Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 30% (31%) {25%} [30%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Rick Santorum 30% (27%) {31%} [20%] (24%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} 
• Newt Gingrich 19% (24%) {23%} [30%] (25%) {51%} [22%] (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Ron Paul 13% (8%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {7%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Someone else/Not sure 8% (10%) {13%} [9%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Very Conservative

• Rick Santorum 40% (35%) {35%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% (28%) {32%}
• Mitt Romney 22% (23%) {19%}
• Ron Paul 7% (9%) {5%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% (6%) {10%}

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 38% (37%) {30%}
• Rick Santorum 24% (25%) {33%}
• Newt Gingrich 16% (22%) {16%}
• Ron Paul 16% (5%) {8%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% (11%) {13%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 29% (31%) {23%}
• Rick Santorum 28% (27%) {31%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% (27%) {25%} 
• Ron Paul 17% (8%) {11%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Rick Santorum 33% (26%) {31%}
• Mitt Romney 33% (31%) {27%}
• Newt Gingrich 17% (20%) {20%} 
• Ron Paul 6% (9%) {4%}
• Someone else/Not sure 10% (13%) {17%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 52% (49%) {52%} [45%] (42%) {37%} [34%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 48% (51%) {48%} [55%] (58%) {63%} [66%]

Second Choice

• Mitt Romney 22% [19%] (16%) {18%} [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 21% [23%] (17%) {15%} [19%]
• Rick Santorum 20% [18%] (17%) {2%} [2%]
• Ron Paul 9% [9%] (5%) {3%} [4%]
• Someone else/Not sure 29% [31%] (28%) {46%} [26%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 43% (42%) {43%}
• Mitt Romney 37% (38%) {33%}
• Ron Paul 13% (10%) {10%}
• Not sure 8% (11%) {14%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 55% (58%) {58%} [62%] (62%) / 34% (27%) {29%} [25%] (22%) {+21%}
• Mitt Romney 50% (51%) {43%} [53%] (46%) {50%} [53%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 38% (35%) {43%} [34%] (38%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+12%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% (48%) {45%} [50%] (48%) {73%} [65%] (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 39% (39%) {41%}  [35%] (35%) {17%} [25%] (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+6%}
• Ron Paul 34% (32%) {28%} [32%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (34%) / 52% (54%) {55%} [55%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (45%) {-18%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 35% (32%)
• No 51% (52%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 61% (64%)
• Are not 39% (36%)

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 36% (31%)
• Mitt Romney 26% (28%)
• Newt Gingrich 22% (26%)
• Ron Paul 10% (6%)
• Someone else/Not sure 7% (9%)

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 37% (36%)
  
• Rick Santorum 21% (20%)
• Ron Paul 17% (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 15% (20%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 10% (12%)

Survey of 561 North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted March 22-25, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 77% (77%) {75%} Republican; 23% (21%) {25%} Independent; 0% (3%) {0%} Democrat .  Political ideology: 44% (37%) {49%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 36% (42%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 17% (15%) {13%} [14%] (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 2% (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal; 1% (4%) {4%} [6%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conductedSeptember 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.