Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Arizona

• Donald Trump 43% {40%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (42%)
• Joe Biden 39% {38%} [42%] (41%) {35%} [33%] (37%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (8%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Florida

• Donald Trump 45% {43%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Joe Biden 41% {37%} [38%] (39%) {34%} [34%] (37%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% {7%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
• Chase Oliver 0% {1%}
• Jill Stein 0% {1%}

Georgia

• Donald Trump 46% {44%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 40% {39%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [35%] (38%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {6%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (8%)
• Jill Stein 1% {0%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Michigan

• Joe Biden 43% {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} [38%] (38%)
• Donald Trump 42% {37%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (40%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {8%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (7%)
• Chase Oliver 1% {1%}
• Jill Stein 0% {1%}

North Carolina

• Donald Trump 44% {43%} [44%] (43%) {37%} [44%] (41%)
• Joe Biden 42% {40%} [37%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (38%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% {7%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Pennsylvania

• Donald Trump 45% {44%} [43%] (44%) {40%} [44%] (39%)
• Joe Biden 40% {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [37%] (39%)
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {5%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
• Jill Stein 1% {1%}
• Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Survey of eligible voters: 506 (Arizona), 574 (Florida), 534 (Georgia), 560 (Michigan), 536 (North Carolina), and 891 (Pennsylvania) was conducted July 8-10, 2024. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 14-17, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 28-30, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27-29, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2023 are in parentheses.

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Arizona

• Donald Trump 48% (49%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%}
• Joe Biden 45% (44%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {43%}

Georgia

• Donald Trump 47% (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
• Joe Biden 46% (44%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {43%}

Michigan

• Joe Biden 48% (46%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {44%}
• Donald Trump 43% (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (43%) {44%}

Nevada

• Donald Trump 48% (47%) {51%} [46%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {43%}
• Joe Biden 45% (47%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {40%} [44%] (43%) {46%}

North Carolina

• Donald Trump 46% (49%) {51%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%}
• Joe Biden 43% (42%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {43%}

Pennsylvania

• Donald Trump 51% (48%) {47%} [45%] (49%) {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%}
• Joe Biden 44% (46%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%}

Wisconsin

• Joe Biden 47% (46%) {44%} [46%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (46%) {44%}
• Donald Trump 44% (47%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (47%) {46%}

Survey of 4,902 registered voters (781 in Arizona, 790 in Georgia, 694 in Michigan, 452 in Nevada, 696 in North Carolina, 794 in Pennsylvania, and 695 in Wisconsin) was conducted July 1-5, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 1 percentage point (+/-4% in AZ, +/-3% in GA, +/-4% in MI, +/-5% in NV, +/-4% in NC, +/-3% in PA, +/-4% in WI). Results from the poll conducted May 7-13, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 8-15, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8-15, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-20, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 16-22, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 6, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2023 are in curly brackets. 

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 51% [48%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 47% [46%] (44%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 98% [95%] (94%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% [4%] (3%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 93% [93%] (90%)
  
• Joe Biden 6% [4%] (7%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 49% [46%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [40%] (40%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 53% [56%] (52%)
  
• Joe Biden 44% [39%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 57% [56%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 41% [37%] (38%)
  

Liberal

• Joe Biden 95% [89%] (89%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [7%] (6%)
  

Moderate

• Joe Biden 64% [58%] (64%)
  
• Donald Trump 32% [34%] (27%)
  

Conservative

• Donald Trump 86% [84%] (82%)
  
• Joe Biden 11% [12%] (12%)
  

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 63% [50%] (61%)
  
• Donald Trump 30% [39%] (24%)
  

Age 30-44

• Joe Biden 55% [51%] (55%)
  
• Donald Trump 44% [44%] (37%)
  

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 53% [45%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 46% [51%] (48%)
  

Age 65+

• Joe Biden 50% [40%] (38%)
  
• Donald Trump 48% [55%] (59%)
  

White, College

• Donald Trump 51% [46%]
  
• Joe Biden 45% [48%]
  

White, No Degree

• Donald Trump 65% [66%]
  
• Joe Biden 34% [30%]
  

Black

• Joe Biden 87% [83%] (86%)
  
• Donald Trump 12% [10%] (5%)
  

Survey of 1,022 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling North Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP North Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 31% (39%)
• Bernie Sanders 18% (6%)
• Elizabeth Warren 15% (22%)
• Michael Bloomberg 8%
• Pete Buttigieg 6% (9%)
• Andrew Yang 5% (3%)
• Amy Klobuchar 3%
• Tom Steyer 3%
• Cory Booker 1% (2%)

Among Whites

• Joe Biden 22% (26%)
• Bernie Sanders 19% (7%)
• Elizabeth Warren 15% (31%)
• Pete Buttigieg 9% (12%)
• Michael Bloomberg 8%
• Andrew Yang 7% (2%)
• Amy Klobuchar 4%
• Tom Steyer 4%
• Cory Booker 0% (2%)

Among Blacks

• Joe Biden 47% (63%)
• Bernie Sanders 16% (6%)
• Elizabeth Warren 14% (3%)
• Michael Bloomberg 9%
• Tom Steyer 3%
• Andrew Yang 2% (4%)
• Cory Booker 1% (2%)
• Pete Buttigieg 1% (3%)
• Amy Klobuchar 0%

Survey of 509 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 10-12, 2020. Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling North Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP North Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

• Joe Biden 39%
• Elizabeth Warren 22%
• Pete Buttigieg 9%
• Bernie Sanders 6%
• Kamala Harris 3%
• Andrew Yang 3%
• Cory Booker 2%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Beto O'Rourke 1%

Among Whites

• Elizabeth Warren 31%
• Joe Biden 26%
• Pete Buttigieg 12%
• Bernie Sanders 7%
• Kamala Harris 3%
• Cory Booker 2%
• Andrew Yang 2%
• Julián Castro 1%
• Beto O'Rourke 0%

Among Blacks

• Joe Biden 63%
• Bernie Sanders 6%
• Andrew Yang 4%
• Pete Buttigieg 3%
• Beto O'Rourke 3%
• Elizabeth Warren 3%
• Cory Booker 2%
• Kamala Harris 1%
• Julián Castro 0%

Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)

• Joe Biden 69% / 18% (+51)
• Elizabeth Warren 66% / 19% (+47)
• Bernie Sanders 57% / 28% (+29)
• Pete Buttigieg 44% / 21% (+23)
• Kamala Harris 45% / 25% (+20)

Among Whites

• Elizabeth Warren 65% / 24% (+41)
• Joe Biden 61% / 25% (+36)
• Pete Buttigieg 53% / 19% (+34)
• Bernie Sanders 48% / 38% (+10)
• Kamala Harris 43% / 33% (+10)

Among Blacks

• Joe Biden 84% / 6% (+78)
• Bernie Sanders 72% / 9% (+63)
• Elizabeth Warren 69% / 9% (+60)
• Kamala Harris 49% / 13% (+36)
• Pete Buttigieg 30% / 24% (+6)

Survey of 410 Democratic primary voters was conducted October 4-6, 2019.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2020 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden (D) 51% [49%] (49%)
• Donald Trump (R) 46% [46%] (44%)

• Bernie Sanders (D) 50% [48%] (48%)
• Donald Trump (R) 47% [47%] (45%)

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 49% [46%] (46%)
• Donald Trump (R) 46% [48%] (46%)

• Donald Trump (R) 47% [47%] (45%)
• Kamala Harris (D) 47% [46%] (45%)

• Donald Trump (R) 47% [47%]
• Pete Buttigieg (D) 46% [44%]

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 49% [52%] (52%)
• Joe Biden (D) 48% [46%] (40%)

• Donald Trump (R) 49% [54%] (51%)
• Bernie Sanders (D) 48% [46%] (40%)

• Donald Trump (R) 50% [55%] (54%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46% [42%] (38%)

• Donald Trump (R) 51% [54%] (55%)
• Kamala Harris (D) 43% [42%] (36%)

• Donald Trump (R) 51% [54%]
• Pete Buttigieg (D) 41% [42%]

Among Women

• Joe Biden (D) 54% [52%] (57%)
• Donald Trump (R) 43% [41%] (37%)

• Bernie Sanders (D) 51% [49%] (55%)
• Donald Trump (R) 44% [42%] (39%)

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 52% [50%] (54%)
• Donald Trump (R) 43% [41%] (39%)

• Kamala Harris (D) 51% [50%] (52%)
• Donald Trump (R) 44% [41%] (37%)

• Pete Buttigieg (D) 50% [46%]
• Donald Trump (R) 43% [40%]

Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?

• Approve 46% [46%] (46%)
• Disapprove 51% [49%] (50%) 

Among Men

• Approve 49% [51%] (53%)
• Disapprove 49% [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Approve 42% [41%] (39%)
• Disapprove 54% [53%] (56%)

Survey of 963 North Carolina voters was conducted October 4-6, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [43%] (42%) Democrat; 32% [33%] (32%) Republican; 28% [24%] (26%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted June 17-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2020 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden (D) 49% (49%)
• Donald Trump (R) 46% (44%)

• Bernie Sanders (D) 48% (48%)
• Donald Trump (R) 47% (45%)

• Donald Trump (R) 47% (45%)
• Kamala Harris (D) 46% (45%)

• Donald Trump (R) 48% (46%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46% (46%)

• Donald Trump (R) 47%
• Pete Buttigieg (D) 44%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 52% (52%)
• Joe Biden (D) 46% (40%)

• Donald Trump (R) 54% (51%)
• Bernie Sanders (D) 46% (40%)

• Donald Trump (R) 54% (55%)
• Kamala Harris (D) 42% (36%)

• Donald Trump (R) 55% (54%)
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 42% (38%)

• Donald Trump (R) 54%
• Pete Buttigieg (D) 42%

Among Women

• Joe Biden (D) 52% (57%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% (37%)

• Bernie Sanders (D) 49% (55%)
• Donald Trump (R) 42% (39%)

• Kamala Harris (D) 50% (52%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% (37%)

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 50% (54%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% (39%)

• Pete Buttigieg (D) 46%
• Donald Trump (R) 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?

• Approve 46% (46%)
• Disapprove 49% (50%) 

Among Men

• Approve 51% (53%)
• Disapprove 44% (42%)

Among Women

• Approve 41% (39%)
• Disapprove 53% (56%)

Survey of 610 North Carolina voters was conducted June 17-18, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (42%) Democrat; 33% (32%) Republican; 24% (26%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2020 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2020 Presidential Poll

• Joe Biden (D) 49%
• Donald Trump (R) 44%

• Bernie Sanders (D) 48%
• Donald Trump (R) 45%

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 46%
• Donald Trump (R) 46%

• Kamala Harris (D) 45%
• Donald Trump (R) 45% 

• Donald Trump (R) 46%
• Cory Booker (D) 45%

• Donald Trump (R) 46%
• Beto O'Rourke (D) 45%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 52%
• Joe Biden (D) 40%

• Donald Trump (R) 51%
• Bernie Sanders (D) 40%

• Donald Trump (R) 54%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 38%

• Donald Trump (R) 55%
• Kamala Harris (D) 36%

• Donald Trump (R) 55%
• Cory Booker (D) 37%

• Donald Trump (R) 54%
• Beto O'Rourke (D) 37%

Among Women

• Joe Biden (D) 57%
• Donald Trump (R) 37%

• Bernie Sanders (D) 55%
• Donald Trump (R) 39%

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 54%
• Donald Trump (R) 39%

• Kamala Harris (D) 52%
• Donald Trump (R) 37% 

• Cory Booker (D) 51%
• Donald Trump (R) 39%

• Beto O'Rourke (D) 51%
• Donald Trump (R) 38%

Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)

• Joe Biden 44% / 38% (+6)
• Cory Booker 26% / 33% (-7)
• Kamala Harris 24% / 31% (-7)
• Bernie Sanders 38% / 47% (-9)
• Elizabeth Warren 34% / 43% (-9)
• Beto O'Rourke 21% / 34% (-13)

Among Men

• Joe Biden 36% / 47% (-11)
• Kamala Harris 25% / 36% (-11)
• Cory Booker 27% / 42% (-15)
• Elizabeth Warren 34% / 50% (-16)
• Beto O'Rourke 22% / 41% (-19) 
• Bernie Sanders 34% / 55% (-21)

Among Women

• Joe Biden 52% / 30% (+22) 
• Bernie Sanders 41% / 41% (0)
• Cory Booker 26% / 26% (0)
• Elizabeth Warren 35% / 36% (-1)
• Kamala Harris 23% / 26% (-3)
• Beto O'Rourke 19% / 27% (-8)
  

Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 50% 

Among Men

• Approve 53%
• Disapprove 42%
  

Among Women

• Approve 39%
• Disapprove 56%

Survey of 750 North Carolina voters was conducted January 4-7, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 42% Democrat; 32% Republican; 26% Independent.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis/Breitbart (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {49%} [44%] (38%)
• Donald Trump (R) 45% {47%} [43%] (39%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% {1%} [7%] (10%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2% {1%} (2%)

Survey of 1,250 registered voters was conducted November 1-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 25-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% (48%) {50%} [49%] (47%) 
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% (46%) {44%} [46%] (43%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 54% (49%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 39% (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 55% (52%) {57%} [56%] (49%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 37% (44%) {38%} [42%] (42%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% (47%) {47%} [46%] (42%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% (44%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 3% (3%) {5%} [7%] (15%)

Survey of 870 likely North Carolina voters was conducted November 3-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 27 - November 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 20-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 7, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% {50%} [49%] (47%) 
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46% {44%} [46%] (43%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 49% {51%} [51%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 43% {43%} [42%] (46%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 52% {57%} [56%] (49%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {38%} [42%] (42%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% {47%} [46%] (42%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {43%} [43%] (38%)
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 3% {5%} [7%] (15%)

Survey of 602 likely North Carolina voters was conducted October 27 - November 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 20-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 7, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 51% [44%] (44%)
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [46%] (46%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% [6%] (5%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 58% [51%] (48%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [40%] (39%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% [6%] (5%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [51%] (52%)
• Donald Trump (R) 44% [39%] (40%)
  
• Gary Johnson (L) 2% [6%] (4%)

Survey of 659 likely and actual voters was conducted October 28-31, 2016 for WRAL-TV. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Elon University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 43.7% [38.7%] (44.2%) 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43.5% [44.5%] (42.8%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3.9% [9.4%] (6.0%)

Survey of 710 likely North Carolina voters was conducted October 23-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-16, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [46%] (44%)
• Donald Trump (R) 45% [42%] (42%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% [4%] (2%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0% [2%] (1%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 50% [45%] (45%)
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [40%] (41%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% [5%] (3%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0% [3%] (1%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [50%] (47%)
  
• Donald Trump (R) 41% [40%] (39%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% [3%] (2%)
• Jill Stein (G) 0% [1%] (1%)

Survey of 992 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 30 - September 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 50% {48%} [48%] (44%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% {43%} [39%] (38%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {45%} [45%] (42%)
• Donald Trump (R) 41% {41%} [36%] (36%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 8% {9%} [9%] (7%)

Survey of 780 likely voters was conducted October 25-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48.4% [45.8%] (43.4%)
• Donald Trump (R) 45.2% [41.7%] (44.8%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4.2% [5.2%] (7.7%)
• Unsure 2.3% [4.6%] (2.0%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 47.9% [44.6%] (46.5%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42.0% [40.0%] (37.1%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 6.9% [5.8%] (12.3%)
• Unsure 3.2% [4.9%] (2.5%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53.5% [50.1%] (48.6%)
• Donald Trump (R) 42.9% [39.5%] (43.5%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 2.0% [4.7%] (3.9%)
• Unsure 1.6% [4.3%] (1.6%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 45.0% [43.4%] (41.5%) / 53.5% [53.9%] (55.5%) {-8.5}
• Donald Trump 40.4% [36.1%] (39.3%) / 57.6% [59.9%] (57.4%) {-17.2}

Survey of 650 likely voters was conducted October 26-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Breitbart News Network (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis/Breitbart (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [44%] (38%)
• Donald Trump (R) 47% [43%] (39%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 1% [7%] (10%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% (2%)

Survey of 1,273 registered voters was conducted October 25-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 50% [49%] (47%) 
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 44% [46%] (43%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 51% [51%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 43% [42%] (46%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 57% [56%] (49%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 38% [42%] (42%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% [46%] (42%)
• Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% [43%] (38%)
• Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 5% [7%] (15%)

Survey of 702 likely North Carolina voters was conducted October 20-26, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 2, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 7, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [49%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [47%]
• Donald Trump (R) 46% [45%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 50% [53%] (53%) {57%} [55%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (55%) {50%} [53%] (55%) {54%} (53%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [42%] (44%) {36%} [40%] (36%) {39%} [37%] (34%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {32%} (41%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [55%] (50%) {56%} [52%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (52%) {47%} [45%] (47%) {50%} (53%)
• Donald Trump (R) 43% [37%] (42%) {35%} [43%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (36%) {43%} [44%] (40%) {36%} (36%)

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (41%)
• Donald Trump (R) 44% [42%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (43%) 
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% [7%] (6%) {7%} [4%] (3%)
• Undecided 5% [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (11%)

Survey of 875 likely North Carolina voters was conducted October 21-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 27-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (44%)
• Donald Trump (R) 46% (42%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% (7%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 51% (41%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (42%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 6% (13%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (46%)
• Donald Trump (R) 42% (43%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 2% (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 35% (36%) / 55% (52%) {-20}
• Donald Trump 33% (34%) / 54% (54%) {-21}

Survey of 402 likely voters was conducted October 20-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 20-23, 2016 are in parentheses.