (26%) {27%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 25% {19%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [18%] (25%) {18%} [20%] (20%) {16%}
• Strongly unfavorable 25% {23%} [25%] (24%) {23%} [24%] (23%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%}

Among Independents

• Favorable 35% [32%] (29%) {33%} (23%) {41%} [45%] (32%) {35%}
• Unfavorable 52% [48%] (44%) {47%} (51%) {34%} [30%] (36%) {30%}
  

Among Moderates

• Favorable 35% [34%] (35%) {34%} (27%) {38%} [40%] (35%) {34%}
  
• Unfavorable 48% [48%] (43%) {46%} (52%) {34%} [38%] (33%) {28%}
  

Survey of 1,016 adults was conducted March 21-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 22-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 15-19, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-22, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 22-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12-16, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 54% {51%} [47%] (52%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {54%}
• Mitt Romney 43% {46%} [48%] (45%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {43%}

• Barack Obama 55% {52%} [51%]
• Rick Santorum 42% {45%} [45%]

Survey of 925 registered voter was conducted March 24-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll

• Tommy Thompson (R) 48% [50%] (49%)
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% [36%] (42%)
• Some other candidate 4% [4%] (4%)
• Undecided 4% [10%] (6%)

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 48% [37%] (44%)
• Mark Neumann (R) 40% [46%] (43%)
• Some other candidate 4% [4%] (4%)
• Not sure 8% [13%] (9%)

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 48% [40%] (46%)
• Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 40% [41%] (39%)
• Some other candidate 4% [4%] (5%)
• Not sure 7% [15%] (11%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted March 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Among voters in the Badger State not affiliated with either major political party, Baldwin draws 43% of the vote to Thompson’s 41%. The Democrat leads Neumann by seven points and Fitzgerald by 14 in this group.

Thompson, governor of the state from 1987 to 2001, leads Baldwin by 17 points among male voters, but the other two Republicans hold much more modest leads in this group. Among female voters, Baldwin leads Thompson by eight and both Neumann and Fitzgerald by double digits.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of Wisconsin voters now share a very favorable opinion of Baldwin, up from 19% a month ago. Just as many (30%) view Baldwin very unfavorably.

While 21% view Thompson very favorably, 27% view him very unfavorably. Neumann, who unsuccessfully sought the GOP gubernatorial nomination in 2010, draws very vavorables from 12% and very unfavorables from 31%. Fourteen percent (14%) in Wisconsin view Fitzgerald very favorably, while 37% share a very unfavorable opinion of him.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nebraska 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nebraska 2012 Presidential Poll

• Rick Santorum 55%
  
• Barack Obama 38%

• Mitt Romney 51% [51%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 39% [38%] (37%)

• Ron Paul 49% [47%]
• Barack Obama 37% [37%]

• Newt Gingrich 49% [48%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 40% [41%] (40%)

2nd Congressional District

• Ron Paul 44%
• Barack Obama 42%

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 45%

• Barack Obama 47% 
  
• Rick Santorum 47%

• Barack Obama 46%
• Newt Gingrich 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 44% / 43% {+1%}
• Mitt Romney 32% [35%] (38%) / 54% [47%] (35%) {-22%}
• Ron Paul 31% [26%] / 54% [50%] {-23%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% [31%] (34%) / 60% [52%] (43%) {-36%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 38% [35%] (38%)
• Disapprove 59% [61%] (56%)

Survey of 1,028 Nebraska voters was conducted March 22-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 52% [51%] (52%) Republican; 34% [32%] (34%) Democrat; 15% [17%] (14%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% [27%] Moderate; 29% [23%] Somewhat conservative; 22% [24%] Very conservative; 13% [15%] Somewhat liberal; 6% [11%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 26-27, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nebraska 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Nebraska 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 39% [4%]
• Mitt Romney 25% [13%] (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 16% [16%] (18%)
• Ron Paul 10% [5%] (8%)
• Someone else/Not sure 10% [10%] (12%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to the candidate 50%
• Might end up supporting someone else 50%

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 23%
• Newt Gingrich 20%
• Mitt Romney 17%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Someone else/Not sure 30%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 51%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Not sure 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 64% / 22% {+42%}
• Mitt Romney 46% [45%] (51%) / 39% [34%] (23%) {+7%}
• Newt Gingrich 38% [49%] (50%) / 42% [32%] (24%) {-4%}
• Ron Paul 30% [25%] / 52% [46%] {-22%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 29%
• No 57%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 52%
• Are not 48%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 50%
• Mitt Romney 22%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Someone else/Not sure 8%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 29%
• Rick Santorum 28%
• Newt Gingrich 16%
• Ron Paul 15%
• Someone else/Not sure 12%

Survey of 440 usual Nebraska Republican primary voters was conducted March 22-25, 2012 . The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% [34%] Somewhat conservative; 37% [40%] Very conservative; 18% [18%] Moderate; 4% [6%] Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 26-27, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Daily Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (39%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {38%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {32%} [34%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [34%] (38%) {36%} [35%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (32%) {31%} [30%] (27%) {27%} [27%] (26%) {26%} [28%] (29%) {30%} [31%] (33%) {32%} [32%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {37%} [37%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (31%) {27%} [27%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (25%) {28%} [27%](29%) {30%} [31%] (30%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {37%} [37%] (35%) {34%} [34%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (21%) {23%} [23%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [23%] (22%)
• Rick Santorum 28% [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {27%} [27%] (30%) {29%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [27%] (27%) {27%} [25%] (24%) {23%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [24%] (22%) {22%} [23%] (24%) {25%} [26%] (28%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [35%] (36%) {36%} [36%] (35%) {34%} [32%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (27%) {24%} [22%] (20%) {17%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {16%} [15%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)    
  
• Newt Gingrich 11% [12%] (14%) {13%} [15%] (14%) {14%} [13%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (16%) {17%} [15%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {16%} [14%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (16%) {15%} [15%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (13%) {14%} [14%] (15%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {17%} [18%] (20%) {21%} [22%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {32%} [32%] (31%) {31%} [31%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (20%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [13%] (13%) {15%} [14%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {22%} [23%] (24%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [36%] (37%)
• Ron Paul 11% [10%] (9%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (11%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {11%} [12%] (12%) {10%} [11%] (11%) {11%} [13%] (12%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {11%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%) {12%} [11%] (12%) {11%} [12%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (14%) {13%} [14%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (8%)

Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted March 23-27, 2012.  The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (44%) [46%] {43%} (42%) [42%] {40%} (44%) [46%]
• Mitt Romney 42% (44%) [45%] {46%} (45%) [45%] {47%} (44%) [41%]

• Barack Obama 50% (47%) [51%] {45%}
• Rick Santorum 37% (41%) [40%] {43%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 51% (47%) [51%] {45%} (47%) [47%] / 44% (49%) [47%] {50%} (48%) [48%] {+7%} 
• Mitt Romney 41% (43%) [44%] {47%} (39%) [40%] / 36% (39%) [34%] {29%} (28%) [28%] {+5%}
• Rick Santorum 28% (33%) [28%] {31%} / 39% (28%) [30%] {25%} {-11%} 

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 48% (51%) [49%] {52%} (49%) [49%]
• Barack Obama 45% (40%) [42%] {39%} (41%) [39%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Rick Santorum? 

• Barack Obama 50%
• Rick Santorum 39%

Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not? 

• Yes 57%
• No 39% 
  

Overall, who do you trust to do a better job on issues especially important to women -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 58% 
• Republicans 28%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on women's reproductive health issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 57% 
• Republicans 27%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on birth control issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 56% 
• Republicans 27%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on abortion issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 53% 
• Republicans 31% 
  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 47% (45%) [46%] {42%} (41%) [41%] {39%} (44%) [44%]
• Disapprove 49% (53%) [51%] {54%} (54%) [52%] {57%} (51%) [50%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 50% (44%) [49%] {44%} (44%) [43%] {41%} (42%) [47%]
• No/Does not 47% (50%) [48%] {52%} (51%) [51%] {53%} (50%) [46%]

Survey of 1,228 registered voters was conducted March 20-26, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 5, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27 - August 2, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 45% {46%} (46%) [44%] {45%} (42%) [47%]
• Mitt Romney 42% {40%} (43%) [43%] {43%} (44%) [40%]

• Barack Obama 48% {45%} {45%} (45%) [49%]
• Rick Santorum 41% {44%} {42%} (43%) [38%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 48% {47%} (46%) [47%] {45%} / 46% {47%} (47%) [49%] {49%} {+2%}
• Mitt Romney 37% {33%} (34%) [36%] {32%} / 38% {43%} (30%) [30%] {28%} {-1%} 
• Rick Santorum 37% {39%} {33%} / 45% {44%} {37%} {-8%} 

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 48% (48%) [45%]
• Barack Obama 42% (42%) [41%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Rick Santorum? 

• Barack Obama 49%
• Rick Santorum 41%

Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not? 

• Yes 57%
• No 39% 
  

Overall, who do you trust to do a better job on issues especially important to women -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 58% 
• Republicans 31%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on women's reproductive health issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 55% 
• Republicans 31%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on birth control issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 52% 
• Republicans 34%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on abortion issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 50% 
• Republicans 36% 
  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 45% {47%} (43%) [44%] {43%} (43%) [48%] {42%} (51%) [44%]
• Disapprove 50% {49%} (52%) [52%] {54%} (54%) [48%] {53%} (44%) [43%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 46% {47%} (47%) [46%] {44%} (42%) [48%] {42%} (48%) [44%]
• No/Does not 50% {49%} (49%) [50%] {51%} (52%) [46%] {52%} (45%) [45%]

Survey of 1,232 registered voters was conducted March 20-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 5, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% [46%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [45%]
• Mitt Romney 41% [44%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [41%]

• Barack Obama 47% [47%] (48%)
• Rick Santorum 40% [41%] (37%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (48%) {42%} [47%] / 46% [46%] (47%) {52%} [46%] {+3%} 
• Rick Santorum 33% [35%] (25%) / 37% [22%] (25%) {-4%}  
• Mitt Romney 36% [37%] (36%) {32%} [36%] / 43% [40%] (34%) {28%} [31%] {-7%}

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 45% [45%] (42%) {39%} [43%]
• Mitt Romney 45% [46%] (48%) {47%} [45%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Rick Santorum? 

• Barack Obama 48% [45%] (46%) 
• Rick Santorum 41% [43%] (39%)

Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not? 

• Yes 58%
• No 39% 
  

Overall, who do you trust to do a better job on issues especially important to women -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 54% 
• Republicans 33%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on women's reproductive health issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 53% 
• Republicans 34%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on birth control issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 52% 
• Republicans 34%  

Who do you trust to do a better job on abortion issues -- the Democrats or the Republicans?

• Democrats 48% 
• Republicans 38%  

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 47% [47%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [46%] (49%)
• Disapprove 49% [48%] (51%) {55%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [50%] (45%)

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 48% [47%] (45%) {42%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (47%)
• No/Does not 48% [48%] (51%) {53%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [47%] (47%)

Survey of 1,246 registered voters was conducted March 20-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-16, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% (44%)
• Rick Santorum 41% (44%)
• Some other candidate 7% (8%)
• Undecided 5% (5%)
  

• Barack Obama 48% (45%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (41%)
• Some other candidate 8% (10%)
• Undecided 3% (4%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 42% (45%) / 52% {-10%}
• Rick Santorum 42% (49%) / 53% {-11%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president? 

• Strongly approve  27%
• Somewhat approve 22% 
• Somewhat disapprove 12%
• Strongly disapprove 37%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted March 26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Both Romney and Santorum hold a double-digit lead over Obama among male voters but trail Obama by similar margins among female voters. Voters ages 18-39 heavily favor the president, but the two GOP hopefuls are ahead among older voters in Ohio.

Among voters not affiliated with either political party, its Obama 51%, Romney 29% and Obama 53%, Santorum 31%.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [48%] (49%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%){44%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (48%) {49%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [48%] (49%) {47%}[46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {44%} [43%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [48%] (48%) {47%} [44%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (44%)  

• Barack Obama 47% {47%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (49%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {46%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {45%}
• Rick Santorum 43% {42%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (45%) {44%} [40%] (38%) {39%} [37%] (34%) {31%}

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted March 25-27, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. 

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 30% (45%)
• Mitt Romney 28% (16%)
• Ron Paul 9% (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% (9%)
• Other/Don't know 27% (23%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 54% / 26% {+28%} 
• Mitt Romney 46% / 25% {+21%}
• Ron Paul 24% / 35% {-11%} 
• Newt Gingrich 30% / 45% {-15%}

Which one of these qualities matters most in deciding how you will vote in the upcoming primary?

• Strong moral character 26% (36%)
• Can beat Obama 25% (18%)
• The right experience 21% (23%)
• True conservative 16% (13%)
• Something else/Don’t know 12% (10%)

Survey of 505 registered Republican voters was conducted March 20-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Poll

• Scott Walker 47%
• Tom Barrett 45%

• Scott Walker 49%
• Kathleen Falk 45%
  

• Scott Walker 49%
• Doug LaFollette 42%

• Scott Walker 49%
• Kathleen Vinehout 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Barrett 34% / 27% {+7%}
• Scott Walker 50% / 45% {+5%} 
• Doug LaFollette 16% / 14% {+2%}
• Kathleen Vinehout 10% / 13% {-3%}
• Kathleen Falk 27% / 39% {-12%}

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?

• Approve 50%
• Disapprove 47%

Among Democratic Primary Voters

• Tom Barrett 36%
• Kathleen Falk 29%
• Doug LaFollette 8%
• Kathleen Vinehout 8%
• Don't know 17%

If Tom Barrett does not decide to run:

• Kathleen Falk 54%
• Doug LaFollette 15%
• Kathleen Vinehout 12%
• Don't know 18%

Survey of 707 Wisconsin voters, including a subsample of 370 Democratic primary voters, was conducted March 22-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5.2 percentage points among Democratic primary voters.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Mitt Romney 39% [18%]
• Rick Santorum 31% [34%]
• Ron Paul 11% [17%]
• Newt Gingrich 5% [12%]
• Don't know 12% [17%]
  

Which candidate best understands the problems of average Americans?

• Rick Santorum 25%
• Mitt Romney 24%
• Ron Paul 20%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Don't know 19%

What is the most important quality for a Republican nominee: he can defeat Barack Obama, is a true conservative, has a strong moral character, or has the right experience to be president?

• Has strong moral character 32%
• Has right experience to be president 30%
• Can defeat Obama 19%
• Is a true conservative 14%
• Don't know 3%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 48% [53%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [38%] (40%)

• Barack Obama 50% [52%]
• Ron Paul 40% [36%]

• Barack Obama 51% [51%]
• Rick Santorum 39% [40%]
  

• Barack Obama 53% [56%]
• Newt Gingrich 36% [33%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 52% [52%] (50%) / 43% [43%] (44%) {+9%}
• Ron Paul 31% [27%] / 35% [37%] {-4%}
• Rick Santorum 31% [30%] / 39% [27%] {-8%}
• Mitt Romney 32% [27%] (30%) / 47% [50%] (42%) {-15%}
• Newt Gingrich 22% [21%] (25%) / 60% [61%] (53%) {-38%}

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 48%

Survey of 707 registered voters, including a subsample of 349 Republican primary voters, was conducted March 22-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all registered voters.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (34%) {28%} [20%] (24%) {26%} [22%] (21%) {18%} [23%] (22%) 
• Rick Santorum 26% [34%] (15%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%)  
• Ron Paul 17% [16%] (15%) {14%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (13%) {6%} [14%] (12%) 
• Newt Gingrich 15% [15%] (18%) {28%} [24%] (22%) {8%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (5%) 
• None/No one (vol.) 2% [2%] (3%) {5%} [3%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (10%)
• No opinion 2% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (2%)

Among Republicans (MoE: +/- 6.0%)

• Mitt Romney 37% [30%]
• Rick Santorum 26% [41%]
• Newt Gingrich 17% [15%] 
• Ron Paul 13% [11%] 
• None/No one (vol.) 3% [2%]
• No opinion 2% [1%]

Among Independents (MoE: +/- 7.5%)

• Mitt Romney 35% [34%]
• Rick Santorum 26% [23%]
• Ron Paul 23% [23%] 
• Newt Gingrich 12% [15%]
  
• None/No one (vol.) 1% [2%]
• No opinion 2% [3%]

Do you support that candidate strongly, or only moderately?

• Strongly 45% [34%]
• Only moderately 50% [66%]

Among Santorum Voters

• Strongly 53% [55%]
• Only moderately 47% [45%]

Among Romney Voters

• Strongly 41% [38%]
• Only moderately 59% [62%]

For each of the following candidates, please tell me whether you would like them to stay in the race for the Republican nomination or drop out of the race and end their campaign entirely. 

Mitt Romney 

• Stay in the race 77% 
• Drop out 21% 

Rick Santorum 

• Stay in the race 59% 
• Drop out 39% 

Newt Gingrich 

• Stay in the race 39% 
• Drop out 60% 

Ron Paul 

• Stay in the race 36% 
• Drop out 61%  

And how likely do you think it is that each of the following candidates will win the Republican nomination for president? As I read each name, please tell me whether you think that is almost certain, very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, very unlikely, or whether you think there is absolutely no chance that he will win the Republican nomination.

Mitt Romney

• Almost certain 26%
• Very likely 45%
• Somewhat likely 21%
• Somewhat unlikely 4%
• Very unlikely 2%
• No chance 2% 

Rick Santorum

• Almost certain 2%
  
• Very likely 13%
  
• Somewhat likely 39%
  
• Somewhat unlikely 20%
  
• Very unlikely 12%
  
• No chance 13% 

Newt Gingrich

• Almost certain 2%
  
• Very likely 5%
  
• Somewhat likely 21%
  
• Somewhat unlikely 19%
  
• Very unlikely 26%
  
• No chance 27%

Ron Paul

• Almost certain 3%
  
• Very likely 6%
  
• Somewhat likely 9%
  
• Somewhat unlikely 15%
  
• Very unlikely 25%
  
• No chance 42%

I’m going to read you a few phrases, and for each one, please tell me whether you think that phrase better describes Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not support him. 

Can defeat Barack Obama in the general election in November 

• Mitt Romney 69% 
• Rick Santorum 20% 

Can get the economy moving 

• Mitt Romney 64% 
• Rick Santorum 24% 

Is a strong leader 

• Mitt Romney 60% 
• Rick Santorum 29% 

Inspires confidence 

• Mitt Romney 52% 
• Rick Santorum 36% 

Says what he believes rather than what he thinks voters would like to hear 

• Rick Santorum 53% 
• Mitt Romney 36% 

Is more honest and trustworthy 

• Rick Santorum 49% 
• Mitt Romney 37% 

Shares your values 

• Rick Santorum 48% 
• Mitt Romney 40% 

Cares about people like you 

• Rick Santorum 47% 
• Mitt Romney 34% 

Is likable 

• Rick Santorum 47% 
• Mitt Romney 42% 

Agrees with you on the issues that matter most to you 

• Rick Santorum 46% 
• Mitt Romney 39% 

If you had to choose, would you rather see the Republican party choose its presidential nominee through the primaries and caucuses that are currently being conducted, or would you rather see the Republican nominee chosen at the party's national convention in August? 

• Primaries and caucuses 53% 
• Convention 43%

Survey of 436 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted March 24-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 24-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2011 are in square brackets.